Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, March 12, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | 22% | 91 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bulls | 28% | 97 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Timberwolves | 64% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Lakers | 31% | 94 | 88 |
 | 3 | Pistons | 69% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Bucks | 41% | 100 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Magic | 51% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 39% | 93 | 65 | |
 | 18 | Celtics | 61% | 96 | 93 |
Tuesday, March 11, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 68% | 105 | 99 |
| 26 | Bulls | 32% | 99 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 44% | 97 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Heat | 49% | 92 | 77 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 43% | 94 | 81 | |
| 14 | Pacers | 57% | 96 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 41% | 100 | 87 |
 | 21 | Knicks | 59% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 52% | 100 | 105 |
| 13 | Bucks | 48% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 57% | 92 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 95 | 92 |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 62% | 98 | 77 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, March 10, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 22% | 98 | 92 |
 | 1 | Mavericks | 78% | 107 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 36% | 96 | 86 |
| 24 | Hawks | 64% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 63% | 91 | 83 |
| 27 | Heat | 37% | 87 | 73 |
Sunday, March 9, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 21% | 93 | 105 |
| 6 | Pistons | 79% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 43% | 95 | 96 |
| 23 | Knicks | 57% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 33% | 97 | 92 |
| 4 | Lakers | 67% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 52% | 94 | 94 |
| 13 | Celtics | 48% | 93 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 16% | 89 | 98 |
| 12 | Magic | 84% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 38% | 97 | 119 |
| 21 | Raptors | 62% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 46% | 92 | 102 | |
| 16 | Hornets | 54% | 93 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 49% | 100 | 105 |
| 20 | Suns | 51% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 18% | 93 | 88 |
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Saturday, March 8, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 66% | 102 | 115 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 34% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 42% | 96 | 107 |
| 24 | Hawks | 58% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 44% | 84 | 98 |
| 27 | Heat | 56% | 86 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 38% | 97 | 103 |
| 26 | Bulls | 62% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 42% | 104 | 133 |
| 15 | Bucks | 58% | 107 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 19% | 94 | 77 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 81% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 55% | 96 | 71 | |
| 18 | Rockets | 45% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pacers | 41% | 95 | 80 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 98 | 94 |
Friday, March 7, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 28% | 92 | 108 |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 72% | 100 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 36% | 100 | 96 |
| 4 | Lakers | 64% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 57% | 98 | 108 |
| 11 | Jazz | 43% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 17% | 90 | 76 |
| 15 | Hornets | 83% | 102 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 80% | 100 | 91 |
| 27 | Heat | 20% | 90 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 25% | 93 | 72 |
| 13 | Celtics | 75% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 33% | 100 | 111 |
| 14 | Magic | 67% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 40% | 97 | 85 |
| 21 | Wizards | 60% | 100 | 82 |
Thursday, March 6, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 39% | 91 | 78 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 61% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 55% | 103 | 105 |
| 26 | Bulls | 45% | 101 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 35% | 94 | 88 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 99 | 60 |
Wednesday, March 5, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 30% | 97 | 95 |
| 4 | Lakers | 70% | 103 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 21% | 97 | 95 |
| 2 | Kings | 79% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 98 | 92 |
| 21 | Suns | 45% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SuperSonics | 39% | 93 | 83 | |
| 11 | Jazz | 61% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 23% | 89 | 86 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 77% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 59% | 99 | 111 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 41% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 44% | 94 | 97 |
| 22 | Raptors | 56% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 32% | 103 | 99 |
| 14 | Magic | 68% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 37% | 93 | 80 |
| 20 | Wizards | 63% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 25% | 94 | 95 |
| 12 | Celtics | 75% | 102 | 97 |
Tuesday, March 4, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 32% | 97 | 79 | |
| 2 | Mavericks | 68% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 37% | 92 | 89 |
| 19 | Wizards | 63% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 25% | 96 | 80 |
| 23 | Knicks | 75% | 104 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 49% | 96 | 100 |
| 26 | Heat | 51% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 33% | 88 | 86 |
| 24 | Hawks | 67% | 93 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 32% | 89 | 83 |
| 10 | Pistons | 68% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Suns | 23% | 90 | 104 |
| 3 | Spurs | 77% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Timberwolves | 35% | 97 | 83 |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 65% | 102 | 92 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 51% | 103 | 100 |
| 18 | Warriors | 49% | 102 | 107 |
Monday, March 3, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 52% | 97 | 111 | |
| 25 | Clippers | 48% | 96 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 17% | 93 | 99 |
| 1 | Kings | 83% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 49% | 101 | 104 |
| 27 | Bulls | 51% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 40% | 96 | 111 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 60% | 100 | 110 |
Sunday, March 2, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 44% | 88 | 83 |
| 26 | Heat | 56% | 90 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 32% | 91 | 91 |
| 6 | Nets | 68% | 97 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 68% | 106 | 102 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 32% | 100 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 49% | 95 | 92 |
| 22 | Raptors | 51% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 32% | 98 | 93 |
| 14 | Bucks | 68% | 104 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 46% | 92 | 97 |
| 15 | Rockets | 54% | 93 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 65% | 92 | 100 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 35% | 88 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 37% | 90 | 86 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 25% | 98 | 90 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 75% | 106 | 99 |
Saturday, March 1, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 54% | 98 | 90 |
| 19 | Warriors | 46% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SuperSonics | 58% | 98 | 109 | |
| 24 | Clippers | 42% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 38% | 94 | 97 | |
| 21 | Suns | 62% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 12% | 97 | 87 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 88% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 21% | 90 | 93 |
| 18 | Wizards | 79% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 53% | 97 | 100 |
| 6 | Spurs | 47% | 96 | 108 |
Friday, February 28, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 24% | 93 | 103 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 76% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 47% | 96 | 83 |
| 13 | 76ers | 53% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 32% | 98 | 98 |
| 12 | Pacers | 68% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 46% | 102 | 110 |
| 23 | Knicks | 54% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 29% | 92 | 85 |
| 11 | Celtics | 71% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 14% | 95 | 95 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 86% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 34% | 92 | 116 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 66% | 97 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 47% | 96 | 110 |
| 27 | Bulls | 53% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 62% | 90 | 94 | |
| 28 | Nuggets | 38% | 86 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 35% | 97 | 90 |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 65% | 102 | 107 | |
Thursday, February 27, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 42% | 93 | 98 |
| 16 | Wizards | 58% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 39% | 94 | 85 |
| 3 | Lakers | 61% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 36% | 101 | 126 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 64% | 105 | 124 |