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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
May 18, 2023
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers31%108103
2Nuggets69%115108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 30.2
41.0
39.1
18
45%
14
4
1
1
4
4
1
13
9-11
82%
3-12
8-15
25%
56%
1-3
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 38.4
40.1
38.8
22
53%
9
10
4
1
2
3
0
9
4-4
100%
9-13
7-12
69%
58%
0-6
0%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 25.0
36.1
38.6
22
67%
3
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
57%
5-9
56%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.2
32.8
29.4
10
51%
3
5
2
1
1
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
1-5
20%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 24.1
16.8
9.8
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
59%
0-0
-
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.3
30.1
23.2
21
89%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
7-8
3-5
88%
54%
1-2
50%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 29.7
29.9
29.3
4
22%
6
0
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 24.4
13.0
19.3
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 32.2
0.2
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
2.2
0
0-0
48%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 26.5
1.9
0
0-0
48%
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.6
1.6
0
0-0
43%
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.3
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 26.1
0.7
0
0-0
57%
Mo Bamba
C · 7'1" 225 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.2
42.7
36.8
37
65%
10
5
4
1
0
3
2
8
9-10
90%
5-10
6-12
50%
51%
6-14
43%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
42.0
40.4
23
49%
17
12
3
1
0
5
4
13
5-6
83%
9-18
11-17
50%
63%
0-3
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
38.9
35.3
10
56%
4
2
0
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
5-7
5-8
71%
59%
0-2
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.9
31.3
32.4
16
74%
7
3
0
1
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
59%
4-7
57%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.2
25.6
34.0
8
50%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
2-5
40%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.8
37.3
24.8
12
55%
5
3
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
55%
2-4
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.7
14.8
16.9
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
0-2
0%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
4.5
12.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
56%
0-1
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.1
2.9
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.8
1.5
0
0-0
63%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.4
1.2
0
0-0
60%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.1
1.0
0
0-0
58%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.7
1.0
0
0-0
55%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.8
0.5
0
0-0
64%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.9
0.3
0
0-0
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.