Final Win Prob. pScore
1237%104
103
1063%109
112
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
110.89388.9
NYK logo Knicks
117.99599.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

KnicksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KnicksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANYK
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
112
Q4 - 0:10.9KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound103
112
Q4 - 0:13.0HeatBam Adebayo misses three point pullup bank jump shot103
112
Q4 - 0:17.8KnicksJulius Randle makes two point layup103
112
Q4 - 0:17.8KnicksJulius Randle offensive rebound103
110
Q4 - 0:21.3KnicksMitchell Robinson misses regular free throw 2 of 2103
110
Q4 - 0:21.3KnicksMitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
110
Q4 - 0:21.3HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)103
109
Q4 - 0:21.3KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound103
109
Q4 - 0:23.3HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot103
109
Q4 - 0:25.0Heat 60 second timeout103
109
Q4 - 0:25.0KnicksJalen Brunson personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)103
109
Q4 - 0:33.2Jump ball. Jimmy Butler vs. Quentin Grimes (Kyle Lowry gains possession)103
109
Q4 - 0:33.2HeatHeat offensive rebound103
109
Q4 - 0:33.2Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Duncan Robinson)103
109
Q4 - 0:38.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot103
109
Q4 - 0:51.6KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
109
Q4 - 0:51.6KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
108
Q4 - 0:51.6HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)103
107
Q4 - 1:03HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)103
107
Q4 - 1:23KnicksKnicks turnover (5-second violation)101
107
Q4 - 1:23Knicks 60 second timeout101
107
Q4 - 1:26KnicksJulius Randle offensive rebound101
107
Q4 - 1:27KnicksMitchell Robinson misses two point alley-oop dunk101
107
Q4 - 1:36HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Quentin Grimes steals)101
107
Q4 - 1:58KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
107
Q4 - 1:58KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
106
Q4 - 1:58Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, RJ Barrett, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson)101
105
Q4 - 1:58Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)101
105
Q4 - 1:58HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (RJ Barrett draws the foul)101
105
Q4 - 1:58KnicksKnicks defensive rebound101
105
Q4 - 1:59HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot101
105
Q4 - 2:07KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point tip dunk101
105
Q4 - 2:07KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound101
103
Q4 - 2:10KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point driving floating bank jump shot101
103
Q4 - 2:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
103
Q4 - 2:37HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2100
103
Q4 - 2:37KnicksJalen Brunson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)100
103
Q4 - 2:47HeatHeat defensive rebound100
103
Q4 - 2:48KnicksJimmy Butler blocks RJ Barrett's three point jump shot100
103
Q4 - 2:58KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound100
103
Q4 - 3:00KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot100
103
Q4 - 3:22HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot100
103
Q4 - 3:31Heat 60 second timeout98
103
Q4 - 3:35HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound98
103
Q4 - 3:38KnicksJalen Brunson misses regular free throw 2 of 298
103
Q4 - 3:38KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 298
103
Q4 - 3:38HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)98
102
Q4 - 3:54HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup98
102
Q4 - 4:08KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot96
102
Q4 - 4:30HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)96
100
Q4 - 4:45Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, RJ Barrett, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson)93
100
Q4 - 4:45KnicksQuentin Grimes personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)93
100
Q4 - 4:47KnicksMitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 293
100
Q4 - 4:47KnicksMitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 293
99
Q4 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Take) (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)93
98
Q4 - 4:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround bank jump shot93
98
Q4 - 5:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound91
98
Q4 - 5:17KnicksMitchell Robinson misses regular free throw 2 of 291
98
Q4 - 5:17KnicksMitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 291
98
Q4 - 5:17HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Take) (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)91
97
Q4 - 5:20KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound91
97
Q4 - 5:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point pullup bank jump shot91
97
Q4 - 5:35HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound91
97
Q4 - 5:38HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot91
97
Q4 - 5:54Heat 60 second timeout91
97
Q4 - 5:54KnicksMitchell Robinson makes two point cutting dunk (RJ Barrett assists)91
97
Q4 - 6:02Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent)91
95
Q4 - 6:02HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)91
95
Q4 - 6:21KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound91
95
Q4 - 6:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point jump shot91
95
Q4 - 6:34HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound91
95
Q4 - 6:36KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot91
95
Q4 - 7:01HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)91
95
Q4 - 7:02HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound88
95
Q4 - 7:07HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot88
95
Q4 - 7:32KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot88
95
Q4 - 7:38HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)88
92
Q4 - 8:00HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)88
92
Q4 - 8:19KnicksQuentin Grimes turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)85
92
Q4 - 8:27Stoppage (Out of bounds)85
92
Q4 - 8:30Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, RJ Barrett, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson)85
92
Q4 - 8:30Knicks 60 second timeout85
92
Q4 - 8:31HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)85
92
Q4 - 8:45KnicksJosh Hart turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)82
92
Q4 - 8:50KnicksJosh Hart offensive rebound82
92
Q4 - 8:53KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot82
92
Q4 - 9:15HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)82
92
Q4 - 9:36KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving layup79
92
Q4 - 9:48KnicksQuentin Grimes defensive rebound79
90
Q4 - 9:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot79
90
Q4 - 10:06KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 279
90
Q4 - 10:06KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 279
89
Q4 - 10:06Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson)79
88
Q4 - 10:06HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)79
88
Q4 - 10:06HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Hartenstein steals)79
88
Q4 - 10:10KnicksObi Toppin turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)79
88
Q4 - 10:33HeatCody Zeller makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)79
88
Q4 - 10:55KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 277
88
Q4 - 10:55KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 277
87
Q4 - 10:55HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)77
86
Q4 - 11:04KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound77
86
Q4 - 11:07HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot77
86
Q4 - 11:19KnicksJosh Hart makes two point driving layup (Jalen Brunson assists)77
86
Q4 - 11:42HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 177
84
Q4 - 11:42KnicksJosh Hart shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)76
84
Q4 - 11:42HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot76
84
Q4 - 12:00Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Quentin Grimes, Obi Toppin, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson)74
84
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.74
84
Q3 - 0:00.3HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)74
84
Q3 - 0:19.0KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point layup (Julius Randle assists)71
84
Q3 - 0:42.7HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)71
82
Q3 - 0:47.1KnicksJulius Randle turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)68
82
Q3 - 0:52.0HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Julius Randle steals)68
82
Q3 - 1:12HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound68
82
Q3 - 1:15KnicksJulius Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 268
82
Q3 - 1:15KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 268
82
Q3 - 1:15HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)68
81
Q3 - 1:16KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound68
81
Q3 - 1:18HeatCody Zeller misses regular free throw 2 of 268
81
Q3 - 1:18HeatCody Zeller makes regular free throw 1 of 268
81
Q3 - 1:18KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Loose ball) (Cody Zeller draws the foul)67
81
Q3 - 1:18HeatHeat offensive rebound67
81
Q3 - 1:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot67
81
Q3 - 1:23KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)67
81
Q3 - 1:40HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 167
81
Q3 - 1:40KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)66
81
Q3 - 1:40HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Cody Zeller assists)66
81
Q3 - 1:53KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving floating jump shot (Julius Randle assists)64
81
Q3 - 2:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 264
79
Q3 - 2:14HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 263
79
Q3 - 2:14Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Cody Zeller)62
79
Q3 - 2:14KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)62
79
Q3 - 2:33KnicksJulius Randle makes three point running jump shot (Quentin Grimes assists)62
79
Q3 - 2:35KnicksQuentin Grimes defensive rebound62
76
Q3 - 2:38HeatQuentin Grimes blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup62
76
Q3 - 2:49KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Quentin Grimes assists)62
76
Q3 - 3:13HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)62
74
Q3 - 3:32KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (traveling)59
74
Q3 - 3:35KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound59
74
Q3 - 3:37HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup59
74
Q3 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound59
74
Q3 - 3:56KnicksJulius Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 259
74
Q3 - 3:56KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 259
74
Q3 - 3:56HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)59
73
Q3 - 4:10Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, RJ Barrett, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson)59
73
Q3 - 4:10Knicks 60 second timeout59
73
Q3 - 4:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)59
73
Q3 - 4:25KnicksJulius Randle turnover (out of bounds lost ball)57
73
Q3 - 4:50HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)57
73
Q3 - 5:12HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 5:15KnicksMitchell Robinson misses regular free throw 2 of 254
73
Q3 - 5:15KnicksMitchell Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 254
73
Q3 - 5:15HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)54
73
Q3 - 5:16KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 5:17KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point running layup54
73
Q3 - 5:22KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 5:25HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot54
73
Q3 - 5:29KnicksMitchell Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)54
73
Q3 - 5:30KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot54
73
Q3 - 5:53HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound54
73
Q3 - 5:55KnicksRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 2 of 254
73
Q3 - 5:55KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 254
73
Q3 - 5:55HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)54
72
Q3 - 5:56HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Brunson steals)54
72
Q3 - 6:12Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus)54
72
Q3 - 6:12Heat 60 second timeout54
72
Q3 - 6:12KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)54
72
Q3 - 6:23KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound54
70
Q3 - 6:26HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot54
70
Q3 - 6:49KnicksJulius Randle makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)54
70
Q3 - 6:57KnicksJalen Brunson offensive rebound54
67
Q3 - 6:59KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point running jump shot54
67
Q3 - 7:04KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound54
67
Q3 - 7:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup54
67
Q3 - 7:11KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)54
67
Q3 - 7:15KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound54
67
Q3 - 7:18HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot54
67
Q3 - 7:36Heat 60 second timeout54
67
Q3 - 7:37KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (Quentin Grimes assists)54
67
Q3 - 7:45KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound54
64
Q3 - 7:47HeatRJ Barrett blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup54
64
Q3 - 7:59KnicksJulius Randle makes two point driving floating jump shot (Mitchell Robinson assists)54
64
Q3 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Julius Randle draws the foul)54
62
Q3 - 8:09KnicksKnicks offensive rebound54
62
Q3 - 8:11KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot54
62
Q3 - 8:20HeatKevin Love personal foul (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)54
62
Q3 - 8:36HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)54
62
Q3 - 8:52KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 251
62
Q3 - 8:52KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 251
61
Q3 - 8:52Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus)51
60
Q3 - 8:52HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)51
60
Q3 - 9:00HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds lost ball)51
60
Q3 - 9:09KnicksJulius Randle makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot51
60
Q3 - 9:29HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup51
58
Q3 - 9:42KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 249
58
Q3 - 9:42KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 249
57
Q3 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)49
56
Q3 - 9:47KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound49
56
Q3 - 9:52HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot49
56
Q3 - 10:10KnicksQuentin Grimes turnover (out of bounds lost ball)49
56
Q3 - 10:13HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Mitchell Robinson steals)49
56
Q3 - 10:15HeatMax Strus offensive rebound49
56
Q3 - 10:20HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot49
56
Q3 - 10:32KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (Quentin Grimes assists)49
56
Q3 - 10:39KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound49
53
Q3 - 10:42HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot49
53
Q3 - 10:55KnicksRJ Barrett makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)49
53
Q3 - 11:18HeatKevin Love makes two point fadeaway jump shot49
50
Q3 - 11:41KnicksMitchell Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)47
50
Q3 - 11:41HeatHeat defensive rebound47
50
Q3 - 11:41KnicksMitchell Robinson misses two point tip layup47
50
Q3 - 11:41KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound47
50
Q3 - 11:44KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot47
50
Q3 - 12:00Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, RJ Barrett, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson)47
50
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)47
50
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.47
50
Q2 - 0:01.3KnicksJulius Randle makes three point stepback jump shot47
50
Q2 - 0:06.1KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound47
47
Q2 - 0:09.1HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot47
47
Q2 - 0:31.2KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 247
47
Q2 - 0:31.2KnicksJulius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 247
46
Q2 - 0:31.2Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson, Miles McBride)47
46
Q2 - 0:31.2HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Loose ball) (Julius Randle draws the foul)47
46
Q2 - 0:31.2KnicksKnicks offensive rebound47
46
Q2 - 0:34.4KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point stepback jump shot47
46
Q2 - 0:54.5HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk47
46
Q2 - 0:54.5HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound45
46
Q2 - 0:55.9HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup45
46
Q2 - 0:59.3HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound45
46
Q2 - 1:01KnicksJimmy Butler blocks Jalen Brunson's two point driving finger roll layup45
46
Q2 - 1:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 245
46
Q2 - 1:16HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 244
46
Q2 - 1:16KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)43
46
Q2 - 1:30Stoppage (Out of bounds)43
46
Q2 - 1:30HeatHeat defensive rebound43
46
Q2 - 1:32KnicksJulius Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 243
46
Q2 - 1:32KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 243
46
Q2 - 1:32Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, RJ Barrett, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson)43
45
Q2 - 1:32Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus)43
45
Q2 - 1:32HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)43
45
Q2 - 1:36KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound43
45
Q2 - 1:40HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot43
45
Q2 - 1:58KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 243
45
Q2 - 1:58KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 243
44
Q2 - 1:58HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)43
43
Q2 - 2:11KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 143
43
Q2 - 2:11Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus)43
42
Q2 - 2:11HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Away from play) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)43
42
Q2 - 2:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point finger roll layup43
42
Q2 - 2:29HeatKevin Love defensive rebound41
42
Q2 - 2:31KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot41
42
Q2 - 2:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup41
42
Q2 - 3:06HeatMax Strus defensive rebound39
42
Q2 - 3:08KnicksJalen Brunson misses regular free throw 2 of 239
42
Q2 - 3:08KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 239
42
Q2 - 3:08HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)39
41
Q2 - 3:15KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound39
41
Q2 - 3:18HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot39
41
Q2 - 3:23Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, RJ Barrett, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson)39
41
Q2 - 3:23Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)39
41
Q2 - 3:23Stoppage (Out of bounds)39
41
Q2 - 3:23HeatHeat offensive rebound39
41
Q2 - 3:24HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot39
41
Q2 - 3:35KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Mitchell Robinson assists)39
41
Q2 - 3:37KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound39
39
Q2 - 3:41KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot39
39
Q2 - 3:50KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound39
39
Q2 - 3:53HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot39
39
Q2 - 4:15KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot39
39
Q2 - 4:27HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)39
36
Q2 - 4:44KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup (Jalen Brunson assists)37
36
Q2 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 237
34
Q2 - 4:59HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 236
34
Q2 - 4:59Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)35
34
Q2 - 4:59KnicksMitchell Robinson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)35
34
Q2 - 5:14KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 235
34
Q2 - 5:14KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 235
33
Q2 - 5:14HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)35
32
Q2 - 5:21KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound35
32
Q2 - 5:25HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot35
32
Q2 - 5:47KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (traveling)35
32
Q2 - 5:56HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving reverse layup (Duncan Robinson assists)35
32
Q2 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound33
32
Q2 - 6:11HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot33
32
Q2 - 6:23HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound33
32
Q2 - 6:25KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point jump shot33
32
Q2 - 6:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)33
32
Q2 - 6:29KnicksKnicks offensive rebound33
32
Q2 - 6:29KnicksKyle Lowry blocks RJ Barrett's two point driving layup33
32
Q2 - 6:43Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, RJ Barrett, Quentin Grimes, Obi Toppin, Jalen Brunson)33
32
Q2 - 6:43Heat lineup change (Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent)33
32
Q2 - 6:43Knicks 60 second timeout33
32
Q2 - 6:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)33
32
Q2 - 6:55HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
32
Q2 - 6:58KnicksBam Adebayo blocks Jalen Brunson's two point floating jump shot31
32
Q2 - 7:14KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound31
32
Q2 - 7:15HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving reverse layup31
32
Q2 - 7:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound31
32
Q2 - 7:24KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving floating jump shot31
32
Q2 - 7:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)31
32
Q2 - 7:58Stoppage (Out of bounds)29
32
Q2 - 7:58HeatHeat defensive rebound29
32
Q2 - 8:00KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot29
32
Q2 - 8:04KnicksObi Toppin offensive rebound29
32
Q2 - 8:09KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point running jump shot29
32
Q2 - 8:12KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound29
32
Q2 - 8:13HeatKyle Lowry misses two point running reverse layup29
32
Q2 - 8:18HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound29
32
Q2 - 8:21KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot29
32
Q2 - 8:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)29
32
Q2 - 9:06KnicksRJ Barrett makes three point running jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)26
32
Q2 - 9:08KnicksQuentin Grimes defensive rebound26
29
Q2 - 9:12HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving floating jump shot26
29
Q2 - 9:25Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson, Gabe Vincent)26
29
Q2 - 9:25KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 126
29
Q2 - 9:25HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)26
28
Q2 - 9:25KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point running pullup jump shot26
28
Q2 - 9:29KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound26
26
Q2 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot26
26
Q2 - 9:42Bam Adebayo defensive goaltending violation26
26
Q2 - 9:42KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup26
26
Q2 - 9:51KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound26
24
Q2 - 9:54HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot26
24
Q2 - 10:10Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Duncan Robinson)26
24
Q2 - 10:10Heat 60 second timeout26
24
Q2 - 10:11KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)26
24
Q2 - 10:21KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound26
22
Q2 - 10:23HeatCaleb Martin misses three point pullup jump shot26
22
Q2 - 10:37KnicksRJ Barrett makes three point jump shot (Quentin Grimes assists)26
22
Q2 - 10:54HeatCody Zeller makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)26
19
Q2 - 11:12KnicksObi Toppin makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)24
19
Q2 - 11:15KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound24
17
Q2 - 11:19HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot24
17
Q2 - 11:37KnicksQuentin Grimes makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)24
17
Q2 - 12:00Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, RJ Barrett, Quentin Grimes, Obi Toppin, Jalen Brunson)24
14
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Haywood Highsmith, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Duncan Robinson, Cody Zeller)24
14
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
14
Q1 - 0:00.0KnicksKnicks offensive rebound24
14
Q1 - 0:00.0KnicksJulius Randle misses three point jump shot24
14
Q1 - 0:04.6HeatCody Zeller personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)24
14
Q1 - 0:18.4HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)24
14
Q1 - 0:21.4KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)22
14
Q1 - 0:36.2HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)22
14
Q1 - 0:44.7HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound20
14
Q1 - 0:47.8HeatIsaiah Hartenstein blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup20
14
Q1 - 0:56.7HeatJimmy Butler makes flagrant free throw 3 of 320
14
Q1 - 0:56.7HeatJimmy Butler makes flagrant free throw 2 of 319
14
Q1 - 0:56.7HeatJimmy Butler misses flagrant free throw 1 of 318
14
Q1 - 0:56.7Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)18
14
Q1 - 0:56.7Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, RJ Barrett, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson)18
14
Q1 - 0:56.7Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, Cody Zeller)18
14
Q1 - 0:56.7KnicksJosh Hart flagrant 1 (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)18
14
Q1 - 1:18KnicksQuentin Grimes makes two point running jump shot (Josh Hart assists)18
14
Q1 - 1:22KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - 1:24HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot18
12
Q1 - 1:37HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - 1:41KnicksJosh Hart misses three point jump shot18
12
Q1 - 1:55HeatCody Zeller turnover (offensive foul)18
12
Q1 - 1:55HeatCody Zeller offensive foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)18
12
Q1 - 2:06HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound18
12
Q1 - 2:10KnicksJulius Randle misses three point pullup jump shot18
12
Q1 - 2:15Stoppage (Out of bounds)18
12
Q1 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)18
12
Q1 - 2:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 218
12
Q1 - 2:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 217
12
Q1 - 2:39KnicksJosh Hart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)16
12
Q1 - 2:39HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 2:39HeatCody Zeller misses two point driving hook shot16
12
Q1 - 2:51KnicksJosh Hart turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)16
12
Q1 - 2:58KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 3:00KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot16
12
Q1 - 3:14HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)16
12
Q1 - 3:14HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)16
12
Q1 - 3:21Heat lineup change (Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Cody Zeller)16
12
Q1 - 3:21KnicksJosh Hart personal foul (Loose ball) (Kevin Love draws the foul)16
12
Q1 - 3:21HeatHeat offensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 3:21HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot16
12
Q1 - 3:33HeatKevin Love defensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 3:35KnicksQuentin Grimes misses two point driving layup16
12
Q1 - 3:41KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 3:42KnicksJulius Randle misses two point driving hook shot16
12
Q1 - 3:55KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound16
12
Q1 - 3:58HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot16
12
Q1 - 4:11KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot16
12
Q1 - 4:21Knicks lineup change (Isaiah Hartenstein, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson)16
10
Q1 - 4:21Knicks 60 second timeout16
10
Q1 - 4:29HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Kevin Love assists)16
10
Q1 - 4:43HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound14
10
Q1 - 4:48KnicksJulius Randle misses three point stepback jump shot14
10
Q1 - 5:09HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)14
10
Q1 - 5:21KnicksQuentin Grimes turnover (offensive foul)11
10
Q1 - 5:21KnicksQuentin Grimes offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)11
10
Q1 - 5:30HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)11
10
Q1 - 5:48KnicksMitchell Robinson turnover (offensive foul)11
10
Q1 - 5:48KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)11
10
Q1 - 5:55HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kevin Love assists)11
10
Q1 - 5:57HeatKevin Love offensive rebound8
10
Q1 - 5:59HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot8
10
Q1 - 6:11KnicksJulius Randle turnover (offensive foul)8
10
Q1 - 6:11KnicksJulius Randle offensive foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
10
Q1 - 6:19HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds lost ball)8
10
Q1 - 6:23KnicksQuentin Grimes turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)8
10
Q1 - 6:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Quentin Grimes steals)8
10
Q1 - 6:30Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson)8
10
Q1 - 6:30KnicksRJ Barrett personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)8
10
Q1 - 6:49KnicksQuentin Grimes makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)8
10
Q1 - 6:54KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - 6:57HeatKevin Love misses two point jump shot8
7
Q1 - 7:08KnicksRJ Barrett personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
7
Q1 - 7:08HeatMax Strus defensive rebound8
7
Q1 - 7:10KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot8
7
Q1 - 7:23HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds step)8
7
Q1 - 7:34KnicksMitchell Robinson makes two point alley-oop dunk (RJ Barrett assists)8
7
Q1 - 7:43KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound8
5
Q1 - 7:47HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot8
5
Q1 - 7:52HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound8
5
Q1 - 7:53KnicksMitchell Robinson misses two point tip layup8
5
Q1 - 7:53KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound8
5
Q1 - 7:55KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point driving layup8
5
Q1 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 28
5
Q1 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 27
5
Q1 - 8:12KnicksQuentin Grimes shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)6
5
Q1 - 8:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound6
5
Q1 - 8:14HeatQuentin Grimes blocks Jimmy Butler's two point running layup6
5
Q1 - 8:19KnicksJulius Randle turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)6
5
Q1 - 8:31KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound6
5
Q1 - 8:34HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot6
5
Q1 - 8:44HeatKevin Love defensive rebound6
5
Q1 - 8:47KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot6
5
Q1 - 9:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup6
5
Q1 - 9:10HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound4
5
Q1 - 9:12HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot4
5
Q1 - 9:35HeatKevin Love defensive rebound4
5
Q1 - 9:37KnicksJulius Randle misses two point layup4
5
Q1 - 9:53KnicksQuentin Grimes defensive rebound4
5
Q1 - 9:56HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup4
5
Q1 - 10:05KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving finger roll layup4
5
Q1 - 10:12KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound4
3
Q1 - 10:14HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot4
3
Q1 - 10:24HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound4
3
Q1 - 10:26KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving floating jump shot4
3
Q1 - 10:35HeatKevin Love personal foul (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)4
3
Q1 - 10:35KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound4
3
Q1 - 10:37KnicksJulius Randle misses two point fadeaway jump shot4
3
Q1 - 10:55Knicks 60 second timeout4
3
Q1 - 11:01HeatMax Strus makes two point driving floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)4
3
Q1 - 11:05HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound2
3
Q1 - 11:10HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving finger roll layup2
3
Q1 - 11:22KnicksJulius Randle makes three point stepback jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)2
3
Q1 - 11:42HeatKevin Love makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)2
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Mitchell Robinson (Kevin Love gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, RJ Barrett, Quentin Grimes, Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus, Gabe Vincent)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIANYK
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
NYK
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
25
60%
NYK
14
26
54%
Midrange
MIA
9
20
45%
NYK
8
11
73%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
43
30%
45%
NYK
13
19.5
34
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
16
19
84%
NYK
29
40
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler1959%9.5 / 16
B. Adebayo1869%9.0 / 13
D. Robinson1765%8.5 / 13
M. Strus1464%7.0 / 11
C. Martin1179%5.5 / 7
K. Lowry941%4.5 / 11
G. Vincent630%3.0 / 10
C. Zeller563%2.5 / 4
K. Love420%2.0 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brunson3868%19.0 / 28
R. Barrett2662%13.0 / 21
J. Randle2467%12.0 / 18
Q. Grimes850%4.0 / 8
M. Robinson844%4.0 / 9
I. Hartenstein4100%2.0 / 2
O. Toppin233%1.0 / 3
J. Hart250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+15
-12
96
NYK
77
+18
-18
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.6%
NYK
1.18 58.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
7
114.3
13
109.2
MIA 110.8
NYK 117.9 +7.1
Pace
12
94.4
14
91.6
MIA 88.9
NYK 99.6 +10.8
Avg. Poss. Time
18
15.5
16
15.6
MIA 16.2
NYK 14.5 −1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
5
53.1%
15
49.2%
MIA 49.4%
NYK 58.5% +9.1%
TO %
4
11.6%
15
14.5%
MIA 11.1% −6.6%
NYK 17.7%
ORB %
13
21.7%
1
31.0%
MIA 23.4%
NYK 37.8% +14.4%
FTrt
12
22.8
1
32.9
MIA 21.6
NYK 56.3 +34.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
9
59.3%
14
53.1%
MIA 73.0% +7.3%
NYK 65.7%
STL %
5
7.4%
2
7.6%
MIA 11.8% +5.5%
NYK 6.3%
BLK %
11
7.4%
6
9.3%
MIA 10.8% +1.9%
NYK 8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
7
55.5%
15
51.8%
MIA 53.6%
NYK 58.9% +5.3%
Rim FG%
11
60.5%
13
59.6%
MIA 60.0% +6.2%
NYK 53.8%
Mid FG%
12
41.3%
5
45.3%
MIA 45.0%
NYK 72.7% +27.7%
3P %
1
38.0%
16
29.2%
MIA 30.2%
NYK 38.2% +8.0%
FT %
5
81.3%
13
74.6%
MIA 84.2% +11.7%
NYK 72.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
12
29.9%
7
31.5%
MIA 28.4%
NYK 36.6% +8.2%
Mid Att. %
13
31.3%
6
28.3%
MIA 22.7%
NYK 15.5% −7.2%
3P Att. %
11
38.8%
8
40.2%
MIA 48.9% +1.0%
NYK 47.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIANYK
Possessions9395
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points103112
Rebounds3450
Assists2723
Steals116
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)18 (1)
Fouls3019
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (4)36 (1)
Field Goals37-8835-71
At-the-Rim FG15-2514-26
Midrange FG9-208-11
2-Point FG24-4522-37
3-Point FG13-4313-34
Free Throws16-1929-40
Fast Break Pts916
2nd Chance Pts2112
Points in Paint4240
Pts off Turnovers295
Bench Points428
Biggest Lead1019

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34
42.7
19
59%
7
9
4
2
1
3
2
5
9-11
82%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
38.7
18
69%
8
2
1
1
2
5
5
3
4-4
100%
7-10
70%
0-1
0%
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
26.4
14
64%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
4-10
40%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
23.1
6
30%
4
4
1
0
3
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-3
0%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35
16.3
4
20%
5
2
0
0
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-7
0%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
30.9
9
41%
1
5
2
1
2
5
0
1
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
2-8
25%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
27.8
11
79%
3
3
1
0
2
3
1
2
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
22.2
17
65%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
5-10
50%
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
9.3
5
63%
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Fracture
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Patellar; Torn
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
54%
34
27
11
4
12
30
11
23
16-19
84%
24-45
53%
13-43
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.