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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 11, 2023
7:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hawks
116
19Heat
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 26.6
37
33
18
5
6
0
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
4-8
6-11
50%
52%
3-8
38%
Trae Young
G · 6'2" 178 · 24.6
37
35
25
8
7
0
1
0
5
1
7
8-9
89%
7-10
6-11
70%
50%
1-8
13%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 28.9
28
24
4
21
1
0
1
2
1
8
13
0-4
0%
2-3
4-7
67%
63%
0-0
-
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.4
23
23
6
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
2-7
3-6
29%
53%
0-2
0%
John Collins
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
22
27
10
4
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1-3
33%
3-4
3-6
75%
61%
1-4
25%
Saddiq Bey
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.0
33
22
17
6
0
0
1
1
0
4
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
49%
3-9
33%
Bogdan Bogdanovic
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.6
26
23
14
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
52%
2-8
25%
Onyeka Okongwu
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
20
22
12
4
3
0
1
4
0
1
3
2-2
100%
5-6
4-6
83%
65%
0-0
-
Jalen Johnson
F · 6'8" 210 · 21.3
14
19
10
7
3
3
1
0
3
3
4
0-2
0%
5-6
3-5
83%
58%
0-2
0%
AJ Griffin
F · 6'6" 220 · 19.6
20
1
2-4
54%
Aaron Holiday
G · 6'1" 187 · 26.5
17
1
1-3
46%
Garrison Mathews
G · 6'5" 204 · 26.5
13
0
0-1
54%
Bruno Fernando
F · 6'10" 233 · 24.7
11
0
2-3
56%
Vit Krejci
G · 6'8" 195 · 22.8
10
0
1-1
54%
Tyrese Martin
G · 6'6" 215 · 24.1
8
0
1-2
51%
Trent Forrest
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.8
Donovan Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 25.7
41
21
12
9
4
3
1
2
0
2
7
2-4
50%
5-12
5-8
42%
58%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 33.6
38
31
21
4
9
2
2
1
3
1
3
9-11
82%
6-18
6-11
33%
56%
0-1
0%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 23.2
35
24
26
6
0
2
1
0
4
0
6
0-0
-
10-14
3-6
71%
52%
2-9
22%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
24
18
6
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
53%
2-6
33%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
24
20
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
1-5
20%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 37.0
33
17
33
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
5-5
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
53%
6-9
67%
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 27.5
29
20
0
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
57%
0-2
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.9
9
18
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.5
4
13
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
60%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 34.6
3
15
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.0
22
0
1-1
61%
Haywood Highsmith
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
21
1
1-3
55%
Omer Yurtseven
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.8
15
0
3-5
59%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 42.8
11
0
1-2
47%
Nikola Jovic
F · 6'10" 205 · 19.8
Orlando Robinson
C · 7'0" 235 · 22.8
Jamal Cain
F · 6'7" 191 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.