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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 1, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Jazz37%9787
3Lakers63%10299
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.5
40.0
30.0
12
41%
6
1
1
1
0
0
0
6
2-4
50%
5-12
4-8
42%
48%
0-1
0%
Karl Malone
F · 6'9" 259 · 39.5
39.8
37.1
26
53%
9
3
0
2
0
4
1
8
8-8
100%
9-21
7-16
43%
44%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.8
32.4
17.0
13
74%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
1-2
50%
John Stockton
G · 6'1" 175 · 40.9
28.6
28.5
14
46%
3
6
1
2
0
2
0
3
6-7
86%
4-12
4-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 29.9
26.6
20.9
5
47%
5
0
0
0
4
1
3
2
1-3
33%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
27.7
27.3
10
45%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
6-7
86%
2-7
3-6
29%
52%
0-1
0%
Tony Massenburg
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
20.0
14.7
2
20%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
0-0
-
Mark Jackson
G · 6'3" 195 · 37.8
19.4
16.8
5
42%
1
9
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
44%
1-1
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 21.8
5.5
7.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
31.6
1
5-11
50%
John Amaechi
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 32.2
3.7
0
0-1
39%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.5
1.8
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 24.4
43.9
41.9
42
64%
3
4
3
2
1
2
0
3
16-18
89%
10-22
8-18
45%
47%
2-3
67%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 30.9
37.1
38.5
21
53%
13
3
0
1
3
4
2
11
1-6
17%
10-17
10-18
59%
54%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 28.5
27.6
37.6
7
70%
1
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Rick Fox
F · 6'7" 235 · 33.5
23.3
26.9
9
90%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Samaki Walker
F · 6'9" 260 · 26.9
21.8
15.1
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.4
28.1
29.8
0
0%
8
6
1
1
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
25.6
24.6
10
58%
5
1
0
1
1
1
1
4
6-6
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 22.3
18.4
9.2
4
50%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 23.8
7.7
1.9
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
46%
0-0
-
Brian Shaw
G · 6'6" 200 · 36.9
6.7
9.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 27.0
2.3
0
0-0
42%
Tracy Murray
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.5
0.7
0
0-0
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.