Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, April 6, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Celtics | 64% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 67% | 98 | 96 | |
 | 25 | Raptors | 33% | 92 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Pistons | 58% | 93 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Heat | 16% | 85 | 69 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Magic | 29% | 96 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Timberwolves | 31% | 97 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | SuperSonics | 60% | 97 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Lakers | 74% | 104 | 115 |
Saturday, April 5, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hornets | 67% | 97 | 76 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bucks | 51% | 103 | 115 |
 | 26 | Bulls | 49% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 21% | 100 | 90 |
 | 1 | Mavericks | 79% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 48% | 99 | 94 |
| 18 | Suns | 52% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Knicks | 41% | 98 | 98 |
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Friday, April 4, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 37% | 94 | 88 |
| 12 | 76ers | 63% | 98 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 69% | 98 | 124 |
| 25 | Raptors | 31% | 92 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 14% | 82 | 83 |
| 6 | Nets | 86% | 96 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 63% | 99 | 93 |
| 17 | Celtics | 37% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 38% | 91 | 98 |
| 8 | Pistons | 62% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 48% | 102 | 102 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 52% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 20% | 97 | 93 |
| 13 | Bucks | 80% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 29% | 93 | 94 |
| 7 | Jazz | 71% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 101 | 122 |
| 16 | Warriors | 57% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 23% | 92 | 93 |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 77% | 101 | 101 | |
Thursday, April 3, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 42% | 94 | 89 |
| 24 | Hawks | 58% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 29% | 99 | 100 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 71% | 106 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 44% | 95 | 93 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 97 | 88 |
Wednesday, April 2, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Heat | 25% | 85 | 62 |
| 17 | Celtics | 75% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 17% | 93 | 101 |
| 12 | 76ers | 83% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 67% | 101 | 103 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 33% | 96 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 16% | 87 | 89 |
| 5 | Pistons | 84% | 99 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 58% | 99 | 105 |
| 22 | Wizards | 42% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 40% | 98 | 99 |
| 13 | Bucks | 60% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SuperSonics | 39% | 97 | 86 | |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 61% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 52% | 99 | 105 |
| 16 | Grizzlies | 48% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 56% | 93 | 97 | |
| 14 | Hornets | 44% | 92 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 64% | 95 | 83 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 36% | 91 | 75 |
Tuesday, April 1, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 67% | 97 | 92 |
| 25 | Raptors | 33% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 49% | 99 | 103 |
| 8 | Pacers | 51% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SuperSonics | 68% | 101 | 101 | |
| 26 | Bulls | 32% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 24% | 94 | 86 | |
| 1 | Mavericks | 76% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 21% | 93 | 105 |
| 3 | Spurs | 79% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 24% | 87 | 65 |
| 19 | Suns | 76% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 32% | 100 | 86 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 60% | 98 | 94 |
| 24 | Clippers | 40% | 95 | 89 |
Monday, March 31, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 40% | 99 | 118 |
| 12 | Magic | 60% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 27% | 90 | 86 |
| 5 | Nets | 73% | 98 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 55% | 95 | 91 |
| 27 | Heat | 45% | 93 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 28% | 99 | 94 |
| 7 | Lakers | 72% | 106 | 110 |
Sunday, March 30, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 52% | 103 | 119 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 48% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 35% | 95 | 81 |
| 11 | Pacers | 65% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 27% | 91 | 87 |
| 15 | Bucks | 73% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 51% | 101 | 86 |
| 24 | Raptors | 49% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 37% | 93 | 88 |
| 4 | Pistons | 63% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 47% | 92 | 92 |
| 13 | Hornets | 53% | 93 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 67% | 92 | 72 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 33% | 86 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 51% | 102 | 100 |
| 25 | Clippers | 49% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 41% | 97 | 98 |
| 7 | SuperSonics | 59% | 100 | 119 | |
Saturday, March 29, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 48% | 96 | 110 |
| 23 | Hawks | 52% | 97 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 24% | 96 | 97 |
| 5 | Nets | 76% | 105 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 62% | 98 | 110 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 38% | 94 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 80% | 105 | 107 |
| 26 | Bulls | 20% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 23% | 86 | 89 |
| 20 | Rockets | 77% | 95 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 29% | 90 | 81 |
| 3 | Spurs | 71% | 97 | 101 |
Friday, March 28, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 34% | 100 | 102 |
| 11 | 76ers | 66% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 57% | 97 | 101 | |
| 24 | Raptors | 43% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 23% | 93 | 89 |
| 10 | Pacers | 77% | 103 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 21% | 91 | 95 |
| 21 | Celtics | 79% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 57% | 98 | 122 | |
| 20 | Knicks | 43% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 65% | 96 | 84 |
| 27 | Heat | 35% | 91 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 26% | 90 | 94 |
| 4 | Pistons | 74% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 30% | 96 | 90 |
| 8 | Jazz | 70% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 28% | 96 | 71 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 72% | 103 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 29% | 95 | 94 |
| 5 | Lakers | 71% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 57% | 101 | 95 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 99 | 112 |
Thursday, March 27, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 47% | 102 | 107 |
| 12 | Magic | 53% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 21% | 89 | 85 |
| 3 | Spurs | 79% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 9% | 93 | 83 |
| 2 | Kings | 91% | 109 | 93 |
Wednesday, March 26, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 33% | 98 | 107 |
| 19 | Celtics | 67% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 24% | 94 | 83 |
| 24 | Raptors | 76% | 103 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 40% | 94 | 91 |
| 11 | Pacers | 60% | 97 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 27% | 93 | 95 |
| 6 | Nets | 73% | 101 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 17% | 88 | 99 |
| 5 | Pistons | 83% | 100 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 39% | 99 | 101 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 61% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 34% | 90 | 74 |
| 26 | Bulls | 66% | 95 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 41% | 97 | 96 |
| 17 | Rockets | 59% | 100 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 39% | 97 | 97 |
| 12 | Hornets | 61% | 100 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 56% | 96 | 103 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 44% | 94 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 93 | 85 |
| 10 | Jazz | 66% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 24% | 91 | 80 |
| 4 | SuperSonics | 76% | 100 | 74 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 75% | 105 | 114 |
| 25 | Clippers | 25% | 97 | 107 |
Tuesday, March 25, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 66% | 106 | 103 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 34% | 101 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 58% | 101 | 108 |
| 23 | Hawks | 42% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 16% | 87 | 91 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 84% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 23% | 93 | 94 |
| 3 | Spurs | 77% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 30% | 92 | 95 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 98 | 91 |
Monday, March 24, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Grizzlies | 40% | 102 | 110 |
| 15 | Magic | 60% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 26% | 96 | 90 |
| 20 | Knicks | 74% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 82% | 100 | 108 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 18% | 89 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtics | 35% | 91 | 91 |
| 10 | Jazz | 65% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SuperSonics | 48% | 96 | 82 | |
| 18 | Suns | 52% | 97 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 49% | 97 | 108 |
| 25 | Clippers | 51% | 98 | 90 |