Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 11, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 12% | 92 | 104 | |
 | 1 | Lakers | 88% | 107 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Celtics | 47% | 93 | 102 |
 | 17 | Knicks | 53% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bucks | 57% | 90 | 97 |
 | 27 | Heat | 43% | 88 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Timberwolves | 87% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 74% | 95 | 107 | |
 | 29 | Bulls | 26% | 87 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Mavericks | 62% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 38% | 98 | 99 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Magic | 29% | 99 | 100 |
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Monday, December 10, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Magic | 58% | 101 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 41% | 101 | 98 |
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Sunday, December 9, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 10% | 84 | 88 |
| 4 | Kings | 90% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 30% | 95 | 78 | |
| 14 | Clippers | 70% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 12% | 87 | 77 |
 | 7 | Pistons | 88% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Raptors | 61% | 98 | 90 |
Saturday, December 8, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 13% | 88 | 97 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 87% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 61% | 103 | 104 |
| 23 | Hawks | 39% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Knicks | 62% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 39% | 95 | 99 |
| 21 | Cavaliers | 61% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 46% | 89 | 83 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 54% | 90 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 39% | 93 | 79 | |
| 15 | Bucks | 61% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 14% | 94 | 102 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 86% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 23% | 93 | 101 |
| 13 | Jazz | 77% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | SuperSonics | 26% | 96 | 92 | |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 74% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 77% | 97 | 84 |
| 29 | Bulls | 23% | 88 | 87 |
Friday, December 7, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 44% | 96 | 102 |
| 10 | Celtics | 56% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 24% | 92 | 96 |
| 9 | Raptors | 76% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 13% | 87 | 83 |
| 13 | Pacers | 87% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 23% | 89 | 84 |
| 12 | Nets | 77% | 98 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 23% | 96 | 94 |
| 8 | Magic | 77% | 106 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 44% | 98 | 91 |
| 5 | Kings | 56% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 25% | 88 | 98 |
| 20 | SuperSonics | 75% | 97 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 30% | 93 | 102 |
| 11 | Clippers | 70% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 35% | 97 | 106 | |
| 24 | Warriors | 65% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 20% | 88 | 76 |
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Thursday, December 6, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 38% | 90 | 85 |
| 26 | Rockets | 62% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 65% | 100 | 105 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 35% | 96 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 51% | 97 | 89 |
| 15 | Bucks | 49% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 24% | 95 | 95 | |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 76% | 104 | 89 |
Wednesday, December 5, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 46% | 91 | 87 |
| 25 | Warriors | 54% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 24% | 97 | 94 |
| 1 | Lakers | 76% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 53% | 95 | 87 |
| 14 | Nets | 47% | 94 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | SuperSonics | 21% | 95 | 91 | |
| 7 | Pistons | 79% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 53% | 99 | 120 |
| 18 | Hawks | 47% | 98 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 5% | 86 | 74 |
| 6 | Magic | 95% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 21% | 94 | 80 |
| 10 | Celtics | 79% | 104 | 95 |
Tuesday, December 4, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 17% | 84 | 83 |
| 11 | Clippers | 83% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 32% | 95 | 100 | |
| 18 | Jazz | 68% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 9% | 89 | 88 |
| 2 | Spurs | 91% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 57% | 90 | 75 |
| 29 | Bulls | 43% | 88 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 20% | 88 | 84 |
| 4 | Kings | 80% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | SuperSonics | 24% | 97 | 83 | |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 76% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 26% | 90 | 85 |
| 13 | Bucks | 74% | 98 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 34% | 97 | 96 |
| 15 | Pacers | 66% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 66% | 99 | 88 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 34% | 94 | 100 |
Monday, December 3, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Rockets | 32% | 87 | 86 |
| 21 | Knicks | 68% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 14% | 95 | 71 |
| 8 | Magic | 86% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 15% | 91 | 93 |
| 3 | Suns | 85% | 104 | 110 |
Sunday, December 2, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 43% | 100 | 83 |
| 18 | SuperSonics | 57% | 102 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 20% | 98 | 120 |
| 3 | Kings | 80% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 36% | 97 | 72 |
| 13 | Clippers | 64% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 30% | 87 | 93 |
| 17 | 76ers | 70% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Celtics | 26% | 93 | 85 |
| 5 | Raptors | 74% | 101 | 69 |
Saturday, December 1, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 49% | 92 | 100 |
| 22 | Knicks | 51% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 37% | 93 | 105 |
| 15 | Nets | 63% | 97 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 57% | 98 | 104 |
| 18 | Hawks | 43% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 72% | 104 | 96 |
| 27 | Wizards | 28% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 37% | 96 | 81 | |
| 23 | Cavaliers | 63% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 75% | 92 | 93 |
| 29 | Bulls | 25% | 83 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 54% | 99 | 100 |
| 20 | Jazz | 46% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 68% | 97 | 85 |
| 26 | Rockets | 32% | 92 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 43% | 97 | 97 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 34% | 95 | 76 |
| 1 | Lakers | 66% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 51% | 105 | 111 |
| 21 | Warriors | 49% | 104 | 82 |
Friday, November 30, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 42% | 88 | 84 |
| 28 | Heat | 58% | 90 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 60% | 99 | 110 |
| 24 | Hornets | 40% | 96 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 55% | 93 | 85 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 45% | 92 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 32% | 97 | 109 |
| 2 | Spurs | 68% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 26% | 94 | 76 |
| 6 | Suns | 74% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 36% | 95 | 95 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 63% | 103 | 107 |
| 19 | SuperSonics | 37% | 99 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 43% | 99 | 93 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 57% | 101 | 96 |
Thursday, November 29, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 43% | 95 | 105 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 57% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 11% | 89 | 88 |
| 5 | Raptors | 89% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 22% | 99 | 99 |
| 6 | Magic | 78% | 108 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 62% | 89 | 72 |
| 29 | Bulls | 38% | 86 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 51% | 105 | 110 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 49% | 104 | 98 |
Wednesday, November 28, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 34% | 89 | 105 |
| 19 | Hawks | 66% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 49% | 101 | 75 |
| 17 | Clippers | 51% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 27% | 95 | 84 |
| 8 | Suns | 73% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 39% | 99 | 88 | |
| 20 | Jazz | 61% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 36% | 99 | 99 |
| 16 | Nuggets | 64% | 104 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 10% | 93 | 83 |
| 2 | Spurs | 90% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 10% | 83 | 94 |
| 12 | 76ers | 90% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 19% | 90 | 104 | |
| 7 | Pistons | 81% | 101 | 96 |