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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
June 7, 2023
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Nuggets51%108109
9Heat49%10794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 26.3
44.6
39.6
34
67%
10
10
1
1
0
7
3
7
7-8
88%
9-16
6-12
56%
51%
3-6
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.3
43.7
40.6
32
65%
21
10
0
1
2
3
3
18
7-8
88%
11-19
10-16
58%
62%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.7
33.8
36.7
11
47%
10
5
1
1
0
0
3
7
1-4
25%
5-10
4-8
50%
58%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.3
28.1
34.9
6
52%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-3
0%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 24.9
21.3
31.3
2
14%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
57%
0-2
0%
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 26.8
28.6
25.1
5
43%
2
0
0
1
3
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
55%
1-3
33%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.1
19.0
12.8
15
89%
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
7-7
1-2
100%
56%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 36.8
17.5
14.3
4
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
56%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 33.1
1.4
0.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 25.9
0.5
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
64%
0-0
-
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 22.4
0.5
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
60%
0-0
-
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 26.2
0.5
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 20.7
0.5
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 34.9
1.0
0
0-0
67%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 34.9
0.4
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.9
40.9
38.8
22
43%
17
3
0
1
1
0
6
11
8-10
80%
7-21
8-14
33%
55%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.7
40.4
38.5
28
53%
2
4
0
2
1
2
1
1
5-6
83%
10-20
8-15
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.0
32.1
32.3
7
31%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
1-6
17%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
24.2
26.7
3
21%
4
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
58%
1-4
25%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 34.7
16.0
13.7
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
2-5
40%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.7
31.5
25.7
10
56%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
56%
2-5
40%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.2
29.5
23.5
9
56%
3
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
1-4
25%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.1
13.9
19.1
9
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
3-6
50%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.7
6.0
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
58%
0-0
-
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
2.5
11.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 20.0
1.5
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.0
1.2
1.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
55%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 43.0
0.5
0.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.1
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.