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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 21, 2023
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Celtics
102
10Heat
128
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jayson Tatum
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.2
33
41
14
10
2
2
1
0
3
2
8
1-1
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
53%
1-7
14%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 29.2
30
34
8
9
8
0
1
0
2
2
7
4-5
80%
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
0-3
0%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 26.6
28
38
12
6
2
0
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
6-10
7-13
60%
55%
0-7
0%
Derrick White
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.9
26
22
9
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
53%
3-6
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.0
19
30
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
2-5
40%
Grant Williams
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.5
29
15
12
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
54%
2-3
67%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 30.4
18
29
0
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
51%
0-3
0%
Robert Williams III
F · 6'10" 241 · 25.6
13
25
8
8
0
0
1
0
1
6
2
0-1
0%
4-8
3-4
50%
72%
0-0
-
Payton Pritchard
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.3
12
5
12
2
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
4-6
0-1
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Luke Kornet
F-C · 7'2" 250 · 27.8
12
1
11
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
2-2
100%
3-4
0-0
75%
65%
1-1
100%
Sam Hauser
F · 6'7" 217 · 25.4
12
1
5
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
67%
1-3
33%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
8
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
3-4
75%
0-0
0-0
-
63%
0-2
0%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 34.2
1
0
0-0
50%
Justin Champagnie
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 21.9
1
0
0-0
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 34.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.9
35
36
29
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
1-1
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
49%
6-9
67%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.7
31
40
16
8
6
2
2
0
2
0
8
6-7
86%
5-12
9-17
42%
53%
0-1
0%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.8
26
37
13
3
2
1
1
1
3
0
3
5-6
83%
4-5
8-14
80%
54%
0-0
-
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.1
25
29
10
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
57%
2-8
25%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 34.7
5
15
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.6
35
30
18
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
4-7
57%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.2
28
22
7
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.1
23
16
22
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
56%
5-7
71%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.6
18
9
4
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-2
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.9
5
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
54%
0-0
-
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.9
5
1
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-0
-
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.3
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.0
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.