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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 5, 2023
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Nuggets45%111114
5Suns55%113121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
41.9
38.2
30
67%
17
17
0
1
1
6
6
11
7-8
88%
10-17
10-16
59%
62%
1-2
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.2
40.9
38.3
32
51%
6
5
1
1
1
2
1
5
5-6
83%
12-23
5-10
52%
50%
1-6
17%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.6
39.1
37.5
9
30%
7
1
0
1
2
0
6
1
3-4
75%
3-10
5-9
30%
58%
0-3
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.8
36.6
28.5
21
73%
12
0
0
1
1
2
1
11
1-1
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
58%
6-10
60%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.2
34.5
34.4
2
25%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.7
23.4
25.0
11
46%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
54%
1-3
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.7
13.7
16.7
7
70%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
56%
1-3
33%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.0
9.9
14.1
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.3
2.1
0
0-0
60%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.6
1.8
0
0-0
53%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.1
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.1
1.6
0
0-0
58%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.8
1.3
0
0-0
63%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.8
0.9
0
0-0
44%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.8
0.5
0
0-0
67%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 34.6
43.4
40.7
39
51%
9
8
0
1
2
0
0
9
14-16
88%
11-26
7-12
42%
57%
1-5
20%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 26.5
41.6
42.5
47
91%
6
9
3
1
1
3
0
6
2-2
100%
15-17
9-16
88%
54%
5-8
63%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.7
29.6
11.3
7
39%
0
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Deandre Ayton
F-C · 7'1" 250 · 24.8
25.6
32.6
4
33%
9
0
0
1
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
2-6
7-12
33%
60%
0-0
-
Josh Okogie
G · 6'5" 211 · 24.7
10.0
21.4
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
T.J. Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
25.8
1.3
7
50%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
53%
1-2
50%
Landry Shamet
G · 6'5" 188 · 26.1
25.0
5.9
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Jock Landale
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.5
22.1
6.0
6
100%
9
0
1
0
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
60%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 32.2
13.9
2.2
5
36%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
1-6
17%
Torrey Craig
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.4
3.1
16.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-1
0%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 38.0
29.4
1
3-7
52%
Damion Lee
G · 6'6" 210 · 30.5
18.0
0
1-2
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 30.7
8.5
0
1-2
57%
Ish Wainright
F · 6'5" 250 · 28.6
2.8
0
0-0
50%
Darius Bazley
F · 6'9" 208 · 22.9
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.