Final Win Prob. pScore
1233%103
108
667%110
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
113.79594.5
NYK logo Knicks
107.49494.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

KnicksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KnicksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANYK
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
101
Q4 - 0:05.5KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup (Jalen Brunson assists)108
101
Q4 - 0:13.3HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
99
Q4 - 0:13.3HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 1 of 2107
99
Q4 - 0:13.3KnicksJosh Hart personal foul (Take) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)107
99
Q4 - 0:17.2KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)107
99
Q4 - 0:22.4KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound107
97
Q4 - 0:23.6HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 2107
97
Q4 - 0:23.6HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 2107
97
Q4 - 0:23.6Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)106
97
Q4 - 0:23.6KnicksJalen Brunson personal foul (Take) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)106
97
Q4 - 0:27.5KnicksJosh Hart makes two point tip layup106
97
Q4 - 0:29.3KnicksJosh Hart offensive rebound106
95
Q4 - 0:30.3KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot106
95
Q4 - 0:32.6KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound106
95
Q4 - 0:34.3KnicksJosh Hart misses three point jump shot106
95
Q4 - 0:43.0HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
95
Q4 - 0:43.0HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
95
Q4 - 0:43.0KnicksMitchell Robinson shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)104
95
Q4 - 1:03KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
95
Q4 - 1:03KnicksRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 1 of 2104
94
Q4 - 1:03HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)104
94
Q4 - 1:07KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound104
94
Q4 - 1:09KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses three point running jump shot104
94
Q4 - 1:13KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound104
94
Q4 - 1:15HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot104
94
Q4 - 1:21Heat 60 second timeout104
94
Q4 - 1:27HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound104
94
Q4 - 1:31KnicksMitchell Robinson misses regular free throw 2 of 2104
94
Q4 - 1:31KnicksMitchell Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 2104
94
Q4 - 1:31HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)104
94
Q4 - 1:31KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound104
94
Q4 - 1:32KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses two point running layup104
94
Q4 - 1:36KnicksImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound104
94
Q4 - 1:38HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot104
94
Q4 - 1:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound104
94
Q4 - 2:00KnicksKyle Lowry blocks RJ Barrett's two point driving layup104
94
Q4 - 2:14Stoppage (Out of bounds)104
94
Q4 - 2:14KnicksKnicks defensive rebound104
94
Q4 - 2:17HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot104
94
Q4 - 2:39KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (out of bounds bad pass)104
94
Q4 - 2:53HeatKyle Lowry makes two point fadeaway jump shot104
94
Q4 - 3:17Heat 60 second timeout102
94
Q4 - 3:17KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (offensive foul)102
94
Q4 - 3:17KnicksRJ Barrett offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)102
94
Q4 - 3:26HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)102
94
Q4 - 3:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound100
94
Q4 - 3:48KnicksCaleb Martin blocks RJ Barrett's two point running layup100
94
Q4 - 3:53KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound100
94
Q4 - 3:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup100
94
Q4 - 3:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound100
94
Q4 - 3:55HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup100
94
Q4 - 4:10Jump ball. Kyle Lowry vs. Jalen Brunson (Caleb Martin gains possession)100
94
Q4 - 4:10HeatHeat defensive rebound100
94
Q4 - 4:14KnicksKyle Lowry blocks Jalen Brunson's two point driving layup100
94
Q4 - 4:24HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot100
94
Q4 - 4:33KnicksMitchell Robinson turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)97
94
Q4 - 4:35KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound97
94
Q4 - 4:37HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot97
94
Q4 - 4:53KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot97
94
Q4 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 297
92
Q4 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 296
92
Q4 - 5:05Heat 60 second timeout95
92
Q4 - 5:05KnicksJosh Hart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)95
92
Q4 - 5:22KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 295
92
Q4 - 5:22KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 295
91
Q4 - 5:22HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)95
90
Q4 - 5:37HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 295
90
Q4 - 5:37Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, RJ Barrett, Josh Hart, Mitchell Robinson, Immanuel Quickley)94
90
Q4 - 5:37Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)94
90
Q4 - 5:37HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 294
90
Q4 - 5:37KnicksQuentin Grimes personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)93
90
Q4 - 5:53Bam Adebayo defensive goaltending violation93
90
Q4 - 5:53KnicksJosh Hart makes two point running layup (RJ Barrett assists)93
90
Q4 - 5:57KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound93
88
Q4 - 5:59HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot93
88
Q4 - 6:24KnicksMitchell Robinson makes two point cutting dunk (Josh Hart assists)93
88
Q4 - 6:27Knicks 60 second timeout93
86
Q4 - 6:27Stoppage (Out of bounds)93
86
Q4 - 6:43KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound93
86
Q4 - 6:45HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot93
86
Q4 - 6:58HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound93
86
Q4 - 7:01KnicksKyle Lowry blocks RJ Barrett's two point driving layup93
86
Q4 - 7:09KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound93
86
Q4 - 7:11HeatJosh Hart blocks Gabe Vincent's two point pullup jump shot93
86
Q4 - 7:34HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound93
86
Q4 - 7:36KnicksRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 2 of 293
86
Q4 - 7:36KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 293
86
Q4 - 7:36HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)93
85
Q4 - 7:44HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 293
85
Q4 - 7:44HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 292
85
Q4 - 7:44KnicksJosh Hart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
85
Q4 - 7:46HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound91
85
Q4 - 7:48HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot91
85
Q4 - 8:06KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving floating jump shot91
85
Q4 - 8:20HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 291
83
Q4 - 8:20Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)90
83
Q4 - 8:20HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 290
83
Q4 - 8:20KnicksQuentin Grimes shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)89
83
Q4 - 8:24HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound89
83
Q4 - 8:26KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point fadeaway jump shot89
83
Q4 - 8:44Knicks lineup change (RJ Barrett, Josh Hart, Mitchell Robinson, Immanuel Quickley, Quentin Grimes)89
83
Q4 - 8:44HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)89
83
Q4 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Hartenstein steals)89
83
Q4 - 9:04KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes three point bank jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)89
83
Q4 - 9:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 289
80
Q4 - 9:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 288
80
Q4 - 9:16KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)87
80
Q4 - 9:38Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, RJ Barrett, Josh Hart, Immanuel Quickley, Quentin Grimes)87
80
Q4 - 9:38KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 287
80
Q4 - 9:38KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 287
79
Q4 - 9:38HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Immanuel Quickley draws the foul)87
78
Q4 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)87
78
Q4 - 10:08KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)85
78
Q4 - 10:20HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot85
78
Q4 - 10:27HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound83
78
Q4 - 10:30KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses two point pullup jump shot83
78
Q4 - 10:49HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)83
78
Q4 - 10:49HeatHeat offensive rebound83
78
Q4 - 10:50HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot83
78
Q4 - 11:05KnicksImmanuel Quickley personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)83
78
Q4 - 11:18KnicksObi Toppin makes three point pullup jump shot83
78
Q4 - 11:21HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Obi Toppin steals)83
75
Q4 - 11:23KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)83
75
Q4 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)83
75
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)81
75
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.81
75
Q3 - 0:00.5KnicksKnicks offensive rebound81
75
Q3 - 0:00.5KnicksObi Toppin misses two point fadeaway jump shot81
75
Q3 - 0:04.5HeatJimmy Butler misses technical free throw 1 of 181
75
Q3 - 0:04.5KnicksJalen Brunson technical foul81
75
Q3 - 0:04.5Stoppage (Out of bounds)81
75
Q3 - 0:04.5KnicksKnicks offensive rebound81
75
Q3 - 0:07.3KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving floating jump shot81
75
Q3 - 0:28.3KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound81
75
Q3 - 0:31.1HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot81
75
Q3 - 0:39.5HeatMax Strus offensive rebound81
75
Q3 - 0:42.6HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot81
75
Q3 - 0:54.2HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound81
75
Q3 - 0:56.8KnicksJosh Hart misses three point jump shot81
75
Q3 - 1:08HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Immanuel Quickley steals)81
75
Q3 - 1:26KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot81
75
Q3 - 1:40HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot81
73
Q3 - 1:53KnicksJosh Hart personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)78
73
Q3 - 1:54KnicksImmanuel Quickley turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)78
73
Q3 - 1:57KnicksImmanuel Quickley offensive rebound78
73
Q3 - 1:58KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses two point driving hook shot78
73
Q3 - 2:15KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound78
73
Q3 - 2:17HeatCody Zeller misses regular free throw 2 of 278
73
Q3 - 2:17HeatCody Zeller makes regular free throw 1 of 278
73
Q3 - 2:17Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Brunson, Obi Toppin, Josh Hart, Immanuel Quickley)77
73
Q3 - 2:17KnicksObi Toppin shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)77
73
Q3 - 2:19KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (lost ball) (Cody Zeller steals)77
73
Q3 - 2:24KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound77
73
Q3 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler misses two point stepback jump shot77
73
Q3 - 2:43HeatMax Strus defensive rebound77
73
Q3 - 2:45Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Brunson, RJ Barrett, Obi Toppin, Josh Hart)77
73
Q3 - 2:45Heat lineup change (Cody Zeller, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)77
73
Q3 - 2:45KnicksRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 2 of 277
73
Q3 - 2:45KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 277
73
Q3 - 2:45HeatMax Strus shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)77
72
Q3 - 2:50KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound77
72
Q3 - 2:52HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot77
72
Q3 - 3:15HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound77
72
Q3 - 3:17KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot77
72
Q3 - 3:32KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound77
72
Q3 - 3:34HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot77
72
Q3 - 3:44HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound77
72
Q3 - 3:46KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot77
72
Q3 - 3:54KnicksJosh Hart offensive rebound77
72
Q3 - 3:56KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot77
72
Q3 - 4:16HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)77
72
Q3 - 4:33Heat lineup change (Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)74
72
Q3 - 4:33Heat 60 second timeout74
72
Q3 - 4:33KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot74
72
Q3 - 4:44Stoppage (Out of bounds)74
70
Q3 - 4:44KnicksKnicks offensive rebound74
70
Q3 - 4:45KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point turnaround jump shot74
70
Q3 - 4:56KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound74
70
Q3 - 4:58HeatKevin Love misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot74
70
Q3 - 5:17KnicksObi Toppin makes three point running jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)74
70
Q3 - 5:21KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound74
67
Q3 - 5:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup74
67
Q3 - 5:26KnicksMitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 274
67
Q3 - 5:26KnicksMitchell Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 274
66
Q3 - 5:26HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)74
66
Q3 - 5:34Knicks 60 second timeout74
66
Q3 - 5:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Kevin Love assists)74
66
Q3 - 5:36HeatKevin Love defensive rebound72
66
Q3 - 5:38KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point driving floating jump shot72
66
Q3 - 5:53HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot72
66
Q3 - 6:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound70
66
Q3 - 6:08KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot70
66
Q3 - 6:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)70
66
Q3 - 6:38KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot68
66
Q3 - 6:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Kevin Love assists)68
64
Q3 - 7:00HeatKevin Love defensive rebound66
64
Q3 - 7:02KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot66
64
Q3 - 7:07HeatKevin Love personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)66
64
Q3 - 7:26HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)66
64
Q3 - 7:44KnicksObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)63
64
Q3 - 7:59HeatMax Strus makes two point running layup (Kevin Love assists)63
61
Q3 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound61
61
Q3 - 8:06KnicksJosh Hart misses three point jump shot61
61
Q3 - 8:23Knicks 60 second timeout61
61
Q3 - 8:23HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)61
61
Q3 - 8:34KnicksJosh Hart turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)58
61
Q3 - 8:40KnicksJalen Brunson offensive rebound58
61
Q3 - 8:42KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot58
61
Q3 - 8:44KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound58
61
Q3 - 8:46KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot58
61
Q3 - 9:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)58
61
Q3 - 9:19KnicksObi Toppin personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)56
61
Q3 - 9:30Stoppage (Out of bounds)56
61
Q3 - 9:30HeatHeat defensive rebound56
61
Q3 - 9:33KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot56
61
Q3 - 9:49KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound56
61
Q3 - 9:51HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot56
61
Q3 - 10:10HeatKevin Love defensive rebound56
61
Q3 - 10:12KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot56
61
Q3 - 10:26HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 156
61
Q3 - 10:26KnicksMitchell Robinson shooting foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)55
61
Q3 - 10:26HeatKevin Love makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)55
61
Q3 - 10:38KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)53
61
Q3 - 10:56HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)53
59
Q3 - 11:19KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving floating bank jump shot50
59
Q3 - 11:29KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound50
57
Q3 - 11:31HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot50
57
Q3 - 11:33Stoppage (Out of bounds)50
57
Q3 - 11:44KnicksObi Toppin makes two point driving layup (Jalen Brunson assists)50
57
Q3 - 12:00Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, RJ Barrett, Obi Toppin, Josh Hart, Mitchell Robinson)50
55
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Kevin Love)50
55
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
55
Q2 - 0:00.7HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)50
55
Q2 - 0:11.2KnicksMitchell Robinson makes two point alley-oop dunk (RJ Barrett assists)48
55
Q2 - 0:29.3HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot48
53
Q2 - 0:34.3Stoppage (Out of bounds)45
53
Q2 - 0:34.3HeatHeat defensive rebound45
53
Q2 - 0:35.3KnicksKyle Lowry blocks Josh Hart's two point running layup45
53
Q2 - 0:42.6KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound45
53
Q2 - 0:44.7HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup45
53
Q2 - 0:50.1KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)45
53
Q2 - 1:02HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)45
51
Q2 - 1:21HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)45
51
Q2 - 1:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound43
51
Q2 - 1:28KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses three point jump shot43
51
Q2 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup43
51
Q2 - 1:39HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound41
51
Q2 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot41
51
Q2 - 1:44Stoppage (Out of bounds)41
51
Q2 - 1:44HeatHeat offensive rebound41
51
Q2 - 1:45HeatMitchell Robinson blocks Jimmy Butler's two point cutting layup41
51
Q2 - 2:08KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot41
51
Q2 - 2:24KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound41
49
Q2 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 241
49
Q2 - 2:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 241
49
Q2 - 2:26KnicksJalen Brunson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)40
49
Q2 - 2:27HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound40
49
Q2 - 2:28HeatMitchell Robinson blocks Kyle Lowry's two point driving floating jump shot40
49
Q2 - 2:46KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)40
49
Q2 - 2:48HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Brunson steals)40
49
Q2 - 3:07KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Josh Hart assists)40
49
Q2 - 3:23Knicks 60 second timeout40
47
Q2 - 3:30HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 140
47
Q2 - 3:30Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)39
47
Q2 - 3:30KnicksImmanuel Quickley shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)39
47
Q2 - 3:30HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)39
47
Q2 - 3:45KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes two point driving floating jump shot (Josh Hart assists)36
47
Q2 - 3:59HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 236
45
Q2 - 3:59HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 235
45
Q2 - 3:59KnicksMitchell Robinson shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)34
45
Q2 - 4:13KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving layup34
45
Q2 - 4:24HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)34
43
Q2 - 4:26KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)34
43
Q2 - 4:39KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound34
43
Q2 - 4:41HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot34
43
Q2 - 4:57HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound34
43
Q2 - 4:59KnicksJalen Brunson misses regular free throw 2 of 234
43
Q2 - 4:59KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 234
43
Q2 - 4:59HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)34
42
Q2 - 5:11HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)34
42
Q2 - 5:33Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, RJ Barrett, Josh Hart, Mitchell Robinson, Immanuel Quickley)32
42
Q2 - 5:33KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)32
42
Q2 - 5:35KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound32
42
Q2 - 5:37KnicksJosh Hart misses three point jump shot32
42
Q2 - 5:50HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)32
42
Q2 - 6:03KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving hook shot30
42
Q2 - 6:10HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Loose ball) (Immanuel Quickley draws the foul)30
40
Q2 - 6:10KnicksKnicks offensive rebound30
40
Q2 - 6:12KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point jump shot30
40
Q2 - 6:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point dunk (Caleb Martin assists)30
40
Q2 - 6:53Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, Josh Hart, Mitchell Robinson, Immanuel Quickley, Quentin Grimes)28
40
Q2 - 6:53Heat lineup change (Cody Zeller, Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)28
40
Q2 - 6:53Knicks 60 second timeout28
40
Q2 - 6:53KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)28
40
Q2 - 7:12Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Brunson, Josh Hart, Immanuel Quickley, Quentin Grimes)28
40
Q2 - 7:12Heat lineup change (Cody Zeller, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)28
40
Q2 - 7:12HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)28
40
Q2 - 7:30KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot28
40
Q2 - 7:50Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)28
38
Q2 - 7:50Stoppage (Out of bounds)28
38
Q2 - 7:50KnicksKnicks defensive rebound28
38
Q2 - 7:52HeatHaywood Highsmith misses two point jump shot28
38
Q2 - 8:04Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Brunson, Obi Toppin, Immanuel Quickley, Quentin Grimes)28
38
Q2 - 8:04KnicksRJ Barrett personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)28
38
Q2 - 8:04HeatHeat offensive rebound28
38
Q2 - 8:05HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot28
38
Q2 - 8:20HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound28
38
Q2 - 8:22KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point jump shot28
38
Q2 - 8:35KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound28
38
Q2 - 8:37HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot28
38
Q2 - 8:54HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound28
38
Q2 - 8:56KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot28
38
Q2 - 9:20HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)28
38
Q2 - 9:34KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving finger roll layup26
38
Q2 - 9:46KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound26
36
Q2 - 9:48HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot26
36
Q2 - 10:03KnicksQuentin Grimes makes regular free throw 2 of 226
36
Q2 - 10:03KnicksQuentin Grimes misses regular free throw 1 of 226
35
Q2 - 10:03HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Quentin Grimes draws the foul)26
35
Q2 - 10:04HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Quentin Grimes steals)26
35
Q2 - 10:26KnicksQuentin Grimes makes three point jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)26
35
Q2 - 10:40HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)26
32
Q2 - 10:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound23
32
Q2 - 10:55KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot23
32
Q2 - 11:00KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound23
32
Q2 - 11:01KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses three point jump shot23
32
Q2 - 11:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup23
32
Q2 - 11:43Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Obi Toppin (Duncan Robinson gains possession)21
32
Q2 - 11:43HeatHeat defensive rebound21
32
Q2 - 11:46KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot21
32
Q2 - 12:00Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, RJ Barrett, Obi Toppin, Immanuel Quickley, Quentin Grimes)21
32
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)21
32
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
32
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound21
32
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot21
32
Q1 - 0:07.4KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point tip layup21
32
Q1 - 0:07.4KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound21
30
Q1 - 0:09.4KnicksJosh Hart misses two point running layup21
30
Q1 - 0:14.6KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound21
30
Q1 - 0:16.1HeatCaleb Martin misses two point tip layup21
30
Q1 - 0:16.1HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound21
30
Q1 - 0:19.4HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot21
30
Q1 - 0:29.7Stoppage (Out of bounds)21
30
Q1 - 0:29.7HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound21
30
Q1 - 0:31.3HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot21
30
Q1 - 0:45.4KnicksObi Toppin makes two point alley-oop dunk (Josh Hart assists)21
30
Q1 - 1:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 221
28
Q1 - 1:00HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 220
28
Q1 - 1:00Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Brunson, Obi Toppin, Josh Hart, Immanuel Quickley)19
28
Q1 - 1:00Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)19
28
Q1 - 1:00KnicksJosh Hart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)19
28
Q1 - 1:15KnicksObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)19
28
Q1 - 1:29KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound19
25
Q1 - 1:31HeatIsaiah Hartenstein blocks Bam Adebayo's two point turnaround hook shot19
25
Q1 - 1:54KnicksRJ Barrett makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)19
25
Q1 - 2:13HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)19
22
Q1 - 2:36KnicksObi Toppin makes two point running alley-oop layup (RJ Barrett assists)16
22
Q1 - 2:41KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound16
20
Q1 - 2:43HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot16
20
Q1 - 2:51HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound16
20
Q1 - 2:53KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point running jump shot16
20
Q1 - 2:59KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound16
20
Q1 - 3:01HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot16
20
Q1 - 3:14Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Jalen Brunson, RJ Barrett, Obi Toppin, Josh Hart)16
20
Q1 - 3:14Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, Caleb Martin)16
20
Q1 - 3:14Heat 60 second timeout16
20
Q1 - 3:14KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup16
20
Q1 - 3:26KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound16
18
Q1 - 3:28HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot16
18
Q1 - 3:37HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound16
18
Q1 - 3:39KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point pullup jump shot16
18
Q1 - 3:56KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound16
18
Q1 - 3:58HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot16
18
Q1 - 4:08HeatKevin Love defensive rebound16
18
Q1 - 4:10KnicksJosh Hart misses two point running pullup jump shot16
18
Q1 - 4:15KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound16
18
Q1 - 4:17HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot16
18
Q1 - 4:19HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound16
18
Q1 - 4:21HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot16
18
Q1 - 4:43KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point stepback jump shot16
18
Q1 - 5:02HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 216
16
Q1 - 5:02HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 215
16
Q1 - 5:02KnicksObi Toppin shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)15
16
Q1 - 5:15KnicksJosh Hart makes two point running layup (Jalen Brunson assists)15
16
Q1 - 5:20KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound15
14
Q1 - 5:22HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround hook shot15
14
Q1 - 5:45KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 215
14
Q1 - 5:45KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 215
13
Q1 - 5:45Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Caleb Martin, Kevin Love)15
12
Q1 - 5:45Knicks 60 second timeout15
12
Q1 - 5:45HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)15
12
Q1 - 5:53KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound15
12
Q1 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot15
12
Q1 - 6:08KnicksMitchell Robinson makes two point alley-oop dunk (RJ Barrett assists)15
12
Q1 - 6:24HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kevin Love assists)15
10
Q1 - 6:36KnicksJosh Hart makes two point running layup13
10
Q1 - 6:42KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound13
8
Q1 - 6:44HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot13
8
Q1 - 6:52HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound13
8
Q1 - 6:54KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot13
8
Q1 - 7:13HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)13
8
Q1 - 7:18HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound10
8
Q1 - 7:20KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot10
8
Q1 - 7:26KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound10
8
Q1 - 7:28HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot10
8
Q1 - 7:45KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point turnaround jump shot10
8
Q1 - 7:55KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound10
6
Q1 - 7:57HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot10
6
Q1 - 8:08KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point floating jump shot10
6
Q1 - 8:11KnicksRJ Barrett offensive rebound10
4
Q1 - 8:13KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot10
4
Q1 - 8:32HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)10
4
Q1 - 8:45KnicksRJ Barrett personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)7
4
Q1 - 8:58KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot7
4
Q1 - 9:06KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound7
2
Q1 - 9:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot7
2
Q1 - 9:21HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound7
2
Q1 - 9:23KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point pullup jump shot7
2
Q1 - 9:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup7
2
Q1 - 9:47HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
2
Q1 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup5
2
Q1 - 9:49HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound5
2
Q1 - 9:51HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating bank jump shot5
2
Q1 - 10:02HeatKevin Love defensive rebound5
2
Q1 - 10:04KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point stepback jump shot5
2
Q1 - 10:12KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound5
2
Q1 - 10:14HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot5
2
Q1 - 10:34KnicksJosh Hart makes two point driving reverse layup5
2
Q1 - 10:47HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (RJ Barrett steals)5
0
Q1 - 11:00HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound5
0
Q1 - 11:02KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving floating jump shot5
0
Q1 - 11:20HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)5
0
Q1 - 11:24KnicksMitchell Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)2
0
Q1 - 11:41HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot2
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Mitchell Robinson (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Knicks lineup change (Jalen Brunson, RJ Barrett, Obi Toppin, Josh Hart, Mitchell Robinson)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Kevin Love)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIANYK
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
NYK
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
25
64%
NYK
21
28
75%
Midrange
MIA
7
21
33%
NYK
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
39
33%
50%
NYK
7
10.5
34
21%
31%
Free Throws
MIA
23
29
79%
NYK
12
20
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2560%12.5 / 21
G. Vincent2059%10.0 / 17
K. Lowry1860%9.0 / 15
B. Adebayo1657%8.0 / 14
K. Love964%4.5 / 7
C. Martin945%4.5 / 10
M. Strus867%4.0 / 6
H. Highsmith250%1.0 / 2
C. Zeller150%0.5 / 1
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Barrett2654%13.0 / 24
J. Brunson2550%12.5 / 25
O. Toppin1860%9.0 / 15
J. Hart1042%5.0 / 12
I. Quickley945%4.5 / 10
M. Robinson770%3.5 / 5
Q. Grimes450%2.0 / 4
I. Hartenstein2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+14
-8
101
NYK
81
+16
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
NYK
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
7
114.3
13
109.2
MIA 113.7 +6.2
NYK 107.4
Pace
12
94.4
14
91.6
MIA 94.5 +0.1
NYK 94.5
Avg. Poss. Time
18
15.5
16
15.6
MIA 15.2 −0.0
NYK 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
5
53.1%
15
49.2%
MIA 50.0%
NYK 51.7% +1.7%
TO %
4
11.6%
15
14.5%
MIA 8.4% −3.7%
NYK 12.1%
ORB %
13
21.7%
1
31.0%
MIA 21.7%
NYK 29.3% +7.6%
FTrt
12
22.8
1
32.9
MIA 34.1 +10.8
NYK 23.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
9
59.3%
14
53.1%
MIA 72.2% +23.4%
NYK 48.8%
STL %
5
7.4%
2
7.6%
MIA 8.4% +2.0%
NYK 6.4%
BLK %
11
7.4%
6
9.3%
MIA 9.6% +0.9%
NYK 8.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
7
55.5%
15
51.8%
MIA 53.5% +2.0%
NYK 51.5%
Rim FG%
11
60.5%
13
59.6%
MIA 64.0%
NYK 75.0% +11.0%
Mid FG%
12
41.3%
5
45.3%
MIA 33.3%
NYK 54.2% +20.9%
3P %
1
38.0%
16
29.2%
MIA 33.3% +12.7%
NYK 20.6%
FT %
5
81.3%
13
74.6%
MIA 79.3% +19.3%
NYK 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
12
29.9%
7
31.5%
MIA 29.4%
NYK 32.6% +3.1%
Mid Att. %
13
31.3%
6
28.3%
MIA 24.7% −3.2%
NYK 27.9%
3P Att. %
11
38.8%
8
40.2%
MIA 45.9% +6.3%
NYK 39.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIANYK
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points108101
Rebounds3948
Assists2620
Steals86
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)8 (1)13 (0)
Fouls1421
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (4)36 (2)
Field Goals36-8541-86
At-the-Rim FG16-2521-28
Midrange FG7-2113-24
2-Point FG23-4634-52
3-Point FG13-397-34
Free Throws23-2912-20
Fast Break Pts1513
2nd Chance Pts711
Points in Paint3862
Pts off Turnovers228
Bench Points3015
Biggest Lead1112

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34
43.4
25
60%
11
4
2
0
2
3
4
7
9-11
82%
8-15
53%
0-1
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
37.2
16
57%
8
2
0
0
2
1
3
5
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
33.2
20
59%
2
5
1
0
1
3
1
1
3-3
100%
1-4
25%
5-12
42%
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
23.4
8
67%
2
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35
16.2
9
64%
5
4
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
30.9
9
45%
5
1
2
1
1
0
1
4
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
30.0
18
60%
5
6
1
4
2
3
0
5
5-6
83%
2-6
33%
3-6
50%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
12.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-5
0%
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
8.3
1
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
4.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Fracture
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Patellar; Torn
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
54%
39
26
8
5
8
14
10
29
23-29
79%
23-46
50%
13-39
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.