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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
April 17, 2023
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Warriors49%116106
14Kings51%117114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.1
40.8
34.9
28
57%
3
6
0
1
1
5
0
3
7-8
88%
6-8
5-9
75%
55%
3-13
23%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 28.1
39.1
32.6
22
55%
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
52%
2-8
25%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 33.2
37.7
35.1
21
76%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
49%
5-10
50%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 33.1
31.3
31.8
8
58%
4
5
1
1
0
5
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
3-5
50%
57%
1-2
50%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.2
22.9
30.3
6
43%
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
60%
0-0
-
Gary Payton II
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.4
26.8
19.4
13
94%
6
0
2
1
0
2
3
3
1-2
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
67%
2-3
67%
Jordan Poole
G · 6'5" 191 · 23.8
15.5
21.3
4
25%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
53%
0-3
0%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.2
12.7
20.8
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Moses Moody
G · 6'5" 211 · 20.9
8.5
6.2
4
67%
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
59%
0-1
0%
Jonathan Kuminga
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.5
3.9
13.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
59%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 32.8
0.8
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
59%
0-0
-
Anthony Lamb
F · 6'6" 227 · 25.2
3.0
0
0-0
59%
Patrick Baldwin Jr.
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.4
0.8
0
0-0
50%
Ryan Rollins
G · 6'4" 180 · 20.8
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 39.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Domantas Sabonis
C-F · 6'10" 252 · 27.0
39.6
32.5
24
69%
9
4
0
1
0
3
4
5
8-12
67%
8-12
7-11
67%
60%
0-0
-
De'Aaron Fox
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.3
35.9
35.9
24
50%
5
9
4
1
1
2
0
5
2-2
100%
8-13
8-14
62%
55%
2-10
20%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 30.9
34.0
32.9
13
43%
6
1
3
1
0
0
3
3
3-5
60%
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
0-4
0%
Kevin Huerter
G · 6'7" 194 · 24.6
29.7
28.8
15
50%
5
0
1
1
2
2
0
5
1-2
50%
4-5
3-5
80%
56%
2-9
22%
Keegan Murray
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
16.3
19.8
2
53%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
31.4
24.5
18
54%
6
3
0
1
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
3-8
3-5
38%
54%
3-7
43%
Davion Mitchell
G · 6'0" 202 · 24.6
28.3
20.6
14
64%
2
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
53%
2-6
33%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 27.4
14.6
17.5
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
56%
0-2
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 29.8
8.3
12.0
4
100%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
57%
0-0
-
Terence Davis
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.9
1.7
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Kessler Edwards
F · 6'7" 203 · 22.7
0.2
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
PJ Dozier
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.5
3.9
0
0-1
47%
Chimezie Metu
F · 6'10" 219 · 26.1
2.5
0
0-1
59%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
1.6
0
0-0
62%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 32.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.