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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 24, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks63%105104
22Nuggets37%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.6
41.4
39.5
26
61%
10
3
0
1
1
4
1
9
1-3
33%
8-17
6-12
47%
51%
3-3
100%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 27.6
40.3
29.4
12
64%
4
4
1
2
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 29.0
35.5
33.1
19
54%
13
4
0
1
2
2
5
8
5-6
83%
7-15
6-12
47%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 28.0
35.3
37.9
17
57%
2
8
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
7-13
6-11
54%
51%
1-2
50%
Johnny Newman
F · 6'7" 210 · 38.2
14.9
14.9
5
50%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
25.9
25.2
3
31%
7
1
0
1
2
0
0
7
1-2
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway
G · 6'0" 195 · 35.4
24.1
19.3
16
84%
4
6
0
1
0
3
0
4
7-8
88%
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
3-4
75%
Danny Manning
F-C · 6'10" 234 · 35.7
12.6
5.1
6
60%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
49%
0-0
-
Wang Zhi-zhi
C · 7'1" 284 · 24.5
10.0
11.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 29.8
5.1
0
1-1
49%
Donnell Harvey
F · 6'8" 220 · 21.4
2.4
0
0-0
51%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.2
42.8
35.2
9
45%
6
15
3
1
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
3-8
6-13
38%
45%
1-2
50%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.5
40.7
23.7
12
75%
7
2
1
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.7
32.7
27.9
24
62%
4
2
0
1
2
1
2
2
0-1
0%
9-16
4-8
56%
49%
2-3
67%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 25.0
31.8
32.2
17
59%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
43%
2-7
29%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 26.2
30.6
29.7
18
69%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
6-7
86%
6-10
3-5
60%
50%
0-0
-
Voshon Lenard
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.7
25.0
25.4
4
15%
7
4
1
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
2-10
4-8
20%
47%
0-3
0%
George McCloud
F · 6'8" 230 · 34.7
17.6
4.4
4
29%
4
3
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
0-4
0%
Avery Johnson
G · 5'11" 185 · 36.8
12.2
21.4
7
52%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 26.7
6.7
27.4
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
4-9
100%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23.6
6.8
0
1-2
47%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 33.8
3.9
0
1-1
45%
Kenny Satterfield
G · 6'2" 170 · 20.8
3.2
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.