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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 13, 2002
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Knicks48%9397
26Heat52%9492
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Latrell Sprewell
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.3
41.9
38.8
30
60%
1
4
0
1
0
4
0
1
9-11
82%
9-16
4-9
56%
42%
1-4
25%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.2
38.9
33.9
10
83%
12
0
0
1
1
4
2
10
0-0
-
5-6
6-13
83%
49%
0-0
-
Allan Houston
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.6
27.2
32.9
13
54%
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
6-7
86%
2-8
5-10
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.0
24.2
24.0
8
67%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
39%
2-5
40%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
17.3
23.3
3
80%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
Clar. Weatherspoon
F · 6'7" 270 · 32.3
30.3
21.9
3
85%
11
0
1
1
1
2
2
9
3-4
75%
0-0
2-5
-
39%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.9
26.9
18.7
10
82%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
6-7
86%
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Charlie Ward
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.2
24.2
22.8
14
72%
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
3-5
60%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.5
9.1
9.3
6
77%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
0-0
-
Lee Nailon
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.8
5.8
0
1-2
46%
Lavor Postell
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 24.8
3.1
0
0-1
41%
Travis Knight
C · 7'0" 235 · 28.2
2.1
0
0-1
38%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.8
41.2
32.9
12
33%
5
1
1
1
0
3
4
1
0-0
-
6-17
5-11
35%
43%
0-1
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.5
40.4
26.1
17
52%
6
0
0
1
1
1
3
3
3-3
100%
7-15
4-9
47%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.8
38.3
34.0
12
86%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
6-7
4-8
86%
47%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.1
37.9
34.5
24
64%
7
5
2
1
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
6-12
4-9
50%
45%
3-5
60%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.4
37.0
16.5
14
73%
1
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
5-6
83%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.5
23.8
21.3
9
34%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
2-7
2-4
29%
40%
1-5
20%
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.6
16.8
15.6
4
67%
8
0
0
0
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
4.6
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.5
10.8
1
1-3
40%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
8.7
0
1-2
45%
Sean Lampley
F · 6'6" 213 · 23.3
5.3
0
1-2
42%
Ken Johnson
C-F · 6'10" 240 · 24.9
0.9
0
0-0
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.