FinalWin Prob.pScore
1339%105
92
1061%109
96
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
104.58882.8
MIA logo MIA
106.79096.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.92
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:06.7KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving dunk92
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:11.5HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 290
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:11.5HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 290
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 0:11.5KnicksJosh Hart personal foul (Take) (Max Strus draws the foul)90
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:11.5HeatMax Strus defensive rebound90
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 0:13.5KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point turnaround jump shot90
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 0:14.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 290
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 0:14.4HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 290
3.4%
93
96.6%
Q4 - 0:14.4KnicksJalen Brunson personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)90
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q4 - 0:16.4KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)90
6.7%
92
93.3%
Q4 - 0:30.1KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound90
21.0%
92
79.0%
Q4 - 0:33.5HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot90
16.0%
92
84.0%
Q4 - 0:59.2KnicksJalen Brunson makes flagrant free throw 2 of 288
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 0:59.2KnicksJalen Brunson makes flagrant free throw 1 of 287
8.7%
92
91.3%
Q4 - 0:59.2HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)86
7.4%
92
92.6%
Q4 - 0:59.2HeatGabe Vincent flagrant 1 (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)86
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 0:59.2KnicksJulius Randle personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)86
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 0:59.2HeatHeat defensive rebound86
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 1:01KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving finger roll layup86
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 1:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)86
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 1:24KnicksMitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 286
6.8%
90
93.2%
Q4 - 1:24KnicksMitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 285
5.5%
90
94.5%
Q4 - 1:24HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)84
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q4 - 1:25KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound84
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 1:26KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot84
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 1:38KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound84
5.3%
90
94.7%
Q4 - 1:40HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot84
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 1:57HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound84
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 2:00KnicksJosh Hart misses three point jump shot84
4.0%
90
96.0%
Q4 - 2:23HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 284
5.9%
90
94.1%
Q4 - 2:23HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 284
6.2%
89
93.8%
Q4 - 2:23KnicksJulius Randle shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)84
4.2%
89
95.8%
Q4 - 2:29KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)84
4.8%
89
95.2%
Q4 - 2:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup bank jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)84
9.2%
89
90.8%
Q4 - 3:17KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point stepback jump shot84
13.7%
87
86.3%
Q4 - 3:27KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound81
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q4 - 3:30HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot81
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q4 - 3:52KnicksJulius Randle turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)81
6.7%
87
93.3%
Q4 - 4:03HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving finger roll layup81
9.5%
87
90.5%
Q4 - 4:26HeatMax Strus defensive rebound81
12.6%
85
87.4%
Q4 - 4:28KnicksJulius Randle misses three point jump shot81
14.0%
85
86.0%
Q4 - 4:52KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound81
17.5%
85
82.5%
Q4 - 4:54HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot81
15.8%
85
84.2%
Q4 - 5:13KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 281
14.6%
85
85.4%
Q4 - 5:13KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 280
13.8%
85
86.2%
Q4 - 5:13HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)79
12.9%
85
87.1%
Q4 - 5:15KnicksJulius Randle offensive rebound79
11.2%
85
88.8%
Q4 - 5:18KnicksRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 2 of 279
8.6%
85
91.4%
Q4 - 5:18KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 279
10.3%
85
89.7%
Q4 - 5:18HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)78
9.5%
85
90.5%
Q4 - 5:32KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound78
8.4%
85
91.6%
Q4 - 5:35HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot78
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q4 - 5:42HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound78
6.1%
85
93.9%
Q4 - 5:44HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot78
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q4 - 6:07KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot78
7.4%
85
92.6%
Q4 - 6:25HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 176
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q4 - 6:25KnicksRJ Barrett shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)76
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q4 - 6:30HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound76
9.6%
82
90.4%
Q4 - 6:33KnicksJulius Randle misses three point stepback jump shot76
10.6%
82
89.4%
Q4 - 6:39KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound76
13.0%
82
87.0%
Q4 - 6:43KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point driving floating jump shot76
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q4 - 6:56HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)76
13.0%
82
87.0%
Q4 - 7:16HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound76
21.4%
79
78.6%
Q4 - 7:18KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot76
23.0%
79
77.0%
Q4 - 7:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)76
27.2%
79
72.8%
Q4 - 7:41HeatHeat offensive rebound76
31.6%
77
68.4%
Q4 - 7:42HeatIsaiah Hartenstein blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup76
36.6%
77
63.4%
Q4 - 8:00HeatHeat defensive rebound76
31.6%
77
68.4%
Q4 - 8:00KnicksObi Toppin misses regular free throw 2 of 276
32.5%
77
67.5%
Q4 - 8:00KnicksObi Toppin makes regular free throw 1 of 276
36.5%
77
63.5%
Q4 - 8:00HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Obi Toppin draws the foul)75
35.1%
77
64.9%
Q4 - 8:06KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound75
32.4%
77
67.6%
Q4 - 8:09HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot75
30.7%
77
69.3%
Q4 - 8:13HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound75
27.0%
77
73.0%
Q4 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup75
30.7%
77
69.3%
Q4 - 8:14HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound75
27.0%
77
73.0%
Q4 - 8:17HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup75
30.7%
77
69.3%
Q4 - 8:28HeatHeat offensive rebound75
27.0%
77
73.0%
Q4 - 8:29HeatJosh Hart blocks Jimmy Butler's two point running layup75
30.7%
77
69.3%
Q4 - 8:31KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)75
27.0%
77
73.0%
Q4 - 8:38HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Isaiah Hartenstein steals)75
32.5%
77
67.5%
Q4 - 9:01KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 275
27.3%
77
72.7%
Q4 - 9:01KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 274
26.7%
77
73.3%
Q4 - 9:01HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)73
25.9%
77
74.1%
Q4 - 9:18KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound73
23.4%
77
76.6%
Q4 - 9:21HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot73
22.0%
77
78.0%
Q4 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
19.1%
77
80.9%
Q4 - 9:39KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point driving layup73
20.3%
77
79.7%
Q4 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)73
23.3%
77
76.7%
Q4 - 9:46KnicksKnicks defensive rebound73
23.3%
77
76.7%
Q4 - 9:47HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot73
22.0%
77
78.0%
Q4 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
19.0%
77
81.0%
Q4 - 10:04KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot73
21.3%
77
78.7%
Q4 - 10:22HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)73
24.2%
77
75.8%
Q4 - 10:40HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound73
32.6%
74
67.4%
Q4 - 10:43KnicksJalen Brunson misses regular free throw 2 of 273
33.3%
74
66.7%
Q4 - 10:43KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 273
36.8%
74
63.2%
Q4 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)72
35.9%
74
64.1%
Q4 - 10:47HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Josh Hart steals)72
33.1%
74
66.9%
Q4 - 10:50HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound72
27.9%
74
72.1%
Q4 - 10:54HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot72
31.5%
74
68.5%
Q4 - 11:13KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 172
28.7%
74
71.3%
Q4 - 11:13HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)71
28.0%
74
72.0%
Q4 - 11:21HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)71
28.8%
74
71.2%
Q4 - 11:26KnicksJosh Hart offensive rebound71
28.8%
74
71.2%
Q4 - 11:28KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot71
25.8%
74
74.2%
Q4 - 11:42KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound71
28.8%
74
71.2%
Q4 - 11:45HeatIsaiah Hartenstein blocks Bam Adebayo's two point cutting finger roll layup71
27.4%
74
72.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.71
24.6%
74
75.4%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound71
25.4%
74
74.6%
Q3 - 0:00.8HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot71
28.0%
74
72.0%
Q3 - 0:06.2KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)71
25.3%
74
74.7%
Q3 - 0:21.1KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point cutting layup (Jalen Brunson assists)71
25.3%
74
74.7%
Q3 - 0:36.1HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)69
21.7%
74
78.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound69
29.2%
71
70.8%
Q3 - 0:46.1HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot69
32.1%
71
67.9%
Q3 - 0:59.7KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot69
29.2%
71
70.8%
Q3 - 1:08HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving hook shot (Cody Zeller assists)67
25.9%
71
74.1%
Q3 - 1:14HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound67
29.4%
69
70.6%
Q3 - 1:16KnicksJulius Randle misses two point fadeaway jump shot67
30.7%
69
69.3%
Q3 - 1:41HeatCody Zeller turnover (offensive foul)67
33.7%
69
66.3%
Q3 - 1:41HeatCody Zeller offensive foul (Off the ball) (Josh Hart draws the foul)67
29.4%
69
70.6%
Q3 - 1:51KnicksJosh Hart turnover (offensive foul)67
29.4%
69
70.6%
Q3 - 1:51KnicksJosh Hart offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)67
33.7%
69
66.3%
Q3 - 1:52KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound67
33.7%
69
66.3%
Q3 - 1:55HeatJulius Randle blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup67
32.3%
69
67.7%
Q3 - 2:02HeatHeat offensive rebound67
29.7%
69
70.3%
Q3 - 2:03HeatIsaiah Hartenstein blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving layup67
32.5%
69
67.5%
Q3 - 2:14KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot67
29.6%
69
70.4%
Q3 - 2:33HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup65
26.3%
69
73.7%
Q3 - 2:55KnicksJosh Hart makes two point running layup65
29.6%
67
70.4%
Q3 - 2:59KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound63
26.3%
67
73.7%
Q3 - 3:03HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup63
25.9%
67
74.1%
Q3 - 3:14HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound63
23.3%
67
76.7%
Q3 - 3:17KnicksJosh Hart misses three point jump shot63
24.4%
67
75.6%
Q3 - 3:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)63
27.0%
67
73.0%
Q3 - 3:52KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 263
29.9%
65
70.1%
Q3 - 3:52KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 262
29.2%
65
70.8%
Q3 - 3:52HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)61
28.3%
65
71.7%
Q3 - 4:02HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)61
27.3%
65
72.7%
Q3 - 4:02KnicksKnicks offensive rebound61
27.3%
65
72.7%
Q3 - 4:03KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point pullup jump shot61
24.8%
65
75.2%
Q3 - 4:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 261
27.3%
65
72.7%
Q3 - 4:24HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 261
27.8%
64
72.2%
Q3 - 4:24KnicksJosh Hart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)61
28.3%
63
71.7%
Q3 - 4:34KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot61
30.1%
63
69.9%
Q3 - 4:42KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound59
27.3%
63
72.7%
Q3 - 4:45HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving finger roll layup59
26.2%
63
73.8%
Q3 - 5:04HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound59
24.3%
63
75.7%
Q3 - 5:05KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point jump shot59
25.3%
63
74.7%
Q3 - 5:25HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)59
27.6%
63
72.4%
Q3 - 5:43KnicksJosh Hart makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)59
24.3%
63
75.7%
Q3 - 6:04KnicksKnicks defensive rebound56
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 6:04HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot56
18.8%
63
81.2%
Q3 - 6:08KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)56
17.1%
63
82.9%
Q3 - 6:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 256
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 6:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 256
19.9%
62
80.1%
Q3 - 6:13KnicksRJ Barrett shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)56
20.3%
61
79.7%
Q3 - 6:16HeatMax Strus defensive rebound56
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q3 - 6:19KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point driving floating jump shot56
22.7%
61
77.3%
Q3 - 6:36HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot56
24.7%
61
75.3%
Q3 - 6:50HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound56
27.5%
59
72.5%
Q3 - 6:55KnicksJulius Randle misses three point jump shot56
28.5%
59
71.5%
Q3 - 7:21HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)56
31.0%
59
69.0%
Q3 - 7:40KnicksJulius Randle makes three point jump shot (Quentin Grimes assists)56
37.2%
56
62.8%
Q3 - 7:56KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound53
31.0%
56
69.0%
Q3 - 7:58HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot53
29.9%
56
70.1%
Q3 - 8:21HeatKevin Love defensive rebound53
27.6%
56
72.4%
Q3 - 8:24KnicksJulius Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 253
28.1%
56
71.9%
Q3 - 8:24KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 253
29.9%
56
70.1%
Q3 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)52
29.2%
56
70.8%
Q3 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 252
28.2%
56
71.8%
Q3 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 252
28.7%
55
71.3%
Q3 - 8:43KnicksMitchell Robinson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)52
29.4%
54
70.6%
Q3 - 8:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound52
30.6%
54
69.4%
Q3 - 8:47KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point pullup jump shot52
31.7%
54
68.3%
Q3 - 8:59KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound52
34.3%
54
65.7%
Q3 - 9:03HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running pullup jump shot52
33.1%
54
66.9%
Q3 - 9:05HeatKevin Love defensive rebound52
30.7%
54
69.3%
Q3 - 9:06KnicksMitchell Robinson misses two point tip layup52
31.7%
54
68.3%
Q3 - 9:06KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound52
34.1%
54
65.9%
Q3 - 9:09KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point driving reverse layup52
31.7%
54
68.3%
Q3 - 9:19KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound52
34.1%
54
65.9%
Q3 - 9:22HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot52
33.1%
54
66.9%
Q3 - 9:44HeatHeat defensive rebound52
30.7%
54
69.3%
Q3 - 9:45KnicksJulius Randle misses three point stepback jump shot52
31.7%
54
68.3%
Q3 - 9:59KnicksQuentin Grimes defensive rebound52
34.1%
54
65.9%
Q3 - 10:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot52
33.0%
54
67.0%
Q3 - 10:24KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 252
30.7%
54
69.3%
Q3 - 10:24KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 251
30.1%
54
69.9%
Q3 - 10:24HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)50
29.4%
54
70.6%
Q3 - 10:30KnicksQuentin Grimes defensive rebound50
28.3%
54
71.7%
Q3 - 10:32HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot50
27.4%
54
72.6%
Q3 - 10:52HeatMax Strus defensive rebound50
25.3%
54
74.7%
Q3 - 10:55KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point pullup jump shot50
26.2%
54
73.8%
Q3 - 11:19HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)50
28.1%
54
71.9%
Q3 - 11:31HeatMax Strus defensive rebound50
33.6%
51
66.4%
Q3 - 11:34KnicksJulius Randle misses two point jump shot50
34.5%
51
65.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
36.7%
51
63.3%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound50
33.9%
51
66.1%
Q2 - 0:00.9HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot50
35.6%
51
64.4%
Q2 - 0:14.9HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound50
33.9%
51
66.1%
Q2 - 0:17.0KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein misses two point hook shot50
34.6%
51
65.4%
Q2 - 0:37.6HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 250
36.3%
51
63.7%
Q2 - 0:37.6HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 250
36.7%
50
63.3%
Q2 - 0:37.6KnicksJalen Brunson personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)50
37.2%
49
62.8%
Q2 - 0:55.4KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Quentin Grimes assists)50
39.8%
49
60.2%
Q2 - 1:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)48
36.3%
49
63.7%
Q2 - 1:30KnicksJosh Hart makes two point turnaround jump shot48
40.0%
47
60.0%
Q2 - 1:55HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)46
36.3%
47
63.7%
Q2 - 1:55HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Quentin Grimes draws the foul)46
34.2%
47
65.8%
Q2 - 1:56HeatMax Strus defensive rebound46
34.2%
47
65.8%
Q2 - 2:01KnicksJulius Randle misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot46
34.6%
47
65.4%
Q2 - 2:10KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound46
36.6%
47
63.4%
Q2 - 2:13HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot46
35.7%
47
64.3%
Q2 - 2:25KnicksJulius Randle turnover (out of bounds bad pass)46
33.7%
47
66.3%
Q2 - 2:27KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound46
36.6%
47
63.4%
Q2 - 2:30KnicksJosh Hart misses two point fadeaway jump shot46
34.6%
47
65.4%
Q2 - 2:56HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot (Max Strus assists)46
36.6%
47
63.4%
Q2 - 3:19HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound46
38.9%
45
61.1%
Q2 - 3:21KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot46
39.9%
45
60.1%
Q2 - 3:37HeatMax Strus makes two point driving reverse layup (Gabe Vincent assists)46
42.2%
45
57.8%
Q2 - 3:45KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot46
44.5%
43
55.5%
Q2 - 4:10HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)44
41.6%
43
58.4%
Q2 - 4:29KnicksRJ Barrett personal foul (Loose ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)44
44.4%
41
55.6%
Q2 - 4:29HeatHeat defensive rebound44
44.4%
41
55.6%
Q2 - 4:29KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot44
45.2%
41
54.8%
Q2 - 4:52KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound44
47.2%
41
52.8%
Q2 - 4:53HeatCaleb Martin misses two point stepback jump shot44
46.3%
41
53.7%
Q2 - 5:20HeatHeat defensive rebound44
43.8%
41
56.2%
Q2 - 5:21KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot44
44.8%
41
55.2%
Q2 - 5:26KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound44
47.1%
41
52.9%
Q2 - 5:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot44
46.1%
41
53.9%
Q2 - 5:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound44
43.8%
41
56.2%
Q2 - 5:39KnicksMitchell Robinson misses two point turnaround bank hook shot44
44.8%
41
55.2%
Q2 - 6:01HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)44
46.9%
41
53.1%
Q2 - 6:18KnicksObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)44
49.0%
39
51.0%
Q2 - 6:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)41
44.2%
39
55.8%
Q2 - 6:59KnicksObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)41
46.3%
37
53.7%
Q2 - 7:15KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound38
41.2%
37
58.8%
Q2 - 7:17HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot38
40.3%
37
59.7%
Q2 - 7:42KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point pullup jump shot (Mitchell Robinson assists)38
38.4%
37
61.6%
Q2 - 7:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk36
36.2%
37
63.8%
Q2 - 7:53HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound36
38.4%
35
61.6%
Q2 - 7:55HeatMiles McBride blocks Bam Adebayo's two point running layup36
40.3%
35
59.7%
Q2 - 7:59HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound36
38.4%
35
61.6%
Q2 - 8:02KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point driving hook shot36
39.1%
35
60.9%
Q2 - 8:26HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 136
41.0%
35
59.0%
Q2 - 8:26KnicksJosh Hart shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)36
41.5%
34
58.5%
Q2 - 8:36HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound36
45.9%
32
54.1%
Q2 - 8:43KnicksBam Adebayo blocks Josh Hart's two point driving layup36
46.7%
32
53.3%
Q2 - 8:52KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound36
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 8:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot36
47.8%
32
52.2%
Q2 - 9:04KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)36
45.5%
32
54.5%
Q2 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)36
48.2%
32
51.8%
Q2 - 9:42KnicksJosh Hart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)36
50.6%
30
49.4%
Q2 - 9:55HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 136
53.3%
30
46.7%
Q2 - 9:55KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)36
53.8%
29
46.2%
Q2 - 10:07KnicksJosh Hart makes two point driving layup36
57.8%
27
42.2%
Q2 - 10:14KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound34
55.4%
27
44.6%
Q2 - 10:17HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot34
54.6%
27
45.4%
Q2 - 10:24HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound34
52.9%
27
47.1%
Q2 - 10:29KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot34
53.7%
27
46.3%
Q2 - 10:47HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)34
55.4%
27
44.6%
Q2 - 11:04KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (offensive foul)34
59.1%
24
40.9%
Q2 - 11:04KnicksJalen Brunson offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)34
61.3%
24
38.7%
Q2 - 11:11KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound34
61.3%
24
38.7%
Q2 - 11:14HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot34
60.7%
24
39.3%
Q2 - 11:22KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)34
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q2 - 11:37KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot (Obi Toppin assists)34
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
54.4%
24
45.6%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound31
51.3%
24
48.7%
Q1 - 0:00.7HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot31
52.8%
24
47.2%
Q1 - 0:14.8HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound31
51.4%
24
48.6%
Q1 - 0:18.3KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point jump shot31
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q1 - 0:24.4KnicksJulius Randle offensive rebound31
53.5%
24
46.5%
Q1 - 0:26.3KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot31
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q1 - 0:33.1KnicksKnicks offensive rebound31
53.5%
24
46.5%
Q1 - 0:34.2KnicksJulius Randle misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot31
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q1 - 1:01HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds lost ball)31
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q1 - 1:04HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound31
51.3%
24
48.7%
Q1 - 1:07KnicksJulius Randle misses three point running pullup jump shot31
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q1 - 1:13KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound31
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q1 - 1:16HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running jump shot31
52.8%
24
47.2%
Q1 - 1:21KnicksQuentin Grimes turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)31
51.3%
24
48.7%
Q1 - 1:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup31
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q1 - 1:49KnicksJulius Randle turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)31
55.9%
22
44.1%
Q1 - 2:02HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)31
57.4%
22
42.6%
Q1 - 2:13HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound31
61.6%
19
38.4%
Q1 - 2:16KnicksJosh Hart misses three point jump shot31
62.3%
19
37.7%
Q1 - 2:32HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 231
63.9%
19
36.1%
Q1 - 2:32HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 231
64.2%
18
35.8%
Q1 - 2:32KnicksJosh Hart personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)31
64.5%
17
35.5%
Q1 - 2:40KnicksJulius Randle makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)31
65.9%
17
34.1%
Q1 - 3:03KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound29
63.3%
17
36.7%
Q1 - 3:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot29
62.6%
17
37.4%
Q1 - 3:16KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 129
60.8%
17
39.2%
Q1 - 3:16HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)28
60.4%
17
39.6%
Q1 - 3:20KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound26
57.0%
17
43.0%
Q1 - 3:24HeatIsaiah Hartenstein blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving floating jump shot26
56.2%
17
43.8%
Q1 - 3:43KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point stepback jump shot26
54.4%
17
45.6%
Q1 - 3:55HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 223
50.4%
17
49.6%
Q1 - 3:55HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 223
50.7%
16
49.3%
Q1 - 3:55KnicksRJ Barrett personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)23
48.9%
16
51.1%
Q1 - 3:56HeatHeat offensive rebound23
50.0%
16
50.0%
Q1 - 3:57HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot23
51.8%
16
48.2%
Q1 - 4:05KnicksQuentin Grimes personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)23
49.3%
16
50.7%
Q1 - 4:26KnicksQuentin Grimes makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)23
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point bank hook shot (Kevin Love assists)20
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 4:52KnicksJalen Brunson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)20
47.3%
14
52.7%
Q1 - 4:59KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot20
47.3%
14
52.7%
Q1 - 5:05KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound17
43.0%
14
57.0%
Q1 - 5:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround bank jump shot17
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 5:29KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 217
40.8%
14
59.2%
Q1 - 5:29KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 216
40.3%
14
59.7%
Q1 - 5:29HeatKevin Love shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)15
39.8%
14
60.2%
Q1 - 5:29KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound15
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 5:31HeatJulius Randle blocks Max Strus's two point running layup15
38.4%
14
61.6%
Q1 - 5:37HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound15
36.9%
14
63.1%
Q1 - 5:38KnicksKyle Lowry blocks RJ Barrett's two point driving layup15
37.6%
14
62.4%
Q1 - 5:43KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound15
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 5:46KnicksRJ Barrett misses three point jump shot15
37.6%
14
62.4%
Q1 - 6:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 215
38.8%
14
61.2%
Q1 - 6:11HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 215
39.1%
13
60.9%
Q1 - 6:11KnicksRJ Barrett shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)15
39.4%
12
60.6%
Q1 - 6:31KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 215
40.7%
12
59.3%
Q1 - 6:31KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 214
40.2%
12
59.8%
Q1 - 6:31HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)13
39.7%
12
60.3%
Q1 - 6:51HeatMax Strus makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)13
38.9%
12
61.1%
Q1 - 6:56KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot13
40.7%
10
59.3%
Q1 - 7:15HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk11
38.8%
10
61.2%
Q1 - 7:32KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 211
40.5%
8
59.5%
Q1 - 7:32KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 210
40.2%
8
59.8%
Q1 - 7:32HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)9
39.9%
8
60.1%
Q1 - 7:51HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot9
38.8%
8
61.2%
Q1 - 8:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
40.5%
6
59.5%
Q1 - 8:02KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot9
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 29
42.5%
6
57.5%
Q1 - 8:20HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 29
42.8%
5
57.2%
Q1 - 8:20KnicksMitchell Robinson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)9
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 8:32KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 29
44.2%
4
55.8%
Q1 - 8:32KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 28
43.7%
4
56.3%
Q1 - 8:32HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)7
43.2%
4
56.8%
Q1 - 8:39KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound7
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 8:42HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot7
41.8%
4
58.2%
Q1 - 9:01KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot7
40.2%
4
59.8%
Q1 - 9:20KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound4
36.7%
4
63.3%
Q1 - 9:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point running layup4
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 9:30KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot (Julius Randle assists)4
34.9%
4
65.1%
Q1 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)2
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 10:11HeatKevin Love defensive rebound2
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 10:14KnicksQuentin Grimes misses three point jump shot2
35.2%
2
64.8%
Q1 - 10:27HeatMax Strus makes two point running dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)2
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:30HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound2
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 10:34KnicksJulius Randle misses three point jump shot2
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 10:55KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound2
40.0%
0
60.0%
Q1 - 10:58HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot2
39.4%
0
60.6%
Q1 - 11:15KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 22
37.7%
0
62.3%
Q1 - 11:15KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 21
37.3%
0
62.7%
Q1 - 11:15HeatKevin Love shooting foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)0
36.8%
0
63.2%
Q1 - 11:17KnicksRJ Barrett defensive rebound0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:18HeatMitchell Robinson blocks Jimmy Butler's two point tip layup0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:18HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 11:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 11:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 11:28KnicksJulius Randle misses two point stepback jump shot0
35.0%
0
65.0%
Q1 - 11:35KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound0
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 11:38HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot0
35.7%
0
64.3%
Q1 - 12:00Mitchell Robinson vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
34.4%
0
65.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.07 53.5%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
6
13
46%
MIA
13
28
46%
Midrange
NYK
11
23
48%
MIA
13
27
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
10
15.0
35
29%
43%
MIA
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
Free Throws
NYK
28
32
88%
MIA
23
25
92%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brunson4179%20.5 / 26
J. Randle1542%7.5 / 18
R. Barrett1137%5.5 / 15
J. Hart1155%5.5 / 10
O. Toppin758%3.5 / 6
Q. Grimes325%1.5 / 6
M. Robinson233%1.0 / 3
I. Hartenstein250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2444%12.0 / 27
B. Adebayo2352%11.5 / 22
M. Strus1450%7.0 / 14
K. Lowry1179%5.5 / 7
C. Martin857%4.0 / 7
G. Vincent744%3.5 / 8
D. Robinson643%3.0 / 7
K. Love3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
76
+10
-12
86
MIA
83
+14
-7
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.07 53.5%
MIA
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
114.3
NYK 104.5
MIA 106.7 +2.1
Pace
91.6
94.4
NYK 82.8
MIA 96.0 +13.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.5
NYK 17.4
MIA 15.0 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
53.1%
NYK 45.1% +0.6%
MIA 44.5%
TO %
14.5%
11.6%
NYK 12.4%
MIA 7.0% +5.4%
ORB %
31.0%
21.7%
NYK 19.5% +2.0%
MIA 17.5%
FTrt
32.9
22.8
NYK 45.1 +14.6
MIA 30.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.1%
59.3%
NYK 48.1%
MIA 75.8% +27.7%
STL %
7.6%
7.4%
NYK 2.3%
MIA 8.9% +6.6%
BLK %
9.3%
7.4%
NYK 16.4% +10.8%
MIA 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
55.5%
NYK 53.5% +4.0%
MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%
59.6%
60.5%
NYK 46.2%
MIA 46.4% +0.2%
Mid FG%
45.3%
41.3%
NYK 47.8%
MIA 48.1% +0.3%
3P %
29.2%
38.0%
NYK 28.6% +2.7%
MIA 25.9%
FT %
74.6%
81.3%
NYK 87.5%
MIA 92.0% +4.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.5%
29.9%
NYK 18.3%
MIA 34.1% +15.8%
Mid Att. %
28.3%
31.3%
NYK 32.4% +0.5%
MIA 32.9%
3P Att. %
40.2%
38.8%
NYK 49.3% +16.4%
MIA 32.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNYKMIA
Possessions8890
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points9296
Rebounds4140
Assists1325
Steals28
Blocks92
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)7 (0)
Fouls2222
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)7 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)33 (5)
Field Goals27-7133-82
At-the-Rim FG6-1313-28
Midrange FG11-2313-27
2-Point FG17-3626-55
3-Point FG10-357-27
Free Throws28-3223-25
Fast Break Pts66
2nd Chance Pts78
Points in Paint2038
Pts off Turnovers510
Bench Points2025
Biggest Lead149

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27
45.1
41
79%
4
3
0
0
3
4
0
4
8-9
89%
9-12
75%
5-10
50%
#30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 28
35.8
15
42%
11
3
0
2
3
2
2
9
8-9
89%
2-7
29%
1-7
14%
#9 · SF · 6'6" 214 · 23
32.1
11
37%
2
1
0
0
3
5
0
2
9-10
90%
1-7
14%
0-3
0%
#6 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 23
31.7
3
25%
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-6
17%
#23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 25
28.6
2
33%
11
1
0
1
0
2
5
6
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 28
33.3
11
55%
7
1
1
1
2
5
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
#55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 25
18.3
2
50%
1
0
1
4
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 25
12.2
7
58%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
-
2-5
40%
#2 · PG · 6'1" 195 · 23
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#13 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 31
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SG · 6'5" 222 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprained
#45 · C · 6'10" 250 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
54%
41
13
2
9
12
22
8
33
28-32
88%
17-36
47%
10-35
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.