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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 29, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs45%9576
6SuperSonics55%9679
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.9
46.9
39.2
25
57%
16
4
0
1
5
5
2
14
7-7
100%
9-19
9-18
47%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 19.9
44.4
34.2
9
35%
8
4
2
1
1
2
1
7
0-0
-
3-10
3-7
30%
45%
1-3
33%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 30.8
42.3
32.8
8
36%
6
1
2
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
40%
0-3
0%
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.0
35.2
13.4
11
51%
2
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
1-5
20%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 36.6
30.5
32.6
12
56%
4
1
1
1
2
3
1
3
2-6
33%
5-8
5-10
63%
49%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 27.3
17.7
16.7
8
41%
3
0
0
1
2
4
3
0
4-6
67%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 27.0
12.5
22.9
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 35.4
9.8
23.8
3
150%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-1
100%
Cherokee Parks
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 29.5
0.7
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Charles Smith
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.6
12.4
1
2-3
49%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.0
2.5
0
0-1
47%
Mark Bryant
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.9
2.2
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 30.2
40.2
37.3
11
43%
9
4
1
2
1
5
0
9
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
57%
0-3
0%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.7
39.2
34.7
19
42%
5
8
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
9-18
7-15
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 24.5
37.9
31.8
10
38%
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
4-12
5-10
33%
47%
0-0
-
Predrag Drobnjak
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.4
28.1
32.0
6
30%
4
1
1
1
1
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-10
5-11
30%
47%
0-0
-
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 26.4
15.3
19.4
11
80%
6
1
0
1
2
0
2
4
1-2
50%
5-6
3-5
83%
49%
0-0
-
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.3
37.5
21.9
9
57%
5
0
3
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-0
-
Olumide Oyedeji
· 6'10" 240 · 20.9
14.9
3.6
4
100%
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Randy Livingston
G · 6'4" 209 · 27.0
13.6
15.5
0
0%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 27.0
13.4
5.6
9
56%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
0-1
43%
44%
1-1
100%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.6
29.3
1
4-8
50%
Ansu Sesay
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
10.2
0
1-2
44%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 22.8
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.