Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, March 25, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bucks | 23% | 93 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Heat | 16% | 87 | 91 |
 | 8 | Timberwolves | 84% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Lakers | 58% | 101 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, March 24, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Magic | 60% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Raptors | 26% | 96 | 90 |
 | 20 | Knicks | 74% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Mavericks | 82% | 100 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Celtics | 35% | 91 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SuperSonics | 48% | 97 | 82 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, March 23, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 24% | 94 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 41% | 99 | 107 |
| 20 | Warriors | 59% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 75% | 100 | 88 | |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 25% | 91 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bulls | 13% | 87 | 82 |
 | 6 | Pistons | 87% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 63% | 96 | 96 |
| 27 | Heat | 37% | 92 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 24 | Raptors | 45% | 95 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 33% | 95 | 89 |
| 3 | Spurs | 67% | 100 | 98 |
Saturday, March 22, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 21% | 92 | 99 |
| 6 | Nets | 79% | 102 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 23 | Hawks | 51% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 49% | 100 | 98 |
| 26 | Bulls | 51% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 41% | 97 | 85 | |
| 12 | Bucks | 59% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 22% | 92 | 73 |
| 10 | Jazz | 78% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 62% | 90 | 80 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 38% | 87 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 53% | 99 | 113 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 16% | 95 | 95 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 84% | 108 | 102 |
Friday, March 21, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 16% | 96 | 85 |
| 11 | Magic | 84% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 33% | 93 | 114 |
| 15 | 76ers | 67% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Grizzlies | 35% | 96 | 92 |
| 12 | Pacers | 65% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 48% | 95 | 93 |
| 21 | Knicks | 52% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 52% | 92 | 98 |
| 27 | Heat | 48% | 91 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 37% | 97 | 98 |
| 14 | Hornets | 63% | 101 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 41% | 94 | 83 |
| 17 | Suns | 59% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 14% | 84 | 99 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 86% | 98 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 29% | 95 | 96 |
| 4 | Lakers | 71% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 43% | 100 | 117 |
| 20 | Warriors | 57% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 34% | 94 | 101 |
| 3 | Spurs | 66% | 99 | 94 |
Thursday, March 20, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 32% | 100 | 99 |
| 2 | Kings | 68% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 31% | 96 | 112 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 69% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 32% | 89 | 85 |
| 5 | Pistons | 68% | 95 | 113 |
Wednesday, March 19, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 32% | 95 | 86 |
| 23 | Raptors | 68% | 101 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 34% | 92 | 72 |
| 15 | Pacers | 66% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 31% | 96 | 104 |
| 7 | Nets | 69% | 102 | 85 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 19% | 95 | 101 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 81% | 105 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 31% | 94 | 96 |
| 12 | Hornets | 69% | 100 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 37% | 95 | 99 |
| 16 | Suns | 63% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 30% | 92 | 83 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 28% | 88 | 78 |
| 25 | Clippers | 72% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 49% | 101 | 99 | |
| 21 | Warriors | 51% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 18% | 90 | 93 |
| 11 | Magic | 82% | 101 | 109 |
Tuesday, March 18, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 32% | 92 | 94 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 68% | 98 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 21% | 100 | 91 |
| 2 | Kings | 79% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 21% | 85 | 81 |
| 14 | Jazz | 79% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 27% | 93 | 105 |
| 5 | Spurs | 73% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 5% | 92 | 93 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 95% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 48% | 99 | 78 |
| 26 | Bulls | 52% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 28% | 98 | 80 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 72% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 65% | 92 | 103 |
| 27 | Heat | 35% | 87 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Pistons | 53% | 92 | 94 |
| 21 | Wizards | 47% | 91 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 52% | 94 | 87 | |
| 11 | Celtics | 48% | 93 | 74 |
Monday, March 17, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 95 | 95 |
| 19 | Pacers | 59% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 29% | 94 | 91 |
| 18 | Suns | 71% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 67% | 103 | 102 |
| 25 | Clippers | 33% | 98 | 85 |
Sunday, March 16, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 41% | 96 | 110 |
| 25 | Clippers | 59% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SuperSonics | 66% | 93 | 92 | |
| 28 | Nuggets | 34% | 87 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 39% | 95 | 75 |
| 16 | Rockets | 61% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 14% | 89 | 97 |
| 4 | Spurs | 86% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 37% | 101 | 111 |
| 20 | Knicks | 63% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 39% | 98 | 92 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 61% | 101 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 42% | 102 | 129 |
| 2 | Kings | 58% | 104 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 98 | 95 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 61% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 73% | 101 | 95 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 27% | 93 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 33% | 91 | 92 |
| 7 | Nets | 67% | 97 | 87 | |
Saturday, March 15, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 44% | 104 | 98 |
| 13 | Bucks | 56% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 24% | 84 | 82 |
| 20 | Wizards | 76% | 93 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 35% | 97 | 86 | |
| 12 | Magic | 65% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 31% | 89 | 81 |
| 3 | Pistons | 69% | 95 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 25% | 98 | 94 |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 75% | 107 | 88 | |
Friday, March 14, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 63% | 91 | 87 | |
| 27 | Heat | 37% | 87 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 95 | 79 |
| 11 | 76ers | 56% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 45% | 94 | 81 |
| 12 | Pacers | 55% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 44% | 98 | 104 |
| 23 | Hawks | 56% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 26% | 87 | 80 |
| 4 | Pistons | 74% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 41% | 101 | 106 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 59% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 26% | 94 | 91 |
| 18 | Rockets | 74% | 102 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 16% | 89 | 96 |
| 3 | Spurs | 84% | 101 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 18% | 93 | 84 |
| 2 | Kings | 82% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 57% | 107 | 116 |
| 17 | Warriors | 43% | 105 | 114 |
Thursday, March 13, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 54% | 101 | 100 |
| 7 | SuperSonics | 46% | 99 | 107 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 64% | 103 | 84 |
| 22 | Suns | 36% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 24% | 89 | 75 |
| 6 | Nets | 76% | 98 | 90 | |
Wednesday, March 12, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 32% | 93 | 93 |
| 10 | 76ers | 68% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 49% | 99 | 111 |
| 13 | Magic | 51% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 42% | 100 | 92 |
| 23 | Hawks | 58% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 31% | 94 | 88 |
| 3 | Pistons | 69% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 36% | 95 | 111 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 64% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 28% | 97 | 95 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 72% | 105 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 27% | 93 | 114 |
| 19 | Rockets | 73% | 100 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 22% | 91 | 103 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 78% | 101 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 39% | 93 | 65 | |
| 18 | Celtics | 61% | 96 | 93 |