Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, September 12, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23061922;}%20.st1{fill:%23CE1141;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M249.8,189.4l0.4-33.3c0-15.6-16.3-18.2-28.3-18.1c8-2.7,17.7-7.2,24.7-14.8c7.4-6.8,12.6-16.4,11.7-29.8%20c-1.5-22.6-29.8-33.8-76.6-29.3c-0.8,0.1-1.5,0.2-2.3,0.2c-2.2-16.7-5.6-32.9-10.8-47.8l-2.3,2.3c-6.2,19.3-9.9,34.7-12.1,49%20c-27.9,4.8-47.5,11.2-47.5,11.2l-2.3,2.3c0,0,22.6-2,48.3-1.7c-2.9,29.3,0.1,57.1,0,109.6c-41.6-1.2-78.1,5.7-87,16.9%20c-2.9,2.4-4.5,5.1-4.4,7.9c0.5,12.7,38.3,24.4,91.4,28.9l2.3,72.2l2.3-2.3l3.7-49c0-0.8,0.1-1.5,0.3-2.1c1.1,0.2,2.2,1.6,2.2,4.1%20l1.6,64.5l2.3-2.3l4-52.5c0-1.2,0.1-2.1,0.3-2.9c1.1,0.2,2.2,1.8,2.1,4.8l1.8,67.2l2.3-2.3l3.2-97.8c6.1,0.2,12.3,0.3,18.7,0.3%20c6.7,0,13.3-0.1,19.8-0.3l3.2,102l2.3-2.3l2.7-53.4c0-1.1,0.1-2,0.3-2.7c1,0.2,2,1.8,2,4.6l2.8,74.9l2.3-2.3l2.8-64.7%20c0-0.9,0.2-1.7,0.4-2.3c1.3,0,2.7,1.6,2.7,4.7l2.3,85.7l2.3-2.3l3.4-143.6c45.4-4,79.9-13.1,88.5-23.7c2.8-2.4,4.4-4.9,4.4-7.4%20C341.4,197.9,299.3,187.1,249.8,189.4%20M152.3,227.9c-36.4-3.5-61-10.9-61-20.2c0-0.7,0.2-1.3,0.6-2c8.5-6,34.7-9.8,60.9-13.7%20c0,10.3-0.2,21.5-0.5,33.8L152.3,227.9z%20M226.5,102.5c1.4,10.3-1.6,18.1-6.9,24c-9.5,8.6-24.4,12.5-36.5,14.3%20c0.2-19.4-0.1-39.6-1.8-59.4C204.7,83.9,224.8,89.8,226.5,102.5%20M219.6,229.9c-5.7,0.2-11.5,0.3-17.5,0.3c-7,0-13.9-0.1-20.5-0.4%20l0.3-8.3c-0.6-21,0.7-47.4,1.1-75.6c17.1,2,37.6,6.8,37.3,18.8L219.6,229.9z%20M310.2,213.7c-8.5,6.7-31,11.9-60.8,14.5l0.4-35.8%20c34.1,4.4,61.8,9.4,61.8,17.6C311.6,211.2,311.1,212.5,310.2,213.7'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M342,211.9c-0.6-14-42.7-24.8-92.2-22.4l0.4-33.3c-0.1-20.6-28.3-18.6-37.8-17.3c11.1-2,48.2-11.3,45.9-45.3%20c-1.5-22.6-29.8-33.8-76.6-29.3c-0.8,0.1-1.5,0.2-2.3,0.2c-2.2-16.7-5.6-32.9-10.8-47.8c-6.5,20.2-10.3,36.1-12.4,50.9%20c-29,4.8-49.5,11.6-49.5,11.6s22.6-2,48.3-1.7c-2.9,29.7,0.1,57.9,0,112c-49.2-1.7-91.9,7.8-91.4,22.4%20c0.4,12.7,38.3,24.4,91.4,28.9l2.3,72.2l3.7-49c0.1-6.1,4.7-5.5,4.7-0.3l1.7,64.5l4-52.5c-0.1-7.1,4.9-6.7,4.7-0.4l1.8,67.2%20l3.2-100.2c6.8,0.2,13.8,0.4,20.9,0.4c6.7,0,13.3-0.1,19.8-0.3l3.2,102l2.7-53.4c0-6.8,4.6-6.5,4.6-0.4l2.8,74.9l2.8-64.7%20c0.2-6.4,5.3-6.1,5.4,0l2.3,85.7l3.4-145.6v-0.1C303,236.3,342,224.6,342,211.9%20M228.8,100.2c3.8,28.2-25,37.5-45.7,40.6%20c0.2-20.3-0.1-41.4-2-62C205.5,81.2,227,87,228.8,100.2%20M91.3,207.7c0-8.6,31.9-13.2,63.8-18c0,10.3-0.2,21.5-0.5,33.8l0.1,4.7%20C116.9,224.7,91.3,217.2,91.3,207.7%20M181.6,229.8l0.3-8.3c-0.6-21.7,0.8-49,1.1-78.1c17.4,1.8,39.9,6.5,39.5,19.1l-0.6,67.4%20c-6.4,0.2-13,0.3-19.8,0.3C195.1,230.1,188.3,230,181.6,229.8%20M249.4,228.2l0.5-38.4c35.1,4.5,64,9.6,64,17.9%20C313.9,217.2,287.5,224.8,249.4,228.2'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 7 | Rockets | 96 | ||
 | 4 | Lakers | 119 | ||
Friday, September 11, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 92 | ||
 | 5 | Raptors | 87 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFC627;}%20.st1{fill:%238B2332;}%20.st2{fill:%230D2240;}%20.st3{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M199.8,50c40,0,77.7,15.6,106.1,44c28.4,28.4,44,66.1,44,106.1c0,82.8-67.3,150.1-150.1,150.1%20c-40.1,0-77.9-15.6-106.2-44c-28.3-28.4-43.9-66.1-43.9-106.2c0-39.9,15.7-77.8,43.9-106.1C122.1,65.6,159.8,50,199.8,50'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M199.8,338.3c76.1,0,138.1-62,138.1-138.3c0-76.1-62-138.2-138.1-138.2c-76.2,0-138.2,62.1-138.2,138.2%20C61.7,276.3,123.7,338.3,199.8,338.3'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M71.9,200.1c0-70.4,57.4-127.8,127.9-127.8c70.5-0.1,127.9,57.3,127.9,127.8s-57.3,127.9-127.8,127.9%20C129.3,328.1,71.9,270.7,71.9,200.1'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M300.6,146.6l2.8-1.6l-9.2-14.2l-2.5,1.9c-15.6-19.7-43.4-41.7-69.8-45c19.9,9.1,42.3,32.3,55.9,50.2%20l-14.4,10.3l1.8,2.6l-64.8,42.1l-64.8-42.1l1.8-2.6L123,137.7c13.7-17.8,36.1-41,55.9-50.2c-26.4,3.3-54.2,25.2-69.7,44.9l-2.7-1.9%20l-9.2,14.2l2.8,1.7l-0.1,0.1c-11.4,22.4-19.8,57.1-11.6,82.4c-0.2-21.9,11.6-52,22.1-72.1l15.5,8.8l1.6-2.4l60.2,37.8l-79.4,51.6%20l-0.1-0.2l-10.6,2.8l0.1,0.3c-0.5,1.9,0.5,5.7,2.7,9.2c2.2,3.6,5.1,5.9,7.2,6.3l0.2,0.3l7.1-8.6l-0.1-0.2L273.1,163l1.6,2.4%20l15.5-8.8c10.5,20.1,22.3,50.2,22.2,72.1C320.5,203.7,312,169,300.6,146.6'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M292.4,252.5l-0.1,0.2l-73.1-47.5l-12.8,7.6l79.3,50l-0.1,0.2l7,8.6l0.2-0.3c2.1-0.4,5-2.7,7.2-6.3%20c2.2-3.5,3.2-7.2,2.7-9.2l0.1-0.3L292.4,252.5z'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st0'%20points='212.9,100.4%20207.4,107.5%20199.8,89.4%20199.8,173.2%20225.3,140.5%20251,147.1%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st3'%20points='212.9,120%20212.9,100.4%20207.4,107.5%20'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st3'%20points='199.8,89.4%20153.5,145.9%20173.8,140.6%20199.8,173.2%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M172.6,300.8c6.5-6.3,14.9-10.1,24-11v-12.6h-34.6C162.7,286.4,166.5,294.6,172.6,300.8'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M196.4,312.4v-14.8c-6.7,0.8-13,3.6-18,8.3C183.8,309.4,189.9,311.7,196.4,312.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M204.1,235.4v14.8c6.7-0.8,13-3.6,18-8.2C216.9,238.4,210.8,236.1,204.1,235.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M228.1,247.1c-6.5,6.2-14.9,10.1-23.9,10.9v11.4h34.6C237.7,260.9,233.8,253,228.1,247.1'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M196.4,250.2v-14.8c-6.6,0.7-12.8,3-17.9,6.6C183.6,246.6,189.8,249.5,196.4,250.2'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M204.1,277.2v12.6c9,0.9,17.3,4.7,23.9,11c6-6.2,10-14.4,10.7-23.6L204.1,277.2L204.1,277.2z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st3'%20d='M161.9,269.4h34.5V258c-9-0.8-17.3-4.8-24-10.9C166.8,253,162.9,260.9,161.9,269.4'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M204.1,312.4c6.6-0.7,12.8-3,18-6.6c-5-4.7-11.3-7.5-18-8.3V312.4z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 10 | Nuggets | 111 | ||
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23C8102E;}%20.st2{fill:%231D428A;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M42.4,200.4c0-86.9,70.4-157.3,157.3-157.3S357,113.5,357,200.4s-70.4,157.3-157.3,157.3%20S42.4,287.3,42.4,200.4'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M199.8,56.1c-79.6,0-144.3,64.7-144.3,144.3s64.7,144.3,144.3,144.3S344.1,280,344.1,200.4%20C344.1,120.9,279.3,56.1,199.8,56.1%20M304.1,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.2,73.9h-54.4C278.2,167.2,287.6,141.7,304.1,120.3%20M95.5,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.3,73.9H68.2C69.6,167.1,78.9,141.7,95.5,120.3%20M95.5,280.6c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.2-73.9h54.4%20C121.4,233.7,112,259.2,95.5,280.6%20M206.1,332v-37.7h-12.7V332c-34.3-1.6-66-16.3-89.6-41.4c19.3-24.1,30.1-53,31.4-83.7v-12.7%20c-1.3-30.7-12.2-59.6-31.4-83.7c23.6-25.1,55.3-39.8,89.6-41.4v37.4h12.7V68.9c34.3,1.6,66,16.3,89.6,41.4%20c-19.3,24.1-30.1,53-31.4,83.7v12.7c1.3,30.7,12.2,59.6,31.4,83.7C272.1,315.6,240.3,330.3,206.1,332%20M304.1,280.6%20c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.3-73.9h54.4C329.9,233.7,320.6,259.2,304.1,280.6'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='167.6,140%20167.6,260.4%20232,260.4%20232,243.9%20184.8,243.9%20184.8,140%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M253.8,180.3v-49.6c0-7.5-3-10.5-10.3-10.5h-87.6c-7.2,0-10.2,3.1-10.2,10.5v139.4c0,7.5,3,10.5,10.2,10.5%20h87.6c7.3,0,10.3-3.1,10.3-10.5v-49.7h-17.4v44.9H163V135.5h73.5v44.8L253.8,180.3L253.8,180.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M232,239.2V140h-41.9l-0.4,99.2h16.7l0.3-30.9h8.5l-0.1,30.9H232z%20M215.1,191.7h-8.4v-35.2h8.4V191.7z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 1 | Clippers | 105 | ||
Thursday, September 10, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 110 | ||
| 6 | Rockets | 100 | ||
Wednesday, September 9, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 125 | ||
| 2 | Celtics | 122 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 96 | ||
| 10 | Nuggets | 85 | ||
Tuesday, September 8, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Heat | 103 | ||
 | 3 | Bucks | 94 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 112 | ||
| 4 | Rockets | 102 | ||
Monday, September 7, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 111 | ||
| 4 | Raptors | 89 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 113 | ||
| 10 | Nuggets | 107 | ||
Sunday, September 6, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 118 | ||
| 8 | Heat | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 109 | ||
| 6 | Lakers | 117 | ||
Saturday, September 5, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 100 | ||
| 2 | Celtics | 93 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 110 | ||
| 1 | Clippers | 101 | ||
Friday, September 4, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 100 | ||
| 9 | Heat | 115 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 112 | ||
| 6 | Lakers | 97 | ||
Thursday, September 3, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Raptors | 104 | ||
| 2 | Celtics | 103 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 97 | ||
| 1 | Clippers | 120 | ||
Wednesday, September 2, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Thunder | 102 | ||
| 4 | Rockets | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 116 | ||
| 3 | Bucks | 114 | ||
Tuesday, September 1, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cpath%20d='M376,81.4L341.7,155H204.3L161,247.8h-38.8c0.3-4.6,1.2-9.3,2.7-13.8c3.7-11.2,10.7-20.4,19.5-27c2.3,2.6,4.4,5.5,6.3,8.5%20c0.3,0.5,0.9,0.4,1.1,0c0,0,0,0,0,0l62.6-134.2H376z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M57.8,276.6c-3.9,7.8-9.5,14.5-16.3,19.6c-5.7-6.6-10.2-14.3-13.1-23.1c-2-5.9-3.1-11.8-3.4-17.7h38.6%20C63.1,262.7,61.2,269.9,57.8,276.6'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,255.4v64.2c-15.8-0.9-30.7-7.3-42.3-17.9c7.4-5.7,13.4-13.1,17.8-21.7c3.9-7.8,6.1-16.1,6.6-24.6H89.1z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M60.9,234c1.5,4.5,2.4,9.2,2.7,13.8H25c0.8-15.1,6.7-29.4,16.5-40.7C50.2,213.7,57.1,222.9,60.9,234'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,183.7v64.2H71.2c-0.3-5.4-1.4-10.9-3.1-16.2c-4.1-12.4-11.7-22.6-21.3-30c6.9-6.4,15.2-11.4,24.7-14.6%20C77.3,185.1,83.2,184,89.1,183.7'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M114.6,247.8H96.7v-64.2c15.8,0.9,30.8,7.2,42.4,17.9c-9.9,7.6-17.3,18-21.4,30.1C115.9,237,114.9,242.4,114.6,247.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M139.1,301.8c-6.9,6.3-15.2,11.3-24.6,14.5c-5.9,2-11.9,3.1-17.8,3.4v-64.2h17.8c0.5,8.5,2.7,16.8,6.6,24.6%20C125.5,288.7,131.6,296.1,139.1,301.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M161,255.4c-0.8,15.1-6.7,29.5-16.6,40.9c-6.9-5.1-12.5-11.8-16.4-19.7c-3.4-6.7-5.3-13.9-5.8-21.2H161z'/%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 8 | Jazz | 78 | ||
| 10 | Nuggets | 80 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 102 | ||
| 6 | Raptors | 99 | ||
Monday, August 31, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 100 | ||
| 14 | Thunder | 104 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 115 | ||
| 2 | Bucks | 104 | ||
Sunday, August 30, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 111 | ||
 | 5 | Mavericks | 97 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 119 | ||
| 8 | Jazz | 107 | ||
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 112 | ||
| 7 | Raptors | 94 | ||