Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Heat			111	106.7	104	92.4
		Spurs			108	100.9	107	98.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Granger F · 6'9" 222 · 31	23.0	11	55%	1	3	1	0	0	5	0	1	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Shawne Williams C · 6'10" 230 · 29	22.3	8	50%	3	3	0	1	0	3	1	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	21.4	9	50%	4	1	1	1	0	3	1	3	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	20.8	11	79%	4	2	3	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 26	16.6	7	50%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 22	36.2	17	50%	4	2	4	0	3	5	1	3	4-8	50%	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 23	32.4	25	63%	1	4	2	0	1	1	0	1	12-14	86%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Khem Birch C · 6'9" 220 · 22	31.6	1	7%	13	1	3	1	2	1	5	8	1-2	50%	0-6	0%	0-0	-
Andre Dawkins G · 6'5" 219 · 23	26.7	16	80%	2	0	2	0	2	5	0	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 24	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin Hamilton C · 7'0" 255 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	234	111	52%	37	20	18	4	13	0	10	27	34-47	72%	28-55	51%	7-22	32%

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Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Granger F · 6'9" 222 · 31	23.0	11	55%	1	3	1	0	0	5	0	1	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Shawne Williams C · 6'10" 230 · 29	22.3	8	50%	3	3	0	1	0	3	1	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	21.4	9	50%	4	1	1	1	0	3	1	3	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	20.8	11	79%	4	2	3	0	1	2	0	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 26	16.6	7	50%	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	1	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 22	36.2	17	50%	4	2	4	0	3	5	1	3	4-8	50%	5-11	45%	1-2	50%
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 23	32.4	25	63%	1	4	2	0	1	1	0	1	12-14	86%	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Khem Birch C · 6'9" 220 · 22	31.6	1	7%	13	1	3	1	2	1	5	8	1-2	50%	0-6	0%	0-0	-
Andre Dawkins G · 6'5" 219 · 23	26.7	16	80%	2	0	2	0	2	5	0	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	3-5	60%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 24	3.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin Hamilton C · 7'0" 255 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	234	111	52%	37	20	18	4	13	0	10	27	34-47	72%	28-55	51%	7-22	32%

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San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 23	36.2	14	58%	5	3	0	0	3	4	1	4	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson F · 6'8" 230 · 21	32.2	17	65%	7	4	0	0	2	3	0	7	7-8	88%	2-6	33%	2-3	67%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 38	21.3	11	61%	6	2	0	1	3	2	1	5	5-7	71%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 27	15.9	8	67%	2	4	1	0	2	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 35	14.1	5	83%	2	0	0	1	3	5	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	28.8	18	56%	1	3	0	0	5	2	0	1	5-7	71%	2-6	33%	3-7	43%
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 26	18.9	10	45%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-7	29%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	17.0	4	67%	4	0	0	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	16.2	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 37	15.9	5	36%	3	2	0	0	6	0	0	3	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27	14.7	0	0%	9	2	0	0	0	3	7	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
JaMychal Green F · 6'9" 227 · 24	13.0	11	92%	5	1	0	1	2	1	3	2	5-5	100%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Bryce Cotton G · 6'1" 165 · 22	12.2	3	30%	1	3	0	0	2	6	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-3	33%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	256	108	55%	50	27	1	3	28	0	15	35	30-36	83%	21-49	43%	12-31	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.05 52.4%

SAS

1.09 54.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

14

21

67%

SAS

10

23

43%

Midrange

MIA

14

34

41%

SAS

11

26

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

7

10.5

22

32%

48%

SAS

12

18.0

31

39%

58%

Free Throws

MIA

34

47

72%

SAS

30

36

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Napier	25	63%	12.5 / 20
T. Johnson	17	50%	8.5 / 17
A. Dawkins	16	80%	8.0 / 10
D. Granger	11	55%	5.5 / 10
M. Chalmers	11	79%	5.5 / 7
U. Haslem	9	50%	4.5 / 9
S. Williams	8	50%	4.0 / 8
N. Cole	7	50%	3.5 / 7
K. Birch	1	7%	0.5 / 7
J. Ennis III	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Belinelli	18	56%	9.0 / 16
K. Anderson	17	65%	8.5 / 13
C. Joseph	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. Duncan	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Green	11	92%	5.5 / 6
A. Daye	10	45%	5.0 / 11
D. Green	8	67%	4.0 / 6
M. Bonner	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Ginobili	5	36%	2.5 / 7
A. Baynes	4	67%	2.0 / 3
B. Cotton	3	30%	1.5 / 5
J. Ayres	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 105.6 18 100.4	MIA 106.7 +5.8 SAS 100.9
Pace	28 94.7 18 96.3	MIA 92.4 SAS 98.8 +6.4
Avg. Poss. Time	2 15.6 12 15.1	MIA 15.6 SAS 14.6 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 51.8% 8 50.6%	MIA 50.0% +1.2% SAS 48.8%
TO %	4 15.5% 34 21.3%	MIA 14.1% −8.5% SAS 22.6%
ORB %	25 21.3% 27 20.5%	MIA 22.2% SAS 35.7% +13.5%
FTrt	6 38.8 2 41.9	MIA 61.0 +16.0 SAS 45.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 54.8% 5 67.5%	MIA 57.1% SAS 81.8% +24.7%
STL %	3 11.6% 27 7.6%	MIA 17.3% +16.4% SAS 0.9%
BLK %	5 9.4% 31 5.9%	MIA 8.2% +2.7% SAS 5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 54.5% 2 55.6%	MIA 52.4% SAS 54.5% +2.1%
Rim FG%	9 60.1% 7 60.8%	MIA 66.7% +23.2% SAS 43.5%
Mid FG%	2 43.9% 1 45.7%	MIA 41.2% SAS 42.3% +1.1%
3P %	13 35.4% 30 30.1%	MIA 31.8% SAS 38.7% +6.9%
FT %	14 75.2% 5 81.2%	MIA 72.3% SAS 83.3% +11.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 31.7% 21 33.7%	MIA 27.3% SAS 28.7% +1.5%
Mid Att. %	21 38.0% 17 36.2%	MIA 44.2% SAS 32.5% −11.7%
3P Att. %	11 30.3% 13 30.1%	MIA 28.6% SAS 38.8% +10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	SAS
Possessions	104	107
Possession Minutes	27.0	26.0
Points	111	108
Rebounds	37	50
Assists	20	27
Steals	18	1
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	13 (3)	28 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (4)	35 (1)
Field Goals	35-77	33-80
At-the-Rim FG	14-21	10-23
Midrange FG	14-34	11-26
2-Point FG	28-55	21-49
3-Point FG	7-22	12-31
Free Throws	34-47	30-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg