Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, December 19, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 60% | 99 | 88 | |
| 25 | Warriors | 40% | 96 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kings | 49% | 101 | 92 | |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 51% | 102 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 22% | 94 | 79 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 78% | 103 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 49% | 97 | 102 | |
| 16 | Pacers | 51% | 98 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 25% | 97 | 90 | |
| 7 | Magic | 75% | 106 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 35% | 96 | 112 | |
| 11 | Nets | 65% | 100 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 35% | 95 | 76 | |
| 24 | Wizards | 65% | 100 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 26% | 89 | 94 | |
| 17 | 76ers | 74% | 97 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cavaliers | 19% | 91 | 98 | |
| 9 | Celtics | 81% | 102 | 104 | |
Tuesday, December 18, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 63% | 101 | 102 | |
| 20 | Nuggets | 37% | 97 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 43% | 95 | 100 | |
| 23 | Hornets | 57% | 97 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 21% | 89 | 84 | |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 79% | 99 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 53% | 91 | 95 | |
| 26 | Heat | 47% | 90 | 56 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 45% | 100 | 103 | |
| 21 | Hawks | 55% | 102 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 33% | 102 | 107 | |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 67% | 107 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 67% | 97 | 114 | |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 33% | 91 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 29% | 94 | 96 | |
| 3 | Suns | 71% | 101 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 97 | 101 | |
| 27 | Rockets | 37% | 93 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 38% | 96 | 98 | |
| 9 | Kings | 62% | 100 | 102 | |
Monday, December 17, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 53% | 92 | 83 | |
| 20 | 76ers | 47% | 91 | 99 | |
Sunday, December 16, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 49% | 92 | 114 | |
| 22 | Knicks | 51% | 93 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 21% | 89 | 93 | |
| 10 | Raptors | 79% | 99 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 47% | 97 | 77 | |
| 13 | Clippers | 53% | 98 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 8% | 88 | 87 | |
| 7 | Kings | 92% | 105 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 55% | 105 | 91 | |
| 21 | SuperSonics | 45% | 104 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 7% | 90 | 85 | |
| 1 | Lakers | 93% | 108 | 101 | |
Saturday, December 15, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 67% | 99 | 80 | |
| 29 | Bulls | 33% | 93 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 47% | 98 | 106 | |
| 19 | Hornets | 53% | 99 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 39% | 89 | 94 | |
| 23 | Cavaliers | 61% | 93 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 41% | 96 | 95 | |
| 11 | Bucks | 59% | 99 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Timberwolves | 40% | 101 | 117 | |
| 8 | Mavericks | 60% | 105 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 37% | 87 | 76 | |
| 26 | Rockets | 63% | 91 | 73 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 21% | 93 | 80 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 79% | 103 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 52% | 100 | 98 | |
| 20 | Nuggets | 48% | 99 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 59% | 103 | 106 | |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 100 | 117 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 37% | 94 | 84 | |
| 25 | Warriors | 63% | 98 | 93 | |
Friday, December 14, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 22% | 93 | 80 | |
| 1 | Lakers | 78% | 102 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 40% | 97 | 105 | |
| 6 | Suns | 60% | 100 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 98 | 85 | |
| 13 | Jazz | 59% | 101 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Kings | 34% | 97 | 94 | |
| 2 | Timberwolves | 66% | 102 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 59% | 90 | 95 | |
| 26 | Heat | 41% | 87 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 10% | 85 | 101 | |
| 9 | Celtics | 90% | 100 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 43% | 91 | 80 | |
| 24 | Wizards | 57% | 94 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 46% | 90 | 96 | |
| 23 | 76ers | 54% | 91 | 80 | |
Thursday, December 13, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 25% | 98 | 82 | |
| 8 | Mavericks | 75% | 107 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 28% | 94 | 86 | |
| 19 | Nuggets | 72% | 101 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 72% | 105 | 105 | |
| 25 | Warriors | 28% | 98 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 27% | 89 | 97 | |
| 6 | Pistons | 73% | 97 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 19% | 90 | 106 | |
| 13 | Pacers | 81% | 101 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 48% | 96 | 90 | |
| 23 | Hornets | 52% | 97 | 104 | |
Wednesday, December 12, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | SuperSonics | 24% | 94 | 94 | |
| 13 | Clippers | 76% | 103 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kings | 33% | 96 | 88 | |
| 6 | Suns | 67% | 102 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Timberwolves | 43% | 98 | 98 | |
| 11 | Jazz | 57% | 100 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 31% | 93 | 95 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 69% | 100 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 36% | 87 | 80 | |
| 24 | Wizards | 64% | 91 | 82 | |
Tuesday, December 11, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 53% | 93 | 107 | |
| 28 | Rockets | 47% | 92 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 47% | 93 | 102 | |
| 17 | Knicks | 53% | 94 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 57% | 90 | 97 | |
| 27 | Heat | 43% | 88 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 43% | 92 | 87 | |
| 22 | Hawks | 57% | 95 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 13% | 93 | 86 | |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 87% | 106 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 41% | 93 | 91 | |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 59% | 96 | 81 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 74% | 95 | 107 | |
| 29 | Bulls | 26% | 87 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 101 | 103 | |
| 9 | Mavericks | 62% | 104 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 38% | 98 | 99 | |
| 18 | Nuggets | 62% | 102 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 29% | 99 | 100 | |
| 5 | Kings | 71% | 106 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 12% | 92 | 104 | |
| 1 | Lakers | 88% | 107 | 93 | |
Monday, December 10, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 58% | 101 | 92 | |
| 12 | Clippers | 42% | 98 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 41% | 101 | 98 | |
| 14 | Jazz | 59% | 104 | 107 | |
Sunday, December 9, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 39% | 95 | 91 | |
| 8 | Raptors | 61% | 98 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 12% | 87 | 77 | |
| 7 | Pistons | 88% | 102 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 10% | 84 | 88 | |
| 4 | Kings | 90% | 99 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 30% | 95 | 78 | |
| 14 | Clippers | 70% | 102 | 89 | |
Saturday, December 8, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 13% | 88 | 97 | |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 87% | 102 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 61% | 103 | 104 | |
| 23 | Hawks | 39% | 100 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 38% | 93 | 99 | |
| 18 | Knicks | 62% | 97 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 39% | 95 | 99 | |
| 21 | Cavaliers | 61% | 99 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 46% | 89 | 83 | |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 54% | 90 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 77% | 97 | 84 | |
| 29 | Bulls | 23% | 88 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 39% | 93 | 79 | |
| 15 | Bucks | 61% | 97 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 14% | 94 | 102 | |
| 5 | Mavericks | 86% | 107 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 23% | 93 | 101 | |
| 13 | Jazz | 77% | 102 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | SuperSonics | 26% | 96 | 92 | |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 74% | 103 | 113 | |
Friday, December 7, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 35% | 97 | 106 | |
| 24 | Warriors | 65% | 102 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 24% | 92 | 96 | |
| 9 | Raptors | 76% | 101 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 13% | 87 | 83 | |
| 13 | Pacers | 87% | 101 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 44% | 96 | 102 | |
| 10 | Celtics | 56% | 98 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 23% | 89 | 84 | |
| 12 | Nets | 77% | 98 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 23% | 96 | 94 | |
| 8 | Magic | 77% | 106 | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 20% | 88 | 76 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 80% | 98 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 44% | 98 | 91 | |
| 5 | Kings | 56% | 99 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 25% | 88 | 98 | |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 75% | 97 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 30% | 93 | 102 | |
| 11 | Clippers | 70% | 100 | 86 | |
Thursday, December 6, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 65% | 100 | 105 | |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 35% | 96 | 80 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 24% | 95 | 95 | |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 76% | 104 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 51% | 97 | 89 | |
| 15 | Bucks | 49% | 96 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 38% | 90 | 85 | |
| 26 | Rockets | 62% | 93 | 82 | |