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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 1, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Spurs55%9067
24Heat45%8965
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.8
46.0
35.3
17
53%
25
4
1
1
5
6
2
23
5-7
71%
6-13
8-17
46%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.6
38.1
30.1
4
50%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.7
37.9
34.2
18
65%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
9-11
82%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 24.8
23.5
31.0
8
45%
3
0
3
1
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
48%
0-1
0%
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.5
11.9
26.1
3
40%
2
0
0
1
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
3-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.2
27.9
24.9
11
63%
6
1
2
1
0
6
1
5
3-4
75%
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
23.4
23.9
3
25%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.3
16.8
9.3
3
50%
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
1-2
50%
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.3
10.2
12.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.4
4.2
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 33.8
5.6
0
0-1
44%
Mengke Bateer
C · 6'11" 290 · 27.2
2.4
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 31.3
43.6
38.1
17
45%
7
5
2
1
2
8
1
6
4-4
100%
2-11
4-9
18%
44%
3-6
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 22.9
43.6
38.6
12
34%
6
3
5
2
1
2
5
1
4-4
100%
4-16
5-12
25%
42%
0-0
-
Brian Grant
F-C · 6'9" 254 · 30.9
34.1
29.5
10
42%
11
1
3
1
0
0
4
7
0-2
0%
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 30.6
32.7
22.8
6
25%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
43%
0-2
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 24.6
19.1
30.9
6
38%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
4-10
38%
44%
0-0
-
Vladimir Stepania
C · 7'1" 255 · 26.7
27.6
15.4
2
8%
14
0
2
0
0
0
7
7
0-0
-
1-12
2-4
8%
44%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 27.6
15.3
16.1
6
38%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
39%
2-5
40%
LaPhonso Ellis
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.7
12.8
17.5
6
60%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
6.4
10.0
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
2.4
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.7
2.4
8.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 27.6
12.1
1
1-3
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.