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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 16, 2023
10:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Timberwolves
80
12Nuggets
109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 27.4
30
32
11
10
2
0
1
0
4
1
9
0-2
0%
4-8
5-9
50%
56%
1-7
14%
Anthony Edwards
G · 6'5" 225 · 21.7
28
37
18
2
5
2
1
1
1
0
2
5-6
83%
5-11
6-12
45%
51%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.8
26
27
8
13
0
0
1
2
1
2
11
2-4
50%
3-5
4-7
60%
65%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 35.5
25
31
8
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 24.6
24
27
7
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 29.6
26
33
11
1
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Jaylen Nowell
G · 6'4" 202 · 23.8
22
5
12
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
1-1
25%
53%
3-6
50%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.1
21
26
0
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.7
16
1
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
60%
1-2
50%
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.0
10
10
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Josh Minott
F · 6'8" 205 · 20.4
6
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-1
0%
Nathan Knight
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 25.6
5
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Wendell Moore Jr.
G · 6'5" 215 · 21.6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-0
-
Naz Reid
C-F · 6'9" 249 · 23.6
Jaden McDaniels
F · 6'10" 185 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.1
33
27
24
8
8
0
1
1
1
0
8
2-2
100%
5-12
3-7
42%
51%
4-10
40%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.2
31
27
15
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
3-6
50%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.8
31
19
18
11
2
1
0
0
0
1
10
0-1
0%
3-8
2-4
38%
59%
4-9
44%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
28
28
13
14
6
1
1
0
1
5
9
1-3
33%
6-12
6-10
50%
64%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
23
31
13
5
1
1
1
0
1
2
3
5-6
83%
1-3
5-9
33%
59%
2-4
50%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.7
25
33
14
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-3
67%
3-4
5-9
75%
54%
2-4
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.6
23
16
0
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
58%
0-3
0%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
19
24
3
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
56%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.7
6
16
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
68%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.0
4
22
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.6
4
21
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
53%
0-1
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.3
4
19
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
63%
1-1
100%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.8
4
13
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.0
2
15
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-1
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.7
8
0
1-2
63%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.