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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
April 26, 2023
9:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Heat
128
3Bucks
126
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.6
46
36
42
8
4
2
2
1
5
1
7
5-9
56%
14-23
8-15
61%
53%
3-10
30%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.9
41
25
22
0
6
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-11
1-3
45%
49%
4-12
33%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.8
40
30
20
10
10
2
1
1
3
5
5
4-5
80%
8-19
6-12
42%
53%
0-1
0%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
38
22
8
8
0
0
0
2
0
2
6
2-3
67%
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
2-4
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 34.6
32
19
15
12
1
0
0
1
0
0
12
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
5-11
45%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.6
21
27
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.1
18
23
10
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.0
15
26
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
1-2
50%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.6
10
7
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
3
10
2
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.9
2
0
0-1
53%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.9
1
0
0-0
54%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.9
0
0
0-0
40%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.0
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.9
47
37
16
9
6
1
1
0
2
0
9
6-8
75%
2-5
5-9
40%
53%
2-6
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 35.1
44
35
18
10
1
1
1
1
2
3
7
1-3
33%
4-6
6-10
67%
61%
3-5
60%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 28.4
42
31
38
20
3
0
1
0
7
4
16
10-23
43%
14-25
9-16
56%
59%
0-2
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 31.7
41
34
33
6
6
0
1
0
3
1
5
9-9
100%
6-14
5-9
43%
50%
4-10
40%
Grayson Allen
G · 6'5" 198 · 27.5
26
30
8
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
2-5
40%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 36.5
24
17
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 28.2
17
18
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
17
21
7
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
60%
1-1
100%
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 35.6
8
19
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 32.8
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Jevon Carter
G · 6'2" 196 · 27.6
6
0
0-1
44%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 30.8
2
0
0-0
54%
MarJon Beauchamp
F · 6'6" 199 · 22.5
2
0
0-0
50%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.2
1
0
0-0
60%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 37.0
1
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.