Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 29, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bucks | 38% | 94 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Mavericks | 37% | 104 | 108 |
 | 7 | Celtics | 63% | 108 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Timberwolves | 52% | 99 | 98 |
 | 25 | Knicks | 48% | 98 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Magic | 64% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Heat | 71% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Hornets | 51% | 99 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Pistons | 77% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | SuperSonics | 55% | 96 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Lakers | 69% | 102 | 91 |
Thursday, March 28, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Raptors | 37% | 92 | 85 |
| 23 | Hawks | 63% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Bucks | 83% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 48% | 106 | 111 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 52% | 107 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Bulls | 40% | 89 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 64% | 102 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, March 27, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 15% | 95 | 99 |
| 7 | Celtics | 85% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 36% | 87 | 88 | |
| 13 | 76ers | 64% | 92 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 33% | 96 | 104 |
| 14 | Hornets | 67% | 101 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 26% | 90 | 89 |
| 8 | Pistons | 74% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 42% | 86 | 80 |
| 20 | Raptors | 58% | 88 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 55% | 98 | 106 |
| 18 | Suns | 45% | 97 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | SuperSonics | 87% | 103 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 42% | 93 | 93 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 95 | 98 |
Tuesday, March 26, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 16% | 89 | 87 |
| 18 | Wizards | 84% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 45% | 93 | 96 |
| 13 | Pacers | 55% | 95 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 22% | 93 | 82 |
| 17 | Magic | 78% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 58% | 97 | 77 | |
| 22 | Hawks | 42% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 47% | 105 | 112 |
| 12 | Bucks | 53% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 19% | 96 | 115 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 81% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Rockets | 27% | 92 | 105 |
| 10 | Jazz | 73% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 18% | 94 | 90 |
| 2 | Kings | 82% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cavaliers | 12% | 92 | 116 |
| 1 | Lakers | 88% | 106 | 121 |
Monday, March 25, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 30% | 93 | 84 |
| 25 | Knicks | 70% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 45% | 91 | 87 |
| 20 | Heat | 55% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cavaliers | 34% | 93 | 96 |
| 19 | Suns | 66% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 13% | 88 | 103 |
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 87% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 36% | 95 | 92 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 64% | 99 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 49% | 95 | 91 |
| 13 | Clippers | 51% | 96 | 85 |
Sunday, March 24, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 29% | 88 | 82 |
| 16 | 76ers | 71% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 38% | 94 | 99 | |
| 15 | Pacers | 62% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 41% | 100 | 85 |
| 14 | Bucks | 59% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 44% | 95 | 101 |
| 11 | Pistons | 56% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 38% | 91 | 91 |
| 18 | Raptors | 62% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 19% | 89 | 102 |
| 10 | Nets | 81% | 100 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 42% | 99 | 97 |
| 3 | Kings | 58% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Rockets | 47% | 99 | 116 |
| 26 | Warriors | 53% | 100 | 104 |
Saturday, March 23, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 23% | 91 | 96 |
| 21 | Hawks | 77% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 94 | 108 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 67% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 11% | 96 | 100 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 89% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 21% | 83 | 79 |
| 4 | Spurs | 79% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 20% | 93 | 103 |
| 9 | Jazz | 80% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SuperSonics | 71% | 100 | 85 | |
| 29 | Nuggets | 29% | 93 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Suns | 30% | 93 | 97 |
| 14 | Clippers | 70% | 99 | 94 |
Friday, March 22, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 35% | 91 | 96 |
| 6 | Celtics | 65% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 36% | 94 | 84 |
| 11 | Nets | 64% | 99 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 31% | 97 | 106 | |
| 8 | Magic | 69% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 44% | 88 | 104 |
| 18 | Heat | 56% | 90 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 40% | 92 | 94 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 60% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 98 | 109 |
| 27 | Bulls | 28% | 91 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 23% | 93 | 82 |
| 10 | SuperSonics | 77% | 102 | 112 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 23% | 92 | 82 |
| 2 | Lakers | 77% | 101 | 94 |
Thursday, March 21, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 42% | 96 | 89 |
| 23 | Hawks | 58% | 99 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 70% | 100 | 95 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 30% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 27% | 99 | 105 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 73% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 22% | 89 | 79 |
| 9 | Jazz | 78% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 52% | 94 | 95 |
| 20 | Suns | 48% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 5% | 88 | 82 |
| 3 | Kings | 95% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 58% | 101 | 116 |
| 26 | Warriors | 42% | 99 | 96 |
Wednesday, March 20, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cavaliers | 20% | 94 | 70 |
| 6 | Celtics | 80% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 28% | 82 | 82 |
| 10 | 76ers | 72% | 89 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 42% | 93 | 88 |
| 17 | Hornets | 58% | 96 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 93 | 82 |
| 13 | Nets | 51% | 94 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 40% | 94 | 90 |
| 5 | Spurs | 60% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 58% | 97 | 107 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 42% | 94 | 75 |
Tuesday, March 19, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 47% | 97 | 97 | |
| 16 | Cavaliers | 53% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 52% | 86 | 91 |
| 22 | Heat | 48% | 85 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 29% | 99 | 91 |
| 8 | Magic | 71% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 29% | 93 | 80 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 71% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 54% | 97 | 101 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 46% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 53% | 96 | 102 |
| 28 | Bulls | 47% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 47% | 106 | 98 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 53% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 32% | 91 | 94 |
| 10 | Jazz | 68% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 15% | 93 | 93 |
| 9 | SuperSonics | 85% | 106 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Rockets | 13% | 93 | 87 |
| 2 | Kings | 87% | 107 | 110 |
Monday, March 18, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 96 | 100 |
| 6 | Celtics | 60% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 47% | 96 | 110 |
| 19 | Hornets | 53% | 97 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 68% | 97 | 98 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 32% | 91 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 31% | 94 | 86 |
| 17 | Clippers | 69% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 48% | 98 | 99 |
| 26 | Warriors | 52% | 99 | 96 |
Sunday, March 17, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 37% | 93 | 105 |
| 11 | 76ers | 63% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 28% | 94 | 68 |
| 13 | Pacers | 72% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 69% | 97 | 87 | |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 31% | 90 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 34% | 95 | 96 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 66% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 60% | 99 | 116 |
| 19 | Raptors | 40% | 96 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 33% | 95 | 99 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 67% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 22% | 100 | 103 |
| 1 | Lakers | 78% | 110 | 105 |
Saturday, March 16, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 45% | 97 | 95 |
| 25 | Knicks | 55% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 22% | 83 | 76 |
| 22 | Heat | 78% | 93 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 36% | 91 | 76 |
| 20 | Hornets | 64% | 96 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 32% | 93 | 102 |
| 8 | Bucks | 68% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 25% | 91 | 114 |
| 18 | Rockets | 75% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 29% | 92 | 104 |
| 5 | Spurs | 71% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 17% | 90 | 80 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 83% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 46% | 96 | 95 | |
| 16 | Clippers | 54% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 62% | 107 | 117 |
| 26 | Warriors | 38% | 103 | 100 |