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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 2, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards21%9672
6Mavericks79%10697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.3
31.7
33.6
8
27%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-12
5-10
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.9
30.2
31.1
12
40%
7
0
0
1
0
4
1
6
1-2
50%
4-10
5-11
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 24.0
29.1
24.8
5
24%
16
0
1
0
4
1
8
8
3-6
50%
1-8
3-6
13%
48%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 21.7
21.8
21.0
10
60%
7
2
1
1
2
1
3
4
2-3
67%
4-7
3-6
57%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Whitney
G · 6'0" 175 · 32.2
16.8
17.5
6
47%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
39%
1-4
25%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 23.8
25.4
10.7
8
41%
1
2
3
0
1
3
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
39%
1-5
20%
Christian Laettner
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 34.3
22.8
21.7
5
51%
1
3
1
1
3
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 22.0
22.1
23.2
4
46%
4
1
2
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
1-2
2-6
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.1
21.6
18.0
6
22%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
0-4
2-6
0%
41%
1-8
13%
Mitchell Butler
G · 6'5" 210 · 33.0
13.6
3.1
8
100%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 28.1
4.9
9.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 25.7
17.6
0
2-4
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.7
39.2
36.3
16
47%
12
6
2
1
0
1
1
11
1-2
50%
6-14
4-9
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
30.0
35.1
8
31%
10
7
0
1
1
5
5
5
2-2
100%
3-9
5-12
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.8
28.1
30.6
14
50%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.8
21.6
15.6
9
37%
4
0
2
1
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
3-9
1-3
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.7
13.5
15.1
2
20%
2
0
2
1
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
51%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
32.4
31.2
21
63%
7
1
2
1
0
1
4
3
5-6
83%
8-13
6-12
62%
50%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
24.0
17.4
11
79%
11
0
0
1
1
1
2
9
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
1-1
100%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
21.4
19.9
6
25%
10
1
1
1
0
1
5
5
2-2
100%
2-10
3-7
20%
45%
0-1
0%
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.4
19.9
16.2
4
67%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
41%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
10.0
5.5
6
75%
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
13.0
0
2-4
50%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.7
6.5
0
1-2
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.