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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 12, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pacers32%9393
1076ers68%9996
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.3
46.4
22.3
25
48%
4
2
2
1
1
4
3
1
9-9
100%
5-17
3-6
29%
44%
2-5
40%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.4
40.5
36.1
18
50%
10
1
0
1
1
1
4
6
6-11
55%
6-13
8-17
46%
46%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 23.1
39.7
37.7
16
54%
7
2
3
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
7-14
6-14
50%
44%
0-0
-
Reggie Miller
G · 6'7" 195 · 37.5
21.1
31.6
7
58%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Erick Strickland
G · 6'3" 218 · 29.3
17.4
23.6
6
90%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.0
36.8
18.6
9
50%
5
13
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
2-3
38%
43%
1-1
100%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
19.5
20.4
8
45%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
40%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 26.1
18.0
14.7
4
53%
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-4
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jonathan Bender
F · 7'0" 230 · 22.1
0.4
18.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 26.9
18.0
1
3-5
50%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.4
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.9
3.9
0
0-1
43%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 27.8
45.0
41.6
31
51%
2
6
2
3
1
4
0
2
16-19
84%
6-17
9-20
35%
44%
1-5
20%
Derrick Coleman
F · 6'10" 270 · 35.7
40.8
33.6
8
36%
14
1
0
1
3
1
6
8
0-0
-
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.9
40.1
35.5
12
44%
6
8
4
2
0
2
1
5
6-6
100%
3-11
4-9
27%
47%
0-0
-
Keith Van Horn
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.4
31.1
30.0
19
64%
5
1
0
1
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
1-3
33%
Tyrone Hill
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.0
20.2
16.0
6
43%
9
1
1
1
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
41%
0-0
-
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 30.4
30.1
27.5
12
68%
7
1
2
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
2-3
67%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26.8
17.1
18.5
4
67%
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
12.7
16.9
2
25%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
0-0
-
Monty Williams
F · 6'8" 225 · 31.4
3.0
3.8
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 25.6
11.0
0
1-3
48%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 23.2
4.8
0
0-1
43%
Efthimios Rentzias
C · 6'11" 250 · 27.2
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.