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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 25, 2023
9:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Timberwolves32%107109
2Nuggets68%114112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 30.8
40.5
33.5
16
80%
15
2
2
1
0
3
4
11
6-9
67%
5-6
6-9
83%
64%
0-0
-
Anthony Edwards
G · 6'5" 225 · 21.7
39.9
40.5
29
50%
8
7
0
2
2
1
1
7
3-4
75%
13-21
7-13
62%
50%
0-6
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 35.5
38.4
36.3
7
44%
4
9
2
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 27.4
38.4
35.1
26
62%
11
3
1
1
1
3
1
10
7-9
78%
8-11
5-9
73%
55%
1-6
17%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 24.6
38.2
28.1
14
61%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
46%
3-9
33%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.1
22.3
19.4
13
65%
0
0
2
1
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
3-7
43%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.7
13.9
6.5
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
53%
0-1
0%
Jaylen Nowell
G · 6'4" 202 · 23.8
8.3
8.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Nathan Knight
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 25.6
0.2
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.0
3.6
0
0-0
50%
Josh Minott
F · 6'8" 205 · 20.4
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Naz Reid
C-F · 6'9" 249 · 23.7
Jaden McDaniels
F · 6'10" 185 · 22.6
Wendell Moore Jr.
G · 6'5" 215 · 21.6
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
41.9
35.3
28
42%
17
12
2
1
2
2
9
8
9-10
90%
5-21
8-13
24%
64%
3-8
38%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.2
41.1
36.3
35
68%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
6-6
100%
7-14
5-10
50%
52%
5-9
56%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.8
38.9
35.6
8
40%
10
0
2
1
0
0
1
9
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
59%
2-7
29%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
33.9
34.0
14
58%
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
4
6-7
86%
4-6
5-9
67%
59%
0-3
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.2
26.0
32.6
10
68%
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.7
29.9
24.7
14
74%
5
2
1
1
0
4
1
4
8-8
100%
3-4
4-6
75%
55%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.7
18.7
20.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
57%
0-0
-
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
9.6
12.2
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
57%
1-1
100%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.3
2.4
0
0-0
62%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.0
2.1
0
0-0
46%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.8
2.1
0
0-0
68%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.6
2.1
0
0-0
53%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.0
1.3
0
0-0
60%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.7
1.1
0
0-0
63%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.8
0.7
0
0-0
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.