FinalWin Prob.pScore
656%91
67
2444%89
65
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
73.69197.9
MIA logo MIA
72.29084.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA67
100%
65
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)67
95.4%
65
4.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot67
99.0%
65
1.0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)67
92.5%
65
7.5%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Best 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
82.8%
65
17.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 267
84.5%
65
15.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
90.7%
65
9.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)66
83.6%
65
16.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)66
85.3%
64
14.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0SASJones STEAL (2 STL)66
91.1%
63
8.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASSpurs Rebound66
96.7%
63
3.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Butler Dunk66
95.3%
63
4.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)66
90.4%
63
9.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot66
95.0%
63
5.0%
Q4 - 0:38.0SASJackson Foul Turnover (P4.T26)66
87.6%
63
12.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P8.T13)66
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q4 - 1:02SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T25)66
84.0%
63
16.0%
Q4 - 1:19MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)66
89.8%
63
10.2%
Q4 - 1:35SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
92.3%
61
7.7%
Q4 - 1:35SASMISS Rose Free Throw 1 of 265
91.6%
61
8.4%
Q4 - 1:47MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)65
91.9%
61
8.1%
Q4 - 1:56MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
87.2%
61
12.8%
Q4 - 1:58SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot65
88.9%
61
11.1%
Q4 - 2:24MIAGrant Layup (10 PTS)65
92.4%
61
7.6%
Q4 - 2:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)65
94.0%
59
6.0%
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Best 21' Jump Shot65
96.2%
59
3.8%
Q4 - 2:50SASRose 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)65
93.9%
59
6.1%
Q4 - 3:10MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
90.5%
59
9.5%
Q4 - 3:10MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
91.0%
58
9.0%
Q4 - 3:23MIAHEAT Rebound63
92.6%
57
7.4%
Q4 - 3:24SASJones BLOCK (2 BLK)63
93.8%
57
6.2%
Q4 - 3:38SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
93.3%
57
6.7%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Allen 10' Jump Shot63
92.5%
57
7.5%
Q4 - 3:58SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 163
91.1%
57
8.9%
Q4 - 3:58SASDuncan Dunk (17 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)63
90.7%
57
9.3%
Q4 - 4:12MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)61
87.4%
57
12.6%
Q4 - 4:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
90.9%
55
9.1%
Q4 - 4:29SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot61
91.9%
55
8.1%
Q4 - 4:59SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
93.8%
55
6.2%
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS Best 15' Jump Shot61
90.9%
55
9.1%
Q4 - 5:23SASJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
88.9%
55
11.1%
Q4 - 5:23SASJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
88.2%
55
11.8%
Q4 - 5:40SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
85.4%
55
14.6%
Q4 - 5:42MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
84.0%
55
16.0%
Q4 - 6:00MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
80.5%
55
19.5%
Q4 - 6:01SASMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
80.2%
55
19.8%
Q4 - 6:15MIAJones Out Of Bounds Turnover (P7.T11)59
83.8%
55
16.2%
Q4 - 6:19SASButler STEAL (5 STL)59
78.6%
55
21.4%
Q4 - 6:33MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
83.9%
55
16.1%
Q4 - 6:33MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
84.5%
54
15.5%
Q4 - 6:47SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T23)59
87.1%
53
12.9%
Q4 - 7:06MIAJump Ball Butler vs. Rose: Tip to Duncan59
89.1%
53
10.9%
Q4 - 7:11MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
85.7%
53
14.3%
Q4 - 7:13MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot59
88.1%
53
11.9%
Q4 - 7:26MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
85.7%
53
14.3%
Q4 - 7:28SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot59
86.8%
53
13.2%
Q4 - 7:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:23)59
89.2%
53
10.8%
Q4 - 7:54SASMISS Kerr 12' Running Jump Shot59
86.9%
53
13.1%
Q4 - 8:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:23)59
87.5%
53
12.5%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot59
86.6%
53
13.4%
Q4 - 8:26MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
84.4%
53
15.6%
Q4 - 8:28SASMISS Rose Layup59
85.4%
53
14.6%
Q4 - 8:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:22)59
87.6%
53
12.4%
Q4 - 8:47MIAMISS James Driving Layup59
86.7%
53
13.3%
Q4 - 8:58SASGrant STEAL (3 STL)59
84.4%
53
15.6%
Q4 - 9:03SASSpurs Rebound59
86.6%
53
13.4%
Q4 - 9:04SASMISS Kerr 20' Jump Shot59
84.4%
53
15.6%
Q4 - 9:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:21)59
86.6%
53
13.4%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot59
85.7%
53
14.3%
Q4 - 9:40SASJackson Driving Layup (6 PTS)59
83.4%
53
16.6%
Q4 - 9:53SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
80.0%
53
20.0%
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot57
78.7%
53
21.3%
Q4 - 10:12SASJackson Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)57
74.5%
53
25.5%
Q4 - 10:16MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T9)55
70.4%
53
29.6%
Q4 - 11:08SASParker Driving Layup (17 PTS)55
64.3%
53
35.7%
Q4 - 11:30MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)53
59.5%
53
40.5%
Q4 - 11:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
69.2%
50
30.8%
Q4 - 11:40SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot53
70.7%
50
29.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA53
73.9%
50
26.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)53
69.1%
50
30.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)52
68.0%
50
32.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
64.5%
50
35.5%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
63.0%
50
37.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)51
59.6%
50
40.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)51
61.1%
50
38.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:20)51
64.5%
50
35.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Stepania Layup51
63.0%
50
37.0%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)51
59.6%
50
40.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Stepania Layup51
63.0%
50
37.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASJones STEAL (1 STL)51
59.6%
50
40.4%
Q3 - 1:13MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)51
64.5%
50
35.5%
Q3 - 1:36SASDuncan 9' Hook Shot (15 PTS)51
72.8%
47
27.2%
Q3 - 1:51SASSpurs Rebound49
68.8%
47
31.2%
Q3 - 1:54MIAMISS Butler Dunk49
67.5%
47
32.5%
Q3 - 2:06MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)49
63.5%
47
36.5%
Q3 - 2:07SASMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot49
65.0%
47
35.0%
Q3 - 2:25MIAEllis 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)49
68.1%
47
31.9%
Q3 - 2:43SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T20)49
71.7%
45
28.3%
Q3 - 3:03MIAButler 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
75.2%
45
24.8%
Q3 - 3:16MIAHEAT Rebound49
78.2%
43
21.8%
Q3 - 3:17MIAMISS Stepania Layup49
80.4%
43
19.6%
Q3 - 3:18MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)49
78.2%
43
21.8%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Stepania Layup49
80.4%
43
19.6%
Q3 - 3:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)49
78.2%
43
21.8%
Q3 - 3:21MIAMISS Stepania Layup49
80.4%
43
19.6%
Q3 - 3:22MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
78.2%
43
21.8%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS James Driving Layup49
80.4%
43
19.6%
Q3 - 3:28MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
78.2%
43
21.8%
Q3 - 3:30SASMISS Parker Driving Layup49
79.2%
43
20.8%
Q3 - 3:41SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
81.3%
43
18.7%
Q3 - 3:43MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
80.4%
43
19.6%
Q3 - 3:54SASButler STEAL (4 STL)49
78.2%
43
21.8%
Q3 - 4:07MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P5.T8)49
80.7%
43
19.3%
Q3 - 4:20SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)49
77.5%
43
22.5%
Q3 - 4:20SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)48
76.8%
43
23.2%
Q3 - 4:33MIAEllis 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
74.8%
43
25.2%
Q3 - 4:49MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
77.5%
41
22.5%
Q3 - 4:51SASMISS Rose 17' Jump Shot47
78.5%
41
21.5%
Q3 - 4:58MIAJones Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T7)47
80.8%
41
19.2%
Q3 - 4:59MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
77.5%
41
22.5%
Q3 - 5:01SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot47
78.0%
41
22.0%
Q3 - 5:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:19)47
80.1%
41
19.9%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot47
79.2%
41
20.8%
Q3 - 5:42SASBowen 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
77.1%
41
22.9%
Q3 - 5:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:18)45
74.2%
41
25.8%
Q3 - 5:50MIAMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot45
73.2%
41
26.8%
Q3 - 6:00MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)45
70.6%
41
29.4%
Q3 - 6:02SASButler BLOCK (1 BLK)45
71.3%
41
28.7%
Q3 - 6:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:17)45
73.7%
41
26.3%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Grant 4' Hook Shot45
72.6%
41
27.4%
Q3 - 6:32SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)45
70.2%
41
29.8%
Q3 - 6:41SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
67.0%
41
33.0%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMISS Best 14' Jump Shot43
65.9%
41
34.1%
Q3 - 7:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)43
62.4%
41
37.6%
Q3 - 7:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)42
61.6%
41
38.4%
Q3 - 7:22MIAAllen 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)41
59.3%
41
40.7%
Q3 - 7:44SASRose Driving Layup (8 PTS)41
62.5%
39
37.5%
Q3 - 8:05MIAAllen 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
59.6%
39
40.4%
Q3 - 8:33SASRose 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)39
62.6%
37
37.4%
Q3 - 9:04MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)37
59.3%
37
40.7%
Q3 - 9:09SASButler STEAL (3 STL)37
66.1%
34
33.9%
Q3 - 9:16SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
69.4%
34
30.6%
Q3 - 9:18MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot37
68.4%
34
31.6%
Q3 - 9:40SASParker Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)37
66.1%
34
33.9%
Q3 - 9:40SASParker Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)36
65.3%
34
34.7%
Q3 - 9:40SASParker Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)35
64.4%
34
35.6%
Q3 - 9:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:16)34
59.4%
34
40.6%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot34
58.2%
34
41.8%
Q3 - 10:07SASParker Foul Turnover (P2.T17)34
55.9%
34
44.1%
Q3 - 10:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
59.8%
34
40.2%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot34
58.6%
34
41.4%
Q3 - 10:34SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
55.9%
34
44.1%
Q3 - 10:34SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
55.2%
34
44.8%
Q3 - 10:47MIAButler 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
52.7%
34
47.3%
Q3 - 11:01SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)32
56.5%
32
43.5%
Q3 - 11:01SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 231
55.8%
32
44.2%
Q3 - 11:11MIAButler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)31
56.6%
32
43.4%
Q3 - 11:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)31
53.1%
32
46.9%
Q3 - 11:24SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot31
54.2%
32
45.8%
Q3 - 11:41SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)31
56.6%
32
43.4%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 2 of 231
56.2%
32
43.8%
Q3 - 11:42MIAMISS Grant Free Throw 1 of 231
53.8%
32
46.2%
Q3 - 11:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
53.0%
32
47.0%
Q3 - 11:44MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot31
55.5%
32
44.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS31
53.0%
32
47.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound31
56.6%
32
43.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0SASMISS Willis 20' Jump Shot31
54.7%
32
45.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAButler 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Best 3 AST)31
56.3%
32
43.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
60.5%
30
39.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
62.0%
30
38.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)31
60.5%
30
39.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIABest Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)31
62.7%
30
37.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0SASButler STEAL (2 STL)31
66.6%
28
33.4%
Q2 - 1:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)31
68.2%
28
31.8%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot31
67.7%
28
32.3%
Q2 - 1:33SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T14)31
66.7%
28
33.3%
Q2 - 1:47MIABest 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
68.2%
28
31.8%
Q2 - 2:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
71.2%
26
28.8%
Q2 - 2:05SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot31
72.0%
26
28.0%
Q2 - 2:24MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)31
73.6%
26
26.4%
Q2 - 2:24MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)31
73.9%
25
26.1%
Q2 - 2:43SASDuncan 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)31
76.2%
24
23.8%
Q2 - 2:59SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
73.6%
24
26.4%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Stepania 18' Jump Shot29
72.5%
24
27.5%
Q2 - 3:19SASFerry Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)29
70.7%
24
29.3%
Q2 - 3:21SASFerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
73.3%
24
26.7%
Q2 - 3:23SASMISS Willis 18' Jump Shot29
71.5%
24
28.5%
Q2 - 3:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)29
73.4%
24
26.6%
Q2 - 3:41MIAMISS Grant 16' Jump Shot29
72.6%
24
27.4%
Q2 - 3:55MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
70.7%
24
29.3%
Q2 - 3:57SASMISS Parker 14' Jump Shot29
71.5%
24
28.5%
Q2 - 4:17SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
72.8%
24
27.2%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
72.1%
24
27.9%
Q2 - 4:24MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)29
70.5%
24
29.5%
Q2 - 4:26SASMISS Robinson 14' Jump Shot29
71.2%
24
28.8%
Q2 - 4:43MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 2 AST)29
72.9%
24
27.1%
Q2 - 5:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
74.8%
22
25.2%
Q2 - 5:02SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 229
75.1%
22
24.9%
Q2 - 5:02SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
76.4%
22
23.6%
Q2 - 5:07SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)28
75.0%
22
25.0%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup28
74.3%
22
25.7%
Q2 - 5:32SASDuncan 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
72.6%
22
27.4%
Q2 - 5:48MIABest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
70.5%
22
29.5%
Q2 - 5:58SASFerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)26
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q2 - 6:19MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)23
63.2%
22
36.8%
Q2 - 6:36SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)23
65.2%
20
34.8%
Q2 - 6:46MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Best 1 AST)23
68.2%
20
31.8%
Q2 - 7:05SASBowen Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
72.1%
17
27.9%
Q2 - 7:20SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)21
70.1%
17
29.9%
Q2 - 7:22MIAMISS Stepania 8' Hook Shot21
69.3%
17
30.7%
Q2 - 7:35MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
67.7%
17
32.3%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot21
69.4%
17
30.6%
Q2 - 8:03SASButler STEAL (1 STL)21
67.3%
17
32.7%
Q2 - 8:08SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
69.8%
17
30.2%
Q2 - 8:10MIAMISS James 10' Jump Shot21
69.1%
17
30.9%
Q2 - 8:27SASStepania STEAL (2 STL)21
67.3%
17
32.7%
Q2 - 8:36SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
69.8%
17
30.2%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
69.1%
17
30.9%
Q2 - 8:47MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)21
67.3%
17
32.7%
Q2 - 8:49SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot21
68.1%
17
31.9%
Q2 - 9:01MIAButler Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)21
69.5%
17
30.5%
Q2 - 9:04MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
67.1%
17
32.9%
Q2 - 9:05SASMISS Ginobili Driving Layup21
67.9%
17
32.1%
Q2 - 9:19SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
69.6%
17
30.4%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
68.8%
17
31.2%
Q2 - 9:35MIAHEAT Rebound21
67.1%
17
32.9%
Q2 - 9:36SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
67.9%
17
32.1%
Q2 - 9:57MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)21
69.6%
17
30.4%
Q2 - 10:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
73.4%
14
26.6%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot21
74.6%
14
25.4%
Q2 - 10:15SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)21
73.1%
14
26.9%
Q2 - 10:39MIAJones Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
69.3%
14
30.7%
Q2 - 10:57SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)18
71.1%
12
28.9%
Q2 - 11:09MIAGrant Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)18
72.9%
12
27.1%
Q2 - 11:18SASStepania STEAL (1 STL)18
74.8%
10
25.2%
Q2 - 11:29SASJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
76.6%
10
23.4%
Q2 - 11:31MIAMISS Stepania Layup18
76.0%
10
24.0%
Q2 - 11:32MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)18
74.8%
10
25.2%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot18
76.0%
10
24.0%
Q2 - 11:40SASJames STEAL (1 STL)18
74.8%
10
25.2%
Q2 - 11:45MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)18
76.6%
10
23.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS18
74.8%
10
25.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound18
76.6%
10
23.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Ferry 17' Jump Shot18
75.4%
10
24.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
75.9%
10
24.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Butler 20' Jump Shot18
75.5%
10
24.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
74.6%
10
25.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0SASMISS Ferry 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
75.0%
10
25.0%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASKerr REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
76.0%
10
24.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Grant Layup18
75.6%
10
24.4%
Q1 - 1:00SASRose Layup (2 PTS)18
74.6%
10
25.4%
Q1 - 1:01SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
72.3%
10
27.7%
Q1 - 1:02SASJones BLOCK (1 BLK)16
71.3%
10
28.7%
Q1 - 1:24MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)16
72.3%
10
27.7%
Q1 - 1:39MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
74.5%
8
25.5%
Q1 - 1:41SASMISS Ginobili 7' Jump Shot16
75.0%
8
25.0%
Q1 - 1:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)16
75.9%
8
24.1%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Jones 11' Jump Shot16
75.5%
8
24.5%
Q1 - 1:59SASRose Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)16
74.5%
8
25.5%
Q1 - 2:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
76.1%
8
23.9%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot16
75.6%
8
24.4%
Q1 - 2:33SASRose Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)16
74.5%
8
25.5%
Q1 - 2:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)16
76.1%
8
23.9%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Stepania 16' Jump Shot16
75.6%
8
24.4%
Q1 - 3:20SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
73.8%
8
26.2%
Q1 - 3:20SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
73.4%
8
26.6%
Q1 - 3:27SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
72.2%
8
27.8%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot14
71.6%
8
28.4%
Q1 - 3:39MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
70.2%
8
29.8%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Butler 6' Jump Shot14
71.6%
8
28.4%
Q1 - 3:44MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)14
70.2%
8
29.8%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup14
71.6%
8
28.4%
Q1 - 4:07SASRose 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)14
70.0%
8
30.0%
Q1 - 4:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)14
72.2%
8
27.8%
Q1 - 4:23MIAMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot14
71.5%
8
28.5%
Q1 - 4:40SASParker 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)14
70.0%
8
30.0%
Q1 - 4:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)12
68.5%
8
31.5%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Stepania 8' Hook Shot12
67.8%
8
32.2%
Q1 - 5:03SASParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)12
66.0%
8
34.0%
Q1 - 5:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)9
62.3%
8
37.7%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Butler 5' Hook Shot9
61.7%
8
38.3%
Q1 - 5:27SASRobinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)9
60.1%
8
39.9%
Q1 - 5:43MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
62.3%
8
37.7%
Q1 - 5:54MIAHEAT Rebound9
64.1%
6
35.9%
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Butler Layup9
65.6%
6
34.4%
Q1 - 5:56MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
64.1%
6
35.9%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot9
65.6%
6
34.4%
Q1 - 5:58MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
64.1%
6
35.9%
Q1 - 5:59MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup9
65.6%
6
34.4%
Q1 - 6:04SASGrant STEAL (2 STL)9
63.8%
6
36.2%
Q1 - 6:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)9
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot9
65.2%
6
34.8%
Q1 - 6:30MIAHEAT Rebound9
63.9%
6
36.1%
Q1 - 6:32SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot9
64.5%
6
35.5%
Q1 - 6:50MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 6:50MIAStepania Tip Shot (2 PTS)9
65.8%
6
34.2%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Best Driving Layup9
68.8%
4
31.2%
Q1 - 7:05MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
67.1%
4
32.9%
Q1 - 7:07SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
67.6%
4
32.4%
Q1 - 7:21MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)9
68.9%
4
31.1%
Q1 - 7:27MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
67.1%
4
32.9%
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Best 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
68.4%
4
31.6%
Q1 - 7:56SASParker 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)9
67.1%
4
32.9%
Q1 - 8:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)7
66.0%
4
34.0%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot7
65.4%
4
34.6%
Q1 - 8:20MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
64.0%
4
36.0%
Q1 - 8:22SASMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot7
64.6%
4
35.4%
Q1 - 8:29SASSpurs Rebound7
65.9%
4
34.1%
Q1 - 8:30SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 27
64.3%
4
35.7%
Q1 - 8:30SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
65.4%
4
34.6%
Q1 - 8:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
64.2%
4
35.8%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Best Driving Layup6
63.6%
4
36.4%
Q1 - 8:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
62.3%
4
37.7%
Q1 - 8:41SASMISS Duncan Tip Shot6
62.9%
4
37.1%
Q1 - 8:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
64.2%
4
35.8%
Q1 - 8:45SASMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot6
62.9%
4
37.1%
Q1 - 8:59SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
64.2%
4
35.8%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup6
63.5%
4
36.5%
Q1 - 9:15SASJackson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
62.0%
4
38.0%
Q1 - 9:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
60.7%
4
39.3%
Q1 - 9:30MIAMISS Best 18' Jump Shot4
60.0%
4
40.0%
Q1 - 9:35MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 9:37SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot4
59.1%
4
40.9%
Q1 - 9:50MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
60.7%
4
39.3%
Q1 - 10:09SASGrant STEAL (1 STL)4
58.5%
4
41.5%
Q1 - 10:25SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Grant Layup4
59.9%
4
40.1%
Q1 - 10:39SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 10:39SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
58.0%
4
42.0%
Q1 - 10:53MIABest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
56.9%
4
43.1%
Q1 - 11:01MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 11:03SASMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot2
59.2%
2
40.8%
Q1 - 11:21MIAButler 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)2
60.3%
2
39.7%
Q1 - 11:40SASDuncan Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)2
62.2%
0
37.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Robinson: Tip to Parker0
60.3%
0
39.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.93 46.5%
MIA
0.66 32.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
10
16
63%
MIA
6
28
21%
Midrange
SAS
8
31
26%
MIA
15
49
31%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
22
28
79%
MIA
8
10
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker1864%9.0 / 14
T. Duncan1750%8.5 / 17
M. Rose1161%5.5 / 9
S. Jackson844%4.0 / 9
B. Bowen450%2.0 / 4
D. Robinson338%1.5 / 4
M. Ginobili325%1.5 / 6
D. Ferry350%1.5 / 3
S. Kerr0-0.0 / 2
K. Willis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones1745%8.5 / 19
C. Butler1233%6.0 / 18
B. Grant1042%5.0 / 12
T. Best625%3.0 / 12
M. Allen638%3.0 / 8
M. James638%3.0 / 8
L. Ellis660%3.0 / 5
V. Stepania28%1.0 / 12
R. Butler0-0.0 / 2
E. House0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
64
+8
-27
72
MIA
77
+22
-13
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.93 46.5%
MIA
0.66 32.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.7
94.5
SAS 73.6 +1.4
MIA 72.2
Pace
92.6
90.0
SAS 97.9 +13.8
MIA 84.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.2
SAS 14.7 +2.4
MIA 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.7%
43.9%
SAS 40.2% +9.2%
MIA 31.0%
TO %
16.5%
14.8%
SAS 28.3%
MIA 11.9% +16.4%
ORB %
28.8%
26.8%
SAS 12.5%
MIA 31.7% +19.2%
FTrt
34.8
25.9
SAS 50.0 +39.1
MIA 10.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
55.8%
SAS 42.9%
MIA 57.7% +14.8%
STL %
8.3%
7.9%
SAS 6.6%
MIA 14.4% +7.8%
BLK %
9.3%
6.4%
SAS 10.4% +1.9%
MIA 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.4%
46.0%
SAS 46.5% +13.7%
MIA 32.8%
Rim FG%
59.3%
53.7%
SAS 62.5% +41.1%
MIA 21.4%
Mid FG%
38.8%
37.6%
SAS 25.8%
MIA 30.6% +4.8%
3P %
35.4%
31.6%
SAS 33.3%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
72.5%
76.5%
SAS 78.6%
MIA 80.0% +1.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
28.9%
SAS 28.6%
MIA 30.4% +1.9%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
54.2%
SAS 55.4%
MIA 53.3% +2.1%
3P Att. %
20.2%
16.9%
SAS 16.1%
MIA 16.3% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points6765
Rebounds4748
Assists915
Steals613
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)27 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (4)20 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)43 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals21-5626-92
At-the-Rim FG10-166-28
Midrange FG8-3115-49
2-Point FG18-4721-77
3-Point FG3-95-15
Free Throws22-288-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 250 · 27
46.0
17
50%
25
4
1
5
6
2
2
23
5-7
71%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 32
38.1
4
50%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 21
37.9
18
64%
2
3
0
0
3
3
0
2
9-11
82%
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
G · 6'8" 220 · 25
23.5
8
44%
3
0
3
0
5
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 250 · 37
11.9
3
38%
2
0
0
0
4
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 255 · 28
27.9
11
61%
6
1
2
0
6
2
1
5
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 26
23.4
3
25%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 235 · 36
16.8
3
50%
1
0
0
2
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 37
10.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34
C · 6'11" 290 · 27
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
67
47%
47
9
6
8
27
0
4
43
22-28
79%
18-47
38%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.