for complete access.
All Games Thursday, April 27, 2023
FinalWin Prob.pScore
1
Celtics
60%115
128
16
Hawks
40%111
120
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
130.69895.6
ATL logo ATL
122.498100.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSATL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.128
100%
120
0%
Q4 - 0:07.2HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)128
99.9%
120
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.8CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2128
99.9%
120
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.8CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2127
99.9%
120
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.8HawksTrae Young personal foul (Take) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)126
99.9%
120
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.4HawksDe'Andre Hunter turnover (out of bounds bad pass)126
99.8%
120
0.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0HawksHawks offensive rebound126
99.5%
120
0.5%
Q4 - 0:20.3HawksJayson Tatum blocks John Collins's two point putback layup126
99.6%
120
0.4%
Q4 - 0:21.7HawksJohn Collins offensive rebound126
99.2%
120
0.8%
Q4 - 0:24.1HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses regular free throw 3 of 3126
99.6%
120
0.4%
Q4 - 0:24.1HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes regular free throw 2 of 3126
99.3%
120
0.7%
Q4 - 0:24.1HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses regular free throw 1 of 3126
99.4%
119
0.6%
Q4 - 0:24.1CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Bogdan Bogdanovic draws the foul)126
98.8%
119
1.2%
Q4 - 0:30.6CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Trae Young steals)126
99.5%
119
0.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0HawksBogdan Bogdanovic personal foul (Take) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)126
99.5%
119
0.5%
Q4 - 0:52.0CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound126
99.2%
119
0.8%
Q4 - 0:54.1HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot126
99.0%
119
1.0%
Q4 - 1:07CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving layup (Jayson Tatum assists)126
97.9%
119
2.1%
Q4 - 1:29HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Clint Capela assists)124
95.4%
119
4.6%
Q4 - 1:31CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)124
98.0%
116
2.0%
Q4 - 1:55HawksDejounte Murray makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)121
94.3%
116
5.7%
Q4 - 1:58HawksHawks offensive rebound121
97.5%
113
2.5%
Q4 - 1:59HawksRobert Williams III blocks Trae Young's two point driving layup121
98.3%
113
1.7%
Q4 - 2:07CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point tip dunk121
97.6%
113
2.4%
Q4 - 2:07CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound119
96.7%
113
3.3%
Q4 - 2:12CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot119
95.0%
113
5.0%
Q4 - 2:27CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound119
96.8%
113
3.2%
Q4 - 2:30HawksJaylen Brown blocks Dejounte Murray's two point driving finger roll layup119
96.2%
113
3.8%
Q4 - 2:44CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot119
94.1%
113
5.9%
Q4 - 3:03CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound116
85.6%
113
14.4%
Q4 - 3:05HawksTrae Young misses three point jump shot116
83.5%
113
16.5%
Q4 - 3:35CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)116
75.1%
113
24.9%
Q4 - 3:53CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound113
60.3%
113
39.7%
Q4 - 3:55HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving layup113
57.4%
113
42.6%
Q4 - 4:02HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound113
50.7%
113
49.3%
Q4 - 4:07CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot113
53.6%
113
46.4%
Q4 - 4:15CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound113
60.3%
113
39.7%
Q4 - 4:18CelticsDe'Andre Hunter blocks Grant Williams's two point running layup113
53.6%
113
46.4%
Q4 - 4:23CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound113
60.3%
113
39.7%
Q4 - 4:25HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot113
57.4%
113
42.6%
Q4 - 4:50CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot113
50.5%
113
49.5%
Q4 - 5:01HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)110
36.7%
113
63.3%
Q4 - 5:14CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound110
36.6%
113
63.4%
Q4 - 5:18HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot110
34.2%
113
65.8%
Q4 - 5:37HawksClint Capela defensive rebound110
29.0%
113
71.0%
Q4 - 5:40CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot110
31.1%
113
68.9%
Q4 - 5:48CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound110
36.5%
113
63.5%
Q4 - 5:52HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot110
34.1%
113
65.9%
Q4 - 6:02HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound110
31.7%
113
68.3%
Q4 - 6:05CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot110
34.0%
113
66.0%
Q4 - 6:24HawksClint Capela makes two point alley-oop dunk (Trae Young assists)110
39.5%
113
60.5%
Q4 - 6:43CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (De'Andre Hunter steals)110
45.1%
111
54.9%
Q4 - 6:48HawksJohn Collins personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)110
53.8%
111
46.2%
Q4 - 7:03HawksJohn Collins makes two point turnaround jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)110
55.0%
111
45.0%
Q4 - 7:24CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot110
60.1%
109
39.9%
Q4 - 7:28CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound108
55.0%
109
45.0%
Q4 - 7:31HawksAl Horford blocks Trae Young's two point driving layup108
52.5%
109
47.5%
Q4 - 7:40HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound108
46.9%
109
53.1%
Q4 - 7:42CelticsJohn Collins blocks Jaylen Brown's two point turnaround hook shot108
49.4%
109
50.6%
Q4 - 7:49HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)108
54.9%
109
45.1%
Q4 - 7:52HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound108
46.9%
109
53.1%
Q4 - 7:55CelticsOnyeka Okongwu blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point driving layup108
49.4%
109
50.6%
Q4 - 8:14HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)108
54.5%
109
45.5%
Q4 - 8:27CelticsAl Horford makes two point tip layup108
66.1%
106
33.9%
Q4 - 8:27CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound106
60.6%
106
39.4%
Q4 - 8:30CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving layup106
56.2%
106
43.8%
Q4 - 8:43CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound106
60.7%
106
39.3%
Q4 - 8:45HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses regular free throw 2 of 2106
59.8%
106
40.2%
Q4 - 8:45HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
55.9%
106
44.1%
Q4 - 8:45CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)106
51.1%
106
48.9%
Q4 - 9:02CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)106
54.9%
106
45.1%
Q4 - 9:11HawksDejounte Murray makes two point driving floating bank jump shot104
49.7%
106
50.3%
Q4 - 9:16HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound104
54.9%
104
45.1%
Q4 - 9:20CelticsOnyeka Okongwu blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving reverse layup104
56.8%
104
43.2%
Q4 - 9:32HawksJohn Collins turnover (offensive foul)104
61.1%
104
38.9%
Q4 - 9:32HawksJohn Collins offensive foul (Charge) (Grant Williams draws the foul)104
54.9%
104
45.1%
Q4 - 9:43HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound104
54.9%
104
45.1%
Q4 - 9:46CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot104
56.8%
104
43.2%
Q4 - 9:58CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound104
61.1%
104
38.9%
Q4 - 10:02HawksDerrick White blocks Trae Young's two point driving floating jump shot104
59.2%
104
40.8%
Q4 - 10:14HawksSaddiq Bey defensive rebound104
55.1%
104
44.9%
Q4 - 10:16CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot104
56.9%
104
43.1%
Q4 - 10:24HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
61.0%
104
39.0%
Q4 - 10:24HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 2104
61.6%
103
38.4%
Q4 - 10:24CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)104
62.2%
102
37.8%
Q4 - 10:47CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point pullup jump shot104
65.6%
102
34.4%
Q4 - 10:58HawksJohn Collins makes two point floating jump shot (Trae Young assists)102
61.1%
102
38.9%
Q4 - 11:15CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point pullup jump shot102
65.3%
100
34.7%
Q4 - 11:23HawksJohn Collins turnover (bad pass) (Grant Williams steals)100
60.5%
100
39.5%
Q4 - 11:41CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop layup (Jaylen Brown assists)100
55.3%
100
44.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.98
50.3%
100
49.7%
Q3 - 0:02.7HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound98
46.6%
100
53.4%
Q3 - 0:02.7CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point fadeaway jump shot98
48.0%
100
52.0%
Q3 - 0:23.8CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound98
51.3%
100
48.7%
Q3 - 0:25.5HawksOnyeka Okongwu misses regular free throw 1 of 198
50.6%
100
49.4%
Q3 - 0:25.5CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Onyeka Okongwu draws the foul)98
47.4%
100
52.6%
Q3 - 0:25.5HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound98
56.3%
98
43.7%
Q3 - 0:27.8HawksTrae Young misses two point driving layup98
59.6%
98
40.4%
Q3 - 0:31.7HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound98
56.3%
98
43.7%
Q3 - 0:33.6CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot98
57.7%
98
42.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point driving layup (Onyeka Okongwu assists)98
61.0%
98
39.0%
Q3 - 0:56.5HawksHawks defensive rebound98
65.6%
96
34.4%
Q3 - 0:59.1CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot98
67.0%
96
33.0%
Q3 - 1:13HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point driving layup (Dejounte Murray assists)98
69.8%
96
30.2%
Q3 - 1:15HawksDejounte Murray offensive rebound98
73.3%
94
26.7%
Q3 - 1:19HawksSaddiq Bey misses two point pullup jump shot98
76.0%
94
24.0%
Q3 - 1:43CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)98
73.4%
94
26.6%
Q3 - 1:53CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound96
69.8%
94
30.2%
Q3 - 1:55HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point pullup jump shot96
68.5%
94
31.5%
Q3 - 2:14CelticsGrant Williams makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)96
65.1%
94
34.9%
Q3 - 2:32HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point driving finger roll layup93
57.0%
94
43.0%
Q3 - 2:59CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot93
61.0%
92
39.0%
Q3 - 3:14CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound91
57.6%
92
42.4%
Q3 - 3:17HawksDejounte Murray misses two point driving floating jump shot91
56.1%
92
43.9%
Q3 - 3:25CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 291
52.6%
92
47.4%
Q3 - 3:25CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 290
51.8%
92
48.2%
Q3 - 3:25HawksSaddiq Bey personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)90
55.0%
92
45.0%
Q3 - 3:40HawksDejounte Murray makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot90
53.3%
92
46.7%
Q3 - 4:01CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup90
57.5%
90
42.5%
Q3 - 4:05CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound88
54.1%
90
45.9%
Q3 - 4:07HawksClint Capela misses two point layup88
52.7%
90
47.3%
Q3 - 4:16HawksTrae Young defensive rebound88
49.3%
90
50.7%
Q3 - 4:18CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point pullup jump shot88
50.8%
90
49.2%
Q3 - 4:34HawksClint Capela makes two point hook shot88
54.1%
90
45.9%
Q3 - 4:35HawksClint Capela offensive rebound88
57.4%
88
42.6%
Q3 - 4:38HawksAl Horford blocks Saddiq Bey's two point driving layup88
60.6%
88
39.4%
Q3 - 4:49HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound88
57.4%
88
42.6%
Q3 - 4:52CelticsTrae Young blocks Jayson Tatum's two point driving layup88
58.8%
88
41.2%
Q3 - 5:03CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound88
61.8%
88
38.2%
Q3 - 5:07HawksTrae Young misses three point stepback jump shot88
60.6%
88
39.4%
Q3 - 5:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)88
57.7%
88
42.3%
Q3 - 5:36HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)85
50.3%
88
49.7%
Q3 - 5:51CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)85
57.7%
85
42.3%
Q3 - 6:05HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 283
54.8%
85
45.2%
Q3 - 6:05HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 283
55.4%
84
44.6%
Q3 - 6:05CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)83
56.2%
83
43.8%
Q3 - 6:14CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating jump shot83
58.3%
83
41.7%
Q3 - 6:27CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound81
54.7%
83
45.3%
Q3 - 6:30HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot81
53.5%
83
46.5%
Q3 - 6:46CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)81
50.7%
83
49.3%
Q3 - 7:06HawksDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 178
44.3%
83
55.7%
Q3 - 7:06CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)78
44.9%
82
55.1%
Q3 - 7:10CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 278
51.1%
80
48.9%
Q3 - 7:10CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 277
50.6%
80
49.4%
Q3 - 7:10HawksDe'Andre Hunter shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)76
50.0%
80
50.0%
Q3 - 7:28HawksDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 276
47.9%
80
52.1%
Q3 - 7:28HawksDejounte Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 276
48.5%
79
51.5%
Q3 - 7:28CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Dejounte Murray draws the foul)76
49.2%
78
50.8%
Q3 - 7:41CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Loose ball) (John Collins draws the foul)76
51.1%
78
48.9%
Q3 - 7:41HawksHawks offensive rebound76
51.1%
78
48.9%
Q3 - 7:42HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point pullup jump shot76
54.0%
78
46.0%
Q3 - 7:59HawksTrae Young makes flagrant free throw 1 of 176
51.1%
78
48.9%
Q3 - 7:59CelticsAl Horford flagrant 1 (Trae Young draws the foul)76
51.5%
77
48.5%
Q3 - 8:08CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot76
61.9%
75
38.1%
Q3 - 8:23HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)73
55.7%
75
44.3%
Q3 - 8:32HawksClint Capela offensive rebound73
61.9%
72
38.1%
Q3 - 8:35HawksJayson Tatum blocks Clint Capela's two point layup73
64.6%
72
35.4%
Q3 - 8:45HawksClint Capela defensive rebound73
61.9%
72
38.1%
Q3 - 8:48CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot73
63.1%
72
36.9%
Q3 - 9:12HawksDejounte Murray makes two point pullup bank jump shot73
65.8%
72
34.2%
Q3 - 9:27CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 3 of 373
68.5%
70
31.5%
Q3 - 9:27CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 372
67.9%
70
32.1%
Q3 - 9:27CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 371
67.1%
70
32.9%
Q3 - 9:27HawksTrae Young shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)70
66.4%
70
33.6%
Q3 - 9:40HawksTrae Young personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)70
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q3 - 9:45CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound70
62.6%
70
37.4%
Q3 - 9:47HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point stepback jump shot70
61.5%
70
38.5%
Q3 - 10:07CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running layup70
59.0%
70
41.0%
Q3 - 10:11CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound68
56.1%
70
43.9%
Q3 - 10:13HawksTrae Young misses two point running pullup jump shot68
55.0%
70
45.0%
Q3 - 10:18HawksTrae Young defensive rebound68
52.4%
70
47.6%
Q3 - 10:22CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot68
53.5%
70
46.5%
Q3 - 10:34CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound68
56.1%
70
43.9%
Q3 - 10:36HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating jump shot68
55.0%
70
45.0%
Q3 - 10:50HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound68
52.4%
70
47.6%
Q3 - 10:53CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot68
53.5%
70
46.5%
Q3 - 11:00CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound68
56.1%
70
43.9%
Q3 - 11:03HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot68
55.4%
70
44.6%
Q3 - 11:13HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound68
53.0%
70
47.0%
Q3 - 11:16CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot68
54.0%
70
46.0%
Q3 - 11:25HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)68
56.4%
70
43.6%
Q3 - 11:44HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes three point pullup jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)68
56.4%
70
43.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.68
62.5%
67
37.5%
Q2 - 0:15.1HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)68
65.9%
67
34.1%
Q2 - 0:35.5CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup68
71.8%
64
28.2%
Q2 - 0:47.9HawksTrae Young makes two point driving floating jump shot66
68.7%
64
31.3%
Q2 - 0:57.8HawksClint Capela defensive rebound66
71.8%
62
28.2%
Q2 - 1:01CelticsGrant Williams misses two point hook shot66
72.6%
62
27.4%
Q2 - 1:19HawksTrae Young turnover (out of bounds bad pass)66
73.9%
62
26.1%
Q2 - 1:37CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)66
72.1%
62
27.9%
Q2 - 1:39CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound63
66.1%
62
33.9%
Q2 - 1:41CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point running finger roll layup63
64.6%
62
35.4%
Q2 - 1:47CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound63
66.1%
62
33.9%
Q2 - 1:49HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot63
65.4%
62
34.6%
Q2 - 2:12CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot63
63.5%
62
36.5%
Q2 - 2:19CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound60
58.0%
62
42.0%
Q2 - 2:22HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot60
57.0%
62
43.0%
Q2 - 2:37CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running finger roll layup60
54.9%
62
45.1%
Q2 - 2:39CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound58
52.0%
62
48.0%
Q2 - 2:42HawksTrae Young misses three point running pullup jump shot58
51.0%
62
49.0%
Q2 - 2:48HawksClint Capela defensive rebound58
48.9%
62
51.1%
Q2 - 2:51CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving floating jump shot58
49.8%
62
50.2%
Q2 - 2:56CelticsCeltics offensive rebound58
52.0%
62
48.0%
Q2 - 2:57CelticsTrae Young blocks Jaylen Brown's two point turnaround jump shot58
49.8%
62
50.2%
Q2 - 3:12HawksClint Capela makes two point alley-oop dunk (Trae Young assists)58
52.7%
62
47.3%
Q2 - 3:35CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Al Horford assists)58
55.0%
60
45.0%
Q2 - 3:36CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound55
49.8%
60
50.2%
Q2 - 3:39CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point pullup jump shot55
47.4%
60
52.6%
Q2 - 3:50CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound55
49.8%
60
50.2%
Q2 - 3:52HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot55
48.8%
60
51.2%
Q2 - 4:07CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup55
47.6%
60
52.4%
Q2 - 4:25HawksTrae Young makes three point stepback jump shot53
44.8%
60
55.2%
Q2 - 4:31HawksJohn Collins defensive rebound53
50.3%
57
49.7%
Q2 - 4:33CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point fadeaway jump shot53
51.2%
57
48.8%
Q2 - 4:55HawksJohn Collins makes three point jump shot (Trae Young assists)53
53.1%
57
46.9%
Q2 - 5:06CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running dunk (Al Horford assists)53
58.8%
54
41.2%
Q2 - 5:09HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)51
56.7%
54
43.3%
Q2 - 5:15HawksSaddiq Bey defensive rebound51
53.3%
54
46.7%
Q2 - 5:18CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot51
54.3%
54
45.7%
Q2 - 5:31HawksSaddiq Bey makes two point fadeaway jump shot51
56.6%
54
43.4%
Q2 - 5:51HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound51
58.8%
52
41.2%
Q2 - 5:53CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot51
59.8%
52
40.2%
Q2 - 6:02CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound51
62.3%
52
37.7%
Q2 - 6:05HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point stepback jump shot51
61.3%
52
38.7%
Q2 - 6:22CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)51
59.1%
52
40.9%
Q2 - 6:37HawksTrae Young makes two point pullup jump shot48
54.4%
52
45.6%
Q2 - 6:46CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point tip layup48
56.5%
50
43.5%
Q2 - 6:46CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound46
54.4%
50
45.6%
Q2 - 6:50CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point driving layup46
52.1%
50
47.9%
Q2 - 7:08HawksJalen Johnson makes two point running reverse layup (Dejounte Murray assists)46
54.5%
50
45.5%
Q2 - 7:11HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound46
56.9%
48
43.1%
Q2 - 7:13CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving layup46
57.7%
48
42.3%
Q2 - 7:32HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point driving layup46
59.6%
48
40.4%
Q2 - 7:39HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound46
61.9%
46
38.1%
Q2 - 7:42CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot46
62.7%
46
37.3%
Q2 - 8:03HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point hook shot (Bogdan Bogdanovic assists)46
64.4%
46
35.6%
Q2 - 8:22CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 246
66.6%
44
33.4%
Q2 - 8:22CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 245
66.3%
44
33.7%
Q2 - 8:22HawksDejounte Murray shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)44
66.0%
44
34.0%
Q2 - 8:30HawksOnyeka Okongwu makes two point putback layup44
64.4%
44
35.6%
Q2 - 8:30HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound44
66.6%
42
33.4%
Q2 - 8:37HawksRobert Williams III blocks Onyeka Okongwu's two point dunk44
68.3%
42
31.7%
Q2 - 8:47HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound44
66.6%
42
33.4%
Q2 - 8:51CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot44
67.4%
42
32.6%
Q2 - 9:01CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound44
68.7%
42
31.3%
Q2 - 9:04CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround jump shot44
67.1%
42
32.9%
Q2 - 9:22CelticsCeltics defensive rebound44
68.7%
42
31.3%
Q2 - 9:23HawksDejounte Murray misses two point pullup jump shot44
68.0%
42
32.0%
Q2 - 9:38CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point turnaround jump shot44
66.4%
42
33.6%
Q2 - 9:54HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)42
64.2%
42
35.8%
Q2 - 9:57CelticsGrant Williams turnover (bad pass) (Dejounte Murray steals)42
68.6%
39
31.4%
Q2 - 10:00HawksDejounte Murray turnover (lost ball) (Robert Williams III steals)42
70.9%
39
29.1%
Q2 - 10:12CelticsDerrick White makes two point floating jump shot42
68.6%
39
31.4%
Q2 - 10:35HawksJalen Johnson makes three point jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)40
66.5%
39
33.5%
Q2 - 10:43HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound40
70.7%
36
29.3%
Q2 - 10:46CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point stepback jump shot40
71.4%
36
28.6%
Q2 - 10:53CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound40
72.8%
36
27.2%
Q2 - 10:57HawksSaddiq Bey misses three point pullup jump shot40
72.2%
36
27.8%
Q2 - 11:11CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 240
70.7%
36
29.3%
Q2 - 11:11CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 239
70.4%
36
29.6%
Q2 - 11:11HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)38
70.1%
36
29.9%
Q2 - 11:21HawksBogdan Bogdanovic makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)38
68.6%
36
31.4%
Q2 - 11:35CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)38
70.7%
34
29.3%
Q2 - 11:47CelticsCeltics defensive rebound35
66.5%
34
33.5%
Q2 - 11:48HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point jump shot35
65.8%
34
34.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.35
64.4%
34
35.6%
Q1 - 0:00.8CelticsDerrick White makes two point putback layup35
64.3%
34
35.7%
Q1 - 0:00.8CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound33
61.9%
34
38.1%
Q1 - 0:03.5CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point stepback jump shot33
60.6%
34
39.4%
Q1 - 0:11.1CelticsGrant Williams defensive rebound33
61.9%
34
38.1%
Q1 - 0:14.7HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot33
61.3%
34
38.7%
Q1 - 0:31.8HawksOnyeka Okongwu defensive rebound33
59.9%
34
40.1%
Q1 - 0:34.2CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot33
60.6%
34
39.4%
Q1 - 0:48.8HawksTrae Young makes three point stepback jump shot (Saddiq Bey assists)33
62.0%
34
38.0%
Q1 - 1:01CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving dunk (Grant Williams assists)33
66.6%
31
33.4%
Q1 - 1:16HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 231
64.3%
31
35.7%
Q1 - 1:16HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 231
64.6%
30
35.4%
Q1 - 1:16CelticsSam Hauser personal foul (Trae Young draws the foul)31
64.8%
29
35.2%
Q1 - 1:24CelticsDerrick White turnover (offensive foul)31
66.6%
29
33.4%
Q1 - 1:24CelticsDerrick White offensive foul (Charge) (Trae Young draws the foul)31
68.5%
29
31.5%
Q1 - 1:28HawksOnyeka Okongwu turnover (bad pass) (Robert Williams III steals)31
68.5%
29
31.5%
Q1 - 1:29HawksOnyeka Okongwu offensive rebound31
66.6%
29
33.4%
Q1 - 1:33HawksRobert Williams III blocks De'Andre Hunter's two point running layup31
67.9%
29
32.1%
Q1 - 1:37HawksDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound31
66.6%
29
33.4%
Q1 - 1:39CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup31
67.2%
29
32.8%
Q1 - 1:59HawksTrae Young makes three point stepback jump shot (Onyeka Okongwu assists)31
68.5%
29
31.5%
Q1 - 2:10CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 231
72.2%
26
27.8%
Q1 - 2:10CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 230
72.0%
26
28.0%
Q1 - 2:10HawksOnyeka Okongwu shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)29
71.7%
26
28.3%
Q1 - 2:16CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound29
70.5%
26
29.5%
Q1 - 2:19HawksBogdan Bogdanovic misses three point turnaround jump shot29
69.9%
26
30.1%
Q1 - 2:32CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Derrick White assists)29
68.5%
26
31.5%
Q1 - 2:39CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound27
66.6%
26
33.4%
Q1 - 2:42HawksSaddiq Bey misses two point running pullup jump shot27
66.0%
26
34.0%
Q1 - 2:48CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (bad pass) (Saddiq Bey steals)27
64.5%
26
35.5%
Q1 - 3:02HawksSaddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (De'Andre Hunter assists)27
66.5%
26
33.5%
Q1 - 3:08HawksSaddiq Bey defensive rebound27
69.9%
23
30.1%
Q1 - 3:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot27
70.6%
23
29.4%
Q1 - 3:28HawksSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 227
72.2%
23
27.8%
Q1 - 3:28HawksSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 1 of 227
72.4%
22
27.6%
Q1 - 3:28CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)27
72.7%
21
27.3%
Q1 - 3:28HawksSaddiq Bey offensive rebound27
73.5%
21
26.5%
Q1 - 3:29HawksSaddiq Bey misses two point turnaround hook shot27
75.0%
21
25.0%
Q1 - 3:50CelticsSam Hauser makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)27
73.6%
21
26.4%
Q1 - 4:12HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point tip layup24
70.2%
21
29.8%
Q1 - 4:12HawksDe'Andre Hunter offensive rebound24
71.7%
19
28.3%
Q1 - 4:16HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating bank jump shot24
73.0%
19
27.0%
Q1 - 4:38CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point running jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)24
71.6%
19
28.4%
Q1 - 4:44CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound21
68.4%
19
31.6%
Q1 - 4:47HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating jump shot21
67.7%
19
32.3%
Q1 - 5:00HawksClint Capela offensive rebound21
66.2%
19
33.8%
Q1 - 5:04HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot21
67.8%
19
32.2%
Q1 - 5:15CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point pullup jump shot21
66.4%
19
33.6%
Q1 - 5:27HawksTrae Young makes three point stepback jump shot18
62.9%
19
37.1%
Q1 - 5:37CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (offensive foul)18
66.4%
16
33.6%
Q1 - 5:37CelticsJaylen Brown offensive foul (Charge) (Clint Capela draws the foul)18
68.4%
16
31.6%
Q1 - 5:50HawksJohn Collins makes regular free throw 1 of 118
68.4%
16
31.6%
Q1 - 5:50CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (John Collins draws the foul)18
68.7%
15
31.3%
Q1 - 6:09CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)18
71.7%
13
28.3%
Q1 - 6:21HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 116
70.1%
13
29.9%
Q1 - 6:21CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)16
70.3%
12
29.7%
Q1 - 6:38HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound16
73.3%
10
26.7%
Q1 - 6:41CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point stepback jump shot16
73.8%
10
26.2%
Q1 - 6:47CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound16
74.9%
10
25.1%
Q1 - 6:49HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot16
74.4%
10
25.6%
Q1 - 7:06CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving dunk16
73.3%
10
26.7%
Q1 - 7:17HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 2 of 214
71.9%
10
28.1%
Q1 - 7:17HawksTrae Young makes regular free throw 1 of 214
72.1%
9
27.9%
Q1 - 7:17CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Trae Young draws the foul)14
72.3%
8
27.7%
Q1 - 7:21CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (John Collins steals)14
73.3%
8
26.7%
Q1 - 7:32HawksDe'Andre Hunter personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)14
75.0%
8
25.0%
Q1 - 7:47HawksClint Capela makes two point alley-oop layup (Trae Young assists)14
75.0%
8
25.0%
Q1 - 7:53HawksTrae Young defensive rebound14
76.3%
6
23.7%
Q1 - 7:56CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot14
76.7%
6
23.3%
Q1 - 8:03CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound14
77.9%
6
22.1%
Q1 - 8:06HawksDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot14
77.5%
6
22.5%
Q1 - 8:14HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound14
76.4%
6
23.6%
Q1 - 8:16CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot14
76.9%
6
23.1%
Q1 - 8:28HawksDe'Andre Hunter makes two point driving floating jump shot (Dejounte Murray assists)14
77.9%
6
22.1%
Q1 - 8:44CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point running layup (Derrick White assists)14
79.1%
4
20.9%
Q1 - 8:47CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound12
77.9%
4
22.1%
Q1 - 8:50HawksAl Horford blocks De'Andre Hunter's two point driving hook shot12
77.5%
4
22.5%
Q1 - 8:57HawksClint Capela defensive rebound12
76.4%
4
23.6%
Q1 - 9:00CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot12
76.9%
4
23.1%
Q1 - 9:08HawksClint Capela makes two point putback layup12
77.5%
4
22.5%
Q1 - 9:09HawksClint Capela offensive rebound12
78.7%
2
21.3%
Q1 - 9:12HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot12
79.7%
2
20.3%
Q1 - 9:25CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point running jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)12
78.7%
2
21.3%
Q1 - 9:28CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound9
76.2%
2
23.8%
Q1 - 9:30HawksTrae Young misses two point driving floating bank jump shot9
75.8%
2
24.2%
Q1 - 9:44CelticsAl Horford makes two point cutting dunk (Marcus Smart assists)9
74.7%
2
25.3%
Q1 - 10:03HawksTrae Young makes two point pullup jump shot (Clint Capela assists)7
73.1%
2
26.9%
Q1 - 10:07HawksClint Capela offensive rebound7
74.4%
0
25.6%
Q1 - 10:10HawksDejounte Murray misses three point jump shot7
75.5%
0
24.5%
Q1 - 10:28CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 27
74.4%
0
25.6%
Q1 - 10:28CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 26
74.1%
0
25.9%
Q1 - 10:28HawksClint Capela shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)5
73.8%
0
26.2%
Q1 - 10:28CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound5
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 10:29CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point cutting finger roll layup5
72.0%
0
28.0%
Q1 - 10:32CelticsCeltics offensive rebound5
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 10:33CelticsJohn Collins blocks Jaylen Brown's two point running layup5
72.0%
0
28.0%
Q1 - 10:36CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound5
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 10:39HawksJohn Collins misses three point jump shot5
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 10:48HawksDejounte Murray defensive rebound5
71.5%
0
28.5%
Q1 - 10:51CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point running layup5
72.0%
0
28.0%
Q1 - 10:56CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound5
73.1%
0
26.9%
Q1 - 10:59HawksTrae Young misses three point pullup jump shot5
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 11:04CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point tip layup5
71.4%
0
28.6%
Q1 - 11:04CelticsMarcus Smart offensive rebound3
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 11:09CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot3
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 11:15CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound3
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 11:16CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point running pullup jump shot3
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 11:21HawksTrae Young turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)3
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 11:46CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)3
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 12:00Al Horford vs. Clint Capela (Derrick White gains possession)0
65.4%
0
34.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.23 61.5%
ATL
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
22
34
65%
ATL
17
31
55%
Midrange
BOS
7
18
39%
ATL
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
18
27.0
42
43%
64%
ATL
15
22.5
35
43%
64%
Free Throws
BOS
16
17
94%
ATL
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brown3264%16.0 / 25
J. Tatum3068%15.0 / 22
M. Smart2269%11.0 / 16
M. Brogdon1757%8.5 / 15
A. Horford1063%5.0 / 8
D. White739%3.5 / 9
R. Williams4100%2.0 / 2
G. Williams338%1.5 / 4
S. Hauser3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Young3050%15.0 / 30
D. Hunter2056%10.0 / 18
J. Collins16100%8.0 / 8
D. Murray1450%7.0 / 14
B. Bogdanović1267%6.0 / 9
C. Capela1071%5.0 / 7
S. Bey744%3.5 / 8
O. Okongwu660%3.0 / 5
J. Johnson5125%2.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
91
+13
-7
104
ATL
88
+15
-10
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.23 61.5%
ATL
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.6
115.4
BOS 130.6 +8.2
ATL 122.4
Pace
95.5
100.3
BOS 95.6
ATL 100.6 +5.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
13.6
BOS 15.1
ATL 14.3 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.0%
52.9%
BOS 59.6% +4.8%
ATL 54.8%
TO %
12.6%
12.3%
BOS 6.5% +2.3%
ATL 8.8%
ORB %
23.1%
25.1%
BOS 25.0%
ATL 25.0%
FTrt
23.3
17.6
BOS 18.1
ATL 23.4 +5.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
55.7%
BOS 51.1%
ATL 63.6% +12.5%
STL %
6.3%
7.6%
BOS 7.1% +2.0%
ATL 5.1%
BLK %
11.7%
9.4%
BOS 16.9% +3.4%
ATL 13.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.9%
55.1%
BOS 61.5% +3.2%
ATL 58.3%
Rim FG%
64.3%
57.8%
BOS 64.7% +9.9%
ATL 54.8%
Mid FG%
45.1%
44.2%
BOS 38.9%
ATL 42.9% +4.0%
3P %
36.4%
37.5%
BOS 42.9%
ATL 42.9%
FT %
81.0%
81.4%
BOS 94.1% +16.8%
ATL 77.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
29.9%
BOS 36.2% +3.2%
ATL 33.0%
Mid Att. %
20.4%
31.3%
BOS 19.1% +10.6%
ATL 29.8%
3P Att. %
45.2%
38.8%
BOS 44.7% +7.4%
ATL 37.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSATL
Possessions9898
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points128120
Rebounds4745
Assists2428
Steals75
Blocks107
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)10 (0)
Fouls1615
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)33 (1)
Field Goals47-9444-94
At-the-Rim FG22-3417-31
Midrange FG7-1812-28
2-Point FG29-5229-59
3-Point FG18-4215-35
Free Throws16-1717-22
Fast Break Pts184
2nd Chance Pts1824
Points in Paint5450
Pts off Turnovers813
Bench Points2730
Biggest Lead107

BOXSCORE

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1 Boston Celtics
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Jayson Tatum
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25
39.9
30
68%
14
7
1
2
0
1
2
12
4-4
100%
7-10
70%
4-10
40%
Jaylen Brown
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27
39.6
32
64%
5
2
0
1
2
3
0
5
0-0
-
7-17
41%
6-8
75%
Marcus Smart
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29
32.5
22
69%
4
4
1
0
2
0
3
1
8-9
89%
4-7
57%
2-5
40%
Al Horford
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 37
29.9
10
63%
12
4
2
3
0
4
3
9
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
Derrick White
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29
29.8
7
39%
2
2
0
1
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
Malcolm Brogdon
#13 · PG · 6'4" 229 · 30
30.0
17
57%
2
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
5-8
63%
1-5
20%
Grant Williams
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 24
17.4
3
38%
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
Robert Williams III
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26
16.6
4
100%
6
0
2
3
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Sam Hauser
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25
4.3
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Payton Pritchard
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25
0.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
#91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
Mike Muscala
#57 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
DNP – Coach's Decision
Luke Kornet
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28
DNP – Coach's Decision
Justin Champagnie
#99 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
Danilo Gallinari
#8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; ACL Repair
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
128
62%
47
24
7
10
7
16
11
36
16-17
94%
29-52
56%
18-42
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.