Final Win Prob. pScore
1445%107
91
1255%109
102
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo Bulls
98.99292.1
MIA logo Heat
108.59493.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.91
102
Q4 - 0:15.8HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound91
102
Q4 - 0:20.0BullsCoby White misses three point pullup jump shot91
102
Q4 - 0:26.8HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 291
102
Q4 - 0:26.8HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 291
101
Q4 - 0:26.8Bulls lineup change (Zach LaVine, Coby White, DeMar DeRozan, Patrick Williams, Nikola Vucevic)91
100
Q4 - 0:26.8BullsAlex Caruso personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
100
Q4 - 0:26.8HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound91
100
Q4 - 0:29.0BullsZach LaVine misses three point pullup jump shot91
100
Q4 - 0:33.8HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 291
100
Q4 - 0:33.8HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 291
99
Q4 - 0:33.8BullsCoby White personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)91
99
Q4 - 0:33.8HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound91
99
Q4 - 0:33.8BullsBam Adebayo blocks Zach LaVine's two point driving layup91
99
Q4 - 0:40.7HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 3 of 391
99
Q4 - 0:40.7HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 391
98
Q4 - 0:40.7HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 391
97
Q4 - 0:40.7Bulls lineup change (Zach LaVine, Coby White, Alex Caruso, DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic)91
96
Q4 - 0:40.7Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)91
96
Q4 - 0:39.8Bulls 60 second timeout91
96
Q4 - 0:40.7BullsAlex Caruso shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)91
96
Q4 - 0:58.2HeatMax Strus defensive rebound91
96
Q4 - 1:02BullsZach LaVine misses two point pullup bank jump shot91
96
Q4 - 1:14HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)91
96
Q4 - 1:33BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 291
93
Q4 - 1:33BullsDeMar DeRozan misses regular free throw 1 of 290
93
Q4 - 1:33HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)90
93
Q4 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 290
93
Q4 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 290
92
Q4 - 1:41BullsNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)90
91
Q4 - 1:55HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound90
91
Q4 - 1:59BullsAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot90
91
Q4 - 2:15Stoppage (Out of bounds)90
91
Q4 - 2:15BullsBulls defensive rebound90
91
Q4 - 2:17HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 190
91
Q4 - 2:17Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Alex Caruso, DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic)90
91
Q4 - 2:17BullsNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)90
91
Q4 - 2:17HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup90
91
Q4 - 2:26HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound90
89
Q4 - 2:29BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot90
89
Q4 - 2:54HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot90
89
Q4 - 3:00Stoppage (Out of bounds)90
87
Q4 - 3:03HeatMax Strus defensive rebound90
87
Q4 - 3:07BullsCoby White misses two point driving floating bank jump shot90
87
Q4 - 3:24BullsCoby White defensive rebound90
87
Q4 - 3:29HeatAlex Caruso blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup90
87
Q4 - 3:45Heat 60 second timeout90
87
Q4 - 3:47BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)90
87
Q4 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 287
87
Q4 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 287
86
Q4 - 3:59BullsZach LaVine personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)87
85
Q4 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound87
85
Q4 - 3:59BullsZach LaVine misses two point driving layup87
85
Q4 - 4:06HeatCaleb Martin turnover (lost ball) (Zach LaVine steals)87
85
Q4 - 4:12BullsZach LaVine turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)87
85
Q4 - 4:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)87
85
Q4 - 4:28BullsBulls defensive rebound87
85
Q4 - 4:29HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot87
85
Q4 - 4:45BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)87
85
Q4 - 5:01Bulls 60 second timeout85
85
Q4 - 5:01HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)85
85
Q4 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
83
Q4 - 5:13BullsZach LaVine misses three point pullup jump shot85
83
Q4 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 185
83
Q4 - 5:29BullsAlex Caruso shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)85
82
Q4 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup85
82
Q4 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound85
80
Q4 - 5:44BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot85
80
Q4 - 5:50BullsAlex Caruso defensive rebound85
80
Q4 - 5:56HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot85
80
Q4 - 6:17Heat 60 second timeout85
80
Q4 - 6:19BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)85
80
Q4 - 6:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup82
80
Q4 - 6:48BullsZach LaVine turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)82
78
Q4 - 7:01HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup82
78
Q4 - 7:12BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 2 of 282
76
Q4 - 7:12BullsZach LaVine misses regular free throw 1 of 281
76
Q4 - 7:12HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)81
76
Q4 - 7:17Bam Adebayo kicked ball violation81
76
Q4 - 7:27BullsAlex Caruso defensive rebound81
76
Q4 - 7:30HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 281
76
Q4 - 7:30HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 281
76
Q4 - 7:30BullsNikola Vucevic shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)81
75
Q4 - 7:42BullsCoby White turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)81
75
Q4 - 7:42Jump ball. Max Strus vs. Coby White (Caleb Martin gains possession)81
75
Q4 - 8:00BullsCoby White defensive rebound81
75
Q4 - 8:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot81
75
Q4 - 8:11BullsDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)81
75
Q4 - 8:17Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus)81
75
Q4 - 8:17Bulls lineup change (Zach LaVine, Coby White, Alex Caruso, DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic)81
75
Q4 - 8:17BullsPatrick Beverley personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)81
75
Q4 - 8:27BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 181
75
Q4 - 8:27Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Alex Caruso, DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic)80
75
Q4 - 8:27HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)80
75
Q4 - 8:27BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround jump shot80
75
Q4 - 8:41BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound78
75
Q4 - 8:43HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 2 of 278
75
Q4 - 8:43Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Andre Drummond, DeMar DeRozan, Patrick Williams)78
75
Q4 - 8:43HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 278
75
Q4 - 8:43BullsPatrick Williams shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)78
74
Q4 - 8:55BullsAndre Drummond makes two point tip layup78
74
Q4 - 8:55BullsAndre Drummond offensive rebound76
74
Q4 - 9:00BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point turnaround jump shot76
74
Q4 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot76
74
Q4 - 9:42DeMar DeRozan kicked ball violation76
72
Q4 - 9:51BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 176
72
Q4 - 9:51Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent)75
72
Q4 - 9:51HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)75
72
Q4 - 9:51BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving dunk75
72
Q4 - 10:01BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound73
72
Q4 - 10:04HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot73
72
Q4 - 10:20BullsAndre Drummond makes two point cutting dunk (Patrick Beverley assists)73
72
Q4 - 10:36HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)71
72
Q4 - 10:39HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound71
69
Q4 - 10:43HeatAndre Drummond blocks Tyler Herro's three point pullup jump shot71
69
Q4 - 11:03BullsCoby White makes three point stepback jump shot71
69
Q4 - 11:28HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot68
69
Q4 - 11:37HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound68
67
Q4 - 11:40BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot68
67
Q4 - 11:57HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)68
67
Q4 - 11:57HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Patrick Beverley draws the foul)68
67
Q4 - 11:59BullsPatrick Williams turnover (out of bounds bad pass)68
67
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent)68
67
Q4 - 12:00Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Coby White, Andre Drummond, DeMar DeRozan, Patrick Williams)68
67
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.68
67
Q3 - 0:00.9HeatHeat offensive rebound68
67
Q3 - 0:00.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot68
67
Q3 - 0:13.9BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 168
67
Q3 - 0:13.9Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Coby White, DeMar DeRozan, Derrick Jones Jr., Patrick Williams)67
67
Q3 - 0:13.9Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus)67
67
Q3 - 0:13.9HeatKevin Love shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)67
67
Q3 - 0:13.9BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving floating bank jump shot67
67
Q3 - 0:14.4BullsDeMar DeRozan offensive rebound65
67
Q3 - 0:18.8BullsDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot65
67
Q3 - 0:30.7BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound65
67
Q3 - 0:34.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot65
67
Q3 - 0:55.4HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound65
67
Q3 - 0:58.3BullsAndre Drummond misses regular free throw 1 of 165
67
Q3 - 0:58.3HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)65
67
Q3 - 0:58.3BullsAndre Drummond makes two point putback layup65
67
Q3 - 0:58.3BullsAndre Drummond offensive rebound63
67
Q3 - 1:00BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot63
67
Q3 - 1:12HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 2 of 263
67
Q3 - 1:12HeatKevin Love makes regular free throw 1 of 263
66
Q3 - 1:12BullsPatrick Williams personal foul (Kevin Love draws the foul)63
65
Q3 - 1:12HeatKevin Love offensive rebound63
65
Q3 - 1:13HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot63
65
Q3 - 1:30BullsPatrick Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)63
65
Q3 - 1:43Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)61
65
Q3 - 1:43HeatKevin Love personal foul (Andre Drummond draws the foul)61
65
Q3 - 1:43BullsAndre Drummond offensive rebound61
65
Q3 - 1:44BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point turnaround jump shot61
65
Q3 - 1:53BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound61
65
Q3 - 1:55HeatMax Strus misses two point driving floating jump shot61
65
Q3 - 2:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)61
65
Q3 - 2:01HeatHeat offensive rebound61
65
Q3 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup61
65
Q3 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound61
65
Q3 - 2:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup bank jump shot61
65
Q3 - 2:19BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 2 of 261
65
Q3 - 2:19BullsZach LaVine misses regular free throw 1 of 260
65
Q3 - 2:19HeatKevin Love shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)60
65
Q3 - 2:42HeatKevin Love makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)60
65
Q3 - 2:55HeatKevin Love defensive rebound60
62
Q3 - 2:58BullsZach LaVine misses two point fadeaway jump shot60
62
Q3 - 3:14BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound60
62
Q3 - 3:16HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot60
62
Q3 - 3:22Bulls lineup change (Zach LaVine, Coby White, Andre Drummond, DeMar DeRozan, Patrick Williams)60
62
Q3 - 3:22Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
62
Q3 - 3:22HeatHeat offensive rebound60
62
Q3 - 3:22HeatCoby White blocks Caleb Martin's two point layup60
62
Q3 - 3:34HeatMax Strus defensive rebound60
62
Q3 - 3:38BullsCoby White misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot60
62
Q3 - 3:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 260
62
Q3 - 3:56Bulls 60 second timeout60
61
Q3 - 3:56HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 260
61
Q3 - 3:56BullsAyo Dosunmu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)60
60
Q3 - 3:59BullsZach LaVine turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Love steals)60
60
Q3 - 4:17HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Coby White steals)60
60
Q3 - 4:25Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus)60
60
Q3 - 4:25BullsCoby White personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)60
60
Q3 - 4:25HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound60
60
Q3 - 4:30BullsPatrick Williams misses two point turnaround jump shot60
60
Q3 - 4:44Bulls lineup change (Zach LaVine, Coby White, Patrick Williams, Nikola Vucevic, Ayo Dosunmu)60
60
Q3 - 4:44HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)60
60
Q3 - 4:44HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (Zach LaVine draws the foul)60
60
Q3 - 4:45HeatMax Strus defensive rebound60
60
Q3 - 4:49BullsZach LaVine misses two point pullup jump shot60
60
Q3 - 5:02HeatCaleb Martin makes two point putback layup60
60
Q3 - 5:03HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound60
58
Q3 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving reverse layup60
58
Q3 - 5:14HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound60
58
Q3 - 5:18BullsAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot60
58
Q3 - 5:24BullsPatrick Beverley defensive rebound60
58
Q3 - 5:27HeatMax Strus misses two point pullup jump shot60
58
Q3 - 5:31Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus)60
58
Q3 - 5:31Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Coby White, Alex Caruso, Nikola Vucevic)60
58
Q3 - 5:31Stoppage (Out of bounds)60
58
Q3 - 5:53BullsZach LaVine makes two point running dunk (Nikola Vucevic assists)60
58
Q3 - 5:55BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound58
58
Q3 - 5:58HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running jump shot58
58
Q3 - 6:05BullsDeMar DeRozan turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)58
58
Q3 - 6:16BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound58
58
Q3 - 6:21HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot58
58
Q3 - 6:26HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound58
58
Q3 - 6:29BullsTyler Herro blocks Alex Caruso's two point pullup jump shot58
58
Q3 - 6:43BullsAlex Caruso defensive rebound58
58
Q3 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup58
58
Q3 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound58
58
Q3 - 6:46HeatJimmy Butler misses two point bank jump shot58
58
Q3 - 7:05BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point turnaround jump shot58
58
Q3 - 7:24HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)56
58
Q3 - 7:40Heat 60 second timeout56
56
Q3 - 7:40BullsAlex Caruso makes two point running reverse layup56
56
Q3 - 7:44HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (DeMar DeRozan steals)54
56
Q3 - 8:01BullsZach LaVine makes two point running layup54
56
Q3 - 8:06BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound52
56
Q3 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot52
56
Q3 - 8:26BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)52
56
Q3 - 8:38BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound50
56
Q3 - 8:40HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot50
56
Q3 - 8:55BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving finger roll layup (Alex Caruso assists)50
56
Q3 - 9:15HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot48
56
Q3 - 9:30BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)48
54
Q3 - 9:37BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound46
54
Q3 - 9:41HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot46
54
Q3 - 9:50HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound46
54
Q3 - 9:56BullsDeMar DeRozan misses three point jump shot46
54
Q3 - 10:04BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound46
54
Q3 - 10:06HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot46
54
Q3 - 10:07HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound46
54
Q3 - 10:11HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup46
54
Q3 - 10:33BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot (Patrick Beverley assists)46
54
Q3 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 144
54
Q3 - 10:43BullsAlex Caruso shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
53
Q3 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)44
53
Q3 - 10:47Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)44
51
Q3 - 10:47BullsPatrick Beverley personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)44
51
Q3 - 10:52HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound44
51
Q3 - 10:55BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot44
51
Q3 - 11:13BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound44
51
Q3 - 11:16HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot44
51
Q3 - 11:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound44
51
Q3 - 11:25BullsPatrick Beverley misses three point jump shot44
51
Q3 - 11:38HeatJimmy Butler makes two point alley-oop layup (Bam Adebayo assists)44
51
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus)44
49
Q3 - 12:00Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Alex Caruso, DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic)44
49
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.44
49
Q2 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)44
49
Q2 - 0:04.9Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus)44
49
Q2 - 0:04.9BullsPatrick Beverley personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)44
49
Q2 - 0:10.5HeatMax Strus offensive rebound44
49
Q2 - 0:12.9HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot44
49
Q2 - 0:33.9BullsZach LaVine makes regular free throw 1 of 144
49
Q2 - 0:33.9Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Max Strus)43
49
Q2 - 0:33.9Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Coby White, DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic)43
49
Q2 - 0:33.9HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)43
49
Q2 - 0:33.9BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving layup (Coby White assists)43
49
Q2 - 0:44.4HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot41
49
Q2 - 0:47.6HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound41
47
Q2 - 0:54.3BullsZach LaVine misses two point stepback jump shot41
47
Q2 - 1:20HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)41
47
Q2 - 1:28HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound41
44
Q2 - 1:34HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot41
44
Q2 - 1:58BullsAlex Caruso makes three point jump shot (Coby White assists)41
44
Q2 - 2:16HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 3 of 338
44
Q2 - 2:16HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 338
43
Q2 - 2:16HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 338
42
Q2 - 2:16BullsAlex Caruso shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)38
41
Q2 - 2:34BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point turnaround hook shot38
41
Q2 - 2:48HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 236
41
Q2 - 2:48HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 236
40
Q2 - 2:48Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus)36
39
Q2 - 2:48Bulls lineup change (Zach LaVine, Coby White, Alex Caruso, DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic)36
39
Q2 - 2:48Instant replay36
39
Q2 - 2:48Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus)36
39
Q2 - 2:48Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Coby White, Alex Caruso, Nikola Vucevic)36
39
Q2 - 2:48Heat 60 second timeout36
39
Q2 - 2:48BullsCoby White shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)36
39
Q2 - 2:53HeatMax Strus defensive rebound36
39
Q2 - 2:56BullsZach LaVine misses two point pullup jump shot36
39
Q2 - 3:05Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus)36
39
Q2 - 3:05Bulls lineup change (Zach LaVine, Coby White, Alex Caruso, DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic)36
39
Q2 - 3:05HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Zach LaVine draws the foul)36
39
Q2 - 3:16HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds step)36
39
Q2 - 3:34BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving finger roll layup36
39
Q2 - 3:51HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)34
39
Q2 - 4:17BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (Alex Caruso assists)34
36
Q2 - 4:28BullsCoby White defensive rebound32
36
Q2 - 4:31HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot32
36
Q2 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound32
36
Q2 - 4:45HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot32
36
Q2 - 4:52HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
36
Q2 - 4:55BullsPatrick Beverley misses three point jump shot32
36
Q2 - 5:00BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound32
36
Q2 - 5:04HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup32
36
Q2 - 5:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound32
36
Q2 - 5:22BullsNikola Vucevic misses two point jump shot32
36
Q2 - 5:36Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus)32
36
Q2 - 5:36HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)32
36
Q2 - 5:58BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point driving hook shot (Coby White assists)32
36
Q2 - 6:08Stoppage (Out of bounds)30
36
Q2 - 6:08BullsBulls offensive rebound30
36
Q2 - 6:08BullsCoby White misses two point driving layup30
36
Q2 - 6:23Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Coby White, Alex Caruso, Nikola Vucevic)30
36
Q2 - 6:23Bulls 60 second timeout30
36
Q2 - 6:23HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot30
36
Q2 - 6:33HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound30
34
Q2 - 6:35BullsZach LaVine misses three point pullup jump shot30
34
Q2 - 6:54HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)30
34
Q2 - 7:12BullsAlex Caruso makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)30
31
Q2 - 7:19BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound27
31
Q2 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot27
31
Q2 - 7:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound27
31
Q2 - 7:32BullsZach LaVine misses two point jump shot27
31
Q2 - 7:34Stoppage (Out of bounds)27
31
Q2 - 7:47BullsAndre Drummond defensive rebound27
31
Q2 - 7:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot27
31
Q2 - 8:15BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point pullup jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)27
31
Q2 - 8:27Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Alex Caruso, Andre Drummond, DeMar DeRozan)25
31
Q2 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)25
31
Q2 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)25
31
Q2 - 8:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
31
Q2 - 8:38BullsAndre Drummond misses two point driving finger roll layup25
31
Q2 - 9:02HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)25
31
Q2 - 9:06Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent)25
31
Q2 - 9:06Bulls lineup change (Zach LaVine, Coby White, Alex Caruso, Andre Drummond, DeMar DeRozan)25
31
Q2 - 9:06BullsDeMar DeRozan personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)25
31
Q2 - 9:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
31
Q2 - 9:13BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot25
31
Q2 - 9:20BullsDeMar DeRozan defensive rebound25
31
Q2 - 9:23HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot25
31
Q2 - 9:41HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound25
31
Q2 - 9:43BullsPatrick Williams misses three point jump shot25
31
Q2 - 9:55Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent)25
31
Q2 - 9:55Bulls lineup change (Zach LaVine, Coby White, Andre Drummond, DeMar DeRozan, Patrick Williams)25
31
Q2 - 9:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)25
31
Q2 - 9:55BullsBulls defensive rebound25
31
Q2 - 9:55HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot25
31
Q2 - 10:12BullsCoby White makes two point fadeaway jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)25
31
Q2 - 10:24BullsCoby White defensive rebound23
31
Q2 - 10:27HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot23
31
Q2 - 10:48HeatKevin Love defensive rebound23
31
Q2 - 10:52BullsZach LaVine misses two point fadeaway jump shot23
31
Q2 - 11:01HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)23
31
Q2 - 11:05BullsPatrick Williams defensive rebound23
31
Q2 - 11:08HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot23
31
Q2 - 11:10Jump ball. Caleb Martin vs. Patrick Williams (Gabe Vincent gains possession)23
31
Q2 - 11:34BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving floating jump shot23
31
Q2 - 11:46HeatKevin Love makes two point turnaround bank jump shot21
31
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Gabe Vincent)21
29
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.21
29
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound21
29
Q1 - 0:00.6HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot21
29
Q1 - 0:01.2BullsPatrick Williams personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)21
29
Q1 - 0:08.6BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 221
29
Q1 - 0:08.6Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus)20
29
Q1 - 0:08.6BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 220
29
Q1 - 0:08.6HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)19
29
Q1 - 0:22.4BullsCoby White defensive rebound19
29
Q1 - 0:25.2HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot19
29
Q1 - 0:32.6BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 2 of 219
29
Q1 - 0:32.6Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry)18
29
Q1 - 0:32.6Bulls lineup change (Zach LaVine, Coby White, DeMar DeRozan, Derrick Jones Jr., Patrick Williams)18
29
Q1 - 0:32.6BullsDeMar DeRozan makes regular free throw 1 of 218
29
Q1 - 0:32.6HeatKevin Love shooting foul (DeMar DeRozan draws the foul)17
29
Q1 - 0:36.8Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus)17
29
Q1 - 0:36.8Bulls lineup change (Zach LaVine, Coby White, DeMar DeRozan, Patrick Williams, Nikola Vucevic)17
29
Q1 - 0:36.8HeatMax Strus personal foul (Coby White draws the foul)17
29
Q1 - 0:44.2BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound17
29
Q1 - 0:47.3HeatMax Strus misses two point alley-oop dunk17
29
Q1 - 0:52.7BullsNikola Vucevic makes two point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)17
29
Q1 - 1:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk (Kevin Love assists)15
29
Q1 - 1:08BullsCoby White turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)15
27
Q1 - 1:36HeatKevin Love makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)15
27
Q1 - 1:51BullsDeMar DeRozan makes two point driving layup (Coby White assists)15
25
Q1 - 2:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Love assists)13
25
Q1 - 2:16HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound13
23
Q1 - 2:20BullsAyo Dosunmu misses three point jump shot13
23
Q1 - 2:35HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Patrick Williams steals)13
23
Q1 - 2:48HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound13
23
Q1 - 2:51HeatKevin Love misses three point jump shot13
23
Q1 - 3:02HeatKevin Love defensive rebound13
23
Q1 - 3:05BullsCoby White misses three point jump shot13
23
Q1 - 3:18HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)13
23
Q1 - 3:18HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Off the ball) (Coby White draws the foul)13
23
Q1 - 3:21HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound13
23
Q1 - 3:23BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot13
23
Q1 - 3:34HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 113
23
Q1 - 3:34Bulls 60 second timeout13
22
Q1 - 3:34Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kevin Love, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Max Strus)13
22
Q1 - 3:34BullsCoby White shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)13
22
Q1 - 3:34HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)13
22
Q1 - 3:36HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound13
20
Q1 - 3:39BullsDeMar DeRozan misses two point pullup jump shot13
20
Q1 - 4:00HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 213
20
Q1 - 4:00Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Caleb Martin, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Max Strus)13
19
Q1 - 4:00Bulls lineup change (Coby White, DeMar DeRozan, Patrick Williams, Nikola Vucevic, Ayo Dosunmu)13
19
Q1 - 4:00HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 213
19
Q1 - 4:00BullsPatrick Beverley shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)13
18
Q1 - 4:03BullsNikola Vucevic turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)13
18
Q1 - 4:15Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)13
18
Q1 - 4:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot13
18
Q1 - 4:38BullsCoby White makes three point jump shot (Patrick Beverley assists)13
16
Q1 - 5:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)10
16
Q1 - 5:20BullsZach LaVine turnover (out of bounds lost ball)10
14
Q1 - 5:28Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Coby White, Patrick Williams, Nikola Vucevic)10
14
Q1 - 5:28Stoppage (Out of bounds)10
14
Q1 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 210
14
Q1 - 5:38Heat lineup change (Jimmy Butler, Kyle Lowry, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus)10
13
Q1 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 210
13
Q1 - 5:38BullsAlex Caruso shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)10
12
Q1 - 5:55Stoppage (Out of bounds)10
12
Q1 - 5:55Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Coby White, Alex Caruso, Nikola Vucevic)10
12
Q1 - 5:55BullsZach LaVine turnover (offensive foul)10
12
Q1 - 5:55BullsZach LaVine offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)10
12
Q1 - 5:56BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound10
12
Q1 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot10
12
Q1 - 6:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound10
12
Q1 - 6:22BullsAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot10
12
Q1 - 6:35Heat 60 second timeout10
12
Q1 - 6:35HeatBam Adebayo turnover (traveling)10
12
Q1 - 6:45HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound10
12
Q1 - 6:49BullsPatrick Beverley misses three point jump shot10
12
Q1 - 7:02BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound10
12
Q1 - 7:05HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot10
12
Q1 - 7:18BullsZach LaVine makes two point driving layup (DeMar DeRozan assists)10
12
Q1 - 7:36HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)8
12
Q1 - 7:50HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound8
9
Q1 - 7:54BullsAlex Caruso misses three point jump shot8
9
Q1 - 7:54BullsPatrick Beverley offensive rebound8
9
Q1 - 7:56BullsPatrick Beverley misses two point hook shot8
9
Q1 - 8:01Stoppage (Out of bounds)8
9
Q1 - 8:06BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound8
9
Q1 - 8:09HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot8
9
Q1 - 8:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
9
Q1 - 8:26BullsZach LaVine misses three point jump shot8
9
Q1 - 8:43HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)8
9
Q1 - 9:01BullsAlex Caruso makes three point running jump shot (Zach LaVine assists)8
6
Q1 - 9:04BullsZach LaVine defensive rebound5
6
Q1 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot5
6
Q1 - 9:27BullsAlex Caruso makes three point jump shot (DeMar DeRozan assists)5
6
Q1 - 9:35Bam Adebayo kicked ball violation2
6
Q1 - 9:47HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Patrick Beverley draws the foul)2
6
Q1 - 9:59HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)2
6
Q1 - 10:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
3
Q1 - 10:21BullsZach LaVine misses three point pullup jump shot2
3
Q1 - 10:28HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Alex Caruso draws the foul)2
3
Q1 - 10:44HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)2
3
Q1 - 10:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:59BullsNikola Vucevic misses three point jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:06BullsNikola Vucevic defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:08HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:19BullsAlex Caruso makes two point driving layup (Patrick Beverley assists)2
0
Q1 - 11:33HeatGabe Vincent turnover (lost ball) (Alex Caruso steals)0
0
Q1 - 11:48BullsDeMar DeRozan turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Nikola Vucevic vs. Bam Adebayo (Alex Caruso gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Bulls lineup change (Patrick Beverley, Zach LaVine, Alex Caruso, DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic)0
0
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
12
16
75%
MIA
6
14
43%
Midrange
CHI
16
38
42%
MIA
16
34
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
8
12.0
28
29%
43%
MIA
10
15.0
30
33%
50%
Free Throws
CHI
11
15
73%
MIA
28
32
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2659%13.0 / 22
A. Caruso1673%8.0 / 11
Z. LaVine1533%7.5 / 23
C. White1470%7.0 / 10
N. Vučević1267%6.0 / 9
A. Drummond675%3.0 / 4
P. Williams233%1.0 / 3
P. Beverley0-0.0 / 4
A. Dosunmu0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3157%15.5 / 27
M. Strus3182%15.5 / 19
T. Herro1246%6.0 / 13
K. Love964%4.5 / 7
B. Adebayo831%4.0 / 13
C. Martin660%3.0 / 5
K. Lowry550%2.5 / 5
G. Vincent0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
81
+6
-11
87
MIA
81
+14
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.07 53.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
112.9
CHI 98.9
MIA 108.5 +9.6
Pace
98.7
96.3
CHI 92.1
MIA 93.9 +1.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.3
15.0
CHI 15.6
MIA 15.3 −0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.0%
53.0%
CHI 48.8% +1.4%
MIA 47.4%
TO %
12.7%
13.2%
CHI 11.0% −1.4%
MIA 12.4%
ORB %
20.1%
22.8%
CHI 10.9%
MIA 23.8% +12.9%
FTrt
25.1
27.0
CHI 18.3
MIA 41.0 +22.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.5%
60.8%
CHI 66.7% +7.3%
MIA 59.4%
STL %
7.9%
8.2%
CHI 5.4%
MIA 7.4% +2.0%
BLK %
9.0%
6.3%
CHI 6.3% +2.6%
MIA 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.3%
55.9%
CHI 52.3%
MIA 53.7% +1.4%
Rim FG%
64.3%
62.6%
CHI 75.0% +32.1%
MIA 42.9%
Mid FG%
45.8%
45.3%
CHI 42.1%
MIA 47.1% +5.0%
3P %
36.1%
34.4%
CHI 28.6%
MIA 33.3% +4.7%
FT %
80.9%
83.1%
CHI 73.3%
MIA 87.5% +14.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
29.9%
CHI 19.5% +1.6%
MIA 17.9%
Mid Att. %
31.9%
29.4%
CHI 46.3%
MIA 43.6% −2.8%
3P Att. %
33.3%
40.8%
CHI 34.1%
MIA 38.5% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9294
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points91102
Rebounds3751
Assists2419
Steals57
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)13 (0)
Fouls2520
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)41 (0)
Field Goals36-8232-78
At-the-Rim FG12-166-14
Midrange FG16-3816-34
2-Point FG28-5422-48
3-Point FG8-2810-30
Free Throws11-1528-32
Fast Break Pts99
2nd Chance Pts1110
Points in Paint3634
Pts off Turnovers613
Bench Points2220
Biggest Lead614

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 28
41.1
15
33%
4
2
1
0
5
2
0
4
3-5
60%
6-15
40%
0-6
0%
#11 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 34
40.6
26
59%
4
9
1
0
2
2
1
3
8-9
89%
9-17
53%
0-2
0%
#9 · C · 6'9" 260 · 32
34.9
12
67%
9
1
0
0
1
3
0
9
0-0
-
6-8
75%
0-1
0%
#6 · PF · 6'5" 186 · 29
30.4
16
73%
3
4
1
1
0
6
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
#21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 35
26.7
0
0%
2
4
0
0
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-3
0%
#0 · PG · 6'4" 195 · 23
31.3
14
70%
5
4
1
1
2
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
4-6
67%
#44 · PF · 6'6" 215 · 22
17.1
2
33%
2
0
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
#3 · C · 6'11" 279 · 30
10.2
6
75%
8
0
0
1
0
0
3
5
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#12 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 23
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 26
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#25 · SG · 6'6" 195 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#22 · PG · 6'0" 174 · 25
DNP – Coach's Decision
#24 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 30
DNP – Coach's Decision
#19 · C · 6'11" 220 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#2 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
52%
37
24
5
3
11
25
5
32
11-15
73%
28-54
52%
8-28
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.