Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, February 1, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 32% | 89 | 104 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Celtics | 32% | 93 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 37% | 89 | 84 | |
 | 7 | Pistons | 63% | 93 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Heat | 45% | 89 | 65 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Knicks | 27% | 98 | 100 |
 | 9 | Bucks | 73% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Mavericks | 92% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 25% | 92 | 77 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 75% | 100 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Lakers | 63% | 102 | 99 |
Friday, January 31, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 33% | 88 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 59% | 99 | 90 |
 | 24 | Raptors | 41% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 44% | 91 | 118 |
| 12 | Celtics | 56% | 92 | 66 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 28% | 89 | 72 | |
| 5 | Nets | 72% | 97 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 49% | 98 | 109 |
 | 16 | Magic | 51% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 48% | 100 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Timberwolves | 43% | 96 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 24% | 97 | 94 |
| 4 | Jazz | 76% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 22% | 93 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 43% | 97 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 34% | 99 | 124 |
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Thursday, January 30, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 24% | 98 | 109 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 76% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 30% | 96 | 90 |
| 8 | Bucks | 70% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 62% | 99 | 95 |
| 16 | SuperSonics | 38% | 95 | 77 | |
Wednesday, January 29, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 27% | 92 | 97 |
| 13 | 76ers | 73% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 21% | 96 | 108 |
| 19 | Magic | 79% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 36% | 92 | 106 |
| 5 | Pacers | 64% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 30% | 90 | 78 |
| 6 | Nets | 70% | 97 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 38% | 92 | 80 |
| 23 | Heat | 62% | 96 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 32% | 91 | 83 |
| 18 | Hornets | 68% | 97 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 65% | 102 | 104 |
| 21 | Rockets | 35% | 97 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 92 | 71 |
| 3 | Jazz | 69% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 51% | 101 | 99 |
| 16 | Suns | 49% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 29% | 96 | 75 |
| 15 | Clippers | 71% | 103 | 77 |
Tuesday, January 28, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 36% | 96 | 98 |
| 22 | Knicks | 64% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 37% | 90 | 83 |
| 9 | Pistons | 63% | 94 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 37% | 97 | 108 |
| 7 | Bucks | 63% | 101 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 28% | 95 | 102 |
| 2 | Kings | 72% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 14% | 82 | 92 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 86% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 35% | 98 | 88 |
| 13 | SuperSonics | 65% | 103 | 91 | |
Monday, January 27, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 36% | 93 | 93 |
| 16 | Wizards | 64% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 61% | 102 | 100 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 39% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 55% | 93 | 102 |
| 26 | Heat | 45% | 91 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 42% | 95 | 95 |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 58% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 45% | 96 | 100 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 55% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 44% | 97 | 108 |
| 18 | Hornets | 56% | 99 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 75% | 93 | 92 | |
| 28 | Nuggets | 25% | 84 | 66 |
Sunday, January 26, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 37% | 98 | 83 |
| 10 | Celtics | 63% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 48% | 98 | 98 |
| 21 | Knicks | 52% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 27% | 93 | 101 |
| 6 | Pacers | 73% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 51% | 97 | 98 |
| 27 | Bulls | 49% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 73% | 102 | 97 |
| 24 | Raptors | 27% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 23% | 96 | 100 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 77% | 105 | 93 |
Saturday, January 25, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 54% | 91 | 97 |
| 27 | Heat | 46% | 90 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 43% | 95 | 97 |
| 17 | Wizards | 57% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 51% | 100 | 102 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 49% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 47% | 98 | 95 | |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 53% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 16% | 88 | 75 |
| 8 | Bucks | 84% | 100 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 41% | 90 | 76 |
| 10 | Spurs | 59% | 93 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 53% | 102 | 95 |
| 19 | Warriors | 47% | 101 | 108 |
Friday, January 24, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 60% | 103 | 101 |
| 22 | Knicks | 40% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 40% | 99 | 110 |
| 15 | Magic | 60% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 30% | 93 | 80 | |
| 5 | Pacers | 70% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 21% | 85 | 58 |
| 11 | Celtics | 79% | 94 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 69% | 102 | 104 |
| 25 | Hawks | 31% | 95 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 37% | 97 | 85 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 63% | 102 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 93 | 97 |
| 12 | Hornets | 58% | 96 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 54% | 96 | 97 |
| 27 | Bulls | 46% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 52% | 92 | 98 |
| 21 | Rockets | 48% | 91 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 37% | 92 | 91 |
| 3 | Jazz | 63% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 38% | 97 | 89 | |
| 6 | Lakers | 62% | 101 | 83 |
Thursday, January 23, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 64% | 102 | 107 |
| 16 | 76ers | 36% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 78% | 106 | 104 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 22% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 65% | 104 | 97 | |
| 20 | Warriors | 35% | 99 | 105 |
Wednesday, January 22, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 39% | 99 | 106 |
| 11 | Celtics | 61% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 30% | 99 | 91 |
| 15 | Magic | 70% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 17% | 89 | 98 |
| 3 | Pacers | 83% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 30% | 87 | 88 |
| 21 | Knicks | 70% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 53% | 93 | 85 |
| 25 | Heat | 47% | 92 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 97 | 112 |
| 24 | Hawks | 40% | 93 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 31% | 89 | 92 |
| 8 | Pistons | 69% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 40% | 97 | 91 | |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 60% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 20% | 91 | 98 |
| 7 | Spurs | 80% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 35% | 90 | 94 |
| 12 | Hornets | 65% | 95 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 25% | 93 | 96 |
| 6 | Jazz | 75% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 24% | 100 | 114 |
| 5 | Lakers | 76% | 108 | 110 |
Tuesday, January 21, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 66% | 104 | 103 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 34% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 14% | 94 | 86 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 86% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 30% | 95 | 102 | |
| 2 | Kings | 70% | 101 | 109 |
Monday, January 20, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 34% | 90 | 65 |
| 22 | Knicks | 66% | 95 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 26% | 82 | 74 |
| 21 | Wizards | 74% | 90 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 38% | 96 | 115 |
| 24 | Hawks | 62% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pacers | 42% | 93 | 78 |
| 7 | Pistons | 58% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 39% | 93 | 102 |
| 15 | Hornets | 61% | 96 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 32% | 90 | 82 |
| 6 | Spurs | 68% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 66% | 107 | 102 |
| 20 | Warriors | 34% | 102 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 21% | 92 | 81 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 79% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 99 | 99 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 42% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 42% | 94 | 100 |
| 17 | 76ers | 58% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 39% | 94 | 103 | |
| 4 | Jazz | 61% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 27% | 96 | 92 |
| 3 | Lakers | 73% | 104 | 96 |
Sunday, January 19, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 58% | 100 | 101 |
| 25 | Raptors | 42% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 60% | 103 | 81 |
| 12 | SuperSonics | 40% | 100 | 85 | |