Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, December 13, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 28% | 95 | 98 | |
 | 3 | Lakers | 72% | 102 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Bucks | 52% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Knicks | 48% | 92 | 97 |
 | 26 | Heat | 52% | 93 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Nets | 72% | 97 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Celtics | 86% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SuperSonics | 57% | 99 | 91 | |
 | 24 | Raptors | 43% | 97 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Magic | 73% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Thursday, December 12, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 38% | 95 | 93 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Pistons | 59% | 98 | 86 |
 | 27 | Bulls | 41% | 95 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Timberwolves | 67% | 103 | 113 |
Wednesday, December 11, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Mavericks | 41% | 100 | 104 |
| 6 | Spurs | 59% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 37% | 91 | 93 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 63% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 43% | 100 | 126 |
| 13 | Bucks | 57% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 33% | 91 | 80 |
| 15 | Pistons | 67% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 57% | 100 | 83 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 43% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 32% | 95 | 92 | |
| 11 | 76ers | 68% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 92 | 104 |
| 14 | Nets | 61% | 95 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Suns | 21% | 91 | 103 |
| 5 | Celtics | 79% | 101 | 94 |
Tuesday, December 10, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Rockets | 42% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 93 | 98 |
| 19 | Wizards | 48% | 92 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SuperSonics | 56% | 101 | 80 | |
| 22 | Knicks | 44% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 37% | 91 | 107 |
| 26 | Heat | 63% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 12% | 99 | 95 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 88% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 59% | 106 | 102 |
| 21 | Warriors | 41% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 60% | 107 | 87 |
| 27 | Bulls | 40% | 104 | 107 |
Monday, December 9, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 63% | 97 | 92 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 37% | 93 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 32% | 96 | 94 |
| 10 | Hornets | 68% | 102 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 21% | 89 | 93 |
| 12 | Nets | 79% | 99 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 64% | 103 | 140 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 36% | 98 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 31% | 99 | 109 |
| 4 | Celtics | 69% | 105 | 114 |
Sunday, December 8, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Suns | 51% | 97 | 94 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 49% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 96 | 104 |
| 23 | Raptors | 44% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 40% | 95 | 104 |
| 3 | Spurs | 60% | 98 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 35% | 97 | 101 |
| 4 | Lakers | 65% | 102 | 110 |
Saturday, December 7, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 69% | 111 | 121 |
| 21 | Warriors | 31% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 16% | 88 | 71 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 84% | 100 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 73% | 96 | 81 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 27% | 89 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 51% | 96 | 72 |
| 20 | Rockets | 49% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 39% | 98 | 94 | |
| 15 | Bucks | 61% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 40% | 100 | 104 |
| 27 | Bulls | 60% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 31% | 97 | 88 |
| 12 | Nets | 69% | 103 | 121 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 30% | 93 | 97 |
| 19 | Wizards | 70% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 41% | 101 | 88 |
| 18 | Clippers | 59% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 43% | 94 | 92 |
| 16 | Hawks | 57% | 96 | 94 |
Friday, December 6, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 53% | 106 | 103 |
| 6 | Lakers | 47% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 22% | 86 | 69 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 78% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 35% | 97 | 78 |
| 12 | Magic | 65% | 102 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 22% | 95 | 80 |
| 3 | Celtics | 78% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 29% | 96 | 89 |
| 20 | Raptors | 71% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 32% | 90 | 96 |
| 14 | Hornets | 68% | 96 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 37% | 93 | 93 |
| 4 | Spurs | 63% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 19% | 94 | 71 |
| 9 | Jazz | 81% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 59% | 96 | 96 |
| 24 | Suns | 41% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 12% | 87 | 77 |
| 2 | Kings | 88% | 101 | 98 |
Thursday, December 5, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 47% | 102 | 114 |
| 20 | Warriors | 53% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 43% | 100 | 80 |
| 19 | Hawks | 57% | 102 | 98 |
Wednesday, December 4, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 37% | 97 | 114 |
| 7 | SuperSonics | 63% | 101 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 41% | 96 | 93 |
| 6 | 76ers | 59% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 43% | 99 | 101 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 57% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 56% | 106 | 87 |
| 23 | Knicks | 44% | 104 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 28% | 87 | 88 |
| 15 | Pistons | 72% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 37% | 94 | 74 |
| 14 | Hornets | 63% | 98 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 78% | 98 | 92 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 22% | 88 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 37% | 98 | 85 |
| 10 | Jazz | 63% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 30% | 93 | 85 |
| 25 | Suns | 70% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 52% | 102 | 103 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 33% | 92 | 80 |
| 16 | Clippers | 67% | 98 | 89 |
Tuesday, December 3, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 19% | 96 | 91 |
| 5 | Lakers | 81% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 46% | 96 | 78 |
| 19 | Wizards | 54% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 28% | 95 | 72 |
| 10 | Nets | 72% | 102 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 61% | 101 | 115 | |
| 27 | Bulls | 39% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 24% | 97 | 86 |
| 2 | Kings | 76% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 32% | 93 | 89 |
| 21 | Warriors | 68% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 61% | 94 | 75 |
| 22 | Rockets | 39% | 90 | 89 |
Monday, December 2, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 40% | 88 | 100 |
| 23 | Suns | 60% | 91 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 38% | 95 | 91 |
| 11 | Jazz | 62% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 12% | 96 | 102 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 88% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 28% | 95 | 93 |
| 24 | Knicks | 72% | 102 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 43% | 102 | 102 |
| 12 | Magic | 57% | 104 | 97 |
Sunday, December 1, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 24% | 92 | 84 |
| 2 | Kings | 76% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 51% | 101 | 92 |
| 16 | Clippers | 49% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 47% | 99 | 92 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 53% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 26% | 93 | 86 | |
| 5 | Celtics | 74% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 32% | 96 | 95 | |
| 3 | SuperSonics | 68% | 102 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 26% | 97 | 110 |
| 4 | Lakers | 74% | 105 | 107 |
Saturday, November 30, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 55% | 100 | 86 | |
| 26 | Knicks | 45% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Suns | 40% | 96 | 90 |
| 22 | Warriors | 60% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 41% | 94 | 93 | |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 41% | 93 | 86 |
| 16 | Bucks | 59% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 31% | 92 | 85 |
| 4 | Spurs | 69% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 8% | 97 | 90 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 92% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 22% | 88 | 79 |
| 25 | Heat | 78% | 97 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 31% | 102 | 92 |
| 12 | Magic | 69% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 55% | 96 | 95 |
| 19 | Wizards | 45% | 95 | 94 |