Final Win Prob. pScore
1027%101
123
173%110
116
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
126.89793.3
BOS logo Celtics
119.697101.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.123
116
Q4 - 0:11.0HeatMax Strus defensive rebound123
116
Q4 - 0:13.9CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot123
116
Q4 - 0:17.5HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2123
116
Q4 - 0:17.5HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 2122
116
Q4 - 0:17.5CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)122
116
Q4 - 0:21.1CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating bank jump shot122
116
Q4 - 0:22.5CelticsMalcolm Brogdon offensive rebound122
114
Q4 - 0:24.6CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot122
114
Q4 - 0:27.7Celtics 60 second timeout122
114
Q4 - 0:27.7HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2122
114
Q4 - 0:27.7HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2121
114
Q4 - 0:27.7CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Take) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)120
114
Q4 - 0:34.5CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)120
114
Q4 - 0:37.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2120
114
Q4 - 0:37.7CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2120
113
Q4 - 0:37.7HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)120
112
Q4 - 0:44.1HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)120
112
Q4 - 0:56.8CelticsMarcus Smart makes two point driving layup120
112
Q4 - 1:03HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot120
110
Q4 - 1:27CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (traveling)117
110
Q4 - 1:28CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound117
110
Q4 - 1:29CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving reverse layup117
110
Q4 - 1:39CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound117
110
Q4 - 1:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot117
110
Q4 - 1:57CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (traveling)117
110
Q4 - 2:10HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)117
110
Q4 - 2:31HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound114
110
Q4 - 2:31CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 2 of 2114
110
Q4 - 2:31CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
110
Q4 - 2:31HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)114
109
Q4 - 2:39CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound114
109
Q4 - 2:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot114
109
Q4 - 2:58CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)114
109
Q4 - 3:19Celtics 60 second timeout114
109
Q4 - 3:19Stoppage (Out of bounds)114
109
Q4 - 3:19CelticsCeltics defensive rebound114
109
Q4 - 3:23HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot114
109
Q4 - 3:39CelticsAl Horford turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)114
109
Q4 - 3:42CelticsAl Horford offensive rebound114
109
Q4 - 3:44CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot114
109
Q4 - 3:58CelticsMarcus Smart defensive rebound114
109
Q4 - 3:59HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot114
109
Q4 - 4:13HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound114
109
Q4 - 4:15CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point pullup jump shot114
109
Q4 - 4:29HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)114
109
Q4 - 4:47Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)114
109
Q4 - 4:47Heat 60 second timeout114
109
Q4 - 4:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2114
109
Q4 - 4:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2114
108
Q4 - 4:50HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)114
107
Q4 - 4:57CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound114
107
Q4 - 4:58HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot114
107
Q4 - 5:16CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup114
107
Q4 - 5:33HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot114
105
Q4 - 5:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
105
Q4 - 5:50CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
104
Q4 - 5:50HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)112
103
Q4 - 6:10Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)112
103
Q4 - 6:10HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Derrick White draws the foul)112
103
Q4 - 6:10CelticsCeltics defensive rebound112
103
Q4 - 6:11HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup112
103
Q4 - 6:33CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)112
103
Q4 - 6:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot112
103
Q4 - 7:05CelticsMalcolm Brogdon personal foul (Loose ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)110
103
Q4 - 7:05HeatHeat defensive rebound110
103
Q4 - 7:06CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot110
103
Q4 - 7:27HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)110
103
Q4 - 7:49CelticsDerrick White makes three point running jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)108
103
Q4 - 7:54CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound108
100
Q4 - 7:56HeatKyle Lowry misses three point stepback jump shot108
100
Q4 - 8:06Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Jaylen Brown (Kyle Lowry gains possession)108
100
Q4 - 8:06Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)108
100
Q4 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound108
100
Q4 - 8:12HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot108
100
Q4 - 8:28HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound108
100
Q4 - 8:30CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot108
100
Q4 - 8:49HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)108
100
Q4 - 9:06Stoppage (Out of bounds)106
100
Q4 - 9:06HeatHeat defensive rebound106
100
Q4 - 9:08CelticsJaylen Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 1106
100
Q4 - 9:08HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)106
100
Q4 - 9:08CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving layup106
100
Q4 - 9:32HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)106
98
Q4 - 9:48Jump ball. Bam Adebayo vs. Robert Williams III (Jimmy Butler gains possession)103
98
Q4 - 9:51CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)103
98
Q4 - 10:00CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound103
98
Q4 - 10:02HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot103
98
Q4 - 10:26Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)103
98
Q4 - 10:26Heat 60 second timeout103
98
Q4 - 10:27CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot103
98
Q4 - 10:40HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)103
96
Q4 - 10:40HeatHeat offensive rebound103
96
Q4 - 10:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup103
96
Q4 - 11:07CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point stepback jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)103
96
Q4 - 11:13CelticsMalcolm Brogdon defensive rebound103
94
Q4 - 11:15HeatRobert Williams III blocks Cody Zeller's two point driving floating jump shot103
94
Q4 - 11:42CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)103
94
Q4 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)103
91
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Cody Zeller, Caleb Martin)103
91
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.103
91
Q3 - 0:00.0Instant replay103
91
Q3 - 0:01.1CelticsCeltics offensive rebound103
91
Q3 - 0:01.1CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving layup103
91
Q3 - 0:07.6HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)103
91
Q3 - 0:24.2HeatMax Strus defensive rebound100
91
Q3 - 0:26.4CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot100
91
Q3 - 0:31.4HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot100
91
Q3 - 0:41.0CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup98
91
Q3 - 1:02HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)98
89
Q3 - 1:27CelticsDerrick White makes two point driving floating jump shot (Malcolm Brogdon assists)95
89
Q3 - 1:56HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)95
87
Q3 - 2:02HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound92
87
Q3 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup92
87
Q3 - 2:16HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound92
87
Q3 - 2:16CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses regular free throw 1 of 192
87
Q3 - 2:16HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)92
87
Q3 - 2:16CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving floating jump shot (Payton Pritchard assists)92
87
Q3 - 2:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 292
85
Q3 - 2:32Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon)91
85
Q3 - 2:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 291
85
Q3 - 2:32CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)90
85
Q3 - 2:32HeatHeat offensive rebound90
85
Q3 - 2:33HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot90
85
Q3 - 2:46CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 290
85
Q3 - 2:46CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 290
84
Q3 - 2:46Heat 60 second timeout90
84
Q3 - 2:46HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)90
84
Q3 - 2:50CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound90
84
Q3 - 2:52HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot90
84
Q3 - 3:04HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound90
84
Q3 - 3:06CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot90
84
Q3 - 3:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 290
84
Q3 - 3:17Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Cody Zeller, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)89
84
Q3 - 3:17HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 289
84
Q3 - 3:17CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)88
84
Q3 - 3:31CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup88
84
Q3 - 3:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot88
82
Q3 - 4:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 286
82
Q3 - 4:08Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon)86
81
Q3 - 4:08Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)86
81
Q3 - 4:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 286
81
Q3 - 4:08HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)86
80
Q3 - 4:25HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot86
80
Q3 - 4:38CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)83
80
Q3 - 4:53HeatKevin Love makes two point layup83
80
Q3 - 4:54CelticsRobert Williams III turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Love steals)81
80
Q3 - 4:56CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound81
80
Q3 - 4:57HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot81
80
Q3 - 5:21CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point pullup jump shot81
80
Q3 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup81
78
Q3 - 5:47CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)79
78
Q3 - 5:54CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound79
78
Q3 - 5:56HeatJayson Tatum blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup79
78
Q3 - 6:15HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound79
78
Q3 - 6:16CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point fadeaway jump shot79
78
Q3 - 6:28HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 179
78
Q3 - 6:28Celtics 60 second timeout78
78
Q3 - 6:28CelticsJaylen Brown shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)78
78
Q3 - 6:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup78
78
Q3 - 6:28HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound76
78
Q3 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot76
78
Q3 - 6:46CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point running jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)76
78
Q3 - 6:52CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound76
75
Q3 - 6:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup76
75
Q3 - 6:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound76
75
Q3 - 6:55HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot76
75
Q3 - 7:07HeatKevin Love defensive rebound76
75
Q3 - 7:08CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot76
75
Q3 - 7:18Jayson Tatum defensive goaltending violation76
75
Q3 - 7:18HeatMax Strus makes two point running reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)76
75
Q3 - 7:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound74
75
Q3 - 7:23CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot74
75
Q3 - 7:33CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound74
75
Q3 - 7:33HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 174
75
Q3 - 7:33CelticsJayson Tatum shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)74
75
Q3 - 7:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)74
75
Q3 - 7:52CelticsJaylen Brown makes three point pullup jump shot72
75
Q3 - 8:02Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)72
72
Q3 - 8:02HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Loose ball) (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)72
72
Q3 - 8:02CelticsCeltics offensive rebound72
72
Q3 - 8:03CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup72
72
Q3 - 8:24HeatMax Strus makes two point putback layup72
72
Q3 - 8:25HeatMax Strus offensive rebound70
72
Q3 - 8:26HeatMarcus Smart blocks Max Strus's two point running layup70
72
Q3 - 8:29HeatKevin Love defensive rebound70
72
Q3 - 8:31CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot70
72
Q3 - 8:46HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot70
72
Q3 - 9:01CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 268
72
Q3 - 9:01CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 1 of 268
71
Q3 - 9:01HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)68
71
Q3 - 9:12HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)68
71
Q3 - 9:27HeatKevin Love makes three point running jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)68
71
Q3 - 9:32HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound65
71
Q3 - 9:34CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot65
71
Q3 - 9:42HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot65
71
Q3 - 9:59HeatKevin Love defensive rebound62
71
Q3 - 10:01CelticsMarcus Smart misses three point jump shot62
71
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 262
71
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 261
71
Q3 - 10:18CelticsAl Horford shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)61
71
Q3 - 10:26CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)61
71
Q3 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)61
71
Q3 - 10:55CelticsMarcus Smart makes three point stepback jump shot59
71
Q3 - 11:06HeatKevin Love turnover (offensive foul)59
68
Q3 - 11:06HeatKevin Love offensive foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)59
68
Q3 - 11:19CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Marcus Smart assists)59
68
Q3 - 11:25Jump ball. Jaylen Brown vs. Gabe Vincent (Jaylen Brown gains possession)59
66
Q3 - 11:25CelticsCeltics offensive rebound59
66
Q3 - 11:25CelticsGabe Vincent blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving layup59
66
Q3 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot59
66
Q3 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown)57
66
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus)57
66
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.57
66
Q2 - 0:02.1CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound57
66
Q2 - 0:02.1HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving floating jump shot57
66
Q2 - 0:15.2CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point alley-oop dunk (Marcus Smart assists)57
66
Q2 - 0:29.4HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)57
64
Q2 - 0:43.8Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)55
64
Q2 - 0:43.8CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (traveling)55
64
Q2 - 0:49.8CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound55
64
Q2 - 0:52.9HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot55
64
Q2 - 0:55.1HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound55
64
Q2 - 0:57.8CelticsCaleb Martin blocks Jaylen Brown's two point driving dunk55
64
Q2 - 1:12Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)55
64
Q2 - 1:12Gabe Vincent kicked ball violation55
64
Q2 - 1:19HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)55
64
Q2 - 1:34CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup (Al Horford assists)52
64
Q2 - 1:48Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)52
62
Q2 - 1:48HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 152
62
Q2 - 1:48CelticsMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)51
62
Q2 - 1:48HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)51
62
Q2 - 2:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 149
62
Q2 - 2:08HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)49
61
Q2 - 2:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup49
61
Q2 - 2:21Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)49
59
Q2 - 2:21HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)49
59
Q2 - 2:21HeatHeat offensive rebound49
59
Q2 - 2:21HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot49
59
Q2 - 2:46CelticsAl Horford makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)49
59
Q2 - 3:09HeatMax Strus makes two point pullup jump shot49
57
Q2 - 3:24CelticsMarcus Smart turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)47
57
Q2 - 3:29HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)47
57
Q2 - 3:48CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point running layup (Marcus Smart assists)47
57
Q2 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)47
55
Q2 - 4:07Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus)47
55
Q2 - 4:07Heat 60 second timeout47
55
Q2 - 4:08CelticsAl Horford makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)47
55
Q2 - 4:26CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound47
52
Q2 - 4:27HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot47
52
Q2 - 4:47CelticsJaylen Brown makes regular free throw 1 of 147
52
Q2 - 4:47Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)47
51
Q2 - 4:47HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Jaylen Brown draws the foul)47
51
Q2 - 4:47CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point running jump shot47
51
Q2 - 4:52CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound47
49
Q2 - 4:53HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot47
49
Q2 - 5:10CelticsAl Horford makes two point driving layup (Marcus Smart assists)47
49
Q2 - 5:26HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)47
47
Q2 - 5:33CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jaylen Brown assists)44
47
Q2 - 5:45HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)44
45
Q2 - 5:45HeatHeat offensive rebound44
45
Q2 - 5:46HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot44
45
Q2 - 6:09HeatKevin Love defensive rebound44
45
Q2 - 6:09CelticsMarcus Smart misses regular free throw 2 of 244
45
Q2 - 6:09CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 244
45
Q2 - 6:09HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)44
44
Q2 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds lost ball)44
44
Q2 - 6:33CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 2 of 244
44
Q2 - 6:33CelticsJayson Tatum makes regular free throw 1 of 244
43
Q2 - 6:33Celtics lineup change (Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)44
42
Q2 - 6:33Heat lineup change (Kevin Love, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)44
42
Q2 - 6:33Celtics 60 second timeout44
42
Q2 - 6:33HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)44
42
Q2 - 6:52HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot44
42
Q2 - 7:10CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 1 of 142
42
Q2 - 7:10Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry)42
41
Q2 - 7:10HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)42
41
Q2 - 7:10CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point putback layup42
41
Q2 - 7:12CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound42
39
Q2 - 7:13CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup42
39
Q2 - 7:35HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot42
39
Q2 - 7:47CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point driving floating jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)39
39
Q2 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)39
37
Q2 - 8:13HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound39
37
Q2 - 8:14CelticsDerrick White misses three point running jump shot39
37
Q2 - 8:22CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound39
37
Q2 - 8:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot39
37
Q2 - 8:31CelticsDerrick White personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)39
37
Q2 - 8:31HeatHeat offensive rebound39
37
Q2 - 8:32HeatGabe Vincent misses three point stepback jump shot39
37
Q2 - 8:42CelticsRobert Williams III makes regular free throw 2 of 239
37
Q2 - 8:42CelticsRobert Williams III misses regular free throw 1 of 239
36
Q2 - 8:42HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Robert Williams III draws the foul)39
36
Q2 - 8:54CelticsRobert Williams III defensive rebound39
36
Q2 - 8:56HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot39
36
Q2 - 9:01Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Derrick White, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown)39
36
Q2 - 9:01Malcolm Brogdon kicked ball violation39
36
Q2 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
36
Q2 - 9:10CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point jump shot39
36
Q2 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 239
36
Q2 - 9:32Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Derrick White, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)38
36
Q2 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 238
36
Q2 - 9:32CelticsDerrick White shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)38
36
Q2 - 9:42CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes two point driving layup (Derrick White assists)38
36
Q2 - 9:59HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Derrick White steals)38
34
Q2 - 10:14HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound38
34
Q2 - 10:15CelticsDerrick White misses three point pullup jump shot38
34
Q2 - 10:28HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)38
34
Q2 - 10:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
34
Q2 - 10:32CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot35
34
Q2 - 10:44HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)35
34
Q2 - 10:52CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving finger roll layup32
34
Q2 - 11:06HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot32
32
Q2 - 11:14CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
32
Q2 - 11:24CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 2 of 230
32
Q2 - 11:24CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes regular free throw 1 of 230
31
Q2 - 11:24HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Malcolm Brogdon draws the foul)30
30
Q2 - 11:44HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot30
30
Q2 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon)28
30
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo, Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin)28
30
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
30
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound28
30
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot28
30
Q1 - 0:01.3HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound28
30
Q1 - 0:03.9CelticsPayton Pritchard misses three point jump shot28
30
Q1 - 0:23.2CelticsDerrick White defensive rebound28
30
Q1 - 0:25.4HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running layup28
30
Q1 - 0:29.9CelticsJayson Tatum turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)28
30
Q1 - 0:38.5CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound28
30
Q1 - 0:39.7HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot28
30
Q1 - 0:53.8Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)28
30
Q1 - 0:53.8CelticsDerrick White makes three point jump shot28
30
Q1 - 1:07Heat lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Cody Zeller, Caleb Martin)28
27
Q1 - 1:07HeatCody Zeller turnover (offensive foul)28
27
Q1 - 1:07HeatCody Zeller offensive foul (Jayson Tatum draws the foul)28
27
Q1 - 1:12HeatCody Zeller defensive rebound28
27
Q1 - 1:14CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point stepback jump shot28
27
Q1 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot28
27
Q1 - 2:04CelticsMalcolm Brogdon turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)26
27
Q1 - 2:09CelticsDerrick White offensive rebound26
27
Q1 - 2:10CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses three point jump shot26
27
Q1 - 2:20CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound26
27
Q1 - 2:23HeatCody Zeller misses two point driving hook shot26
27
Q1 - 2:39CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point driving layup26
27
Q1 - 2:51Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Payton Pritchard, Al Horford, Jayson Tatum, Malcolm Brogdon)26
25
Q1 - 2:51Celtics 60 second timeout26
25
Q1 - 2:51HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving layup26
25
Q1 - 2:55CelticsJaylen Brown turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)24
25
Q1 - 3:00CelticsJaylen Brown defensive rebound24
25
Q1 - 3:01HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot24
25
Q1 - 3:08HeatCody Zeller offensive rebound24
25
Q1 - 3:10HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot24
25
Q1 - 3:24CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point cutting layup (Marcus Smart assists)24
25
Q1 - 3:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot24
23
Q1 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound22
23
Q1 - 3:39HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup bank jump shot22
23
Q1 - 3:55CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 2 of 222
23
Q1 - 3:55CelticsMarcus Smart makes regular free throw 1 of 222
22
Q1 - 3:55HeatCody Zeller shooting foul (Marcus Smart draws the foul)22
21
Q1 - 4:00Stoppage (Out of bounds)22
21
Q1 - 4:00CelticsCeltics offensive rebound22
21
Q1 - 4:01CelticsKyle Lowry blocks Malcolm Brogdon's two point running layup22
21
Q1 - 4:05HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Marcus Smart steals)22
21
Q1 - 4:21CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point tip layup22
21
Q1 - 4:21CelticsJaylen Brown offensive rebound22
19
Q1 - 4:22CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround jump shot22
19
Q1 - 4:26Celtics lineup change (Derrick White, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)22
19
Q1 - 4:26Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Cody Zeller, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)22
19
Q1 - 4:26Stoppage (Out of bounds)22
19
Q1 - 4:37HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)22
19
Q1 - 4:54HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound19
19
Q1 - 4:56CelticsMalcolm Brogdon misses two point driving floating jump shot19
19
Q1 - 5:11HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 219
19
Q1 - 5:11Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Derrick White, Marcus Smart, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)18
19
Q1 - 5:11Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)18
19
Q1 - 5:11HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 218
19
Q1 - 5:11CelticsMalcolm Brogdon shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)17
19
Q1 - 5:28CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)17
19
Q1 - 5:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot17
16
Q1 - 5:55Celtics 60 second timeout15
16
Q1 - 5:55CelticsJayson Tatum personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)15
16
Q1 - 6:01CelticsJayson Tatum makes three point jump shot (Marcus Smart assists)15
16
Q1 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup15
13
Q1 - 6:30CelticsMalcolm Brogdon makes three point running jump shot (Jayson Tatum assists)13
13
Q1 - 6:34CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound13
10
Q1 - 6:36HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot13
10
Q1 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
10
Q1 - 6:47CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot13
10
Q1 - 7:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 213
10
Q1 - 7:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 212
10
Q1 - 7:03CelticsRobert Williams III shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
10
Q1 - 7:15Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Malcolm Brogdon)11
10
Q1 - 7:15CelticsJaylen Brown personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)11
10
Q1 - 7:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
10
Q1 - 7:22CelticsAl Horford misses two point jump shot11
10
Q1 - 7:35HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)11
10
Q1 - 7:44HeatKevin Love defensive rebound8
10
Q1 - 7:46CelticsJayson Tatum misses three point pullup jump shot8
10
Q1 - 7:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)8
10
Q1 - 8:08CelticsJayson Tatum makes two point running dunk (Al Horford assists)6
10
Q1 - 8:12HeatKevin Love turnover (bad pass) (Al Horford steals)6
8
Q1 - 8:19CelticsMarcus Smart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)6
8
Q1 - 8:35CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point cutting dunk (Marcus Smart assists)6
8
Q1 - 8:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot6
6
Q1 - 9:07CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point putback layup4
6
Q1 - 9:09CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound4
4
Q1 - 9:11CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point running layup4
4
Q1 - 9:16CelticsAl Horford defensive rebound4
4
Q1 - 9:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot4
4
Q1 - 9:38CelticsJaylen Brown makes two point floating jump shot4
4
Q1 - 9:49HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot4
2
Q1 - 10:11CelticsRobert Williams III makes two point putback layup2
2
Q1 - 10:13CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:15CelticsMarcus Smart misses two point pullup jump shot2
0
Q1 - 10:24CelticsJayson Tatum defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot2
0
Q1 - 10:40HeatKevin Love defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:41CelticsJaylen Brown misses two point pullup jump shot2
0
Q1 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point reverse layup2
0
Q1 - 11:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:09CelticsAl Horford misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 11:22HeatKevin Love turnover (out of bounds lost ball)0
0
Q1 - 11:34HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:37CelticsJayson Tatum misses two point driving layup0
0
Q1 - 11:44CelticsRobert Williams III offensive rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:46CelticsJaylen Brown misses three point jump shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Robert Williams III (Marcus Smart gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Celtics lineup change (Robert Williams III, Al Horford, Marcus Smart, Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Kevin Love, Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, Max Strus)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
BOS
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
17
65%
BOS
23
28
82%
Midrange
MIA
19
37
51%
BOS
9
24
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
31
52%
77%
BOS
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
MIA
15
19
79%
BOS
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3560%17.5 / 29
B. Adebayo2067%10.0 / 15
G. Vincent1594%7.5 / 8
M. Strus1575%7.5 / 10
C. Martin1568%7.5 / 11
K. Lowry1563%7.5 / 12
K. Love8100%4.0 / 4
C. Zeller0-0.0 / 2
D. Robinson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Tatum3068%15.0 / 22
J. Brown2252%11.0 / 21
M. Brogdon1959%9.5 / 16
R. Williams14100%7.0 / 7
M. Smart1359%6.5 / 11
D. White1192%5.5 / 6
A. Horford744%3.5 / 8
P. Pritchard0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
85
+13
-12
98
BOS
82
+13
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.26 62.8%
BOS
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
7
114.3
3
116.6
MIA 126.8 +7.2
BOS 119.6
Pace
12
94.4
9
95.5
MIA 93.3
BOS 101.0 +7.8
Avg. Poss. Time
18
15.5
21
15.0
MIA 15.4
BOS 14.3 −1.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
5
53.1%
1
56.0%
MIA 63.5% +5.5%
BOS 58.0%
TO %
4
11.6%
7
12.6%
MIA 13.8%
BOS 13.8%
ORB %
13
21.7%
10
23.1%
MIA 21.9%
BOS 24.3% +2.4%
FTrt
12
22.8
10
23.3
MIA 22.4
BOS 35.8 +13.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
9
59.3%
10
59.1%
MIA 43.5%
BOS 52.4% +8.9%
STL %
5
7.4%
15
6.3%
MIA 12.4% +6.2%
BOS 6.2%
BLK %
11
7.4%
3
11.7%
MIA 5.8% +0.2%
BOS 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
7
55.5%
1
57.9%
MIA 62.8% +1.7%
BOS 61.1%
Rim FG%
11
60.5%
4
64.3%
MIA 64.7%
BOS 82.1% +17.4%
Mid FG%
12
41.3%
6
45.1%
MIA 51.4% +13.9%
BOS 37.5%
3P %
1
38.0%
5
36.4%
MIA 51.6% +17.1%
BOS 34.5%
FT %
5
81.3%
6
81.0%
MIA 78.9% +3.0%
BOS 75.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
12
29.9%
3
34.4%
MIA 20.0%
BOS 34.6% +14.6%
Mid Att. %
13
31.3%
1
20.4%
MIA 43.5%
BOS 29.6% −13.9%
3P Att. %
11
38.8%
2
45.2%
MIA 36.5% +0.7%
BOS 35.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points123116
Rebounds3534
Assists2022
Steals126
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)12 (3)15 (0)
Fouls2218
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (6)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (2)25 (2)
Field Goals46-8542-81
At-the-Rim FG11-1723-28
Midrange FG19-379-24
2-Point FG30-5432-52
3-Point FG16-3110-29
Free Throws15-1922-29
Fast Break Pts1215
2nd Chance Pts1218
Points in Paint4062
Pts off Turnovers2226
Bench Points3030
Biggest Lead1213

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 34
43.2
35
60%
5
7
6
0
3
4
3
2
9-10
90%
10-21
48%
2-4
50%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 26
37.0
20
67%
8
5
1
0
3
3
2
6
2-5
40%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 27
35.8
15
94%
3
2
1
1
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
#31 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 27
34.2
15
75%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
3-5
60%
#42 · PF · 6'10" 251 · 35
16.4
8
100%
6
0
1
0
3
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 28
29.8
15
68%
4
3
2
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 37
27.8
15
63%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
43%
3-5
60%
#44 · C · 7'0" 240 · 31
9.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 29
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 43
DNP – Coach's Decision
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Surgery
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 31
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
63%
35
20
12
3
12
22
7
28
15-19
79%
30-54
56%
16-31
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.