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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
April 6, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs42%9089
8Pistons58%9383
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.9
43.6
28.7
25
49%
21
0
0
1
3
2
7
14
5-8
63%
10-21
6-12
48%
50%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 28.4
36.8
26.5
14
48%
11
2
1
1
1
2
3
8
6-8
75%
4-11
4-9
36%
46%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 31.8
34.3
26.0
3
150%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-1
100%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 25.0
34.1
27.3
8
32%
1
1
4
1
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-11
3-6
36%
49%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 20.9
31.0
27.7
19
59%
0
6
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
8-13
4-9
62%
48%
1-3
33%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 24.9
17.0
18.7
16
80%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
8-10
2-5
80%
41%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.7
16.5
24.0
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 40.6
15.1
14.9
2
20%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
0-0
-
Steven Smith
G-F · 6'8" 221 · 34.0
11.1
12.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Danny Ferry
F · 6'10" 235 · 36.5
0.6
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-0
-
David Robinson
C · 7'1" 250 · 37.7
14.0
0
2-3
47%
Steve Kerr
G · 6'1" 180 · 37.5
6.9
0
0-1
45%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 25.1
38.9
29.7
13
32%
8
5
0
1
1
3
2
6
7-8
88%
3-15
6-13
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Clifford Robinson
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.3
36.0
32.1
1
7%
4
4
0
1
3
3
3
1
1-2
50%
0-4
3-8
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 34.6
20.9
17.7
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 28.6
17.8
39.9
4
52%
10
1
1
2
2
0
1
9
2-2
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Hubert Davis
G · 6'5" 183 · 32.9
12.1
10.1
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.9
35.0
12.1
12
56%
8
4
0
0
3
0
3
5
4-4
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
48%
0-2
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.3
28.6
25.8
15
52%
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
3-3
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
47%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 23.1
24.0
7.5
10
63%
0
3
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
1-1
83%
45%
0-2
0%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.7
21.2
20.6
15
75%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
50%
5-6
83%
Danny Manning
F-C · 6'10" 234 · 36.9
5.5
3.6
5
51%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 26.5
35.7
1
4-8
44%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 28.6
5.0
0
0-1
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.