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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 4, 2001
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards9%8988
2Spurs91%105103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 23.8
37.1
37.6
24
68%
4
2
1
1
1
3
1
3
8-8
100%
8-14
6-15
57%
40%
0-0
-
Courtney Alexander
G · 6'5" 205 · 24.6
34.0
6.4
16
47%
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
8-14
1-2
57%
39%
0-3
0%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 32.3
29.8
32.5
6
32%
2
1
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-1
0%
3-9
3-8
33%
44%
0-0
-
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 25.8
20.3
14.3
7
72%
6
0
0
0
3
0
0
6
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.2
17.9
22.1
3
75%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-4
0%
38%
1-1
100%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
30.1
22.9
6
50%
4
5
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
39%
0-1
0%
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 31.6
24.9
28.5
5
43%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
40%
1-1
100%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 19.7
23.6
7.0
10
42%
12
2
1
0
1
1
2
10
2-2
100%
4-11
1-2
36%
41%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 22.0
22.3
21.9
11
56%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
4-8
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 38.8
33.9
1
8-20
40%
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 31.5
14.1
0
1-3
42%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
1.7
0
0-0
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 19.6
33.0
28.2
11
43%
1
5
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-6
43%
44%
1-5
20%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.6
27.9
39.3
13
51%
11
5
1
1
1
1
3
8
3-4
75%
5-11
9-17
45%
53%
0-0
-
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 36.3
23.4
29.8
13
59%
4
2
2
1
3
0
1
3
3-7
43%
5-8
5-10
63%
51%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 32.7
23.2
25.6
12
89%
3
3
0
1
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 30.5
19.8
26.2
9
57%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.7
26.6
23.4
15
60%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
2-5
40%
Charles Smith
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.3
26.4
1.7
10
63%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
0-0
25%
49%
2-3
67%
Amal McCaskill
C · 6'11" 235 · 28.1
19.4
2.6
8
52%
6
0
2
0
1
0
2
4
2-4
50%
3-6
0-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 27.0
18.8
20.9
7
44%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Terry Porter
G · 6'3" 205 · 38.7
14.9
19.8
3
38%
2
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 35.1
6.5
13.5
2
33%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-0
-
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29.1
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.