Final Win Prob. pScore
656%91
67
2444%89
65
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
73.69197.9
MIA logo Heat
72.29084.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA67
65
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)67
65
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot67
65
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)67
65
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
65
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)67
65
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
65
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 267
65
Q4 - 0:18.0SASSUB: Bowen FOR Kerr67
65
Q4 - 0:18.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
65
Q4 - 0:18.0MIABest P.FOUL (P4.PN)66
65
Q4 - 0:21.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)66
65
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
65
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)66
64
Q4 - 0:21.0SASDuncan P.FOUL (P2.PN)66
63
Q4 - 0:21.0SASJones STEAL (2 STL)66
63
Q4 - 0:22.0SASSUB: Kerr FOR Bowen66
63
Q4 - 0:22.0SASSpurs Rebound66
63
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Butler Dunk66
63
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)66
63
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot66
63
Q4 - 0:38.0SASJackson Foul Turnover (P4.T26)66
63
Q4 - 0:38.0SASJackson OFF.Foul (P3)66
63
Q4 - 0:38.0SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)66
63
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P8.T13)66
63
Q4 - 1:02SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T25)66
63
Q4 - 1:19MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)66
63
Q4 - 1:35SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
61
Q4 - 1:35SASSpurs Rebound65
61
Q4 - 1:35SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 265
61
Q4 - 1:35MIAButler P.FOUL (P2.PN)65
61
Q4 - 1:47MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)65
61
Q4 - 1:56MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
61
Q4 - 1:58SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot65
61
Q4 - 2:24MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS)65
61
Q4 - 2:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)65
59
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot65
59
Q4 - 2:50SASRose 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)65
59
Q4 - 3:10MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
59
Q4 - 3:10MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
58
Q4 - 3:10SASJackson P.FOUL (P2.PN)63
57
Q4 - 3:23MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)63
57
Q4 - 3:23MIAHEAT Rebound63
57
Q4 - 3:24SASJones BLOCK (2 BLK)63
57
Q4 - 3:38SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
57
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot63
57
Q4 - 3:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
57
Q4 - 3:58SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 163
57
Q4 - 3:58MIAJones S.FOUL (P4.PN)63
57
Q4 - 3:58SASDuncan Dunk (17 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)63
57
Q4 - 4:12MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)61
57
Q4 - 4:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
55
Q4 - 4:29SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot61
55
Q4 - 4:39MIAJones P.FOUL (P3.T4)61
55
Q4 - 4:59SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
55
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Best 15' Jump Shot61
55
Q4 - 5:23SASJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
55
Q4 - 5:23SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
55
Q4 - 5:23MIAGrant S.FOUL (P4.T3)59
55
Q4 - 5:27MIASUB: Best FOR James59
55
Q4 - 5:40SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
55
Q4 - 5:42MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
55
Q4 - 6:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
55
Q4 - 6:01SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
55
Q4 - 6:15MIAJones Out Of Bounds Turnover (P7.T11)59
55
Q4 - 6:19SASButler STEAL (5 STL)59
55
Q4 - 6:33SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)59
55
Q4 - 6:33MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
55
Q4 - 6:33MIASUB: Jones FOR House59
54
Q4 - 6:33MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
54
Q4 - 6:33SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili59
53
Q4 - 6:33SASJackson P.FOUL (P1.PN)59
53
Q4 - 6:47SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T23)59
53
Q4 - 7:06MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)59
53
Q4 - 7:06MIAJump Ball Butler vs. Rose: Tip to Duncan59
53
Q4 - 7:06SASSUB: Parker FOR Kerr59
53
Q4 - 7:11MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
53
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot59
53
Q4 - 7:26MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
53
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot59
53
Q4 - 7:41MIAGrant P.FOUL (P3.T2)59
53
Q4 - 7:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:23)59
53
Q4 - 7:54SASMISS Kerr 12' Running Jump Shot59
53
Q4 - 8:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:23)59
53
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot59
53
Q4 - 8:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
53
Q4 - 8:28SASMISS Rose Layup59
53
Q4 - 8:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:22)59
53
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS James Driving Layup59
53
Q4 - 8:55MIASUB: House FOR Jones59
53
Q4 - 8:55MIASUB: Allen FOR Ellis59
53
Q4 - 8:55SASKerr P.FOUL (P2.T4)59
53
Q4 - 8:58SASGrant STEAL (3 STL)59
53
Q4 - 9:03MIAEllis L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)59
53
Q4 - 9:03SASSpurs Rebound59
53
Q4 - 9:04SASMISS Kerr 20' Jump Shot59
53
Q4 - 9:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:21)59
53
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot59
53
Q4 - 9:35MIASUB: Grant FOR Stepania59
53
Q4 - 9:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)59
53
Q4 - 9:40SASJackson Driving Layup (6 PTS)59
53
Q4 - 9:53SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
53
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot57
53
Q4 - 10:12SASJackson Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)57
53
Q4 - 10:16MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T9)55
53
Q4 - 10:25SASSUB: Rose FOR Ferry55
53
Q4 - 10:25SASKerr P.FOUL (P1.T3)55
53
Q4 - 10:34SASFerry P.FOUL (P1.T2)55
53
Q4 - 10:46SASSUB: Kerr FOR Parker55
53
Q4 - 10:46SASGinobili P.FOUL (P3.T1)55
53
Q4 - 11:08SASParker Driving Layup (17 PTS)55
53
Q4 - 11:30MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)53
53
Q4 - 11:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
50
Q4 - 11:40SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot53
50
Q4 - 12:0053
50
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA53
50
Q3 - 0:04.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
50
Q3 - 0:04.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
50
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.PN)51
50
Q3 - 0:12.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
50
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
50
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)51
50
Q3 - 0:33.0SASEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)51
50
Q3 - 0:38.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:20)51
50
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Stepania Layup51
50
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)51
50
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Stepania Layup51
50
Q3 - 0:52.0SASJones STEAL (1 STL)51
50
Q3 - 1:13MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)51
50
Q3 - 1:36SASDuncan 9' Hook Shot (15 PTS)51
47
Q3 - 1:51SASSpurs Rebound49
47
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Butler Dunk49
47
Q3 - 2:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)49
47
Q3 - 2:07SASMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot49
47
Q3 - 2:25MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)49
47
Q3 - 2:43SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)49
45
Q3 - 2:43SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T20)49
45
Q3 - 3:03MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
45
Q3 - 3:16MIAHEAT Rebound49
43
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Stepania Layup49
43
Q3 - 3:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)49
43
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Stepania Layup49
43
Q3 - 3:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)49
43
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Stepania Layup49
43
Q3 - 3:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
43
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS James Driving Layup49
43
Q3 - 3:28MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
43
Q3 - 3:30SASMISS Parker Driving Layup49
43
Q3 - 3:41SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
43
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
43
Q3 - 3:54SASButler STEAL (4 STL)49
43
Q3 - 4:07MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P5.T8)49
43
Q3 - 4:20SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
43
Q3 - 4:20SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
43
Q3 - 4:20SASSUB: Jackson FOR Rose47
43
Q3 - 4:20SASSUB: Ferry FOR Ginobili47
43
Q3 - 4:20MIASUB: James FOR Best47
43
Q3 - 4:20MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)47
43
Q3 - 4:33MIAEllis 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
43
Q3 - 4:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
41
Q3 - 4:51SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot47
41
Q3 - 4:58MIAJones Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T7)47
41
Q3 - 4:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
41
Q3 - 5:01SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot47
41
Q3 - 5:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:19)47
41
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot47
41
Q3 - 5:32MIASUB: Ellis FOR Grant47
41
Q3 - 5:32MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)47
41
Q3 - 5:42SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
41
Q3 - 5:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:18)45
41
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot45
41
Q3 - 6:00MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
41
Q3 - 6:02SASButler BLOCK (1 BLK)45
41
Q3 - 6:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:17)45
41
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Grant 4' Hook Shot45
41
Q3 - 6:32SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)45
41
Q3 - 6:41SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
41
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Best 14' Jump Shot43
41
Q3 - 7:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
41
Q3 - 7:04MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen42
41
Q3 - 7:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)42
41
Q3 - 7:04MIAAllen P.FOUL (P5.PN)41
41
Q3 - 7:10MIAButler P.FOUL (P1.T4)41
41
Q3 - 7:22MIAAllen 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)41
41
Q3 - 7:44SASRose Driving Layup (8 PTS)41
39
Q3 - 8:05MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
39
Q3 - 8:33SASRose 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)39
37
Q3 - 9:04MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)37
37
Q3 - 9:09SASButler STEAL (3 STL)37
34
Q3 - 9:16SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
34
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot37
34
Q3 - 9:40SASParker Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)37
34
Q3 - 9:40SASParker Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)36
34
Q3 - 9:40SASParker Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)35
34
Q3 - 9:40MIABest S.FOUL (P3.T3)34
34
Q3 - 9:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:16)34
34
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot34
34
Q3 - 10:07SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T17)34
34
Q3 - 10:07SASParker OFF.Foul (P3)34
34
Q3 - 10:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
34
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot34
34
Q3 - 10:34SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
34
Q3 - 10:34SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
34
Q3 - 10:34MIAAllen S.FOUL (P4.T2)32
34
Q3 - 10:47MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
34
Q3 - 11:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
32
Q3 - 11:01SASSpurs Rebound31
32
Q3 - 11:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 231
32
Q3 - 11:01MIAGrant S.FOUL (P2.T1)31
32
Q3 - 11:11MIAButler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)31
32
Q3 - 11:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)31
32
Q3 - 11:24SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot31
32
Q3 - 11:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)31
32
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 231
32
Q3 - 11:42MIAHEAT Rebound31
32
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 231
32
Q3 - 11:42SASRose S.FOUL (P2.T1)31
32
Q3 - 11:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
32
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot31
32
Q3 - 12:0031
32
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS31
32
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound31
32
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Willis 20' Jump Shot31
32
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 3 AST)31
32
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
30
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
30
Q2 - 0:39.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)31
30
Q2 - 0:39.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)31
30
Q2 - 0:53.0MIABest Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)31
30
Q2 - 0:58.0SASButler STEAL (2 STL)31
28
Q2 - 1:06SASSUB: Kerr FOR Parker31
28
Q2 - 1:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)31
28
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot31
28
Q2 - 1:33SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T14)31
28
Q2 - 1:33SASParker OFF.Foul (P2)31
28
Q2 - 1:47MIABest 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
28
Q2 - 2:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
26
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot31
26
Q2 - 2:15MIABest P.FOUL (P2.T3)31
26
Q2 - 2:24MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)31
26
Q2 - 2:24MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)31
25
Q2 - 2:24MIASUB: Marks FOR Stepania31
24
Q2 - 2:24SASWillis S.FOUL (P1.T4)31
24
Q2 - 2:43SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)31
24
Q2 - 2:59SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
24
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot29
24
Q2 - 3:19SASFerry Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)29
24
Q2 - 3:21SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
24
Q2 - 3:23SASMISS Willis 18' Jump Shot29
24
Q2 - 3:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)29
24
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot29
24
Q2 - 3:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
24
Q2 - 3:57SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot29
24
Q2 - 4:12SASSUB: Willis FOR Robinson29
24
Q2 - 4:12SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
24
Q2 - 4:17SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
24
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
24
Q2 - 4:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)29
24
Q2 - 4:26SASMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot29
24
Q2 - 4:43MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 2 AST)29
24
Q2 - 5:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
22
Q2 - 5:02SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 229
22
Q2 - 5:02MIASUB: Grant FOR Ellis29
22
Q2 - 5:02SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
22
Q2 - 5:02MIABest S.FOUL (P1.T2)28
22
Q2 - 5:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)28
22
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup28
22
Q2 - 5:32SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
22
Q2 - 5:48MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)26
22
Q2 - 5:48MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
22
Q2 - 5:58SASFerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)26
22
Q2 - 6:19MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)23
22
Q2 - 6:36SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)23
20
Q2 - 6:46MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Best 1 AST)23
20
Q2 - 7:05SASBowen Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
17
Q2 - 7:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)21
17
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Stepania 8' Hook Shot21
17
Q2 - 7:35SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose21
17
Q2 - 7:35MIASUB: Jones FOR Butler21
17
Q2 - 7:35MIASUB: Best FOR James21
17
Q2 - 7:35SASSUB: Ferry FOR Ginobili21
17
Q2 - 7:35SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.T3)21
17
Q2 - 7:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
17
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot21
17
Q2 - 7:47SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T2)21
17
Q2 - 8:0121
17
Q2 - 8:01SASParker L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)21
17
Q2 - 8:03SASButler STEAL (1 STL)21
17
Q2 - 8:08SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
17
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot21
17
Q2 - 8:27SASStepania STEAL (2 STL)21
17
Q2 - 8:36SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
17
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
17
Q2 - 8:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)21
17
Q2 - 8:49SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot21
17
Q2 - 9:01MIAButler Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)21
17
Q2 - 9:04MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
17
Q2 - 9:05SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup21
17
Q2 - 9:10MIASUB: Ellis FOR Allen21
17
Q2 - 9:10SASSUB: Parker FOR Kerr21
17
Q2 - 9:10MIAAllen P.FOUL (P3.T1)21
17
Q2 - 9:19SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
17
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
17
Q2 - 9:35MIASUB: Butler FOR Jones21
17
Q2 - 9:35SASSUB: Robinson FOR Duncan21
17
Q2 - 9:35MIAHEAT Rebound21
17
Q2 - 9:36SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
17
Q2 - 9:57MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)21
17
Q2 - 10:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
14
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot21
14
Q2 - 10:15SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)21
14
Q2 - 10:39MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
14
Q2 - 10:57SASSUB: Bowen FOR Jackson18
12
Q2 - 10:57MIASUB: Allen FOR Grant18
12
Q2 - 10:57SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)18
12
Q2 - 11:09MIAGrant Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)18
12
Q2 - 11:18SASStepania STEAL (1 STL)18
10
Q2 - 11:29SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10
Q2 - 11:31MIAMISS Stepania Layup18
10
Q2 - 11:32MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)18
10
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot18
10
Q2 - 11:40SASJames STEAL (1 STL)18
10
Q2 - 11:45MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)18
10
Q2 - 12:0018
10
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS18
10
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound18
10
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ferry 17' Jump Shot18
10
Q1 - 0:16.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
10
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot18
10
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
10
Q1 - 0:38.0SASMISS Ferry 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
10
Q1 - 0:44.0SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
10
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Grant Layup18
10
Q1 - 1:00SASRose Layup (2 PTS)18
10
Q1 - 1:01SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
10
Q1 - 1:02SASJones BLOCK (1 BLK)16
10
Q1 - 1:24MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)16
10
Q1 - 1:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
8
Q1 - 1:41SASMISS Ginobili 7' Jump Shot16
8
Q1 - 1:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)16
8
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot16
8
Q1 - 1:59MIASUB: Butler FOR Butler16
8
Q1 - 1:59SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)16
8
Q1 - 2:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
8
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot16
8
Q1 - 2:33SASSUB: Kerr FOR Parker16
8
Q1 - 2:33SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
8
Q1 - 2:33SASRose Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)16
8
Q1 - 2:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)16
8
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot16
8
Q1 - 3:00SASDuncan P.FOUL (P1.T3)16
8
Q1 - 3:20SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
8
Q1 - 3:20SASSUB: Ferry FOR Bowen15
8
Q1 - 3:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
8
Q1 - 3:20MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T4)14
8
Q1 - 3:27SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 3:38SASRose L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)14
8
Q1 - 3:39MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
8
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 3:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)14
8
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup14
8
Q1 - 4:07SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)14
8
Q1 - 4:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)14
8
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 4:40SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)14
8
Q1 - 4:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)12
8
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Stepania 8' Hook Shot12
8
Q1 - 5:03SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)12
8
Q1 - 5:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)9
8
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Butler 5' Hook Shot9
8
Q1 - 5:27SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson9
8
Q1 - 5:27SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
8
Q1 - 5:43MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
8
Q1 - 5:54SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Jackson9
6
Q1 - 5:54MIAHEAT Rebound9
6
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Butler Layup9
6
Q1 - 5:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
6
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot9
6
Q1 - 5:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
6
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup9
6
Q1 - 6:04SASGrant STEAL (2 STL)9
6
Q1 - 6:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)9
6
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot9
6
Q1 - 6:30MIAHEAT Rebound9
6
Q1 - 6:32SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot9
6
Q1 - 6:50MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
6
Q1 - 6:50MIAStepania Tip Shot (2 PTS)9
6
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Best Driving Layup9
4
Q1 - 7:05MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
4
Q1 - 7:07SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
4
Q1 - 7:21MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
4
Q1 - 7:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
4
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
4
Q1 - 7:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
4
Q1 - 7:35SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T1)9
4
Q1 - 7:56SASParker 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
4
Q1 - 8:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)7
4
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot7
4
Q1 - 8:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 8:22SASMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot7
4
Q1 - 8:29SASSpurs Rebound7
4
Q1 - 8:30SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 27
4
Q1 - 8:30MIASUB: Stepania FOR Allen7
4
Q1 - 8:30SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
4
Q1 - 8:30MIAAllen S.FOUL (P2.T3)6
4
Q1 - 8:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
4
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Best Driving Layup6
4
Q1 - 8:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
4
Q1 - 8:41SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot6
4
Q1 - 8:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
4
Q1 - 8:45SASMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot6
4
Q1 - 8:59SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
4
Q1 - 9:01MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup6
4
Q1 - 9:15SASJackson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
4
Q1 - 9:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
4
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
4
Q1 - 9:37SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:44MIAAllen P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 9:50MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 10:09SASGrant STEAL (1 STL)4
4
Q1 - 10:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Grant Layup4
4
Q1 - 10:39SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:39SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
4
Q1 - 10:39MIAGrant S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:53MIABest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 11:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:03SASMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:21MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:40SASDuncan Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Robinson: Tip to Parker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.93 46.5%
MIA
0.66 32.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
10
16
63%
MIA
6
28
21%
Midrange
SAS
8
31
26%
MIA
15
49
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
22
28
79%
MIA
8
10
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1864%9.0 / 14
T. Duncan1750%8.5 / 17
M. Rose1161%5.5 / 9
S. Jackson844%4.0 / 9
B. Bowen450%2.0 / 4
D. Robinson338%1.5 / 4
M. Ginobili325%1.5 / 6
D. Ferry350%1.5 / 3
S. Kerr0-0.0 / 2
K. Willis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1745%8.5 / 19
C. Butler1233%6.0 / 18
B. Grant1042%5.0 / 12
T. Best625%3.0 / 12
M. Allen638%3.0 / 8
M. James638%3.0 / 8
L. Ellis660%3.0 / 5
V. Stepania28%1.0 / 12
R. Butler0-0.0 / 2
E. House0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
64
+8
-27
72
MIA
77
+22
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.93 46.5%
MIA
0.66 32.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
94.5
SAS 73.6 +1.4
MIA 72.2
Pace
92.6
90.0
SAS 97.9 +13.8
MIA 84.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.2
SAS 14.7 −2.4
MIA 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
43.9%
SAS 40.2% +9.2%
MIA 31.0%
TO %
16.5%
14.8%
SAS 28.3%
MIA 11.9% −16.4%
ORB %
28.8%
26.8%
SAS 12.5%
MIA 31.7% +19.2%
FTrt
34.8
25.9
SAS 50.0 +39.1
MIA 10.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
55.8%
SAS 42.9%
MIA 57.7% +14.8%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
SAS 6.6%
MIA 14.4% +7.8%
BLK %
9.3%
6.4%
SAS 10.4% +1.9%
MIA 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
46.0%
SAS 46.5% +13.7%
MIA 32.8%
Rim FG%
59.3%
53.7%
SAS 62.5% +41.1%
MIA 21.4%
Mid FG%
38.8%
37.6%
SAS 25.8%
MIA 30.6% +4.8%
3P %
35.4%
31.6%
SAS 33.3%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
72.5%
76.5%
SAS 78.6%
MIA 80.0% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
28.9%
SAS 28.6%
MIA 30.4% +1.9%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
54.2%
SAS 55.4%
MIA 53.3% −2.1%
3P Att. %
20.2%
16.9%
SAS 16.1%
MIA 16.3% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points6765
Rebounds4748
Assists915
Steals613
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)27 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)20 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)43 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals21-5626-92
At-the-Rim FG10-166-28
Midrange FG8-3115-49
2-Point FG18-4721-77
3-Point FG3-95-15
Free Throws22-288-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
46.0
17
50%
25
4
1
5
6
2
2
23
5-7
71%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
38.1
4
50%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
37.9
18
64%
2
3
0
0
3
3
0
2
9-11
82%
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
G · 6'8" 220 · 25
23.5
8
44%
3
0
3
0
5
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 250 · 37
11.9
3
38%
2
0
0
0
4
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 28
27.9
11
61%
6
1
2
0
6
2
1
5
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
23.4
3
25%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
16.8
3
50%
1
0
0
2
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
67
47%
47
9
6
8
27
0
4
43
22-28
79%
18-47
38%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.