Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, January 24, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Knicks | 39% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Heat | 25% | 89 | 87 |
 | 11 | Magic | 75% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 28% | 97 | 99 | |
 | 6 | Bucks | 72% | 104 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 56% | 96 | 103 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Mavericks | 63% | 105 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, January 23, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Celtics | 70% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 51% | 100 | 101 | |
| 21 | Hornets | 49% | 99 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Timberwolves | 57% | 100 | 83 |
 | 16 | Pistons | 43% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 27% | 87 | 96 |
 | 15 | Raptors | 73% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | Jazz | 63% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Lakers | 56% | 100 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 34% | 93 | 95 |
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Tuesday, January 22, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Wizards | 54% | 89 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 8 | Magic | 84% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Bulls | 25% | 81 | 79 |
| 24 | Heat | 75% | 89 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 38% | 99 | 92 |
| 6 | Bucks | 62% | 103 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 54% | 101 | 113 |
| 19 | Rockets | 46% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 28% | 91 | 92 | |
| 5 | Spurs | 72% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nuggets | 8% | 91 | 107 |
| 2 | Lakers | 92% | 108 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 49% | 100 | 110 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 101 | 116 |
Monday, January 21, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 37% | 94 | 111 | |
| 20 | Knicks | 63% | 98 | 68 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SuperSonics | 36% | 90 | 109 | |
| 13 | 76ers | 64% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 44% | 97 | 91 |
| 22 | Hawks | 56% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 44% | 98 | 97 |
| 14 | Pistons | 56% | 99 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 38% | 97 | 105 | |
| 5 | Mavericks | 62% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 62% | 96 | 93 |
| 29 | Bulls | 38% | 92 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 62% | 99 | 101 |
| 27 | Warriors | 38% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 15% | 90 | 101 |
| 2 | Timberwolves | 85% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 47% | 89 | 95 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 53% | 90 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 35% | 90 | 97 |
| 9 | Celtics | 65% | 94 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 8% | 90 | 98 |
| 1 | Kings | 92% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 32% | 93 | 89 |
| 18 | Clippers | 68% | 99 | 102 |
Saturday, January 19, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 29% | 85 | 89 |
| 13 | 76ers | 71% | 92 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 42% | 97 | 98 |
| 4 | Spurs | 58% | 100 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 54% | 101 | 116 |
| 24 | Hawks | 46% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 47% | 93 | 91 |
| 22 | Hornets | 53% | 94 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 41% | 94 | 91 |
| 14 | Pistons | 59% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 24% | 90 | 90 |
| 8 | Nets | 76% | 98 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 46% | 90 | 88 |
| 26 | Heat | 54% | 91 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 53% | 91 | 77 |
| 29 | Bulls | 47% | 90 | 69 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 35% | 97 | 103 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 65% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 61% | 100 | 119 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 39% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 28% | 92 | 93 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 99 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 26% | 94 | 77 |
| 15 | SuperSonics | 74% | 102 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timberwolves | 72% | 104 | 105 |
| 27 | Warriors | 28% | 97 | 102 |
Friday, January 18, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 45% | 90 | 77 | |
| 16 | Raptors | 55% | 92 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 38% | 95 | 96 |
| 14 | Pacers | 62% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 26% | 91 | 104 |
| 10 | Celtics | 74% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 39% | 100 | 110 |
| 6 | Bucks | 61% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SuperSonics | 51% | 99 | 90 | |
| 20 | Nuggets | 49% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 49% | 101 | 100 |
| 12 | Suns | 51% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 10% | 94 | 97 |
| 1 | Kings | 90% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 28% | 91 | 103 |
| 18 | Clippers | 72% | 98 | 109 |
Thursday, January 17, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 57% | 93 | 93 |
| 22 | Hornets | 43% | 91 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 31% | 91 | 94 |
| 25 | Hawks | 69% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 65% | 101 | 108 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 35% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 22% | 89 | 98 |
| 4 | Spurs | 78% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 21% | 85 | 92 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 79% | 94 | 90 |
Wednesday, January 16, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 27% | 90 | 100 |
| 10 | Celtics | 73% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 30% | 88 | 103 |
| 17 | Raptors | 70% | 95 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 23% | 89 | 67 |
| 8 | Nets | 77% | 99 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 33% | 96 | 100 |
| 6 | Bucks | 67% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 63% | 103 | 112 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 37% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 36% | 96 | 80 | |
| 9 | Jazz | 64% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 36% | 96 | 108 |
| 12 | Suns | 64% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 10% | 84 | 102 |
| 1 | Lakers | 90% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 39% | 96 | 88 |
| 26 | Warriors | 61% | 100 | 117 |
Tuesday, January 15, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 52% | 95 | 96 |
| 19 | Wizards | 48% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 43% | 97 | 106 |
| 13 | Pacers | 57% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 52% | 101 | 116 |
| 25 | Hawks | 48% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 40% | 91 | 92 |
| 16 | Pistons | 60% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 28% | 86 | 106 |
| 11 | 76ers | 72% | 94 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 23% | 93 | 83 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 77% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 53% | 94 | 94 | |
| 29 | Bulls | 47% | 93 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cavaliers | 12% | 93 | 102 |
| 2 | Kings | 88% | 108 | 109 |
Monday, January 14, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 49% | 94 | 97 |
| 10 | Nets | 51% | 95 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 38% | 103 | 87 |
| 6 | Magic | 62% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 25% | 91 | 97 |
| 8 | Jazz | 75% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 11% | 89 | 81 |
| 1 | Lakers | 89% | 104 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 41% | 91 | 85 |
| 27 | Warriors | 59% | 93 | 79 |
Sunday, January 13, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 37% | 90 | 79 |
| 16 | Raptors | 63% | 94 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 16% | 97 | 100 |
| 2 | Kings | 84% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 29% | 94 | 64 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 100 | 96 |
Saturday, January 12, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 59% | 98 | 108 |
| 19 | Wizards | 41% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 54% | 96 | 115 |
| 25 | Hawks | 46% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 46% | 94 | 102 |
| 24 | Knicks | 54% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 36% | 98 | 91 | |
| 6 | Magic | 64% | 102 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 31% | 94 | 76 | |
| 18 | Pistons | 69% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 82% | 100 | 104 |
| 29 | Bulls | 18% | 88 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 26% | 97 | 102 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 74% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 39% | 94 | 86 |
| 20 | Rockets | 61% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 20% | 89 | 97 |
| 7 | Jazz | 80% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 28% | 89 | 74 |
| 16 | Suns | 72% | 96 | 108 |
Friday, January 11, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 55% | 91 | 84 |
| 10 | 76ers | 45% | 89 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 26% | 91 | 91 |
| 14 | Raptors | 74% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 18% | 88 | 90 |
| 13 | Pacers | 82% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 32% | 92 | 90 |
| 8 | Celtics | 68% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 97 | 92 |
| 5 | Magic | 80% | 107 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 39% | 95 | 91 |
| 23 | Hornets | 61% | 99 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 46% | 100 | 102 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 54% | 101 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 32% | 93 | 86 |
| 9 | Bucks | 68% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 22% | 94 | 100 |
| 11 | SuperSonics | 78% | 104 | 102 | |