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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 19, 2001
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Hawks35%9576
24Wizards65%100103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.9
45.4
25.1
10
42%
4
7
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-11
2-5
45%
43%
0-1
0%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 33.3
33.5
32.5
19
56%
8
5
2
1
1
4
4
4
1-2
50%
6-12
3-7
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.0
32.9
39.7
20
46%
10
3
3
1
0
2
5
5
6-8
75%
7-17
7-16
41%
46%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.3
27.3
40.9
2
13%
0
3
1
2
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-7
4-10
14%
44%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
23.9
31.3
4
45%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-1
0%
2-4
5-12
50%
46%
0-0
-
Reggie Slater
F · 6'7" 255 · 31.3
24.0
0.6
8
40%
6
0
0
0
0
0
5
1
2-2
100%
3-9
0-0
33%
46%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 21.6
17.8
16.3
8
52%
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-3
0%
Hanno Mottola
C-F · 6'11" 247 · 25.3
15.2
17.3
2
17%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
0-0
-
Mark Strickland
F · 6'10" 220 · 31.4
11.8
5.3
0
0%
3
2
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Cal Bowdler
F · 6'10" 253 · 24.7
8.3
3.1
3
17%
5
1
2
0
0
0
4
1
1-2
50%
1-7
0-1
14%
44%
0-1
0%
Dion Glover
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23.2
20.0
1
3-7
45%
Emanual Davis
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.3
8.4
0
0-1
40%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 23.8
34.1
38.3
20
44%
4
5
0
1
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
9-22
8-17
41%
48%
0-0
-
Popeye Jones
F · 6'8" 265 · 31.5
28.4
24.2
4
69%
10
3
1
1
0
3
4
6
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Jordan
G · 6'6" 216 · 38.8
26.8
32.4
23
59%
4
6
1
1
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
11-18
9-19
61%
44%
0-1
0%
Jahidi White
C-F · 6'9" 290 · 25.8
21.3
18.1
10
63%
10
1
0
0
0
2
3
7
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.2
20.9
22.3
13
78%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 22.1
26.6
26.8
7
61%
5
0
1
1
7
1
3
2
1-4
25%
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 31.6
22.5
14.6
9
90%
2
9
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
1-1
100%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 24.6
20.9
25.6
8
80%
3
8
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
3-7
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 19.8
19.1
11.8
4
34%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-2
0%
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrone Nesby
F-G · 6'6" 245 · 25.9
13.1
9.6
5
64%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.5
6.3
2.7
0
0%
0
0
3
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
1.6
0
0-0
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.