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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 22, 2023
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Nuggets
113
6Lakers
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.3
45
39
30
14
13
1
1
3
3
3
11
5-6
83%
8-18
10-16
44%
62%
3-6
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.2
43
40
25
3
5
2
1
1
2
0
3
5-5
100%
10-14
6-13
71%
50%
0-4
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.9
41
35
15
10
1
0
1
1
1
2
8
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
57%
3-10
30%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
41
34
22
6
5
0
1
2
0
4
2
1-3
33%
6-9
4-7
67%
57%
3-5
60%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.3
39
31
13
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
3-7
43%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.8
20
30
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
4-8
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.7
10
19
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
56%
0-0
-
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
6
0
1-1
55%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.8
2
0
0-0
61%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.4
1
0
0-0
63%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.1
1
0
0-0
47%
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.1
1
0
0-0
55%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.7
1
0
0-0
53%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.8
1
0
0-0
65%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.9
0
0
0-0
50%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 38.4
48
40
40
10
9
2
1
0
1
2
8
6-7
86%
11-18
7-12
61%
57%
4-7
57%
Rui Hachimura
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.3
42
29
10
7
0
0
0
0
0
1
6
4-4
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
54%
0-3
0%
Austin Reaves
G · 6'5" 197 · 25.0
41
37
17
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
5-9
4-6
56%
57%
1-2
50%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 30.2
40
40
21
14
1
1
1
3
1
2
12
9-10
90%
6-15
8-15
40%
55%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 29.7
38
27
13
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
3-6
50%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.2
15
26
4
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 32.2
10
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
2-4
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
Lonnie Walker IV
G · 6'5" 196 · 24.4
7
17
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Jarred Vanderbilt
F · 6'9" 214 · 24.1
13
1
1-2
58%
Mo Bamba
C · 7'1" 225 · 25.0
4
0
0-1
55%
Troy Brown Jr.
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
1
0
0-0
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 26.5
1
0
0-0
46%
Max Christie
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.3
1
0
0-0
56%
Shaquille Harrison
G · 6'4" 190 · 29.6
1
0
0-0
41%
Wenyen Gabriel
F · 6'9" 205 · 26.2
0
0
0-0
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.