Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, January 19, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Mavericks | 60% | 103 | 81 |
| 12 | SuperSonics | 40% | 100 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Magic | 58% | 100 | 101 |
 | 25 | Raptors | 42% | 97 | 93 |
Saturday, January 18, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 25% | 93 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Celtics | 36% | 98 | 97 |
 | 10 | Bucks | 64% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bulls | 35% | 91 | 101 |
 | 27 | Heat | 65% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Pistons | 36% | 91 | 86 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Knicks | 43% | 95 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, January 17, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 62% | 103 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 42% | 98 | 99 |
| 18 | 76ers | 58% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 47% | 96 | 93 |
| 14 | Celtics | 53% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 14% | 88 | 77 |
| 3 | Nets | 86% | 101 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 26% | 91 | 82 |
| 8 | Pistons | 74% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 25% | 93 | 83 |
| 15 | Hornets | 75% | 102 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 19% | 87 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 33% | 88 | 80 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Lakers | 48% | 98 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | SuperSonics | 69% | 102 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 45% | 102 | 98 |
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Thursday, January 16, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | SuperSonics | 30% | 93 | 85 | |
| 4 | Jazz | 70% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 44% | 96 | 93 |
| 18 | Wizards | 56% | 98 | 108 |
Wednesday, January 15, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 40% | 98 | 95 |
| 15 | Clippers | 60% | 101 | 64 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 23% | 92 | 66 |
| 10 | Celtics | 77% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 57% | 96 | 107 | |
| 17 | 76ers | 43% | 94 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 49% | 98 | 99 |
| 25 | Raptors | 51% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 15% | 85 | 81 |
| 8 | Pacers | 85% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 49% | 97 | 90 |
| 21 | Hornets | 51% | 98 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 74% | 94 | 92 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 26% | 86 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 43% | 102 | 94 |
| 2 | Kings | 57% | 104 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 21% | 93 | 92 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 79% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 31% | 91 | 96 |
| 13 | Rockets | 69% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 24% | 99 | 80 |
| 20 | Warriors | 76% | 107 | 108 |
Tuesday, January 14, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 26% | 89 | 84 |
| 12 | Wizards | 74% | 97 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 29% | 97 | 86 |
| 22 | Knicks | 71% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 65% | 90 | 85 |
| 27 | Heat | 35% | 85 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 31% | 97 | 88 |
| 15 | Bucks | 69% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 29% | 90 | 100 |
| 5 | Spurs | 71% | 97 | 108 |
Monday, January 13, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 30% | 100 | 110 |
| 21 | Warriors | 70% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 9% | 89 | 94 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 91% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 35% | 93 | 92 |
| 17 | Rockets | 65% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 51% | 101 | 94 |
| 26 | Bulls | 49% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 25% | 88 | 75 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 75% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 46% | 97 | 101 |
| 10 | Magic | 54% | 99 | 86 |
Sunday, January 12, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 32% | 92 | 80 |
| 6 | Spurs | 68% | 98 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 20% | 88 | 81 |
| 8 | Lakers | 80% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 17% | 92 | 87 |
| 12 | SuperSonics | 83% | 104 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 12% | 93 | 98 |
| 2 | Kings | 88% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 53% | 96 | 99 |
| 19 | Suns | 47% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 45% | 99 | 107 |
| 18 | 76ers | 55% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 65% | 104 | 96 |
| 16 | Clippers | 35% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Timberwolves | 56% | 99 | 91 |
| 25 | Raptors | 44% | 97 | 105 |
Saturday, January 11, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 18% | 82 | 85 |
| 16 | Rockets | 82% | 94 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 29% | 94 | 89 |
| 8 | Pistons | 71% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 46% | 95 | 89 |
| 22 | Knicks | 54% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 26% | 98 | 104 |
| 9 | Pacers | 74% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 49% | 94 | 80 | |
| 23 | Hawks | 51% | 95 | 87 |
Friday, January 10, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 35% | 94 | 114 |
| 19 | 76ers | 65% | 98 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 33% | 96 | 104 |
| 14 | Wizards | 67% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 43% | 101 | 101 |
| 11 | Magic | 57% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 64% | 96 | 94 | |
| 25 | Raptors | 36% | 92 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 56% | 97 | 75 |
| 24 | Hawks | 44% | 95 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 54% | 101 | 109 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 46% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 21% | 97 | 78 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 79% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 52% | 92 | 101 |
| 20 | Hornets | 48% | 91 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 26% | 99 | 85 |
| 13 | Bucks | 74% | 107 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 73% | 92 | 81 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 27% | 85 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 15% | 84 | 76 |
| 3 | Jazz | 85% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 28% | 94 | 90 |
| 18 | Suns | 72% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 15% | 95 | 99 |
| 7 | Lakers | 85% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 37% | 96 | 90 |
| 12 | SuperSonics | 63% | 100 | 88 | |
Thursday, January 9, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 40% | 95 | 118 |
| 3 | Nets | 60% | 98 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 35% | 91 | 87 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 95 | 90 |
Wednesday, January 8, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 30% | 97 | 91 |
| 10 | Magic | 70% | 103 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 52% | 92 | 103 |
| 20 | 76ers | 48% | 91 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 22% | 92 | 98 |
| 12 | Wizards | 78% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 26% | 95 | 87 |
| 9 | Pacers | 74% | 103 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 70% | 105 | 117 |
| 22 | Hawks | 30% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 38% | 101 | 95 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 62% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 46% | 95 | 93 |
| 18 | Hornets | 54% | 97 | 83 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 53% | 84 | 76 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 47% | 83 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 23% | 91 | 93 |
| 4 | Jazz | 77% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 58% | 95 | 106 |
| 15 | SuperSonics | 42% | 93 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 31% | 97 | 95 |
| 17 | Clippers | 69% | 103 | 103 |
Tuesday, January 7, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 33% | 97 | 98 | |
| 6 | Lakers | 67% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 30% | 92 | 88 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 98 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 37% | 97 | 86 |
| 16 | Rockets | 63% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 56% | 102 | 101 |
| 12 | Bucks | 44% | 101 | 76 |
Monday, January 6, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 53% | 97 | 105 |
| 20 | 76ers | 47% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 23% | 97 | 100 |
| 10 | Magic | 77% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 65% | 105 | 106 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 35% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nets | 66% | 99 | 101 | |
| 22 | Hawks | 34% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 14% | 85 | 74 |
| 8 | Pistons | 86% | 99 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 49% | 97 | 102 | |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 51% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 74% | 103 | 98 |
| 27 | Bulls | 26% | 95 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 6% | 86 | 71 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 94% | 106 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 29% | 91 | 85 |
| 21 | Warriors | 71% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 38% | 94 | 100 |
| 11 | Celtics | 62% | 97 | 95 |