Final Win Prob. pScore
1129%94
93
571%101
109
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
108.18687.8
MIN logo Timberwolves
125.38785.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETMIN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIN93
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0MINGarrett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Cardinal 3PT Jump Shot93
0%
109
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MINMISS Woods 18' Jump Shot93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0MINMISS Avery 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:50.0DETCurry 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cardinal 1 AST)93
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0DETCardinal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0DETMISS Rebraca 9' Jump Shot91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11DETBarry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13DETMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MINSUB: Woods FOR Trent91
109
Q4 - 1:27MINTrent L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)91
109
Q4 - 1:27DETPistons Rebound91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MINMISS Avery 21' Jump Shot91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MINAvery REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38DETTrent BLOCK (1 BLK)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MINTrent Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)91
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound91
108
Q4 - 1:51MINMISS Trent Free Throw 1 of 291
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51DETCardinal S.FOUL (P1.PN)91
108
Q4 - 2:11DETLopez STEAL (1 STL)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MINLopez Foul Turnover (P2.T10)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:22MINLopez OFF.Foul (P1)91
108
Q4 - 2:42DETCardinal 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)91
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51DETSUB: Jones FOR Barros88
108
Q4 - 2:51MINSUB: Garrett FOR Peeler88
108
Q4 - 2:51MINSUB: Lopez FOR Billups88
108
Q4 - 2:51MINSUB: Mitchell FOR Szczerbiak88
108
Q4 - 2:51MINSUB: Avery FOR Nesterovic88
108
Q4 - 2:51DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)88
108
Q4 - 3:02MINPeeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Szczerbiak 5 AST)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:22DETMISS Cardinal 20' Jump Shot88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45MINPeeler 18' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)88
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:01MINMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:14DETRebraca P.FOUL (P3.T4)88
103
Q4 - 4:26DETBarros Driving Layup (6 PTS)88
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 4:3686
103
Q4 - 4:36DETSUB: Cardinal FOR Moore86
103
Q4 - 4:36MINTIMBERWOLVES Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MINTrent REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)86
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:01DETMISS Rebraca Layup86
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 5:25MINBillups 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)86
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 5:40DETRebraca Driving Dunk (8 PTS)86
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 5:54DETMoore REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)84
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 5:56MINMISS Szczerbiak 19' Jump Shot84
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 6:11MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 6:12DETMISS Moore 18' Jump Shot84
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 6:20DETBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 6:21MINMISS Trent 14' Jump Shot84
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 6:46DETCurry Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)84
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 7:08MINBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)82
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 7:15DETSUB: Barry FOR Stackhouse82
101
Q4 - 7:15DETSUB: Rebraca FOR Robinson82
101
Q4 - 7:20MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 7:21DETMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 7:35MINSzczerbiak P.FOUL (P4.T2)82
101
Q4 - 7:52MINTrent 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)82
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 8:07DETStackhouse 9' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)82
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 8:23DETSUB: Barros FOR Atkins80
99
Q4 - 8:23MINSUB: Trent FOR Garnett80
99
Q4 - 8:23DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)80
99
Q4 - 8:25MINBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)80
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 8:48MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 8:51DETPeeler BLOCK (2 BLK)80
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 9:06MINBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)80
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 9:13DETAtkins P.FOUL (P3.T3)80
96
Q4 - 9:16MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)80
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 9:17DETMoore REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)80
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 9:17DETMISS Moore Layup80
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 9:18DETMISS Stackhouse Layup80
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 9:28MINGarnett 9' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)80
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 9:42DETStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Moore 1 AST)80
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 9:46DETMoore REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)77
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 9:47DETMISS Atkins Layup77
0.9%
94
99.1%
Q4 - 9:52DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 9:54MINMISS Szczerbiak 11' Jump Shot77
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 9:59DETCurry P.FOUL (P3.T2)77
94
Q4 - 10:17DETStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Atkins 3 AST)77
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 10:30MINPeeler Driving Finger Roll (13 PTS)74
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 10:43DETCurry P.FOUL (P2.T1)74
92
Q4 - 10:51MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)74
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 10:52DETMISS Moore 21' Jump Shot74
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 11:17MINPeeler 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)74
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 11:30MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 11:32DETMISS Moore Free Throw 2 of 274
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 11:32DETMoore Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 11:32MINPeeler P.FOUL (P3.T1)73
89
Q4 - 11:32DETMoore REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 11:33DETMISS Atkins Layup73
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 11:49MINBillups 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Garnett 6 AST)73
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 12:0073
87
Q3 - 0:00.0MIN73
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MINPeeler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MINMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot73
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q3 - 0:24.0DETStackhouse Driving Dunk (16 PTS) (Atkins 2 AST)73
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
2.3%
87
97.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0MINMISS Peeler 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q3 - 0:47.0DETAtkins 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stackhouse 10 AST)71
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q3 - 1:01MINGarnett 11' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS) (Woods 2 AST)68
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q3 - 1:18MINTrent REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)68
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q3 - 1:20DETMISS Atkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q3 - 1:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 1:38MINMISS Woods 18' Jump Shot68
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 2:01DETAtkins 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q3 - 2:10MINTIMBERWOLVES Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)66
85
Q3 - 2:10MINLopez Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)66
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 2:29DETAtkins Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)66
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q3 - 2:35DETPistons Rebound64
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 2:37DETMISS Atkins 22' Jump Shot64
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q3 - 2:51MINSUB: Peeler FOR Szczerbiak64
85
Q3 - 2:51MINTIMBERWOLVES Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)64
85
Q3 - 2:51MINSzczerbiak Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T5)64
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 3:07DETMoore REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 3:07DETMoore Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)64
1.1%
85
98.9%
Q3 - 3:08DETMISS Stackhouse Layup62
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 3:21MINTrent Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)62
0.9%
85
99.1%
Q3 - 3:21MINSUB: Lopez FOR Billups62
84
Q3 - 3:21DETMoore S.FOUL (P1.PN)62
84
Q3 - 3:21MINTrent Dunk (16 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)62
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q3 - 3:43DETAtkins Running Layup (6 PTS) (Stackhouse 9 AST)62
1.3%
82
98.7%
Q3 - 3:46MINBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)60
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 3:56DETBillups STEAL (2 STL)60
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 4:00DETMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 4:02MINMISS Trent Layup60
1.1%
82
98.9%
Q3 - 4:06MINWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 4:09DETMISS Stackhouse 19' Jump Shot60
1.0%
82
99.0%
Q3 - 4:23MINGarnett 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Woods 1 AST)60
1.2%
82
98.8%
Q3 - 4:26MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 4:28MINMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot60
1.9%
79
98.1%
Q3 - 4:40DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 4:40MINSUB: Woods FOR Nesterovic59
79
Q3 - 4:40DETPistons Rebound59
79
Q3 - 4:40DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 1 of 259
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q3 - 4:40MINNesterovic S.FOUL (P4.T4)59
79
Q3 - 4:52MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)59
1.7%
79
98.3%
Q3 - 4:52MINSzczerbiak Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
1.7%
78
98.3%
Q3 - 4:52DETStackhouse P.FOUL (P1.PN)59
77
Q3 - 5:03DETMoore 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williamson 3 AST)59
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 5:19MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)57
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 5:19DETSUB: Moore FOR Robinson57
76
Q3 - 5:19DETRobinson S.FOUL (P4.T4)57
76
Q3 - 5:19MINGarnett 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Trent 5 AST)57
2.2%
76
97.8%
Q3 - 5:37MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)57
2.5%
74
97.5%
Q3 - 5:38DETMISS Williamson 17' Jump Shot57
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 5:52MINSzczerbiak P.FOUL (P3.T3)57
74
Q3 - 6:06DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 6:08MINMISS Szczerbiak 17' Jump Shot57
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 6:10MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound57
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 6:13MINMISS Garnett 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 6:19DETBillups STEAL (1 STL)57
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 6:20DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 6:22MINMISS Trent 18' Jump Shot57
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 6:31MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
2.8%
74
97.2%
Q3 - 6:33DETNesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)57
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 6:48MINSzczerbiak 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)57
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 7:04DETRobinson 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)57
4.1%
72
95.9%
Q3 - 7:10MINBillups P.FOUL (P1.T2)55
72
Q3 - 7:22MINGarnett 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)55
3.5%
72
96.5%
Q3 - 7:33MINTrent Violation:Defensive Goaltending55
70
Q3 - 7:33DETAtkins Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Stackhouse 8 AST)55
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 7:37DETStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
3.5%
70
96.5%
Q3 - 7:38MINMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot53
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 7:41MINTIMBERWOLVES Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)53
70
Q3 - 7:50DETRobinson P.FOUL (P3.T3)53
70
Q3 - 8:08DETRobinson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williamson 2 AST)53
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 8:31DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)51
70
Q3 - 8:36MINNesterovic Layup (10 PTS) (Trent 4 AST)51
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 8:38MINTrent REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)51
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 8:40MINMISS Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot51
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q3 - 8:48MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)51
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q3 - 8:50DETMISS Stackhouse 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 8:53DETPistons Rebound51
3.7%
68
96.3%
Q3 - 8:55DETMISS Williamson 8' Hook Shot51
3.3%
68
96.7%
Q3 - 9:18MINSzczerbiak Layup (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)51
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 9:28MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound51
4.4%
66
95.6%
Q3 - 9:29MINMISS Szczerbiak 18' Jump Shot51
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 9:55MINTrent REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
4.4%
66
95.6%
Q3 - 9:56MINMISS Szczerbiak 7' Jump Shot51
4.9%
66
95.1%
Q3 - 10:02DETRobinson P.FOUL (P2.T2)51
66
Q3 - 10:16MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)51
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q3 - 10:17DETMISS Stackhouse Free Throw 2 of 251
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q3 - 10:17DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)51
5.2%
66
94.8%
Q3 - 10:17MINNesterovic S.FOUL (P3.T1)50
66
Q3 - 10:30MINSzczerbiak 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
4.6%
66
95.4%
Q3 - 10:44MINTrent REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 10:46DETMISS Stackhouse Layup50
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q3 - 10:49DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 10:51MINMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot50
5.8%
64
94.2%
Q3 - 11:05DETStackhouse Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Williamson 1 AST)50
5.5%
64
94.5%
Q3 - 11:16MINTrent Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)48
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 11:16MINTrent Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)48
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q3 - 11:16DETWilliamson S.FOUL (P3.T1)48
62
Q3 - 11:35MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)48
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 11:37DETMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot48
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 12:0048
62
Q2 - 0:00.0DET48
6.3%
62
93.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
6.5%
62
93.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETSUB: Barros FOR Wallace48
61
Q2 - 0:04.0MINSUB: Billups FOR Peeler48
61
Q2 - 0:04.0MINSUB: Mitchell FOR Trent48
61
Q2 - 0:04.0MINGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
6.7%
61
93.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETWilliamson S.FOUL (P2.PN)48
60
Q2 - 0:25.0MINWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
7.6%
60
92.4%
Q2 - 0:26.0DETMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot48
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q2 - 0:43.0MINGarnett Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Lopez 2 AST)48
8.4%
60
91.6%
Q2 - 1:07DETStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)48
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q2 - 1:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q2 - 1:12DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot45
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q2 - 1:21MINPeeler P.FOUL (P2.T4)45
58
Q2 - 1:28MINLopez 8' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Trent 3 AST)45
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q2 - 1:45DETWilliamson 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stackhouse 7 AST)45
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q2 - 2:05MINGarnett 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS)43
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q2 - 2:19MINLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 2:22DETMISS Stackhouse Layup43
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q2 - 2:31MINSUB: Woods FOR Szczerbiak43
54
Q2 - 2:31DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)43
54
Q2 - 2:38MINPeeler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Trent 2 AST)43
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q2 - 2:41MINTrent REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
12.5%
51
87.5%
Q2 - 2:43MINMISS Garnett 6' Hook Shot43
13.5%
51
86.5%
Q2 - 2:59DETWilliamson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Robinson 5 AST)43
12.5%
51
87.5%
Q2 - 3:18MINTrent Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Szczerbiak 4 AST)41
11.3%
51
88.7%
Q2 - 3:23MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)41
12.4%
49
87.6%
Q2 - 3:24DETMISS Atkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
12.9%
49
87.1%
Q2 - 3:41MINSzczerbiak Layup (6 PTS) (Garnett 5 AST)41
14.1%
49
85.9%
Q2 - 3:44DETPeeler STEAL (1 STL)41
15.4%
47
84.6%
Q2 - 3:45DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
17.4%
47
82.6%
Q2 - 3:46DETMISS Stackhouse 12' Jump Shot41
16.0%
47
84.0%
Q2 - 3:59DETSUB: Williamson FOR Curry41
47
Q2 - 3:59DETSUB: Atkins FOR Barros41
47
Q2 - 3:59DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)41
47
Q2 - 4:09MINLopez 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)41
17.3%
47
82.7%
Q2 - 4:13MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q2 - 4:14MINMISS Lopez Driving Layup41
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 4:18MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)41
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q2 - 4:21DETPeeler BLOCK (1 BLK)41
21.6%
44
78.4%
Q2 - 4:39MINTrent 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)41
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 4:48DETRobinson P.FOUL (P1.T4)41
42
Q2 - 5:01DETStackhouse Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
25.4%
42
74.6%
Q2 - 5:01DETStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
25.1%
42
74.9%
Q2 - 5:01MINSzczerbiak S.FOUL (P2.T3)39
42
Q2 - 5:11MINTrent Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)39
23.1%
42
76.9%
Q2 - 5:11MINTrent Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)39
23.8%
41
76.2%
Q2 - 5:11MINSUB: Garnett FOR Woods39
40
Q2 - 5:11DETCurry S.FOUL (P1.T3)39
40
Q2 - 5:13MINTrent REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 5:15MINMISS Peeler 22' Jump Shot39
26.9%
40
73.1%
Q2 - 5:31DETStackhouse 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barros 1 AST)39
25.4%
40
74.6%
Q2 - 5:43DETCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
23.1%
40
76.9%
Q2 - 5:45MINMISS Trent 13' Jump Shot37
22.5%
40
77.5%
Q2 - 5:56DETSUB: Robinson FOR Rebraca37
40
Q2 - 5:56DETSUB: Stackhouse FOR Barry37
40
Q2 - 5:56MINTIMBERWOLVES Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
40
Q2 - 5:56MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound37
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 5:57DETWoods BLOCK (1 BLK)37
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 6:10MINTrent REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 6:10MINTrent Layup (6 PTS)37
23.4%
40
76.6%
Q2 - 6:12MINMISS Szczerbiak 13' Jump Shot37
27.0%
38
73.0%
Q2 - 6:19MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
25.2%
38
74.8%
Q2 - 6:20DETMISS Barros 3PT Jump Shot37
25.9%
38
74.1%
Q2 - 6:42MINPeeler 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Szczerbiak 3 AST)37
27.8%
38
72.2%
Q2 - 6:54DETBarros 12' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
29.8%
36
70.2%
Q2 - 7:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
27.3%
36
72.7%
Q2 - 7:04MINMISS Peeler 21' Jump Shot35
26.6%
36
73.4%
Q2 - 7:17DETBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
25.1%
36
74.9%
Q2 - 7:17DETBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
24.8%
36
75.2%
Q2 - 7:17MINTrent P.FOUL (P2.T2)33
36
Q2 - 7:32DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)33
36
Q2 - 7:40MINLopez 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Peeler 1 AST)33
23.1%
36
76.9%
Q2 - 7:43MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound33
25.1%
34
74.9%
Q2 - 7:44MINMISS Peeler 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 7:49MINWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
25.1%
34
74.9%
Q2 - 7:51DETMISS Barros 7' Jump Shot33
25.7%
34
74.3%
Q2 - 8:08MINSzczerbiak 13' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
27.1%
34
72.9%
Q2 - 8:13MINTrent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
29.4%
32
70.6%
Q2 - 8:15DETMISS Barry 22' Jump Shot33
30.1%
32
69.9%
Q2 - 8:37MINPeeler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lopez 1 AST)33
31.7%
32
68.3%
Q2 - 8:42MINWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
36.7%
29
63.3%
Q2 - 8:44DETMISS Barros 6' Jump Shot33
37.4%
29
62.6%
Q2 - 8:57DETSUB: Wallace FOR Robinson33
29
Q2 - 8:57MINSUB: Szczerbiak FOR Mitchell33
29
Q2 - 8:5733
29
Q2 - 8:57MINPeeler P.FOUL (P1.T1)33
29
Q2 - 9:07MINSUB: Trent FOR Garnett33
29
Q2 - 9:07DETPistons Rebound33
38.6%
29
61.4%
Q2 - 9:08MINMISS Lopez 7' Jump Shot33
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 9:09MINLopez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
36.0%
29
64.0%
Q2 - 9:11MINMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot33
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q2 - 9:27MINMitchell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q2 - 9:30DETMISS Barros 18' Jump Shot33
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q2 - 9:32DETPistons Rebound33
38.6%
29
61.4%
Q2 - 9:33DETMISS Rebraca 18' Jump Shot33
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q2 - 9:57MINWoods Driving Layup (3 PTS)33
38.6%
29
61.4%
Q2 - 10:11DETRebraca 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)33
40.7%
27
59.3%
Q2 - 10:27DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q2 - 10:28DETMISS Rebraca 7' Hook Shot31
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q2 - 10:46MINWoods Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q2 - 10:46MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound31
26
Q2 - 10:46MINMISS Woods Free Throw 1 of 231
39.0%
26
61.0%
Q2 - 10:46DETRebraca S.FOUL (P2.T2)31
26
Q2 - 10:59MINSUB: Peeler FOR Szczerbiak31
26
Q2 - 10:59MINSUB: Lopez FOR Billups31
26
Q2 - 10:59DETRebraca P.FOUL (P1.T1)31
26
Q2 - 11:06MINWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
37.9%
26
62.1%
Q2 - 11:07DETMISS Rebraca Layup31
38.7%
26
61.3%
Q2 - 11:24MINSzczerbiak 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)31
40.4%
26
59.6%
Q2 - 11:39DETBarros 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
42.9%
24
57.1%
Q2 - 12:0029
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DET29
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
40.5%
24
59.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0MINMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot29
38.6%
24
61.4%
Q1 - 0:07.0DETRobinson 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stackhouse 6 AST)29
37.4%
24
62.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0MINGarnett Reverse Layup (5 PTS)27
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0MINMISS Woods 14' Jump Shot27
38.7%
22
61.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0MINWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
37.4%
22
62.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0MINMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot27
38.7%
22
61.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
37.5%
22
62.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0MINMISS Garnett Layup27
38.7%
22
61.3%
Q1 - 1:00DETRebraca Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
37.5%
22
62.5%
Q1 - 1:00DETRebraca Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
36.9%
22
63.1%
Q1 - 1:00MINWoods P.FOUL (P1.PN)25
22
Q1 - 1:05MINSzczerbiak Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)25
34.1%
22
65.9%
Q1 - 1:16DETRebraca 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 5 AST)25
32.7%
22
67.3%
Q1 - 1:22DETBarros REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
30.0%
22
70.0%
Q1 - 1:24MINMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot23
29.6%
22
70.4%
Q1 - 1:29DETSUB: Barros FOR Atkins23
22
Q1 - 1:29DETAtkins P.FOUL (P2.T4)23
22
Q1 - 1:45DETWilliamson Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Stackhouse 4 AST)23
28.6%
22
71.4%
Q1 - 1:57MINMitchell P.FOUL (P1.T4)21
22
Q1 - 2:11MINBillups 18' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)21
26.3%
22
73.7%
Q1 - 2:29DETWilliamson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)21
28.5%
20
71.5%
Q1 - 2:29MINSUB: Woods FOR Nesterovic20
20
Q1 - 2:29MINSUB: Mitchell FOR Trent20
20
Q1 - 2:29MINNesterovic S.FOUL (P2.T3)20
20
Q1 - 2:29DETWilliamson Layup (8 PTS) (Stackhouse 3 AST)20
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 2:40DETRebraca REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 2:42MINMISS Garnett 13' Jump Shot18
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 2:53MINTIMBERWOLVES Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)18
20
Q1 - 2:53DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)18
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 2:53DETPistons Rebound18
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 2:55DETNesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)18
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 3:07MINSzczerbiak P.FOUL (P1.T2)18
20
Q1 - 3:18DETSUB: Rebraca FOR Wallace18
20
Q1 - 3:18MINNesterovic Foul Turnover (P2.T2)18
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 3:18MINNesterovic OFF.Foul (P1)18
20
Q1 - 3:36DETStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Robinson 4 AST)18
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 3:54MINTrent P.FOUL (P1.T1)15
20
Q1 - 3:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 3:57MINMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot15
19.4%
20
80.6%
Q1 - 4:10DETWilliamson Reverse Layup (6 PTS)15
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 4:24MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)13
18.0%
20
82.0%
Q1 - 4:24MINNesterovic Tip Shot (8 PTS)13
18.0%
20
82.0%
Q1 - 4:26MINMISS Szczerbiak 8' Jump Shot13
20.1%
18
79.9%
Q1 - 4:41DETRobinson 10' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 5:08MINNesterovic 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)11
18.6%
18
81.4%
Q1 - 5:25DETWilliamson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Robinson 3 AST)11
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 5:41MINTrent 9' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)9
18.8%
16
81.2%
Q1 - 5:50MINBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 5:53DETMISS Wallace Layup9
20.2%
14
79.8%
Q1 - 6:04MINNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 6:15MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)9
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 6:16DETMISS Atkins 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
20.3%
14
79.7%
Q1 - 6:34DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)9
14
Q1 - 6:44MINTrent Layup (2 PTS) (Szczerbiak 2 AST)9
21.4%
14
78.6%
Q1 - 6:51MINSzczerbiak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 6:53DETMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 7:10MINBillups Driving Layup (5 PTS)9
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 7:16MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
24.8%
10
75.2%
Q1 - 7:21DETMISS Stackhouse 20' Jump Shot9
25.3%
10
74.7%
Q1 - 7:26DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
26.3%
10
73.7%
Q1 - 7:27MINMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot9
25.8%
10
74.2%
Q1 - 7:52DETRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)9
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 8:06MINBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Trent 1 AST)6
23.0%
10
77.0%
Q1 - 8:26DETWilliamson Layup (2 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)6
25.3%
7
74.7%
Q1 - 8:36DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
24.3%
7
75.7%
Q1 - 8:38MINMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot4
24.1%
7
75.9%
Q1 - 8:48DETAtkins P.FOUL (P1.T3)4
7
Q1 - 8:54DETTrent STEAL (1 STL)4
23.7%
7
76.3%
Q1 - 9:04DETRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.8%
7
75.2%
Q1 - 9:07MINMISS Garnett 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
24.6%
7
75.4%
Q1 - 9:23MINBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.4%
7
75.6%
Q1 - 9:25DETMISS Robinson 16' Jump Shot4
24.6%
7
75.4%
Q1 - 9:33DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
25.2%
7
74.8%
Q1 - 9:34MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)4
24.6%
7
75.4%
Q1 - 9:34MINMISS Nesterovic 5' Hook Shot4
25.0%
7
75.0%
Q1 - 9:36MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
24.6%
7
75.4%
Q1 - 9:36MINMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot4
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 9:37MINMISS Trent 6' Jump Shot4
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 9:46MINTrent REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.8%
7
75.2%
Q1 - 9:49DETNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)4
25.1%
7
74.9%
Q1 - 10:02MINGarnett 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Szczerbiak 1 AST)4
25.9%
7
74.1%
Q1 - 10:18DETAtkins 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)4
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 10:38MINNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 10:38MINNesterovic Tip Shot (4 PTS)2
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 10:40MINMISS Trent 18' Jump Shot2
27.5%
3
72.5%
Q1 - 10:53DETRobinson 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)2
27.4%
3
72.6%
Q1 - 11:08MINGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)0
27.4%
3
72.6%
Q1 - 11:08MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:08MINMISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 20
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 11:08DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T2)0
2
Q1 - 11:15DETWilliamson P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:22MINGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 11:24DETMISS Williamson 8' Jump Shot0
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 11:42MINNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)0
28.5%
2
71.5%
Q1 - 12:00MINJump Ball Garnett vs. Wallace: Tip to Nesterovic0
29.0%
0
71.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETMIN
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.98 48.9%
MIN
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
13
26
50%
MIN
16
21
76%
Midrange
DET
18
40
45%
MIN
20
52
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
7
10.5
19
37%
55%
MIN
8
12.0
15
53%
80%
Free Throws
DET
10
13
77%
MIN
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Stackhouse2457%12.0 / 21
C. Williamson1568%7.5 / 11
C. Robinson1365%6.5 / 10
C. Atkins1346%6.5 / 14
Z. Rebraca836%4.0 / 11
D. Barros643%3.0 / 7
M. Moore542%2.5 / 6
M. Curry4100%2.0 / 2
B. Cardinal350%1.5 / 3
J. Barry250%1.0 / 2
B. Wallace0-0.0 / 3
D. Jones0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Garnett2350%11.5 / 23
G. Trent2059%10.0 / 17
A. Peeler1882%9.0 / 11
W. Szczerbiak1447%7.0 / 15
C. Billups1458%7.0 / 12
R. Nesterovic1071%5.0 / 7
F. Lopez770%3.5 / 5
L. Woods330%1.5 / 5
W. Avery0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
81
+13
-5
94
MIN
78
+21
-9
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.98 48.9%
MIN
1.09 54.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.0
106.6
DET 108.1
MIN 125.3 +17.1
Pace
92.6
92.8
DET 87.8 +2.6
MIN 85.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.4
DET 16.4 −0.5
MIN 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
49.0%
DET 48.8%
MIN 54.5% +5.7%
TO %
15.0%
14.0%
DET 6.2% −3.3%
MIN 9.5%
ORB %
24.5%
31.3%
DET 20.5%
MIN 43.2% +22.7%
FTrt
31.0
25.5
DET 15.3
MIN 18.2 +2.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.0%
62.8%
DET 73.7% +7.8%
MIN 65.9%
STL %
8.5%
6.9%
DET 3.5%
MIN 5.7% +2.2%
BLK %
10.2%
8.0%
DET 4.1%
MIN 10.6% +6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.3%
50.9%
DET 48.9%
MIN 54.5% +5.6%
Rim FG%
59.4%
59.4%
DET 50.0%
MIN 76.2% +26.2%
Mid FG%
39.1%
42.1%
DET 45.0% +6.5%
MIN 38.5%
3P %
37.6%
37.8%
DET 36.8%
MIN 53.3% +16.5%
FT %
75.6%
79.8%
DET 76.9%
MIN 81.3% +4.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.6%
26.8%
DET 30.6% +6.7%
MIN 23.9%
Mid Att. %
44.4%
58.0%
DET 47.1% −12.0%
MIN 59.1%
3P Att. %
23.9%
15.2%
DET 22.4% +5.3%
MIN 17.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETMIN
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points93109
Rebounds3051
Assists2829
Steals35
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)5 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)16 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (2)35 (1)
Field Goals38-8544-88
At-the-Rim FG13-2616-21
Midrange FG18-4020-52
2-Point FG31-6636-73
3-Point FG7-198-15
Free Throws10-1313-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 218 · 27
34.7
24
57%
1
10
2
0
1
1
0
1
4-6
67%
4-12
33%
4-6
67%
C · 6'10" 245 · 35
32.4
13
65%
3
5
0
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
83%
1-4
25%
G · 5'11" 185 · 27
30.1
13
46%
2
3
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-5
20%
F · 6'9" 240 · 27
29.6
0
0%
5
1
0
3
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 28
28.0
15
68%
5
3
1
0
1
3
1
4
1-1
100%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 33
20.0
4
100%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 265 · 30
16.6
8
36%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 165 · 35
15.1
6
43%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 32
13.3
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 26
12.7
5
42%
6
1
0
0
0
1
4
2
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
4.6
3
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 195 · 25
2.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
49%
30
28
3
3
5
0
9
21
10-13
77%
31-66
47%
7-19
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.