FinalWin Prob.pScore
145%106
115
555%108
116
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo BOS
121.19586.2
PHI logo PHI
122.19585.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

76ersCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

76ersCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSPHI
OT1 - 0:00.0End of 1st OT.115
0%
116
100%
OT1 - 0:19.076ersJames Harden makes three point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)115
38.3%
116
61.7%
OT1 - 0:38.1CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point stepback jump shot115
72.0%
113
28.0%
OT1 - 0:56.076ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
41.6%
113
58.4%
OT1 - 0:56.076ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
43.7%
112
56.3%
OT1 - 0:56.0CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)112
46.2%
111
53.8%
OT1 - 1:02CelticsAl Horford personal foul (Loose ball) (Joel Embiid draws the foul)112
54.0%
111
46.0%
OT1 - 1:0276ers76ers offensive rebound112
54.0%
111
46.0%
OT1 - 1:0476ersJames Harden misses three point jump shot112
65.2%
111
34.8%
OT1 - 1:2276ersJames Harden defensive rebound112
52.8%
111
47.2%
OT1 - 1:25CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot112
57.4%
111
42.6%
OT1 - 1:4976ersJoel Embiid turnover (offensive foul)112
64.9%
111
35.1%
OT1 - 1:4976ersJoel Embiid offensive foul (Charge) (Marcus Smart draws the foul)112
51.9%
111
48.1%
OT1 - 2:07CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (James Harden steals)112
51.0%
111
49.0%
OT1 - 2:1676ersTyrese Maxey personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick White draws the foul)112
67.2%
111
32.8%
OT1 - 2:16CelticsCeltics offensive rebound112
67.2%
111
32.8%
OT1 - 2:17CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot112
56.1%
111
43.9%
OT1 - 2:4076ersJoel Embiid makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot112
67.6%
111
32.4%
OT1 - 2:4876ers76ers offensive rebound112
73.0%
109
27.0%
OT1 - 2:5176ersJames Harden misses three point stepback jump shot112
78.1%
109
21.9%
OT1 - 3:0376ersTobias Harris offensive rebound112
71.1%
109
28.9%
OT1 - 3:0876ersJoel Embiid misses three point stepback jump shot112
78.6%
109
21.4%
OT1 - 3:31CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 1112
67.7%
109
32.3%
OT1 - 3:3176ersJames Harden shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)111
66.2%
109
33.8%
OT1 - 3:4176ersP.J. Tucker personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)109
51.7%
109
48.3%
OT1 - 3:5076ersJames Harden turnover (lost ball) (Al Horford steals)109
51.7%
109
48.3%
OT1 - 3:57CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)109
42.1%
109
57.9%
OT1 - 4:09CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)109
42.1%
109
57.9%
OT1 - 4:27CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot109
42.0%
109
58.0%
OT1 - 4:4776ersTyrese Maxey makes two point driving finger roll layup (James Harden assists)107
34.0%
109
66.0%
OT1 - 5:00Al Horford vs. Joel Embiid (James Harden gains possession)107
42.0%
107
58.0%
Q4 - 0:16.476ersJames Harden makes two point driving floating jump shot107
62.1%
107
37.9%
Q4 - 0:28.376ersTyrese Maxey offensive rebound107
74.0%
105
26.0%
Q4 - 0:31.276ersAl Horford blocks Joel Embiid's two point driving layup107
84.8%
105
15.2%
Q4 - 0:51.3CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
70.0%
105
30.0%
Q4 - 0:51.3CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
67.3%
105
32.7%
Q4 - 0:51.376ersP.J. Tucker personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)105
64.1%
105
35.9%
Q4 - 1:0676ersP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 1 of 1105
56.2%
105
43.8%
Q4 - 1:06CelticsMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)105
59.2%
104
40.8%
Q4 - 1:0676ersP.J. Tucker offensive rebound105
78.5%
102
21.5%
Q4 - 1:0776ersTobias Harris misses two point pullup jump shot105
85.3%
102
14.7%
Q4 - 1:2576ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound105
75.9%
102
24.1%
Q4 - 1:28CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point stepback jump shot105
78.7%
102
21.3%
Q4 - 1:5076ersJames Harden makes two point driving finger roll layup105
82.4%
102
17.6%
Q4 - 2:04CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)105
87.5%
100
12.5%
Q4 - 2:2676ersJames Harden makes two point pullup jump shot102
76.9%
100
23.1%
Q4 - 2:52CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point running jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)102
78.9%
98
21.1%
Q4 - 2:56CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound99
64.6%
98
35.4%
Q4 - 2:5976ersAl Horford blocks Joel Embiid's two point fadeaway jump shot99
60.7%
98
39.3%
Q4 - 3:21CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 299
50.8%
98
49.2%
Q4 - 3:21CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 298
49.4%
98
50.6%
Q4 - 3:2176ersJoel Embiid shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)98
58.5%
98
41.5%
Q4 - 3:3876ersJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 298
51.6%
98
48.4%
Q4 - 3:3876ersJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 298
52.7%
97
47.3%
Q4 - 3:38CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)98
54.0%
96
46.0%
Q4 - 3:51CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving dunk (Marcus Smart assists)98
60.0%
96
40.0%
Q4 - 3:57CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound96
51.8%
96
48.2%
Q4 - 3:59CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot96
45.0%
96
55.0%
Q4 - 4:13CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound96
51.8%
96
48.2%
Q4 - 4:1676ersJayson Tatum blocks Tyrese Maxey's two point driving reverse layup96
48.8%
96
51.2%
Q4 - 4:29CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)96
42.0%
96
58.0%
Q4 - 4:4476ersJames Harden defensive rebound96
42.0%
96
58.0%
Q4 - 4:49CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot96
45.0%
96
55.0%
Q4 - 5:02CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound96
50.9%
96
49.1%
Q4 - 5:0476ersAl Horford blocks Joel Embiid's two point driving layup96
48.3%
96
51.7%
Q4 - 5:25CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running reverse layup (Marcus Smart assists)96
42.4%
96
57.6%
Q4 - 5:28CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound94
35.2%
96
64.8%
Q4 - 5:3376ersJayson Tatum blocks Georges Niang's three point jump shot94
32.8%
96
67.2%
Q4 - 5:39CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (James Harden steals)94
27.8%
96
72.2%
Q4 - 5:41CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound94
35.2%
96
64.8%
Q4 - 5:4376ersTyrese Maxey misses two point pullup jump shot94
32.8%
96
67.2%
Q4 - 6:13CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)94
29.0%
96
71.0%
Q4 - 6:2876ers76ers turnover (shot clock violation)91
19.5%
96
80.5%
Q4 - 6:57CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)91
14.5%
96
85.5%
Q4 - 7:1576ersJoel Embiid makes two point running layup (James Harden assists)88
10.8%
96
89.2%
Q4 - 7:21CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (lost ball) (James Harden steals)88
13.0%
94
87.0%
Q4 - 7:26CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound88
17.1%
94
82.9%
Q4 - 7:2876ersJoel Embiid misses two point jump shot88
15.7%
94
84.3%
Q4 - 7:47CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 288
13.0%
94
87.0%
Q4 - 7:47CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 287
12.4%
94
87.6%
Q4 - 7:4776ersGeorges Niang shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)86
11.7%
94
88.3%
Q4 - 7:5776ersJames Harden makes two point driving floating jump shot86
10.7%
94
89.3%
Q4 - 8:21CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)86
14.4%
92
85.6%
Q4 - 8:2176ersJames Harden defensive rebound86
14.4%
92
85.6%
Q4 - 8:26CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup86
15.4%
92
84.6%
Q4 - 8:39CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound86
17.9%
92
82.1%
Q4 - 8:4276ersTyrese Maxey misses three point jump shot86
16.7%
92
83.3%
Q4 - 8:57CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 286
14.3%
92
85.7%
Q4 - 8:57CelticsJayson Tatum misses regular free throw 1 of 285
13.9%
92
86.1%
Q4 - 8:5776ersDe'Anthony Melton shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)85
16.6%
92
83.4%
Q4 - 9:00CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound85
14.5%
92
85.5%
Q4 - 9:0376ersJoel Embiid misses two point driving hook shot85
14.9%
92
85.1%
Q4 - 9:23CelticsRobert Williams III personal foul (Loose ball) (De'Anthony Melton draws the foul)85
12.7%
92
87.3%
Q4 - 9:2376ers76ers defensive rebound85
12.7%
92
87.3%
Q4 - 9:23CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup85
13.6%
92
86.4%
Q4 - 9:4076ersTobias Harris turnover (out of bounds lost ball)85
15.7%
92
84.3%
Q4 - 9:57CelticsDerrick White makes two point running dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)85
12.6%
92
87.4%
Q4 - 9:59CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound83
10.4%
92
89.6%
Q4 - 10:0376ersGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot83
11.0%
92
89.0%
Q4 - 10:0876ersJames Harden defensive rebound83
9.4%
92
90.6%
Q4 - 10:11CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point stepback jump shot83
10.1%
92
89.9%
Q4 - 10:2576ers76ers turnover (shot clock violation)83
11.7%
92
88.3%
Q4 - 10:2576ers76ers offensive rebound83
9.4%
92
90.6%
Q4 - 10:2676ersPaul Reed misses two point hook shot83
10.9%
92
89.1%
Q4 - 10:4876ersPaul Reed defensive rebound83
9.4%
92
90.6%
Q4 - 10:52CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot83
10.0%
92
90.0%
Q4 - 10:56CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound83
11.6%
92
88.4%
Q4 - 10:59CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot83
10.0%
92
90.0%
Q4 - 11:0876ersDe'Anthony Melton personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)83
12.6%
92
87.4%
Q4 - 11:14CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound83
12.6%
92
87.4%
Q4 - 11:16CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point turnaround jump shot83
11.0%
92
89.0%
Q4 - 11:2976ersTobias Harris personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)83
12.6%
92
87.4%
Q4 - 11:3576ersTobias Harris personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)83
12.5%
92
87.5%
Q4 - 11:39CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound83
12.5%
92
87.5%
Q4 - 11:4276ersJames Harden misses two point stepback jump shot83
11.8%
92
88.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.83
10.4%
92
89.6%
Q3 - 0:01.976ersTyrese Maxey makes two point driving finger roll layup83
13.7%
92
86.3%
Q3 - 0:17.1CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 283
16.2%
90
83.8%
Q3 - 0:17.1CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 282
15.8%
90
84.2%
Q3 - 0:17.176ersGeorges Niang personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)81
15.4%
90
84.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound81
13.6%
90
86.4%
Q3 - 0:29.576ersTobias Harris misses three point pullup jump shot81
12.9%
90
87.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 181
11.5%
90
88.5%
Q3 - 0:47.076ersTobias Harris shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)80
11.2%
90
88.8%
Q3 - 0:51.876ersGeorges Niang personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)78
8.0%
90
92.0%
Q3 - 1:00CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound78
8.0%
90
92.0%
Q3 - 1:0276ersJoel Embiid misses two point pullup jump shot78
8.6%
90
91.4%
Q3 - 1:18CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)78
7.5%
90
92.5%
Q3 - 1:3776ersTobias Harris makes three point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)75
5.3%
90
94.7%
Q3 - 1:51CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point cutting dunk (Jayson Tatum assists)75
7.5%
87
92.5%
Q3 - 2:1376ersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Tobias Harris assists)73
7.2%
87
92.8%
Q3 - 2:2376ersDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound73
9.8%
84
90.2%
Q3 - 2:27CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point pullup jump shot73
10.3%
84
89.7%
Q3 - 2:4176ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 273
11.6%
84
88.4%
Q3 - 2:4176ersJoel Embiid misses regular free throw 1 of 273
11.8%
83
88.2%
Q3 - 2:41CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)73
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q3 - 2:52CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)73
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q3 - 3:09CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Malcolm Brogdon assists)73
12.2%
83
87.8%
Q3 - 3:17CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound71
10.8%
83
89.2%
Q3 - 3:2176ersRobert Williams III blocks Tyrese Maxey's two point running layup71
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q3 - 3:27Jump ball. James Harden vs. Grant Williams (Georges Niang gains possession)71
9.0%
83
91.0%
Q3 - 3:48CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound71
10.7%
83
89.3%
Q3 - 3:4976ersJoel Embiid misses two point turnaround jump shot71
10.2%
83
89.8%
Q3 - 4:03CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 2 of 271
9.7%
83
90.3%
Q3 - 4:03CelticsRobert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 270
9.4%
83
90.6%
Q3 - 4:0376ersGeorges Niang shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)70
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q3 - 4:15CelticsCeltics defensive rebound70
10.0%
83
90.0%
Q3 - 4:1676ersTyrese Maxey misses three point pullup jump shot70
9.4%
83
90.6%
Q3 - 4:31CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)70
8.3%
83
91.7%
Q3 - 4:4176ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 267
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q3 - 4:4176ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 267
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q3 - 4:41CelticsGrant Williams shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)67
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q3 - 5:05CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving finger roll layup67
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 5:2276ersTyrese Maxey makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)65
6.9%
81
93.1%
Q3 - 5:45CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup65
9.1%
78
90.9%
Q3 - 6:0276ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 263
8.6%
78
91.4%
Q3 - 6:0276ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 263
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q3 - 6:02CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)63
8.9%
76
91.1%
Q3 - 6:25CelticsGrant Williams makes two point reverse layup (Jayson Tatum assists)63
9.7%
76
90.3%
Q3 - 6:4876ersJames Harden makes three point running pullup jump shot61
8.5%
76
91.5%
Q3 - 6:5376ersJames Harden defensive rebound61
11.1%
73
88.9%
Q3 - 6:57CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot61
11.6%
73
88.4%
Q3 - 7:0676ersJoel Embiid makes two point jump shot (James Harden assists)61
13.6%
73
86.4%
Q3 - 7:35CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)61
15.1%
71
84.9%
Q3 - 7:5476ersJames Harden makes two point stepback jump shot58
11.9%
71
88.1%
Q3 - 8:1076ersP.J. Tucker defensive rebound58
13.8%
69
86.2%
Q3 - 8:12CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot58
14.4%
69
85.6%
Q3 - 8:2076ersTobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 258
15.9%
69
84.1%
Q3 - 8:2076ersTobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 258
16.2%
68
83.8%
Q3 - 8:20CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)58
16.4%
67
83.6%
Q3 - 8:2176ersTobias Harris offensive rebound58
17.5%
67
82.5%
Q3 - 8:2476ersJames Harden misses three point pullup jump shot58
19.3%
67
80.7%
Q3 - 8:4576ersTyrese Maxey defensive rebound58
17.5%
67
82.5%
Q3 - 8:49CelticsDerrick White misses three point jump shot58
18.3%
67
81.7%
Q3 - 9:1876ersJoel Embiid makes two point driving floating jump shot (James Harden assists)58
20.5%
67
79.5%
Q3 - 9:39CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Al Horford assists)58
22.5%
65
77.5%
Q3 - 9:5976ersP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Maxey assists)56
20.5%
65
79.5%
Q3 - 10:22CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup56
25.5%
62
74.5%
Q3 - 10:3376ersJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot54
23.3%
62
76.7%
Q3 - 10:3776ersJoel Embiid offensive rebound54
28.1%
59
71.9%
Q3 - 10:4076ersAl Horford blocks Joel Embiid's two point pullup jump shot54
30.3%
59
69.7%
Q3 - 10:53CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point putback layup54
28.1%
59
71.9%
Q3 - 10:53CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound52
25.8%
59
74.2%
Q3 - 11:01CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot52
24.2%
59
75.8%
Q3 - 11:14CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound52
26.0%
59
74.0%
Q3 - 11:1676ersJoel Embiid misses two point pullup jump shot52
25.2%
59
74.8%
Q3 - 11:41CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jaylen Brown assists)52
23.4%
59
76.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.50
21.2%
59
78.8%
Q2 - 0:00.176ers76ers offensive rebound50
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q2 - 0:00.676ersJoel Embiid misses three point pullup jump shot50
21.1%
59
78.9%
Q2 - 0:01.3CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)50
19.9%
59
80.1%
Q2 - 0:06.876ersJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot47
15.8%
59
84.2%
Q2 - 0:28.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point pullup jump shot (Al Horford assists)47
19.8%
56
80.2%
Q2 - 0:38.1CelticsCeltics defensive rebound45
17.5%
56
82.5%
Q2 - 0:38.176ersTyrese Maxey misses three point pullup jump shot45
17.1%
56
82.9%
Q2 - 0:46.0CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)45
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound42
12.6%
56
87.4%
Q2 - 0:56.376ersJoel Embiid misses two point fadeaway jump shot42
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q2 - 1:13CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point jump shot42
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q2 - 1:15CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound40
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q2 - 1:19CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 2 of 240
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q2 - 1:19CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 240
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q2 - 1:1976ersJoel Embiid shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)40
11.6%
56
88.4%
Q2 - 1:3676ersJoel Embiid makes two point running alley-oop layup (James Harden assists)40
10.6%
56
89.4%
Q2 - 1:4076ersTobias Harris defensive rebound40
12.2%
54
87.8%
Q2 - 1:42CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot40
12.5%
54
87.5%
Q2 - 2:0076ersTobias Harris makes two point running finger roll layup (Joel Embiid assists)40
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q2 - 2:0476ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound40
15.6%
52
84.4%
Q2 - 2:08CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point running pullup jump shot40
16.1%
52
83.9%
Q2 - 2:10CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound40
17.3%
52
82.7%
Q2 - 2:1476ersJayson Tatum blocks Tobias Harris's two point running finger roll layup40
16.8%
52
83.2%
Q2 - 2:19CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Tobias Harris steals)40
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q2 - 2:4676ersTyrese Maxey makes three point pullup jump shot40
17.2%
52
82.8%
Q2 - 3:07CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 240
21.4%
49
78.6%
Q2 - 3:07CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 239
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 3:0776ersP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)38
20.9%
49
79.1%
Q2 - 3:09CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound38
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q2 - 3:1376ersJoel Embiid misses two point pullup jump shot38
19.2%
49
80.8%
Q2 - 3:27CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point running pullup jump shot38
17.8%
49
82.2%
Q2 - 3:31CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound35
14.9%
49
85.1%
Q2 - 3:3376ersJames Harden misses two point driving layup35
14.4%
49
85.6%
Q2 - 3:3976ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound35
13.2%
49
86.8%
Q2 - 3:42CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot35
13.7%
49
86.3%
Q2 - 3:5876ersJoel Embiid makes two point jump shot35
14.9%
49
85.1%
Q2 - 4:17CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point running reverse layup (Al Horford assists)35
16.9%
47
83.1%
Q2 - 4:2176ersJoel Embiid turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)33
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 4:3976ersTobias Harris defensive rebound33
13.9%
47
86.1%
Q2 - 4:42CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot33
14.3%
47
85.7%
Q2 - 4:5176ersJames Harden personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)33
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 4:5976ersJoel Embiid makes two point pullup jump shot (James Harden assists)33
15.3%
47
84.7%
Q2 - 5:0876ersJames Harden defensive rebound33
17.0%
45
83.0%
Q2 - 5:11CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot33
17.6%
45
82.4%
Q2 - 5:3776ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 233
18.9%
45
81.1%
Q2 - 5:3776ersJoel Embiid misses regular free throw 1 of 233
19.2%
44
80.8%
Q2 - 5:37CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)33
17.8%
44
82.2%
Q2 - 5:3776ersJoel Embiid offensive rebound33
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q2 - 5:3776ersTobias Harris misses two point driving floating jump shot33
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q2 - 6:0076ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound33
18.6%
44
81.4%
Q2 - 6:01CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot33
19.8%
44
80.2%
Q2 - 6:08CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound33
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 6:1076ersDe'Anthony Melton misses two point running layup33
20.6%
44
79.4%
Q2 - 6:14CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (De'Anthony Melton steals)33
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 6:22CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound33
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 6:2576ersGeorges Niang misses three point jump shot33
20.5%
44
79.5%
Q2 - 6:4376ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound33
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 6:46CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot33
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 6:49CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound33
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 6:5276ersJayson Tatum blocks James Harden's two point driving finger roll layup33
20.5%
44
79.5%
Q2 - 7:1576ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound33
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 7:19CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot33
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q2 - 7:2676ersDe'Anthony Melton turnover (out of bounds bad pass)33
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 7:2876ersDe'Anthony Melton defensive rebound33
19.6%
44
80.4%
Q2 - 7:31CelticsGeorges Niang blocks Jayson Tatum's two point driving layup33
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q2 - 7:5076ersJames Harden makes three point jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)33
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 8:1076ersPaul Reed defensive rebound33
25.3%
41
74.7%
Q2 - 8:14CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point stepback jump shot33
25.9%
41
74.1%
Q2 - 8:2376ersJames Harden makes two point stepback jump shot33
27.4%
41
72.6%
Q2 - 8:48CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point running jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)33
29.4%
39
70.6%
Q2 - 8:53CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound30
25.4%
39
74.6%
Q2 - 8:5876ersDe'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot30
24.8%
39
75.2%
Q2 - 9:0376ersJames Harden defensive rebound30
23.6%
39
76.4%
Q2 - 9:05CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point driving finger roll layup30
24.1%
39
75.9%
Q2 - 9:1776ersGeorges Niang makes three point pullup jump shot (James Harden assists)30
25.5%
39
74.5%
Q2 - 9:34CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point stepback jump shot30
29.5%
36
70.5%
Q2 - 9:4676ersJames Harden makes two point driving floating jump shot27
25.5%
36
74.5%
Q2 - 9:5776ersPaul Reed defensive rebound27
27.4%
34
72.6%
Q2 - 10:00CelticsRobert Williams III misses regular free throw 2 of 227
27.7%
34
72.3%
Q2 - 10:00CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 1 of 227
28.9%
34
71.1%
Q2 - 10:0076ersTobias Harris shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)26
28.3%
34
71.7%
Q2 - 10:00CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound26
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 10:02CelticsJames Harden blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point fadeaway jump shot26
26.5%
34
73.5%
Q2 - 10:1376ersDe'Anthony Melton personal foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)26
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 10:2076ersJames Harden makes two point stepback jump shot26
27.9%
34
72.1%
Q2 - 10:34CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup26
29.8%
32
70.2%
Q2 - 10:4476ersJames Harden makes three point stepback jump shot24
27.8%
32
72.2%
Q2 - 11:06CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point jump shot (Robert Williams III assists)24
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q2 - 11:2176ersPaul Reed makes two point reverse dunk (James Harden assists)21
28.2%
29
71.8%
Q2 - 11:40CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point pullup jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)21
30.3%
27
69.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.19
28.2%
27
71.8%
Q1 - 0:00.176ers76ers offensive rebound19
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q1 - 0:00.476ersGrant Williams blocks Tobias Harris's three point running jump shot19
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q1 - 0:01.976ersTobias Harris defensive rebound19
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q1 - 0:03.9CelticsDerrick White misses two point tip layup19
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q1 - 0:03.9CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound19
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q1 - 0:04.5CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point fadeaway jump shot19
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q1 - 0:23.7CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound19
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q1 - 0:24.376ersTyrese Maxey misses two point tip layup19
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q1 - 0:24.376ersTyrese Maxey offensive rebound19
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q1 - 0:27.376ersTyrese Maxey misses two point driving floating jump shot19
27.8%
27
72.2%
Q1 - 0:35.576ersTobias Harris defensive rebound19
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q1 - 0:37.6CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating bank jump shot19
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q1 - 0:44.476ersDe'Anthony Melton personal foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)19
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q1 - 0:44.4CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound19
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q1 - 0:47.9CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot19
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q1 - 1:0176ersJoel Embiid makes two point fadeaway jump shot19
28.6%
27
71.4%
Q1 - 1:1976ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound19
30.7%
25
69.3%
Q1 - 1:23CelticsGrant Williams misses three point jump shot19
31.2%
25
68.8%
Q1 - 1:3576ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 119
32.5%
25
67.5%
Q1 - 1:35CelticsMarcus Smart shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)19
32.8%
24
67.2%
Q1 - 1:50CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
36.9%
22
63.1%
Q1 - 1:56CelticsGrant Williams offensive rebound19
38.8%
22
61.2%
Q1 - 2:01CelticsTyrese Maxey blocks Derrick White's two point driving floating jump shot19
37.6%
22
62.4%
Q1 - 2:1576ersGeorges Niang makes three point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)19
39.2%
22
60.8%
Q1 - 2:3576ersTyrese Maxey defensive rebound19
43.4%
19
56.6%
Q1 - 2:37CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot19
44.1%
19
55.9%
Q1 - 2:4476ersGeorges Niang personal foul (Grant Williams draws the foul)19
45.8%
19
54.2%
Q1 - 2:5976ersJames Harden makes two point driving finger roll layup19
45.8%
19
54.2%
Q1 - 3:19CelticsDerrick White makes three point pullup jump shot19
47.5%
17
52.5%
Q1 - 3:3976ersJames Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 216
43.5%
17
56.5%
Q1 - 3:3976ersJames Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 216
43.8%
16
56.2%
Q1 - 3:39CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)16
44.1%
15
55.9%
Q1 - 3:5376ersTyrese Maxey defensive rebound16
45.3%
15
54.7%
Q1 - 3:55CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot16
46.1%
15
53.9%
Q1 - 4:01CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound16
47.7%
15
52.3%
Q1 - 4:0376ersJoel Embiid misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot16
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 4:18CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Tyrese Maxey draws the foul)16
45.3%
15
54.7%
Q1 - 4:1876ersTyrese Maxey offensive rebound16
45.3%
15
54.7%
Q1 - 4:2076ersTobias Harris misses three point jump shot16
47.0%
15
53.0%
Q1 - 4:33CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 2 of 216
45.3%
15
54.7%
Q1 - 4:33CelticsAl Horford makes regular free throw 1 of 215
44.9%
15
55.1%
Q1 - 4:3376ersP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Al Horford draws the foul)14
44.5%
15
55.5%
Q1 - 4:33CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound14
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 4:33CelticsAl Horford misses two point tip layup14
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 4:34CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound14
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 4:34CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point running layup14
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 4:3776ersTyrese Maxey turnover (bad pass) (Jayson Tatum steals)14
43.5%
15
56.5%
Q1 - 4:3876ersTyrese Maxey offensive rebound14
41.2%
15
58.8%
Q1 - 4:4176ersDerrick White blocks Tyrese Maxey's two point running layup14
42.8%
15
57.2%
Q1 - 4:4576ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound14
41.1%
15
58.9%
Q1 - 4:48CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving floating jump shot14
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 4:49CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound14
43.5%
15
56.5%
Q1 - 4:53CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot14
41.9%
15
58.1%
Q1 - 5:1876ersTyrese Maxey makes two point tip layup14
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 5:1876ersTyrese Maxey offensive rebound14
45.3%
13
54.7%
Q1 - 5:2276ersTyrese Maxey misses two point driving floating jump shot14
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 5:3876ersJames Harden defensive rebound14
45.3%
13
54.7%
Q1 - 5:42CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot14
46.0%
13
54.0%
Q1 - 5:46CelticsJayson Tatum offensive rebound14
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 5:50CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot14
46.0%
13
54.0%
Q1 - 6:1376ersJoel Embiid makes two point turnaround jump shot (Tobias Harris assists)14
47.4%
13
52.6%
Q1 - 6:3276ersTobias Harris defensive rebound14
49.4%
11
50.6%
Q1 - 6:35CelticsDerrick White misses two point driving floating jump shot14
50.0%
11
50.0%
Q1 - 6:40CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound14
51.4%
11
48.6%
Q1 - 6:4476ersAl Horford blocks James Harden's two point running layup14
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 6:48CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Joel Embiid steals)14
49.4%
11
50.6%
Q1 - 6:51CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound14
51.4%
11
48.6%
Q1 - 6:5376ersP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot14
50.8%
11
49.2%
Q1 - 7:10CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running dunk (Marcus Smart assists)14
49.2%
11
50.8%
Q1 - 7:13CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound12
47.5%
11
52.5%
Q1 - 7:1876ersTyrese Maxey misses three point jump shot12
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 7:2776ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound12
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 7:30CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point stepback jump shot12
46.0%
11
54.0%
Q1 - 7:36CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound12
47.5%
11
52.5%
Q1 - 7:3876ersP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot12
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 7:52CelticsDerrick White makes two point cutting layup (Al Horford assists)12
45.3%
11
54.7%
Q1 - 8:0876ersTobias Harris turnover (out of bounds lost ball)10
43.7%
11
56.3%
Q1 - 8:21CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot10
41.6%
11
58.4%
Q1 - 8:3776ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 27
38.1%
11
61.9%
Q1 - 8:3776ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 27
38.3%
10
61.7%
Q1 - 8:37CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)7
38.6%
9
61.4%
Q1 - 8:3776ersJoel Embiid offensive rebound7
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 8:4076ersTobias Harris misses three point jump shot7
41.2%
9
58.8%
Q1 - 8:4376ersP.J. Tucker offensive rebound7
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 8:4576ersP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot7
41.2%
9
58.8%
Q1 - 8:54CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)7
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 9:16CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound4
36.4%
9
63.6%
Q1 - 9:1876ersJoel Embiid misses regular free throw 2 of 24
36.1%
9
63.9%
Q1 - 9:1876ersJoel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 24
34.9%
9
65.1%
Q1 - 9:18CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)4
35.2%
8
64.8%
Q1 - 9:34CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point layup4
36.2%
8
63.8%
Q1 - 9:5076ersTobias Harris makes two point turnaround bank jump shot2
34.6%
8
65.4%
Q1 - 10:01CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Tyrese Maxey steals)2
36.2%
6
63.8%
Q1 - 10:1476ersJames Harden makes two point driving floating jump shot2
38.1%
6
61.9%
Q1 - 10:24CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)2
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 10:27CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Tyrese Maxey steals)2
39.7%
4
60.3%
Q1 - 10:4776ersTyrese Maxey makes two point stepback jump shot2
41.6%
4
58.4%
Q1 - 11:00CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot2
43.3%
2
56.7%
Q1 - 11:06CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound0
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 11:1076ersJoel Embiid misses three point pullup jump shot0
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 11:1976ersJoel Embiid defensive rebound0
39.7%
2
60.3%
Q1 - 11:22CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point pullup jump shot0
40.2%
2
59.8%
Q1 - 11:4176ersJoel Embiid makes two point cutting layup (James Harden assists)0
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 12:00Al Horford vs. Joel Embiid (James Harden gains possession)0
43.1%
0
56.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.15 57.5%
PHI
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
19
25
76%
PHI
16
30
53%
Midrange
BOS
5
18
28%
PHI
13
27
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
17
25.5
44
39%
58%
PHI
13
19.5
34
38%
57%
Free Throws
BOS
16
22
73%
PHI
19
22
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum2452%12.0 / 23
J. Brown2368%11.5 / 17
M. Smart2162%10.5 / 17
M. Brogdon1968%9.5 / 14
D. White1255%6.0 / 11
A. Horford1050%5.0 / 10
R. Williams467%2.0 / 3
G. Williams250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden4284%21.0 / 25
J. Embiid3452%17.0 / 33
T. Maxey1441%7.0 / 17
T. Harris941%4.5 / 11
G. Niang975%4.5 / 6
P. Tucker660%3.0 / 5
P. Reed250%1.0 / 2
D. Melton0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
85
+15
-10
100
PHI
88
+17
-7
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.15 57.5%
PHI
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
116.6
111.2
BOS 121.1
PHI 122.1 +1.1
Pace
95.5
91.3
BOS 86.2 +0.3
PHI 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
16.5
BOS 16.7 +0.1
PHI 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
56.0%
51.0%
BOS 56.9% +3.6%
PHI 53.3%
TO %
12.6%
11.6%
BOS 9.4%
PHI 8.2% +1.2%
ORB %
23.1%
23.5%
BOS 28.9% +1.0%
PHI 27.9%
FTrt
23.3
22.7
BOS 25.3 +1.1
PHI 24.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
52.0%
BOS 61.0% +15.8%
PHI 45.2%
STL %
6.3%
8.3%
BOS 3.2%
PHI 9.5% +6.3%
BLK %
11.7%
11.9%
BOS 21.1% +14.1%
PHI 7.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.9%
53.2%
BOS 57.5% +2.3%
PHI 55.2%
Rim FG%
64.3%
54.9%
BOS 76.0% +22.7%
PHI 53.3%
Mid FG%
45.1%
42.7%
BOS 27.8%
PHI 48.1% +20.3%
3P %
36.4%
35.9%
BOS 38.6% +0.4%
PHI 38.2%
FT %
81.0%
88.6%
BOS 72.7%
PHI 86.4% +13.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
30.7%
BOS 28.7%
PHI 33.0% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
20.4%
28.9%
BOS 20.7% +9.0%
PHI 29.7%
3P Att. %
45.2%
40.4%
BOS 50.6% +13.2%
PHI 37.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.14 and 2.14.
Game TotalsBOSPHI
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes26.426.6
Points115116
Rebounds4444
Assists2519
Steals39
Blocks123
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)7 (2)
Fouls2123
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (2)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)32 (1)
Field Goals41-8742-91
At-the-Rim FG19-2516-30
Midrange FG5-1813-27
2-Point FG24-4329-57
3-Point FG17-4413-34
Free Throws16-2219-22
Fast Break Pts229
2nd Chance Pts919
Points in Paint4242
Pts off Turnovers129
Bench Points2511
Biggest Lead516

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25
47.2
24
52%
18
6
1
4
2
3
4
14
5-7
71%
8-14
57%
1-6
17%
#7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27
44.4
23
68%
3
5
0
0
1
3
1
2
0-2
0%
7-8
88%
3-8
38%
#36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 29
42.4
21
62%
3
7
0
0
3
3
0
3
5-5
100%
2-5
40%
4-10
40%
#42 · C · 6'10" 245 · 37
37.9
10
50%
7
4
2
5
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
#9 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 29
30.7
12
55%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
#13 · PG · 6'4" 229 · 30
35.6
19
68%
8
2
0
0
2
5
3
5
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
5-8
63%
#44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 26
14.3
4
67%
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#12 · PF · 6'6" 236 · 24
12.4
2
50%
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#57 · C · 6'11" 240 · 32
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · C · 7'1" 250 · 28
DNP – Coach's Decision
#99 · SF · 6'6" 206 · 22
DNP – Coach's Decision
#91 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
#8 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 35
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
115
57%
44
25
3
12
10
21
13
31
16-22
73%
24-43
56%
17-44
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.