Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 4, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 17% | 84 | 83 | |
| 11 | Clippers | 83% | 96 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 32% | 95 | 100 | |
| 18 | Jazz | 68% | 101 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 9% | 89 | 88 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 91% | 105 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 57% | 90 | 75 | |
| 29 | Bulls | 43% | 88 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 20% | 88 | 84 | |
| 4 | Kings | 80% | 98 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SuperSonics | 24% | 97 | 83 | |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 76% | 106 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 26% | 90 | 85 | |
| 13 | Bucks | 74% | 98 | 71 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 34% | 97 | 96 | |
| 15 | Pacers | 66% | 102 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 66% | 99 | 88 | |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 34% | 94 | 100 | |
Monday, December 3, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 14% | 95 | 71 | |
| 8 | Magic | 86% | 108 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 32% | 87 | 86 | |
| 21 | Knicks | 68% | 93 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 15% | 91 | 93 | |
| 3 | Suns | 85% | 104 | 110 | |
Sunday, December 2, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 43% | 100 | 83 | |
| 18 | SuperSonics | 57% | 102 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 20% | 98 | 120 | |
| 3 | Kings | 80% | 108 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 36% | 97 | 72 | |
| 13 | Clippers | 64% | 102 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 30% | 87 | 93 | |
| 17 | 76ers | 70% | 93 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 26% | 93 | 85 | |
| 5 | Raptors | 74% | 101 | 69 | |
Saturday, December 1, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 49% | 92 | 100 | |
| 22 | Knicks | 51% | 93 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 37% | 93 | 105 | |
| 15 | Nets | 63% | 97 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 57% | 98 | 104 | |
| 18 | Hawks | 43% | 95 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 72% | 104 | 96 | |
| 27 | Wizards | 28% | 97 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 37% | 96 | 81 | |
| 23 | Cavaliers | 63% | 100 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 75% | 92 | 93 | |
| 29 | Bulls | 25% | 83 | 76 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 54% | 99 | 100 | |
| 20 | Jazz | 46% | 97 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 68% | 97 | 85 | |
| 26 | Rockets | 32% | 92 | 75 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 43% | 97 | 97 | |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 99 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 34% | 95 | 76 | |
| 1 | Lakers | 66% | 100 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 51% | 105 | 111 | |
| 21 | Warriors | 49% | 104 | 82 | |
Friday, November 30, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 42% | 88 | 84 | |
| 28 | Heat | 58% | 90 | 75 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 60% | 99 | 110 | |
| 24 | Hornets | 40% | 96 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 55% | 93 | 85 | |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 45% | 92 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 32% | 97 | 109 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 68% | 103 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 26% | 94 | 76 | |
| 6 | Suns | 74% | 102 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 36% | 95 | 95 | |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 100 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 63% | 103 | 107 | |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 37% | 99 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 43% | 99 | 93 | |
| 17 | Nuggets | 57% | 101 | 96 | |
Thursday, November 29, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 11% | 89 | 88 | |
| 5 | Raptors | 89% | 103 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 43% | 95 | 105 | |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 57% | 98 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 22% | 99 | 99 | |
| 6 | Magic | 78% | 108 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 62% | 89 | 72 | |
| 29 | Bulls | 38% | 86 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 51% | 105 | 110 | |
| 9 | Mavericks | 49% | 104 | 98 | |
Wednesday, November 28, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 49% | 101 | 75 | |
| 17 | Clippers | 51% | 102 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 27% | 95 | 84 | |
| 8 | Suns | 73% | 102 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 39% | 99 | 88 | |
| 20 | Jazz | 61% | 102 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 36% | 99 | 99 | |
| 16 | Nuggets | 64% | 104 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 10% | 93 | 83 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 90% | 109 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 10% | 83 | 94 | |
| 12 | 76ers | 90% | 99 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 19% | 90 | 104 | |
| 7 | Pistons | 81% | 101 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 34% | 89 | 105 | |
| 19 | Hawks | 66% | 94 | 100 | |
Tuesday, November 27, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 27% | 93 | 85 | |
| 3 | Lakers | 73% | 101 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timberwolves | 61% | 102 | 102 | |
| 18 | SuperSonics | 39% | 99 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 35% | 98 | 90 | |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 103 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 24% | 98 | 106 | |
| 10 | Mavericks | 76% | 107 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kings | 61% | 96 | 89 | |
| 22 | Rockets | 39% | 93 | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 56% | 94 | 84 | |
| 28 | Heat | 44% | 92 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 14% | 86 | 68 | |
| 17 | Nets | 86% | 99 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 39% | 96 | 75 | |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 61% | 99 | 94 | |
Monday, November 26, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 31% | 98 | 105 | |
| 6 | Magic | 69% | 104 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 43% | 91 | 83 | |
| 23 | Knicks | 57% | 93 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 79% | 104 | 94 | |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 21% | 94 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 48% | 98 | 111 | |
| 19 | Jazz | 52% | 99 | 104 | |
Sunday, November 25, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 17% | 92 | 98 | |
| 4 | Lakers | 83% | 104 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 51% | 96 | 85 | |
| 23 | Warriors | 49% | 95 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 46% | 102 | 88 | |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 54% | 103 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 37% | 96 | 83 | |
| 16 | Clippers | 63% | 100 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 32% | 87 | 88 | |
| 6 | Raptors | 68% | 92 | 107 | |
Saturday, November 24, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 22% | 86 | 71 | |
| 22 | Knicks | 78% | 96 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 49% | 103 | 84 | |
| 24 | Wizards | 51% | 104 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 13% | 95 | 103 | |
| 5 | Magic | 87% | 109 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 41% | 88 | 96 | |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 59% | 91 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 11% | 89 | 84 | |
| 6 | Pistons | 89% | 104 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 41% | 100 | 104 | |
| 14 | Mavericks | 59% | 103 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 19% | 92 | 88 | |
| 8 | Bucks | 81% | 103 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 21% | 91 | 97 | |
| 3 | Kings | 79% | 101 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 25% | 96 | 94 | |
| 1 | Timberwolves | 75% | 104 | 99 | |
Friday, November 23, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 42% | 99 | 91 | |
| 13 | Celtics | 58% | 101 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 14% | 86 | 68 | |
| 10 | 76ers | 86% | 99 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Mavericks | 57% | 94 | 104 | |
| 28 | Heat | 43% | 91 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | 69% | 104 | 109 | |
| 26 | Hornets | 31% | 97 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 58% | 96 | 99 | |
| 21 | Hawks | 42% | 94 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 51% | 104 | 97 | |
| 9 | Pacers | 49% | 103 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 32% | 97 | 101 | |
| 19 | Jazz | 68% | 103 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 28% | 95 | 90 | |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 102 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 46% | 96 | 81 | |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 54% | 97 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 12% | 88 | 90 | |
| 2 | Lakers | 88% | 103 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 64% | 101 | 103 | |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 36% | 96 | 89 | |
Thursday, November 22, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 34% | 95 | 95 | |
| 15 | Clippers | 66% | 100 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 21% | 93 | 78 | |
| 5 | Raptors | 79% | 103 | 75 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 15% | 95 | 103 | |
| 9 | Pacers | 85% | 108 | 110 | |
Wednesday, November 21, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pistons | 36% | 87 | 89 | |
| 12 | 76ers | 64% | 92 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 45% | 100 | 89 | |
| 24 | Hornets | 55% | 102 | 78 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 41% | 96 | 94 | |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 59% | 99 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timberwolves | 37% | 98 | 106 | |
| 7 | Magic | 63% | 102 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 9% | 87 | 92 | |
| 8 | Bucks | 91% | 103 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 17% | 95 | 93 | |
| 5 | Spurs | 83% | 107 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 48% | 100 | 89 | |
| 14 | Nuggets | 52% | 101 | 68 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 43% | 95 | 90 | |
| 19 | Jazz | 57% | 97 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 23% | 90 | 72 | |
| 13 | Suns | 77% | 99 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 16% | 93 | 83 | |
| 2 | Kings | 84% | 105 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 16% | 95 | 92 | |
| 9 | Celtics | 84% | 107 | 85 | |