FinalWin Prob.pScore
288%86
100
192%104
122
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
108.792101.6
DAL logo DAL
119.610293.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL100
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0DENYarbrough Layup (4 PTS)100
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0DALJones 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rigaudeau 1 AST)98
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0DENWhite 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)98
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0DENBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)96
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0DALMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot96
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 1:20DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
0%
120
100%
Q4 - 1:21DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)96
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21DENMISS Andersen Layup96
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22DENMISS Tskitishvili Layup96
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)96
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38DALMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot96
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48DENYarbrough Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T18)96
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55DALJohnson Driving Layup (5 PTS)96
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17DENTskitishvili 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS)96
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37DALMISS Jones 12' Jump Hook Shot94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52DENBlount Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (White 2 AST)94
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03DALGriffin Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)92
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03DALGriffin Layup (2 PTS)92
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05DALMISS Johnson Driving Layup92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09DENWilliams STEAL (4 STL)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16DALMISS Griffin 17' Jump Shot92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31DENWhite Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Yarbrough 5 AST)92
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34DALJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)90
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48DENWhite Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48DENWhite Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)89
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06DALJones 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)88
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26DENTskitishvili 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41DALRigaudeau 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)86
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00DENJones BLOCK (1 BLK)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08DALMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26DENWhite 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Yarbrough 4 AST)86
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:30DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32DENMISS Yarbrough 20' Jump Shot84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:46DALWilliams Tip Shot (11 PTS)84
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 5:48DALMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58DALMAVERICKS Rebound84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00DALMISS Williams Driving Layup84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:05DENWilliams STEAL (3 STL)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:19DALMISS Williams Driving Layup84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37DENTskitishvili 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)84
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48DENBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 6:50DALMISS Jones Driving Layup82
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:10DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12DALMISS Griffin 22' Jump Shot82
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:34DENWhite 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)82
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:42DENNuggets Rebound80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45DENMISS White 23' Jump Shot80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:51DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53DALMISS Rigaudeau 21' Jump Shot80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13DENAndersen Tip Shot (5 PTS)80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:15DENMISS Yarbrough Driving Layup78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20DALRigaudeau Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:40DENWhite Layup (7 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 8:57DALWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)76
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 9:05DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:07DENMISS Andersen 11' Jump Shot76
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:32DALJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)76
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 9:32DALJohnson Driving Layup (2 PTS)76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45DENBlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45DENBlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 9:59DALBradley 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)74
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 10:10DALJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 10:14DENMISS White 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 10:30DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 10:30DALMISS Rigaudeau 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 10:39DENBradley STEAL (2 STL)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 10:46DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 10:48DALMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 11:07DENBlount 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (White 1 AST)74
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 11:17DALRigaudeau Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bradley 2 AST)72
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 11:35DENHarvey 5' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS)72
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 11:45DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 11:46DALMISS Jones Layup70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0DENMISS Harvey 3PT Jump Shot70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALFinley 12' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)70
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0DENBradley BLOCK (1 BLK)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0DALFinley Alley Oop Layup (20 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)70
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q3 - 1:01DENWilliams STEAL (2 STL)70
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 1:10DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)70
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q3 - 1:27DENWhitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)70
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q3 - 1:37DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)67
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q3 - 2:06DENAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)67
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 2:19DALFinley Foul Turnover (P2.T10)67
0.4%
88
99.6%
Q3 - 2:30DENBlount Layup (4 PTS) (Whitney 4 AST)67
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 2:36DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 2:39DALMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot65
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 2:50DENHarvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)65
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 2:50DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)64
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 2:50DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 2:50DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 2:50DENMISS Nene Layup63
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 2:51DENMISS Harvey Layup63
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 3:07DALFinley 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)63
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 3:22DENHarvey Foul Turnover (P1.T12)63
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q3 - 3:37DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Nowitzki 6 AST)63
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q3 - 3:48DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 3:49DENMISS White Layup63
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q3 - 4:06DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Bradley 1 AST)63
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q3 - 4:20DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 4:21DENMISS Nene Layup63
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 4:42DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)63
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 4:42DALFinley Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 5 AST)63
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q3 - 4:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 4:46DENLaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)63
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 5:05DALLaFrentz 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)63
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 5:16DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 5:19DENMISS Harvey 18' Jump Shot63
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 5:43DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)63
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 5:56DENHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T11)63
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 5:59DENHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 6:01DENMISS Howard Driving Layup63
2.9%
73
97.1%
Q3 - 6:21DALNowitzki Layup (18 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)63
3.2%
73
96.8%
Q3 - 6:31DENTskitishvili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)63
3.7%
71
96.3%
Q3 - 6:39DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 6:42DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 6:45DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
2.3%
71
97.7%
Q3 - 6:47DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot60
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 7:04DALMAVERICKS Rebound60
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 7:05DENMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot60
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 7:14DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 7:15DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot60
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q3 - 7:28DENTskitishvili Foul Turnover (P2.T10)60
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q3 - 7:45DALVan Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)60
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q3 - 8:06DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q3 - 8:06DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 8:25DALLaFrentz 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)58
3.4%
68
96.6%
Q3 - 8:40DENTskitishvili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q3 - 8:40DENTskitishvili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 8:51DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 8:54DALMISS Nash 10' Jump Shot56
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 9:02DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 9:04DENMISS Tskitishvili 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 9:21DALNowitzki Driving Layup (16 PTS) (LaFrentz 2 AST)56
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 9:33DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 9:34DENTskitishvili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q3 - 9:34DENMISS Tskitishvili Layup56
4.0%
64
96.0%
Q3 - 9:37DENMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot56
4.0%
64
96.0%
Q3 - 9:46DENHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q3 - 9:48DALMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q3 - 9:55DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
3.8%
64
96.2%
Q3 - 9:57DENMISS Howard 14' Jump Shot56
4.0%
64
96.0%
Q3 - 10:14DALFinley 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)56
4.4%
64
95.6%
Q3 - 10:25DENYarbrough Foul Turnover (P4.T9)56
4.9%
62
95.1%
Q3 - 10:35DENNuggets Rebound56
5.8%
62
94.2%
Q3 - 10:35DALMISS Nash Driving Layup56
5.5%
62
94.5%
Q3 - 10:46DALMAVERICKS Rebound56
5.0%
62
95.0%
Q3 - 10:48DENMISS Harrington 21' Jump Shot56
5.2%
62
94.8%
Q3 - 11:16DALNowitzki Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)56
5.6%
62
94.4%
Q3 - 11:22DENNene Layup (7 PTS) (Harvey 2 AST)56
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q3 - 11:37DALFinley Driving Layup (11 PTS)54
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 11:50DENYarbrough Foul Turnover (P3.T8)54
6.3%
58
93.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN54
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound54
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Nene 71' 3PT Jump Shot54
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALVan Exel Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)54
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0DENWhitney 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Yarbrough 3 AST)54
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0DENNuggets Rebound51
4.9%
58
95.1%
Q2 - 0:34.0DALMISS Bradley 15' Jump Hook Shot51
4.8%
58
95.2%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENHarvey Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Whitney 3 AST)51
4.5%
58
95.5%
Q2 - 1:06DENWhitney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 1:09DALMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot49
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 1:27DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q2 - 1:27DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
3.5%
58
96.5%
Q2 - 1:32DALVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)47
3.0%
58
97.0%
Q2 - 1:43DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
2.8%
58
97.2%
Q2 - 1:43DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 247
2.9%
58
97.1%
Q2 - 1:43DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
3.1%
58
96.9%
Q2 - 1:57DALFinley 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
2.7%
58
97.3%
Q2 - 2:15DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q2 - 2:17DENMISS Whitney 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
3.3%
56
96.7%
Q2 - 2:33DENNuggets Rebound46
3.6%
56
96.4%
Q2 - 2:34DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
3.5%
56
96.5%
Q2 - 2:55DENWhitney 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)46
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q2 - 3:06DALFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
2.9%
56
97.1%
Q2 - 3:06DALFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 3:10DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
3.2%
54
96.8%
Q2 - 3:12DENMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot44
3.4%
54
96.6%
Q2 - 3:30DALBradley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
3.7%
54
96.3%
Q2 - 3:30DALBradley Tip Shot (10 PTS)44
3.7%
54
96.3%
Q2 - 3:31DALMISS Bradley Layup44
4.5%
52
95.5%
Q2 - 3:31DALBradley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q2 - 3:33DALMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
4.5%
52
95.5%
Q2 - 3:47DENYarbrough Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)44
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q2 - 3:52DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
4.6%
52
95.4%
Q2 - 3:55DALMISS Bradley 15' Jump Shot44
4.5%
52
95.5%
Q2 - 4:21DENHarvey Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)44
4.1%
52
95.9%
Q2 - 4:39DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)42
3.7%
52
96.3%
Q2 - 4:39DALBradley Layup (7 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)42
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q2 - 4:39DALFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
4.6%
49
95.4%
Q2 - 4:41DALMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot42
5.0%
49
95.0%
Q2 - 5:04DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
4.5%
49
95.5%
Q2 - 5:06DENMISS Harrington 20' Jump Shot42
4.7%
49
95.3%
Q2 - 5:20DALVan Exel Driving Layup (15 PTS)42
5.1%
49
94.9%
Q2 - 5:34DENWilliams STEAL (1 STL)42
5.6%
47
94.4%
Q2 - 5:46DENHarvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
6.3%
47
93.7%
Q2 - 5:47DALMISS Bradley Free Throw 2 of 242
6.2%
47
93.8%
Q2 - 5:47DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
5.8%
47
94.2%
Q2 - 6:01DENHoward 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)42
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q2 - 6:20DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q2 - 6:28DALVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
6.2%
44
93.8%
Q2 - 6:31DENMISS Yarbrough 3PT Jump Shot40
6.4%
44
93.6%
Q2 - 6:44DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
7.0%
44
93.0%
Q2 - 6:45DALMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 240
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 6:45DALWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)40
6.5%
44
93.5%
Q2 - 7:04DENHarrington 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)40
7.0%
43
93.0%
Q2 - 7:21DALNowitzki 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
6.4%
43
93.6%
Q2 - 7:50DENNene Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Harvey 1 AST)38
7.0%
41
93.0%
Q2 - 8:06DALBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)36
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 8:16DENHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T5)36
5.7%
41
94.3%
Q2 - 8:27DALWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)36
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 8:39DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
7.6%
38
92.4%
Q2 - 8:41DENMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot36
7.9%
38
92.1%
Q2 - 9:02DALNowitzki Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)36
8.3%
38
91.7%
Q2 - 9:18DENNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)36
9.1%
36
90.9%
Q2 - 9:32DALBradley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)36
10.0%
36
90.0%
Q2 - 9:50DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
10.9%
34
89.1%
Q2 - 9:51DENMISS Whitney 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
11.2%
34
88.8%
Q2 - 10:10DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
12.1%
34
87.9%
Q2 - 10:10DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 236
12.2%
33
87.8%
Q2 - 10:27DENWhite Slam Dunk (5 PTS)36
11.9%
33
88.1%
Q2 - 10:33DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
11.1%
33
88.9%
Q2 - 10:35DALMISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
10.7%
33
89.3%
Q2 - 10:41DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
10.0%
33
90.0%
Q2 - 10:42DENMISS Tskitishvili 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 10:59DALVan Exel Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)34
11.0%
33
89.0%
Q2 - 11:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 11:03DENBlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q2 - 11:03DENMISS Blount Layup34
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q2 - 11:05DENMISS Whitney 5' Jump Shot34
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q2 - 11:09DALBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)34
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 11:11DALBradley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 11:13DENMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot34
11.8%
31
88.2%
Q2 - 11:23DALBradley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)34
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 11:23DALBradley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
12.8%
30
87.2%
Q2 - 11:37DENTskitishvili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Whitney 2 AST)34
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN31
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALWilliams 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMISS Bradley 6' Jump Shot31
13.1%
27
86.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0DENBlount 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Whitney 1 AST)31
12.5%
27
87.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0DALVan Exel 13' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)29
11.3%
27
88.7%
Q1 - 0:48.0DALJump Ball Bradley vs. Andersen: Tip to Van Exel29
12.5%
25
87.5%
Q1 - 1:11DALVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)29
13.3%
25
86.7%
Q1 - 1:11DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)29
14.4%
24
85.6%
Q1 - 1:21DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
17.2%
21
82.8%
Q1 - 1:21DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 228
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 1:26DALBradley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)28
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 1:39DENTskitishvili Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
15.9%
21
84.1%
Q1 - 1:39DENMISS Tskitishvili Free Throw 1 of 227
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 1:42DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
15.6%
21
84.4%
Q1 - 1:45DENMISS White 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
15.0%
21
85.0%
Q1 - 1:58DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
15.6%
21
84.4%
Q1 - 2:00DALMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot27
15.3%
21
84.7%
Q1 - 2:16DENAndersen Layup (2 PTS) (Tskitishvili 1 AST)27
14.4%
21
85.6%
Q1 - 2:22DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
13.2%
21
86.8%
Q1 - 2:24DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup25
12.9%
21
87.1%
Q1 - 2:36DENWhitney 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)25
12.3%
21
87.7%
Q1 - 2:58DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)22
10.3%
21
89.7%
Q1 - 3:20DENWhite 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)22
10.9%
19
89.1%
Q1 - 3:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
9.4%
19
90.6%
Q1 - 3:30DALMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
9.1%
19
90.9%
Q1 - 3:48DENFinley STEAL (1 STL)19
8.6%
19
91.4%
Q1 - 4:05DALVan Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
9.1%
19
90.9%
Q1 - 4:10DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
10.5%
16
89.5%
Q1 - 4:12DENMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot19
10.8%
16
89.2%
Q1 - 4:24DENWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
11.5%
16
88.5%
Q1 - 4:27DALMISS Griffin 7' Jump Shot19
11.2%
16
88.8%
Q1 - 4:43DENHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
10.5%
16
89.5%
Q1 - 4:43DENHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
10.4%
16
89.6%
Q1 - 5:04DALVan Exel 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
9.4%
16
90.6%
Q1 - 5:26DENYarbrough 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
10.1%
14
89.9%
Q1 - 5:40DALFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)15
9.4%
14
90.6%
Q1 - 5:47DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
10.9%
11
89.1%
Q1 - 5:49DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot15
11.2%
11
88.8%
Q1 - 6:02DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
11.4%
11
88.6%
Q1 - 6:05DALMISS Griffin 8' Jump Shot15
11.2%
11
88.8%
Q1 - 6:31DENNene Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Yarbrough 2 AST)15
10.6%
11
89.4%
Q1 - 6:35DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)13
9.9%
11
90.1%
Q1 - 6:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
9.2%
11
90.8%
Q1 - 6:55DENMISS Harvey Free Throw 2 of 213
9.3%
11
90.7%
Q1 - 6:55DENHarvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
9.7%
11
90.3%
Q1 - 7:18DALLaFrentz 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
8.9%
11
91.1%
Q1 - 7:33DENHarrington Foul Turnover (P1.T1)12
9.5%
9
90.5%
Q1 - 7:38DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
10.3%
9
89.7%
Q1 - 7:55DENHoward 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)12
9.5%
9
90.5%
Q1 - 8:09DALNash Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
8.7%
9
91.3%
Q1 - 8:30DENHoward 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
8.0%
9
92.0%
Q1 - 8:45DALFinley Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)8
7.6%
9
92.4%
Q1 - 8:49DALLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
8.0%
7
92.0%
Q1 - 8:51DENMISS Yarbrough 18' Jump Shot8
8.2%
7
91.8%
Q1 - 8:53DENNuggets Rebound8
8.7%
7
91.3%
Q1 - 8:53DENLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)8
8.2%
7
91.8%
Q1 - 9:01DALFinley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
8.6%
7
91.4%
Q1 - 9:18DENHoward Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)8
7.9%
7
92.1%
Q1 - 9:22DENYarbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
7.5%
7
92.5%
Q1 - 9:24DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup6
7.3%
7
92.7%
Q1 - 9:33DENHarvey 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Yarbrough 1 AST)6
6.9%
7
93.1%
Q1 - 9:41DALLaFrentz Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
6.5%
7
93.5%
Q1 - 9:41DALLaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
6.6%
6
93.4%
Q1 - 10:01DENHarrington 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)4
6.9%
5
93.1%
Q1 - 10:19DENHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6.5%
5
93.5%
Q1 - 10:22DALMISS Finley 21' Jump Shot2
6.3%
5
93.7%
Q1 - 10:38DENHarvey Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)2
6.0%
5
94.0%
Q1 - 10:57DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)0
5.6%
5
94.4%
Q1 - 11:19DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
6.4%
2
93.6%
Q1 - 11:21DENMISS Harvey 5' Jump Shot0
6.5%
2
93.5%
Q1 - 11:41DALLaFrentz Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)0
6.8%
2
93.2%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Nene: Tip to Nowitzki0
7.4%
0
92.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 54.9%
DAL
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
16
31
52%
DAL
18
27
67%
Midrange
DEN
16
32
50%
DAL
18
40
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
DAL
12
18.0
20
60%
90%
Free Throws
DEN
18
22
82%
DAL
14
17
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. White1761%8.5 / 14
N. Tskitishvili1568%7.5 / 11
J. Howard1454%7.0 / 13
D. Harvey1359%6.5 / 11
C. Whitney1179%5.5 / 7
M. Blount1063%5.0 / 8
Nene739%3.5 / 9
C. Andersen542%2.5 / 6
V. Yarbrough433%2.0 / 6
J. Harrington450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Van Exel30107%15.0 / 14
M. Finley2269%11.0 / 16
D. Nowitzki2063%10.0 / 16
S. Bradley1255%6.0 / 11
W. Williams1155%5.5 / 10
R. LaFrentz1063%5.0 / 8
A. Rigaudeau563%2.5 / 4
A. Johnson563%2.5 / 4
P. Jones429%2.0 / 7
A. Griffin325%1.5 / 6
S. Nash0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
74
+12
-18
86
DAL
90
+10
-12
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.10 54.9%
DAL
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
90.7
108.0
DEN 108.7
DAL 119.6 +10.9
Pace
92.6
94.9
DEN 101.6 +8.4
DAL 93.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.3
DEN 14.2 +1.3
DAL 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
42.8%
49.8%
DEN 52.6%
DAL 62.1% +9.5%
TO %
18.7%
11.6%
DEN 17.0%
DAL 11.3% +5.7%
ORB %
31.3%
25.5%
DEN 24.3% +2.1%
DAL 22.2%
FTrt
28.3
25.7
DEN 28.2 +8.7
DAL 19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
58.1%
DEN 65.8% +1.2%
DAL 64.6%
STL %
9.3%
8.5%
DEN 12.0% +4.2%
DAL 7.8%
BLK %
8.5%
8.5%
DEN 7.5% +1.2%
DAL 6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.88 and 2.88.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
44.6%
52.1%
DEN 54.9%
DAL 61.0% +6.1%
Rim FG%
53.8%
58.2%
DEN 51.6%
DAL 66.7% +15.1%
Mid FG%
35.8%
40.7%
DEN 50.0% +5.0%
DAL 45.0%
3P %
27.8%
38.1%
DEN 40.0%
DAL 60.0% +20.0%
FT %
69.9%
82.9%
DEN 81.8%
DAL 82.4% +0.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
29.6%
DEN 39.7% +8.7%
DAL 31.0%
Mid Att. %
52.3%
46.5%
DEN 41.0% +5.0%
DAL 46.0%
3P Att. %
12.6%
23.9%
DEN 19.2%
DAL 23.0% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.91 and 2.91.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions92102
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points100122
Rebounds3736
Assists2531
Steals118
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)28 (2)
Field Goals38-7848-87
At-the-Rim FG16-3118-27
Midrange FG16-3218-40
2-Point FG32-6336-67
3-Point FG6-1512-20
Free Throws18-2214-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 210 · 22
33.0
4
33%
6
5
2
1
7
5
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 20
27.1
7
39%
2
1
4
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 30
25.1
14
54%
5
5
1
0
2
3
1
4
6-6
100%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 22
24.4
13
59%
6
2
1
1
1
3
1
5
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 22
15.0
4
50%
2
4
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 230 · 23
27.0
17
61%
2
2
1
0
3
1
0
2
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
1-3
33%
F · 7'0" 225 · 20
26.2
15
68%
2
1
0
0
2
4
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25
21.3
5
42%
8
0
1
2
2
3
3
5
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
21.0
11
79%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27
19.8
10
63%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 218 · 27
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
55%
37
25
11
5
18
0
9
28
18-22
82%
32-63
51%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.