Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 7, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Knicks | 18% | 89 | 79 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 59% | 96 | 100 | |
 | 29 | Bulls | 41% | 93 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Pistons | 29% | 94 | 93 |
 | 5 | Timberwolves | 71% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Celtics | 37% | 98 | 87 |
 | 6 | Magic | 63% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Hornets | 56% | 99 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, January 6, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Bucks | 19% | 94 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Lakers | 54% | 96 | 109 |
 | 15 | Raptors | 46% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | SuperSonics | 54% | 98 | 89 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Heat | 70% | 94 | 92 |
Saturday, January 5, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 62% | 102 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 58% | 102 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 42% | 92 | 90 |
| 20 | Knicks | 58% | 95 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Warriors | 22% | 97 | 109 |
| 7 | Magic | 78% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 49% | 96 | 89 | |
| 25 | Hornets | 51% | 97 | 80 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cavaliers | 22% | 91 | 91 |
| 8 | Pistons | 78% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Bulls | 29% | 89 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 38% | 100 | 105 |
 | 4 | Mavericks | 62% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 39% | 89 | 88 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 92 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 44% | 94 | 83 |
| 11 | Clippers | 56% | 96 | 86 |
Friday, January 4, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 25% | 94 | 86 |
| 3 | Lakers | 75% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 20% | 85 | 83 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 28% | 91 | 91 |
| 12 | Raptors | 72% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 21% | 84 | 89 |
| 7 | Celtics | 79% | 94 | 66 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 44% | 97 | 109 |
| 14 | Nets | 56% | 99 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 34% | 96 | 86 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 66% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 21% | 92 | 92 |
| 1 | Spurs | 79% | 102 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Clippers | 51% | 98 | 82 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 49% | 97 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 42% | 91 | 87 |
| 17 | SuperSonics | 58% | 93 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 44% | 96 | 113 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 56% | 98 | 109 |
Thursday, January 3, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 49% | 95 | 97 |
| 25 | Rockets | 51% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 48% | 99 | 101 |
| 21 | Knicks | 52% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 30% | 97 | 102 |
| 24 | Hornets | 70% | 103 | 114 | |
Wednesday, January 2, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 18% | 93 | 91 |
| 2 | Kings | 82% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 40% | 98 | 94 |
| 8 | Celtics | 60% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 37% | 96 | 98 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 63% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 25% | 90 | 74 |
| 14 | Nets | 75% | 98 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 29% | 96 | 77 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 71% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 74% | 101 | 107 |
| 29 | Bulls | 26% | 93 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 22% | 90 | 85 |
| 1 | Spurs | 78% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 60% | 101 | 87 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 40% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 34% | 89 | 102 |
| 10 | Suns | 66% | 94 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 44% | 95 | 95 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 97 | 84 |
Tuesday, January 1, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 93 | 97 |
| 11 | Clippers | 63% | 97 | 112 |
Monday, December 31, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 53% | 93 | 76 | |
| 21 | Wizards | 47% | 92 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 18% | 85 | 89 |
| 13 | Pacers | 82% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bucks | 74% | 98 | 83 |
| 29 | Bulls | 26% | 90 | 90 |
Sunday, December 30, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 51% | 101 | 95 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Rockets | 18% | 91 | 90 |
| 4 | Lakers | 82% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 26% | 94 | 94 |
| 2 | Kings | 74% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 66% | 98 | 83 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 34% | 93 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 53% | 99 | 94 |
| 22 | Knicks | 47% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 22% | 84 | 80 |
| 14 | Pistons | 78% | 93 | 86 |
Saturday, December 29, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 21% | 95 | 92 |
| 10 | Suns | 79% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 48% | 94 | 105 |
| 16 | Clippers | 52% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 33% | 92 | 90 | |
| 25 | Wizards | 67% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 36% | 94 | 93 |
| 11 | Nets | 64% | 99 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 58% | 95 | 80 |
| 29 | Bulls | 42% | 92 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 58% | 99 | 99 |
| 8 | Bucks | 42% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 19% | 98 | 97 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 81% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 26% | 87 | 81 |
| 6 | Jazz | 74% | 95 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 37% | 97 | 75 |
| 17 | SuperSonics | 63% | 102 | 101 | |
Friday, December 28, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 52% | 100 | 105 |
| 21 | Hornets | 48% | 99 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 30% | 97 | 78 |
| 10 | Magic | 70% | 103 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 47% | 88 | 91 |
| 28 | Heat | 53% | 89 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 38% | 93 | 88 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 62% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Timberwolves | 38% | 98 | 111 |
| 4 | Kings | 62% | 102 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 46% | 93 | 90 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 54% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 27% | 93 | 89 |
| 5 | Lakers | 73% | 101 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 41% | 96 | 100 |
| 26 | Warriors | 59% | 99 | 93 |
Thursday, December 27, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nets | 30% | 92 | 88 | |
| 8 | Pistons | 70% | 98 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 31% | 92 | 81 |
| 14 | Pacers | 69% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 39% | 89 | 96 |
| 25 | Hawks | 61% | 92 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 6% | 91 | 74 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 94% | 110 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 40% | 96 | 82 |
| 12 | Suns | 60% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 40% | 95 | 99 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 36% | 96 | 90 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 64% | 100 | 101 | |
Wednesday, December 26, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 64% | 101 | 90 |
| 25 | Warriors | 36% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 41% | 94 | 93 |
| 21 | Hornets | 59% | 96 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 53% | 97 | 91 | |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 47% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 38% | 100 | 89 |
| 16 | Magic | 62% | 104 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 25% | 94 | 97 |
| 7 | Bucks | 75% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 27% | 98 | 126 |
| 1 | Spurs | 73% | 106 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 28% | 89 | 85 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 72% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 62% | 100 | 97 |
| 26 | Rockets | 38% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Timberwolves | 62% | 102 | 94 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 38% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 43% | 95 | 86 |
| 11 | Jazz | 57% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 28% | 96 | 74 |
| 5 | Kings | 72% | 103 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 27% | 86 | 100 |
| 9 | Clippers | 73% | 94 | 86 |
Tuesday, December 25, 2001
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 49% | 93 | 94 |
| 20 | Knicks | 51% | 94 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 24% | 88 | 82 |
| 2 | Lakers | 76% | 97 | 88 |