Final Win Prob. pScore
1523%93
94
377%102
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
101.19396.3
SAS logo Spurs
116.39288.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS94
107
Q4 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound94
107
Q4 - 0:00.0SASMISS Claxton 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
107
Q4 - 0:24.0MILGadzuric L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)94
107
Q4 - 0:24.0SASSPURS Rebound94
107
Q4 - 0:25.0MILMISS Cassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
107
Q4 - 0:36.0SASFerry 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Claxton 11 AST)94
107
Q4 - 0:51.0MILCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)94
105
Q4 - 1:02SASClaxton 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)91
105
Q4 - 1:16SASSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)91
103
Q4 - 1:18SASMISS Ferry 3PT Jump Shot91
103
Q4 - 1:36MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
103
Q4 - 1:36MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
103
Q4 - 1:36SASFerry L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)89
103
Q4 - 1:36MILBucks Rebound89
103
Q4 - 1:37SASMISS Claxton 15' Jump Shot89
103
Q4 - 1:53MILMason 4' Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
103
Q4 - 2:09MILBucks Rebound87
103
Q4 - 2:10SASMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot87
103
Q4 - 2:27SASFerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
103
Q4 - 2:29MILMISS Haislip Free Throw 1 of 187
103
Q4 - 2:29SASFerry AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P1.PN)87
103
Q4 - 2:29MILMason 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
103
Q4 - 2:43SASSmith 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
103
Q4 - 2:57MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)84
101
Q4 - 2:57SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)84
101
Q4 - 3:07MILHaislip 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)84
101
Q4 - 3:17MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
101
Q4 - 3:19SASMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
101
Q4 - 3:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
101
Q4 - 3:38MILGadzuric 2' Tip Shot (2 PTS)82
101
Q4 - 3:40MILMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot80
101
Q4 - 3:47MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
101
Q4 - 3:50SASMISS Claxton 8' Jump Shot80
101
Q4 - 4:01SASSUB: Willis FOR Rose80
101
Q4 - 4:01MILSUB: Redd FOR Mason80
101
Q4 - 4:01MILSUB: Gadzuric FOR Thomas80
101
Q4 - 4:01SASSUB: Smith FOR Bowen80
101
Q4 - 4:01MILMason Foul Turnover (P3.T13)80
101
Q4 - 4:01MILMason OFF.Foul (P2)80
101
Q4 - 4:24SASRose 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bowen 4 AST)80
101
Q4 - 4:38SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
99
Q4 - 4:40MILMISS Mason 12' Jump Shot80
99
Q4 - 4:55MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)80
99
Q4 - 4:57SASMISS Jackson 14' Jump Shot80
99
Q4 - 5:04SASSUB: Ferry FOR Duncan80
99
Q4 - 5:04SASRose Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (16 PTS)80
99
Q4 - 5:04SASRose Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (15 PTS)80
98
Q4 - 5:04MILSUB: Haislip FOR Przybilla80
97
Q4 - 5:04MILPrzybilla Ejection:First Flagrant Type 280
97
Q4 - 5:04MILPrzybilla FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE2 (P2.T4)80
97
Q4 - 5:28MILCassell 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)80
97
Q4 - 5:48SASRose 15' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)78
97
Q4 - 5:57SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)78
95
Q4 - 5:57MILMason P.FOUL (P4.T3)78
95
Q4 - 6:13MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
95
Q4 - 6:13SASSUB: Rose FOR Willis77
95
Q4 - 6:13SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili77
95
Q4 - 6:13MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
95
Q4 - 6:13SASClaxton P.FOUL (P4.PN)76
95
Q4 - 6:17SASGinobili P.FOUL (P5.T4)76
95
Q4 - 6:27MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
95
Q4 - 6:28MILMISS Mason 20' Jump Shot76
95
Q4 - 6:38MILSUB: Mason FOR Redd76
95
Q4 - 6:38SASClaxton P.FOUL (P3.T3)76
95
Q4 - 6:58SASGinobili 2' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)76
95
Q4 - 7:02SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
93
Q4 - 7:04MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
93
Q4 - 7:24SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (31 PTS)76
93
Q4 - 7:29MILSUB: Mason FOR Kukoc76
91
Q4 - 7:44SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)76
91
Q4 - 7:46MILMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot76
91
Q4 - 7:55MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
91
Q4 - 7:57SASMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot76
91
Q4 - 8:09MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
91
Q4 - 8:09MILBucks Rebound75
91
Q4 - 8:09MILMISS Cassell Free Throw 1 of 275
91
Q4 - 8:09SASWillis S.FOUL (P1.T2)75
91
Q4 - 8:26SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Claxton 10 AST)75
91
Q4 - 8:38MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)75
89
Q4 - 8:38MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
89
Q4 - 8:38SASSUB: Jackson FOR Smith73
89
Q4 - 8:3873
89
Q4 - 8:38SASClaxton S.FOUL (P2.T1)73
89
Q4 - 8:41MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
89
Q4 - 8:43SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Layup73
89
Q4 - 9:00MILKukoc 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)73
89
Q4 - 9:13SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose71
89
Q4 - 9:13SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)71
89
Q4 - 9:13SASSPURS Rebound71
89
Q4 - 9:14SASMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
89
Q4 - 10:00MILRedd 2' Layup (13 PTS)71
89
Q4 - 10:00MILRedd REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
89
Q4 - 10:00MILWillis BLOCK (2 BLK)69
89
Q4 - 10:00MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
89
Q4 - 10:02SASMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot69
89
Q4 - 10:13SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
89
Q4 - 10:15MILMISS Redd 2' Driving Layup69
89
Q4 - 10:35SASRose 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Claxton 9 AST)69
89
Q4 - 10:44SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
87
Q4 - 10:46SASMISS Rose 19' Jump Shot69
87
Q4 - 10:55MILKukoc P.FOUL (P3.T2)69
87
Q4 - 11:02SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
87
Q4 - 11:04MILMISS Kukoc 15' Fadeaway Jumper69
87
Q4 - 11:18MILSUB: Przybilla FOR Mason69
87
Q4 - 11:18MILSUB: Thomas FOR Mason69
87
Q4 - 11:18SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)69
87
Q4 - 11:19MILGinobili STEAL (3 STL)69
87
Q4 - 11:21MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
87
Q4 - 11:24MILWillis BLOCK (1 BLK)69
87
Q4 - 11:43SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
87
Q4 - 11:43SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)69
86
Q4 - 11:43MILKukoc S.FOUL (P2.T1)69
85
Q4 - 12:0069
85
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL69
85
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound69
85
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Mason 53' 3PT Jump Shot69
85
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
85
Q3 - 0:04.0SASMISS Kerr 3PT Jump Shot69
85
Q3 - 0:22.0MILMason 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)69
85
Q3 - 0:23.0MILMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)67
85
Q3 - 0:25.0MILMISS Mason 11' Jump Shot67
85
Q3 - 0:41.0SASSUB: Willis FOR Duncan67
85
Q3 - 0:41.0SASBowen Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)67
85
Q3 - 0:41.0SASKerr REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)67
85
Q3 - 0:43.0SASMISS Smith 5' Running Jump Shot67
85
Q3 - 1:04MILPayton 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)67
85
Q3 - 1:18SASSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)65
85
Q3 - 1:38MILKukoc 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)65
82
Q3 - 1:44MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
82
Q3 - 1:46MILMISS Payton 3' Driving Layup63
82
Q3 - 1:53SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)63
82
Q3 - 1:53MILMason S.FOUL (P3.PN)63
81
Q3 - 1:53SASDuncan 10' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)63
81
Q3 - 2:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
79
Q3 - 2:11MILMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 263
79
Q3 - 2:11MILBucks Rebound63
79
Q3 - 2:11MILMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 263
79
Q3 - 2:11SASBowen S.FOUL (P3.PN)63
79
Q3 - 2:19SASRose Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)63
79
Q3 - 2:28MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)63
79
Q3 - 2:28MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)62
79
Q3 - 2:28SASKerr S.FOUL (P2.PN)61
79
Q3 - 2:42MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
79
Q3 - 2:43SASMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 261
79
Q3 - 2:43SASSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
79
Q3 - 2:43MILMason S.FOUL (P1.PN)61
78
Q3 - 2:53MILPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
78
Q3 - 2:53MILPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
78
Q3 - 2:53SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.PN)59
78
Q3 - 3:11SASRose Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
78
Q3 - 3:11MILSUB: Mason FOR Cassell59
77
Q3 - 3:11SASRose Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
77
Q3 - 3:11MILKukoc P.FOUL (P1.PN)59
76
Q3 - 3:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
76
Q3 - 3:19MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
76
Q3 - 3:38SASBowen 3' Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)59
76
Q3 - 3:43MILPayton Violation:Kicked Ball59
74
Q3 - 4:07MILKukoc 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)59
74
Q3 - 4:21SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Rose 2 AST)57
74
Q3 - 4:34SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)57
72
Q3 - 4:37MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Kukoc 1 AST)57
72
Q3 - 4:41MILKukoc REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
72
Q3 - 4:45SASMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot54
72
Q3 - 4:52MILBowen STEAL (1 STL)54
72
Q3 - 5:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)54
72
Q3 - 5:10SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)54
71
Q3 - 5:10MILCassell P.FOUL (P4.PN)54
70
Q3 - 5:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
70
Q3 - 5:24MILMason Lane Violation Turnover (P2.T10)54
70
Q3 - 5:24SASMISS Kerr 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
70
Q3 - 5:24SASKerr Violation:Lane54
70
Q3 - 5:24SASSUB: Smith FOR Ginobili54
70
Q3 - 5:24MILBucks Rebound54
70
Q3 - 5:24MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 254
70
Q3 - 5:24SASGinobili L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)54
70
Q3 - 5:24MILBucks Rebound54
70
Q3 - 5:24SASMISS Ginobili 4' Driving Layup54
70
Q3 - 5:41SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
70
Q3 - 5:43MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 254
70
Q3 - 5:43SASSUB: Kerr FOR Claxton54
70
Q3 - 5:43MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
70
Q3 - 5:43SASGinobili S.FOUL (P3.T4)53
70
Q3 - 5:46SASDuncan P.FOUL (P2.T3)53
70
Q3 - 6:01SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson53
70
Q3 - 6:01MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Thomas53
70
Q3 - 6:01MILSUB: Redd FOR Mason53
70
Q3 - 6:01SASBowen Violation:Kicked Ball53
70
Q3 - 6:09SASClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)53
70
Q3 - 6:30MILMason 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)53
70
Q3 - 6:51SASDuncan 7' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Claxton 8 AST)51
70
Q3 - 7:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
68
Q3 - 7:08MILMISS Mason 13' Jump Shot51
68
Q3 - 7:20SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.T2)51
68
Q3 - 7:31SASClaxton 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)51
68
Q3 - 7:34MILGinobili STEAL (2 STL)51
66
Q3 - 7:37MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
66
Q3 - 7:40MILMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
66
Q3 - 7:44SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)51
66
Q3 - 7:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
66
Q3 - 7:49MILDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)51
66
Q3 - 8:07MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)51
66
Q3 - 8:11SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)51
66
Q3 - 8:21MILGinobili STEAL (1 STL)51
63
Q3 - 8:31SASRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
63
Q3 - 8:31SASSPURS Rebound51
62
Q3 - 8:31SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 251
62
Q3 - 8:31MILSUB: Mason FOR Johnson51
62
Q3 - 8:31MILThomas S.FOUL (P4.T4)51
62
Q3 - 8:48MILMason 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)51
62
Q3 - 9:02SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)49
62
Q3 - 9:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
62
Q3 - 9:09MILMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot49
62
Q3 - 9:24SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)49
62
Q3 - 9:24SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)49
61
Q3 - 9:24SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Jackson49
60
Q3 - 9:24MILJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T3)49
60
Q3 - 9:39MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Payton 9 AST)49
60
Q3 - 9:48SASJackson P.FOUL (P4.T1)46
60
Q3 - 10:06SASDuncan 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Claxton 7 AST)46
60
Q3 - 10:13SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
58
Q3 - 10:15SASMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
58
Q3 - 10:35MILMason 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)46
58
Q3 - 10:47SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)44
58
Q3 - 10:57MILJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T2)44
55
Q3 - 11:09SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
55
Q3 - 11:11SASMISS Claxton 3PT Jump Shot44
55
Q3 - 11:30MILCassell 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)44
55
Q3 - 11:42SASRobinson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)42
55
Q3 - 11:42MILMason Violation:Lane42
54
Q3 - 11:42MILThomas S.FOUL (P3.T1)42
54
Q3 - 11:42SASRobinson 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Claxton 6 AST)42
54
Q3 - 11:47MILJackson STEAL (1 STL)42
52
Q3 - 12:0042
52
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS42
52
Q2 - 0:00.0MILKukoc 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)42
52
Q2 - 0:07.0SASRose REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
52
Q2 - 0:07.0SASRose 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)40
52
Q2 - 0:07.0SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot40
50
Q2 - 0:23.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
50
Q2 - 0:26.0SASMISS Claxton 3' Layup40
50
Q2 - 0:30.0MILClaxton STEAL (1 STL)40
50
Q2 - 0:40.0MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Thomas40
50
Q2 - 0:41.0SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen40
50
Q2 - 0:41.0SASClaxton Foul Turnover (P2.T8)40
50
Q2 - 0:41.0SASClaxton OFF.Foul (P1)40
50
Q2 - 0:57.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
50
Q2 - 0:59.0MILMISS Przybilla 1' Reverse Layup40
50
Q2 - 1:17SASBowen 2' Dunk (2 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)40
50
Q2 - 1:21MILRose STEAL (1 STL)40
48
Q2 - 1:39SASRose 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Bowen 3 AST)40
48
Q2 - 1:41SASSPURS Rebound40
46
Q2 - 1:42SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
46
Q2 - 1:49SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
46
Q2 - 1:51MILMISS Payton 4' Jump Shot40
46
Q2 - 2:12MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
46
Q2 - 2:14SASMISS Kerr 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
46
Q2 - 2:31MILRedd 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)40
46
Q2 - 2:44MILSUB: Przybilla FOR Mason38
46
Q2 - 2:44SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson38
46
Q2 - 2:44SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
46
Q2 - 2:44MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)38
46
Q2 - 2:55SASClaxton 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)38
46
Q2 - 3:03SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
44
Q2 - 3:05MILMISS Payton 7' Jump Shot38
44
Q2 - 3:24SASClaxton 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Kerr 1 AST)38
44
Q2 - 3:44MILThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)38
42
Q2 - 3:44SASKerr S.FOUL (P1.PN)37
42
Q2 - 3:44MILThomas 3' Layup (11 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)37
42
Q2 - 3:47SASClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
42
Q2 - 3:58SASSUB: Kerr FOR Ginobili35
42
Q2 - 3:58MILMason L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)35
42
Q2 - 3:58SASSPURS Rebound35
42
Q2 - 3:58SASMISS Bowen 10' Running Jump Shot35
42
Q2 - 4:21SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
42
Q2 - 4:24MILMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
42
Q2 - 4:31MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
42
Q2 - 4:34SASMISS Claxton 5' Driving Layup35
42
Q2 - 4:40SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
42
Q2 - 4:43MILRobinson BLOCK (2 BLK)35
42
Q2 - 4:49MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
42
Q2 - 4:51SASMISS Duncan 11' Jump Shot35
42
Q2 - 5:01SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
42
Q2 - 5:03MILMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot35
42
Q2 - 5:29SASRobinson 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)35
42
Q2 - 5:43MILThomas 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)35
40
Q2 - 5:57MILSUB: Redd FOR Cassell33
40
Q2 - 5:57MILRedd Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)33
40
Q2 - 5:5732
40
Q2 - 5:5732
40
Q2 - 5:57SASRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)32
40
Q2 - 5:57SASRobinson P.FOUL (P1.PN)32
40
Q2 - 6:12MILThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)32
40
Q2 - 6:23SASClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
40
Q2 - 6:23SASClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
39
Q2 - 6:23MILCassell S.FOUL (P3.T3)29
38
Q2 - 6:40SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
38
Q2 - 6:42SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot29
38
Q2 - 6:46MILSUB: Cassell FOR Redd29
38
Q2 - 6:47MILThomas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)29
38
Q2 - 6:47MILThomas OFF.Foul (P2)29
38
Q2 - 7:14SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)29
38
Q2 - 7:14SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)29
37
Q2 - 7:14MILRedd S.FOUL (P1.T2)29
36
Q2 - 7:31MILMason 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)29
36
Q2 - 7:52SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)27
36
Q2 - 8:11MILPayton 4' Layup (7 PTS)27
34
Q2 - 8:11MILPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)27
34
Q2 - 8:11MILSUB: Thomas FOR Kukoc24
34
Q2 - 8:11SASBowen S.FOUL (P2.PN)24
34
Q2 - 8:25SASRobinson 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)24
34
Q2 - 8:29SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
32
Q2 - 8:33MILBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)24
32
Q2 - 8:46SASSUB: Robinson FOR Willis24
32
Q2 - 8:46MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)24
32
Q2 - 8:53SASGinobili 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)24
32
Q2 - 8:56SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
30
Q2 - 8:59MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
30
Q2 - 8:59MILMISS Mason 3' Layup24
30
Q2 - 9:01MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
30
Q2 - 9:05SASDuncan P.FOUL (P1.T4)24
30
Q2 - 9:20SASClaxton 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)24
30
Q2 - 9:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
28
Q2 - 9:35MILMISS Kukoc 20' Jump Shot24
28
Q2 - 9:48SASSUB: Duncan FOR Rose24
28
Q2 - 9:48SASSUB: Bowen FOR Jackson24
28
Q2 - 9:48SASJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)24
28
Q2 - 9:48SASJackson OFF.Foul (P3)24
28
Q2 - 9:59MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
28
Q2 - 9:59MILSUB: Mason FOR Przybilla23
28
Q2 - 9:59MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
28
Q2 - 9:59SASJackson S.FOUL (P2.T3)22
28
Q2 - 10:04MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
28
Q2 - 10:06SASMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot22
28
Q2 - 10:15SASWillis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
28
Q2 - 10:18MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
28
Q2 - 10:29SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.T2)22
28
Q2 - 10:38SASJackson P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
28
Q2 - 10:49SASWillis 3' Dunk (4 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)22
28
Q2 - 10:54SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
26
Q2 - 10:56MILMISS Payton 17' Jump Shot22
26
Q2 - 11:08SASWillis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
26
Q2 - 11:08SASWillis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
25
Q2 - 11:08MILPrzybilla S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
24
Q2 - 11:17SASRose REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
24
Q2 - 11:19MILMISS Mason 4' Jump Hook Shot22
24
Q2 - 11:36SASJackson Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)22
24
Q2 - 11:38SASClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
24
Q2 - 11:41MILMISS Kukoc 4' Jump Shot22
24
Q2 - 12:0022
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
24
Q1 - 0:01.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
24
Q1 - 0:03.0SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Layup22
24
Q1 - 0:08.0MILCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
24
Q1 - 0:08.0MILCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
24
Q1 - 0:08.0SASParker S.FOUL (P2.T3)20
24
Q1 - 0:26.0MILPrzybilla REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24
Q1 - 0:28.0SASMISS Willis 11' Turnaround Jump Shot20
24
Q1 - 0:39.0MILCassell Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)20
24
Q1 - 0:39.0SASWillis T.FOUL (P0.T2)19
24
Q1 - 0:39.0MILCassell 4' Layup (4 PTS)19
24
Q1 - 0:51.0SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
24
Q1 - 0:51.0SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
23
Q1 - 0:51.0MILCassell P.FOUL (P2.PN)17
22
Q1 - 0:52.0MILParker STEAL (1 STL)17
22
Q1 - 1:09SASJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)17
22
Q1 - 1:17SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
19
Q1 - 1:19MILMISS Cassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
19
Q1 - 1:28MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
19
Q1 - 1:29SASMISS Rose 18' Jump Shot17
19
Q1 - 1:33MILSUB: Przybilla FOR Thomas17
19
Q1 - 1:33SASSUB: Willis FOR Duncan17
19
Q1 - 1:33SASSUB: Jackson FOR Bowen17
19
Q1 - 1:55MILMason 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)17
19
Q1 - 2:12SASRose 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)15
19
Q1 - 2:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
17
Q1 - 2:23MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot15
17
Q1 - 2:29SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
17
Q1 - 2:37MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)15
17
Q1 - 2:37MILKukoc Violation:Kicked Ball15
17
Q1 - 2:51MILThomas 2' Layup (4 PTS)15
17
Q1 - 2:59MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
17
Q1 - 3:01SASMISS Rose 3' Layup13
17
Q1 - 3:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17
Q1 - 3:13MILMISS Kukoc 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
17
Q1 - 3:28SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)13
17
Q1 - 3:37MILSUB: Kukoc FOR Mason13
17
Q1 - 3:37MILMason Foul Turnover (P1.T2)13
17
Q1 - 3:37MILMason OFF.Foul (P1)13
17
Q1 - 3:45MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17
Q1 - 3:47SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot13
17
Q1 - 4:07MILSUB: Redd FOR Payton13
17
Q1 - 4:07MILSUB: Mason FOR Johnson13
17
Q1 - 4:07SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Jackson13
17
Q1 - 4:07SASSUB: Rose FOR Robinson13
17
Q1 - 4:07SASSPURS Rebound13
17
Q1 - 4:08MILMISS Mason 21' Jump Shot13
17
Q1 - 4:21MILCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17
Q1 - 4:23SASMISS Parker 2' Layup13
17
Q1 - 4:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17
Q1 - 4:29MILRobinson BLOCK (1 BLK)13
17
Q1 - 4:45SASDuncan 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)13
17
Q1 - 5:04MILCassell 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)13
15
Q1 - 5:08MILPayton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
15
Q1 - 5:09MILMISS Payton 5' Running Finger Roll11
15
Q1 - 5:28SASDuncan 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)11
15
Q1 - 5:39MILMason 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)11
13
Q1 - 6:01SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
13
Q1 - 6:01SASRobinson 3' Dunk (2 PTS)9
13
Q1 - 6:02SASMISS Parker 13' Jump Shot9
11
Q1 - 6:15SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)9
11
Q1 - 6:26MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
11
Q1 - 6:26MILJohnson 2' Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)9
11
Q1 - 6:27MILMISS Mason 19' Jump Shot7
11
Q1 - 6:41MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
11
Q1 - 6:43SASMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot7
11
Q1 - 6:49MILPayton P.FOUL (P2.T4)7
11
Q1 - 7:11MILThomas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)7
11
Q1 - 7:24MILThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11
Q1 - 7:25SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 2 of 25
11
Q1 - 7:25SASSPURS Rebound5
11
Q1 - 7:25SASMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 25
11
Q1 - 7:25MILThomas S.FOUL (P1.T3)5
11
Q1 - 7:38MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)5
11
Q1 - 7:59MILJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11
Q1 - 8:02SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot5
11
Q1 - 8:07SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
11
Q1 - 8:09MILMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot5
11
Q1 - 8:16SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)5
11
Q1 - 8:27MILPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
11
Q1 - 8:27MILPayton 1' Layup (5 PTS)5
11
Q1 - 8:32MILDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)3
11
Q1 - 8:46SASParker 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)3
11
Q1 - 8:53MILPayton P.FOUL (P1.T2)3
9
Q1 - 9:07MILPayton 3' Driving Layup (3 PTS)3
9
Q1 - 9:10SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T2)1
9
Q1 - 9:21SASDuncan 2' Layup (6 PTS)1
9
Q1 - 9:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)1
7
Q1 - 9:42MILMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 21
7
Q1 - 9:42MILPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
7
Q1 - 9:42SASParker S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
7
Q1 - 9:59SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)0
7
Q1 - 10:08SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 10:11SASMISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 10:20MILCassell L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)0
5
Q1 - 10:20SASSPURS Rebound0
5
Q1 - 10:20SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 10:40SASRobinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
5
Q1 - 10:42MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot0
5
Q1 - 11:02SASJackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)0
5
Q1 - 11:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:19MILMISS Cassell 15' Fadeaway Jumper0
2
Q1 - 11:38SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:40SASSPURS Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Robinson 5' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Robinson vs. Johnson: Tip to Bowen0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMILSAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
14
26
54%
SAS
20
30
67%
Midrange
MIL
15
36
42%
SAS
15
31
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
SAS
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
MIL
21
28
75%
SAS
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Cassell1963%9.5 / 15
D. Mason1747%8.5 / 18
T. Thomas1558%7.5 / 13
M. Redd1568%7.5 / 11
G. Payton1240%6.0 / 15
T. Kukoc850%4.0 / 8
E. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
A. Mason220%1.0 / 5
M. Haislip250%1.0 / 2
D. Gadzuric2100%1.0 / 1
J. Przybilla0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan3178%15.5 / 20
M. Rose1882%9.0 / 11
S. Claxton1250%6.0 / 12
D. Robinson1063%5.0 / 8
S. Jackson956%4.5 / 8
B. Bowen758%3.5 / 6
S. Smith633%3.0 / 9
T. Parker433%2.0 / 6
M. Ginobili440%2.0 / 5
K. Willis467%2.0 / 3
D. Ferry250%1.0 / 2
S. Kerr0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
81
+12
-12
93
SAS
78
+17
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.00 50.0%
SAS
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.1
102.7
MIL 101.1
SAS 116.3 +15.2
Pace
92.7
92.6
MIL 96.3 +7.4
SAS 88.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.6
MIL 14.9 −1.2
SAS 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.7%
MIL 47.4%
SAS 53.1% +5.7%
TO %
13.0%
16.5%
MIL 12.7% −1.4%
SAS 14.1%
ORB %
25.7%
28.8%
MIL 25.0%
SAS 33.3% +8.3%
FTrt
28.7
34.8
MIL 36.4 +3.9
SAS 32.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
56.3%
MIL 55.9%
SAS 82.5% +26.6%
STL %
8.1%
8.3%
MIL 5.4%
SAS 8.7% +3.3%
BLK %
6.4%
9.3%
MIL 8.2%
SAS 11.3% +3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
51.4%
MIL 50.0%
SAS 55.7% +5.7%
Rim FG%
57.7%
59.3%
MIL 53.8%
SAS 66.7% +12.9%
Mid FG%
41.4%
38.8%
MIL 41.7%
SAS 48.4% +6.7%
3P %
38.3%
35.4%
MIL 33.3% +7.0%
SAS 26.3%
FT %
77.6%
72.5%
MIL 75.0%
SAS 84.6% +9.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.4%
39.3%
MIL 33.8%
SAS 37.5% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
40.6%
MIL 46.8%
SAS 38.8% −8.0%
3P Att. %
22.9%
20.2%
MIL 19.5%
SAS 23.8% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILSAS
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points94107
Rebounds3344
Assists1933
Steals58
Blocks57
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (1)11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)22 (3)33 (2)
Field Goals34-7740-80
At-the-Rim FG14-2620-30
Midrange FG15-3615-31
2-Point FG29-6235-61
3-Point FG5-155-19
Free Throws21-2822-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'5" 222 · 25
34.9
17
47%
7
1
0
1
3
2
3
4
0-0
-
7-16
44%
1-2
50%
G · 6'3" 185 · 33
33.6
19
63%
2
4
1
0
1
4
0
2
8-9
89%
4-8
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 190 · 35
31.9
12
40%
2
9
1
0
3
2
2
0
4-7
57%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 240 · 26
31.2
15
58%
4
3
1
0
1
4
0
4
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 245 · 35
11.4
2
100%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 24
30.7
15
68%
8
0
0
1
0
1
2
6
8-9
89%
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 255 · 36
26.1
2
20%
0
1
0
0
2
4
0
0
0-1
0%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 235 · 35
18.6
8
50%
3
1
1
1
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
C · 7'1" 245 · 23
12.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 22
5.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
4.0
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 256 · 30
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
50%
33
19
5
5
12
0
11
22
21-28
75%
29-62
47%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.