Final Win Prob. pScore
2229%87
80
1971%94
92
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
94.18597.1
MIA logo Heat
102.29080.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
92
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLBowdler 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
92
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAHouse Foul Turnover (P1.T10)78
92
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAHouse OFF.Foul (P4)78
92
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)78
92
Q4 - 0:35.0MIASUB: Stepania FOR Jones77
92
Q4 - 0:35.0MIASUB: Carter FOR Strickland77
92
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLHawks Rebound77
92
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 277
92
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAEllis S.FOUL (P4.PN)77
92
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMarks Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 7 AST)77
92
Q4 - 0:44.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
90
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
90
Q4 - 1:08MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
90
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 2 of 277
90
Q4 - 1:09ATLSUB: Smith FOR Mottola77
90
Q4 - 1:09ATLSUB: Strickland FOR Terry77
90
Q4 - 1:09MIAHEAT Rebound77
90
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Marks Free Throw 1 of 277
90
Q4 - 1:09ATLMottola P.FOUL (P2.PN)77
90
Q4 - 1:11ATLMarks STEAL (1 STL)77
90
Q4 - 1:15ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
90
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Marks 17' Jump Shot77
90
Q4 - 1:37MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
90
Q4 - 1:39ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
90
Q4 - 1:43MIAHouse 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)77
90
Q4 - 2:01ATLVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)77
87
Q4 - 2:01ATLVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
87
Q4 - 2:01MIAStrickland S.FOUL (P2.PN)75
87
Q4 - 2:09MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
87
Q4 - 2:09MIASUB: Ellis FOR Stepania75
86
Q4 - 2:09MIAHEAT Rebound75
86
Q4 - 2:09MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 1 of 275
86
Q4 - 2:09ATLVaughn P.FOUL (P2.PN)75
86
Q4 - 2:11ATLTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)75
86
Q4 - 2:11MIASUB: Jones FOR Ellis74
86
Q4 - 2:11MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter74
86
Q4 - 2:11ATLTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)74
86
Q4 - 2:11MIAMarks S.FOUL (P1.PN)73
86
Q4 - 2:21MIAEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
86
Q4 - 2:21MIAHEAT Rebound73
85
Q4 - 2:21MIAMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 273
85
Q4 - 2:21ATLSUB: Vaughn FOR Newble73
85
Q4 - 2:21ATLNewble S.FOUL (P6.PN)73
85
Q4 - 2:31MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
85
Q4 - 2:33ATLMISS Bowdler 19' Jump Shot73
85
Q4 - 2:46ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
85
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 273
85
Q4 - 2:47MIAHEAT Rebound73
85
Q4 - 2:47MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 273
85
Q4 - 2:47ATLBowdler P.FOUL (P1.PN)73
85
Q4 - 2:5073
85
Q4 - 2:50ATLNewble P.FOUL (P5.T4)73
85
Q4 - 2:51MIAMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
85
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot73
85
Q4 - 3:11ATLNewble Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
85
Q4 - 3:11ATLNewble Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
85
Q4 - 3:11MIAStepania S.FOUL (P1.PN)71
85
Q4 - 3:17ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
85
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Carter 13' Jump Shot71
85
Q4 - 3:43ATLNewble Driving Layup (4 PTS)71
85
Q4 - 3:57MIASUB: Marks FOR Gatling69
85
Q4 - 3:57MIACarter Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)69
85
Q4 - 4:07ATLTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)69
85
Q4 - 4:16MIAStepania Dunk (2 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)66
85
Q4 - 4:20ATLTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)66
83
Q4 - 4:33MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)63
83
Q4 - 4:40MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
81
Q4 - 4:43ATLMISS Terry Layup63
81
Q4 - 4:47MIAGatling Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
81
Q4 - 5:05MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
81
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 2 of 263
81
Q4 - 5:06MIAHEAT Rebound63
81
Q4 - 5:06MIAMISS Carter Free Throw 1 of 263
81
Q4 - 5:06ATLTerry S.FOUL (P1.T3)63
81
Q4 - 5:18MIAStepania Violation:Defensive Goaltending63
81
Q4 - 5:18ATLBowdler Tip Shot (2 PTS)63
81
Q4 - 5:19ATLBowdler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)61
81
Q4 - 5:21ATLMISS Terry Layup61
81
Q4 - 5:33ATLBowdler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
81
Q4 - 5:34ATLMISS Newble Free Throw 2 of 261
81
Q4 - 5:34ATLHawks Rebound61
81
Q4 - 5:34ATLMISS Newble Free Throw 1 of 261
81
Q4 - 5:34MIASUB: Carter FOR Jones61
81
Q4 - 5:34MIASUB: Stepania FOR Grant61
81
Q4 - 5:34MIAHouse L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)61
81
Q4 - 5:34ATLHawks Rebound61
81
Q4 - 5:35ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot61
81
Q4 - 5:51ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
81
Q4 - 5:53MIAMISS Gatling 19' Jump Shot61
81
Q4 - 6:14ATLTerry 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)61
81
Q4 - 6:25MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
81
Q4 - 6:33ATLSUB: Bowdler FOR Abdur-Rahim59
79
Q4 - 6:33MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)59
79
Q4 - 6:41ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)59
79
Q4 - 6:41ATLHawks Rebound58
79
Q4 - 6:41ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 258
79
Q4 - 6:41MIAEllis S.FOUL (P3.T4)58
79
Q4 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
79
Q4 - 6:54MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
78
Q4 - 6:54ATLNewble S.FOUL (P4.T2)58
77
Q4 - 7:20ATLAbdur-Rahim Dunk (18 PTS) (Mottola 1 AST)58
77
Q4 - 7:22ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
77
Q4 - 7:24ATLMISS Mottola 8' Running Jump Shot56
77
Q4 - 7:33MIAHouse P.FOUL (P2.T3)56
77
Q4 - 7:38ATLSUB: Mottola FOR Vaughn56
77
Q4 - 7:38ATLSUB: Newble FOR Kukoc56
77
Q4 - 7:38MIAHouse L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)56
77
Q4 - 7:38ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
77
Q4 - 7:40ATLMISS Vaughn 6' Jump Shot56
77
Q4 - 8:00MIAHouse 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
77
Q4 - 8:07MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)56
75
Q4 - 8:08ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Layup56
75
Q4 - 8:27ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
75
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 2 of 256
75
Q4 - 8:28MIAHEAT Rebound56
75
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 256
75
Q4 - 8:28ATLAbdur-Rahim S.FOUL (P3.T1)56
75
Q4 - 8:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)56
75
Q4 - 8:35ATLMISS Kukoc Tip Shot56
75
Q4 - 8:37ATLKukoc REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
75
Q4 - 8:39ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot56
75
Q4 - 9:02MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)56
75
Q4 - 9:16MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)56
73
Q4 - 9:22ATLJohnson Driving Layup (7 PTS)56
73
Q4 - 9:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
73
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS House 8' Running Jump Shot54
73
Q4 - 9:33MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)54
73
Q4 - 9:36ATLMISS Vaughn 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
73
Q4 - 9:44ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
73
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Gatling 8' Jump Shot54
73
Q4 - 10:08ATLAbdur-Rahim 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS)54
73
Q4 - 10:15ATLSUB: Terry FOR Strickland52
73
Q4 - 10:15MIASUB: Ellis FOR Strickland52
73
Q4 - 10:28MIAGatling L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)52
73
Q4 - 10:28ATLHawks Rebound52
73
Q4 - 10:29MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
73
Q4 - 10:38ATLGatling STEAL (1 STL)52
73
Q4 - 10:57MIAGrant 5' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 6 AST)52
73
Q4 - 11:20ATLStrickland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)52
71
Q4 - 11:35MIAGatling Layup (15 PTS)52
71
Q4 - 11:36MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)52
69
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Gatling Tip Shot52
69
Q4 - 11:39MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
69
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS House 16' Jump Shot52
69
Q4 - 12:0052
69
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA52
69
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
69
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Kukoc Layup52
69
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)52
69
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAHEAT Rebound52
69
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Jones Layup52
69
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLTerry Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T15)52
69
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
69
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Strickland 15' Jump Shot52
69
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)52
69
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.PN)51
69
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Layup (13 PTS) (Kukoc 3 AST)51
69
Q3 - 1:12ATLSUB: Strickland FOR Henderson49
69
Q3 - 1:12ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)49
69
Q3 - 1:23MIAGatling Layup (13 PTS)49
69
Q3 - 1:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)49
67
Q3 - 1:34ATLMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot49
67
Q3 - 1:42ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
67
Q3 - 1:44MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot49
67
Q3 - 1:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
67
Q3 - 1:51ATLMISS Kukoc 3PT Jump Shot49
67
Q3 - 2:14MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)49
67
Q3 - 2:33ATLHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
64
Q3 - 2:33MIASUB: Grant FOR Mourning48
64
Q3 - 2:33ATLHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)48
64
Q3 - 2:33MIAMourning S.FOUL (P4.T4)47
64
Q3 - 2:50MIAGatling Dunk (11 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)47
64
Q3 - 2:57MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
62
Q3 - 2:59ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 13' Jump Shot47
62
Q3 - 3:14MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
62
Q3 - 3:14MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)47
61
Q3 - 3:14ATLAbdur-Rahim S.FOUL (P2.PN)47
60
Q3 - 3:32ATLVaughn 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)47
60
Q3 - 3:46MIASUB: House FOR Gill45
60
Q3 - 3:54ATLSUB: Abdur-Rahim FOR Mottola45
60
Q3 - 3:56ATLSUB: Kukoc FOR Johnson45
60
Q3 - 3:56ATLSUB: Vaughn FOR Newble45
60
Q3 - 3:56ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)45
60
Q3 - 3:58MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)45
60
Q3 - 3:58MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
59
Q3 - 3:58ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P2.PN)45
58
Q3 - 4:02ATLMourning STEAL (1 STL)45
58
Q3 - 4:25MIAGatling 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)45
58
Q3 - 4:37ATLMottola L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)45
56
Q3 - 4:37MIAHEAT Rebound45
56
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot45
56
Q3 - 4:55ATLMottola 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)45
56
Q3 - 5:06MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
56
Q3 - 5:06ATLNewble S.FOUL (P3.T3)43
55
Q3 - 5:06MIAGatling Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Mourning 3 AST)43
55
Q3 - 5:29ATLHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)43
53
Q3 - 5:29ATLHawks Rebound42
53
Q3 - 5:29ATLMISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 242
53
Q3 - 5:29MIASUB: Gatling FOR Grant42
53
Q3 - 5:29MIAGill P.FOUL (P1.T3)42
53
Q3 - 5:50MIAJones Dunk (11 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)42
53
Q3 - 5:56ATLSUB: Mottola FOR Mohammed42
51
Q3 - 5:56ATLSUB: Henderson FOR Abdur-Rahim42
51
Q3 - 5:56MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)42
51
Q3 - 6:07ATLTerry 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)42
51
Q3 - 6:14ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
51
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot40
51
Q3 - 6:36ATLTerry Layup (11 PTS)40
51
Q3 - 6:45ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
51
Q3 - 6:46MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot38
51
Q3 - 7:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
51
Q3 - 7:09ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 12' Jump Shot38
51
Q3 - 7:29MIAStrickland 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
51
Q3 - 7:32MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)38
49
Q3 - 7:37ATLMISS Newble 17' Jump Shot38
49
Q3 - 7:54MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)38
49
Q3 - 8:07MIAHEAT Rebound38
47
Q3 - 8:08ATLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)38
47
Q3 - 8:17ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)38
47
Q3 - 8:17MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Jones )37
47
Q3 - 8:28ATLHawks Rebound37
47
Q3 - 8:30MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot37
47
Q3 - 8:36ATLNewble P.FOUL (P2.T2)37
47
Q3 - 8:54ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)37
47
Q3 - 8:54ATLHawks Rebound36
47
Q3 - 8:54ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 236
47
Q3 - 8:54MIAMourning S.FOUL (P3.T2)36
47
Q3 - 9:07MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)36
47
Q3 - 9:23MIA36
45
Q3 - 9:23MIA36
45
Q3 - 9:23ATLTerry 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
45
Q3 - 9:36ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)34
45
Q3 - 9:46MIAGrant Slam Dunk (9 PTS)34
45
Q3 - 10:04MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)34
43
Q3 - 10:06ATLGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)34
43
Q3 - 10:22MIAMourning Tip Shot (8 PTS)34
43
Q3 - 10:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
41
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Gill Layup34
41
Q3 - 10:33ATLGrant STEAL (5 STL)34
41
Q3 - 10:51MIAStrickland 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)34
41
Q3 - 11:02ATLNewble P.FOUL (P1.T1)34
39
Q3 - 11:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)34
39
Q3 - 11:14ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot34
39
Q3 - 11:24ATLTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
39
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot34
39
Q3 - 11:42ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
39
Q3 - 11:42ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
39
Q3 - 11:42MIAGrant S.FOUL (P3.T1)32
39
Q3 - 12:0032
39
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA32
39
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
39
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot32
39
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAJones Reverse Layup (9 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 0:28.0ATLHenderson Dunk (6 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)32
37
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)30
37
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Ellis Tip Shot30
37
Q2 - 0:33.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
37
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Strickland 3' Jump Shot30
37
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLHenderson 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
37
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)28
37
Q2 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Kukoc 14' Jump Shot28
37
Q2 - 1:19MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)28
37
Q2 - 1:36ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)28
35
Q2 - 1:36ATLHawks Rebound27
35
Q2 - 1:36ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 227
35
Q2 - 1:36MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T3)27
35
Q2 - 1:36ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
35
Q2 - 1:38ATLMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot27
35
Q2 - 1:56MIAJones Reverse Layup (7 PTS)27
35
Q2 - 2:12ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)27
33
Q2 - 2:14MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant27
33
Q2 - 2:14ATLHawks Rebound27
33
Q2 - 2:16ATLMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
33
Q2 - 2:37MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
33
Q2 - 2:37MIAGrant OFF.Foul (P2)27
33
Q2 - 2:44ATLGrant STEAL (4 STL)27
33
Q2 - 2:59ATLSUB: Henderson FOR Mohammed27
33
Q2 - 2:59ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)27
33
Q2 - 3:06MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
33
Q2 - 3:11ATLHouse STEAL (2 STL)27
31
Q2 - 3:19ATLKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
31
Q2 - 3:21MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot27
31
Q2 - 3:43ATLVaughn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)27
31
Q2 - 3:58MIASUB: House FOR Ellis24
31
Q2 - 3:58MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)24
31
Q2 - 3:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)24
31
Q2 - 3:59MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot24
31
Q2 - 4:13MIASUB: Strickland FOR Carter24
31
Q2 - 4:13ATLMohammed P.FOUL (P2.T4)24
31
Q2 - 4:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
31
Q2 - 4:33ATLMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)24
31
Q2 - 4:42ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
31
Q2 - 4:44MIAMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot24
31
Q2 - 5:00ATLTerry 12' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
31
Q2 - 5:14MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)22
31
Q2 - 5:14ATLSUB: Abdur-Rahim FOR Mottola22
30
Q2 - 5:14ATLVaughn S.FOUL (P1.T3)22
30
Q2 - 5:14MIAGrant Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)22
30
Q2 - 5:19ATLGrant STEAL (3 STL)22
28
Q2 - 5:34MIAGrant 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)22
28
Q2 - 5:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)22
26
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
26
Q2 - 6:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
26
Q2 - 6:09ATLMISS Mohammed 17' Jump Shot22
26
Q2 - 6:28MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)22
26
Q2 - 6:38ATLSUB: Mohammed FOR Henderson22
23
Q2 - 6:38MIASUB: Grant FOR Gatling22
23
Q2 - 6:38MIASUB: Jones FOR House22
23
Q2 - 6:38ATLHenderson P.FOUL (P2.T2)22
23
Q2 - 6:43MIACarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
23
Q2 - 6:45ATLMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
23
Q2 - 6:48MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
23
Q2 - 6:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)22
23
Q2 - 6:58ATLTerry 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kukoc 2 AST)22
23
Q2 - 7:08ATLKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
23
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Gatling 19' Jump Shot19
23
Q2 - 7:32ATLKukoc Layup (2 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)19
23
Q2 - 7:50ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
23
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot17
23
Q2 - 8:10ATLHenderson Layup (2 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)17
23
Q2 - 8:12ATLKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
23
Q2 - 8:14ATLGatling BLOCK (1 BLK)15
23
Q2 - 8:23MIASUB: Carter FOR Jones15
23
Q2 - 8:23ATLSUB: Vaughn FOR Newble15
23
Q2 - 8:2315
23
Q2 - 8:23MIAEllis P.FOUL (P2.T2)15
23
Q2 - 8:31ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
23
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS House 18' Jump Shot15
23
Q2 - 8:49MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
23
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot15
23
Q2 - 9:01ATLSUB: Mottola FOR Abdur-Rahim15
23
Q2 - 9:01ATLSUB: Terry FOR Vaughn15
23
Q2 - 9:01ATLHenderson P.FOUL (P1.T1)15
23
Q2 - 9:13MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23
Q2 - 9:15ATLEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)15
23
Q2 - 9:17ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
23
Q2 - 9:19ATLMISS Henderson 9' Running Jump Shot15
23
Q2 - 9:27ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Gatling 4' Jump Shot15
23
Q2 - 9:33MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
23
Q2 - 9:35MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot15
23
Q2 - 9:52ATLAbdur-Rahim 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T8)15
23
Q2 - 10:11MIAEllis 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)15
23
Q2 - 10:19MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
21
Q2 - 10:21ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
21
Q2 - 10:37MIAHouse 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)15
21
Q2 - 10:52ATLHouse STEAL (1 STL)15
19
Q2 - 10:56MIASUB: House FOR Strickland15
19
Q2 - 10:56MIAGatling P.FOUL (P2.T1)15
19
Q2 - 11:07ATLHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
19
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Gatling 7' Hook Shot15
19
Q2 - 11:29MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
19
Q2 - 11:32ATLMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot15
19
Q2 - 11:38ATLHawks Rebound15
19
Q2 - 11:39ATLMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
19
Q2 - 12:0015
19
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL15
19
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
19
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellis Layup15
19
Q1 - 0:05.0ATLGrant STEAL (2 STL)15
19
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAGatling Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)15
19
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLAbdur-Rahim Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLHawks Rebound14
17
Q1 - 0:48.0ATLMISS Abdur-Rahim Free Throw 1 of 214
17
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAEllis P.FOUL (P1.PN)14
17
Q1 - 1:05MIAStrickland 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)14
17
Q1 - 1:21ATLVaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)14
15
Q1 - 1:32MIAGatling P.FOUL (P1.T3)14
15
Q1 - 1:41MIAGatling 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)14
15
Q1 - 1:53MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
13
Q1 - 1:55ATLMISS Mohammed 6' Jump Shot14
13
Q1 - 2:05ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
13
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Gatling 17' Fadeaway Jumper14
13
Q1 - 2:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
13
Q1 - 2:30ATLMISS Newble 17' Jump Shot14
13
Q1 - 2:37ATLSUB: Vaughn FOR Terry14
13
Q1 - 2:37MIASUB: Gatling FOR Gill14
13
Q1 - 2:37MIASUB: Ellis FOR Mourning14
13
Q1 - 2:37ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
13
Q1 - 2:37MIAGrant P.FOUL (P1.T2)14
13
Q1 - 2:55ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
13
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Strickland 17' Jump Shot14
13
Q1 - 3:12ATLAbdur-Rahim 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
13
Q1 - 3:27ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
13
Q1 - 3:29ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot12
13
Q1 - 3:52MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)12
13
Q1 - 4:14ATLAbdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)12
11
Q1 - 4:26ATLHawks Rebound10
11
Q1 - 4:27MIAMISS Gill 17' Jump Shot10
11
Q1 - 4:46ATLAbdur-Rahim Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)10
11
Q1 - 4:51ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
11
Q1 - 4:52MIAMISS Mourning 18' Jump Shot10
11
Q1 - 5:21ATLNewble Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)10
11
Q1 - 5:25MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)8
11
Q1 - 5:38ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Abdur-Rahim 1 AST)8
11
Q1 - 5:54ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Grant Dunk5
11
Q1 - 6:11MIAHEAT Rebound5
11
Q1 - 6:12MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Abdur-Rahim: Tip to Mourning5
11
Q1 - 6:12ATLGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)5
11
Q1 - 6:28MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mourning 2 AST)5
11
Q1 - 6:42MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)5
8
Q1 - 6:42ATLTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)5
8
Q1 - 6:46MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
8
Q1 - 7:02ATLJones STEAL (1 STL)5
8
Q1 - 7:09ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
8
Q1 - 7:11MIAMISS Gill Layup5
8
Q1 - 7:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)5
8
Q1 - 7:27ATLMISS Newble Tip Shot5
8
Q1 - 7:28ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
8
Q1 - 7:29ATLMISS Terry 13' Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 7:49MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
8
Q1 - 7:49MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
7
Q1 - 7:49ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T3)5
6
Q1 - 7:55ATLGrant STEAL (1 STL)5
6
Q1 - 8:07MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS)5
6
Q1 - 8:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
4
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Mourning Layup5
4
Q1 - 8:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
4
Q1 - 8:19ATLStrickland BLOCK (1 BLK)5
4
Q1 - 8:36ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
4
Q1 - 8:38MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot5
4
Q1 - 8:52MIAHEAT Rebound5
4
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 25
4
Q1 - 8:52MIAHEAT Rebound5
4
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 25
4
Q1 - 8:52ATLMohammed FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P1.T2)5
4
Q1 - 9:17ATLAbdur-Rahim 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)5
4
Q1 - 9:30MIAStrickland Layup (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)3
4
Q1 - 9:43MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
2
Q1 - 9:45ATLMISS Mohammed 17' Jump Shot3
2
Q1 - 9:56ATLTerry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 9:56MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mourning )2
2
Q1 - 10:11MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:28MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 10:30MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 10:49ATLJohnson Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 10:58ATLAbdur-Rahim REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:07MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:09ATLMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:19MIAStrickland P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:25MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:27MIAMISS Mourning Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:41ATLAbdur-Rahim P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:43MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:45MIAMISS Mourning Dunk0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Mohammed: Tip to Strickland0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.95 47.6%
MIA
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
12
22
55%
MIA
17
29
59%
Midrange
ATL
11
34
32%
MIA
17
47
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
MIA
4
6.0
7
57%
86%
Free Throws
ATL
19
27
70%
MIA
12
24
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Terry2377%11.5 / 15
S. Abdur-Rahim1953%9.5 / 18
A. Henderson975%4.5 / 6
D. Johnson840%4.0 / 10
J. Vaughn750%3.5 / 7
I. Newble643%3.0 / 7
C. Bowdler467%2.0 / 3
T. Kukoc213%1.0 / 8
H. Mottola250%1.0 / 2
N. Mohammed0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1662%8.0 / 13
B. Grant1583%7.5 / 9
C. Gatling1547%7.5 / 16
E. House1359%6.5 / 11
R. Strickland1150%5.5 / 11
A. Mourning1036%5.0 / 14
L. Ellis850%4.0 / 8
V. Stepania250%1.0 / 2
S. Marks233%1.0 / 3
K. Gill0-0.0 / 6
A. Carter0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
68
+14
-17
82
MIA
81
+18
-9
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.95 47.6%
MIA
0.93 46.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
96.1
ATL 94.1
MIA 102.2 +8.1
Pace
93.6
89.7
ATL 97.1 +17.0
MIA 80.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.7
ATL 14.8 −3.2
MIA 18.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
46.3%
ATL 43.6%
MIA 48.2% +4.6%
TO %
15.6%
15.5%
ATL 18.0%
MIA 9.7% −8.3%
ORB %
27.5%
26.7%
ATL 28.9%
MIA 36.4% +7.5%
FTrt
29.4
26.8
ATL 38.6 +9.7
MIA 28.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.0%
59.4%
ATL 46.4%
MIA 57.9% +11.5%
STL %
8.5%
7.4%
ATL 4.7%
MIA 12.2% +7.5%
BLK %
6.5%
8.7%
ATL 3.9%
MIA 12.5% +8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
47.7%
ATL 47.6% +1.1%
MIA 46.5%
Rim FG%
55.2%
60.6%
ATL 54.5%
MIA 58.6% +4.1%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.0%
ATL 32.4%
MIA 36.2% +3.8%
3P %
35.4%
34.7%
ATL 35.7%
MIA 57.1% +21.4%
FT %
76.5%
72.4%
ATL 70.4% +20.4%
MIA 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.9%
28.1%
ATL 31.4%
MIA 34.9% +3.5%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
57.8%
ATL 48.6% −8.1%
MIA 56.6%
3P Att. %
18.1%
14.1%
ATL 20.0% +11.6%
MIA 8.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8590
Possession Minutes21.027.0
Points8092
Rebounds3943
Assists1322
Steals411
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)27 (2)
Field Goals28-7038-83
At-the-Rim FG12-2217-29
Midrange FG11-3417-47
2-Point FG23-5634-76
3-Point FG5-144-7
Free Throws19-2712-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
39.5
23
77%
1
6
0
0
4
1
0
1
4-4
100%
5-10
50%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 245 · 25
35.6
19
53%
7
1
0
1
4
3
2
5
7-11
64%
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 210 · 22
32.1
8
40%
5
1
2
0
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 220 · 27
29.0
6
43%
3
0
0
1
0
6
1
2
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 25
21.7
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
24.6
7
50%
3
1
0
0
3
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F · 6'11" 235 · 34
20.3
2
13%
4
3
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 29
13.1
9
75%
7
0
1
1
1
2
2
5
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 247 · 26
12.3
2
50%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 25
6.5
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 32
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 21
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
48%
39
13
4
3
17
0
11
28
19-27
70%
23-56
41%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.