Final Win Prob. pScore
1332%88
78
568%93
76
ORTG#PossPace
PHI logo 76ers
88.68886.1
DET logo Pistons
91.68384.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Pistons76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

Pistons76ersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPHIDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET78
100%
76
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound78
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETMISS Okur 21' Jump Shot78
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETSUB: Atkins FOR Wallace78
76
Q4 - 0:00.0PHISUB: Dalembert FOR Buckner78
76
Q4 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)78
76
Q4 - 0:00.0PHIColeman Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)78
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETSUB: Okur FOR Fowlkes77
76
Q4 - 0:00.0PHI76ers Rebound77
76
Q4 - 0:00.0PHIMISS Coleman Free Throw 1 of 277
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETWallace P.FOUL (P3.PN)77
76
Q4 - 0:01.0PHISUB: Buckner FOR Thomas77
76
Q4 - 0:01.0PHISUB: Coleman FOR Dalembert77
76
Q4 - 0:01.0PHI76ers Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)77
76
Q4 - 0:01.0DETSUB: Fowlkes FOR Okur77
76
Q4 - 0:01.0DETBillups P.FOUL (P3.T4)77
76
Q4 - 0:01.0PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)77
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 0:01.0DETMISS Prince 10' Jump Shot77
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 0:10.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)77
76
Q4 - 0:10.0DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)77
58.2%
76
41.8%
Q4 - 0:11.0PHIMISS Snow 21' Jump Shot77
68.3%
76
31.7%
Q4 - 0:34.0DETHamilton Layup (15 PTS)77
77.2%
76
22.8%
Q4 - 0:36.0PHIHamilton STEAL (2 STL)77
88.2%
74
11.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0DETOkur 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)77
91.1%
74
8.9%
Q4 - 1:04PHISnow 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)77
93.2%
72
6.8%
Q4 - 1:18DETPrince Violation:Kicked Ball75
72
Q4 - 1:28PHISUB: Dalembert FOR McCaskill75
72
Q4 - 1:28PHI76ers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)75
72
Q4 - 1:28DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
86.0%
72
14.0%
Q4 - 1:28PHISUB: McCaskill FOR Dalembert75
71
Q4 - 1:28DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
87.4%
71
12.6%
Q4 - 1:28PHISalmons P.FOUL (P4.PN)75
70
Q4 - 1:28DETPrince REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)75
90.8%
70
9.2%
Q4 - 1:29DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
93.8%
70
6.2%
Q4 - 1:37PHIMcKie 13' Jump Shot (21 PTS)75
89.4%
70
10.6%
Q4 - 2:03DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)73
83.6%
70
16.4%
Q4 - 2:03PHISUB: Thomas FOR Coleman73
69
Q4 - 2:03DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
84.4%
69
15.6%
Q4 - 2:03PHIMcKie P.FOUL (P3.PN)73
68
Q4 - 2:14PHIMcKie 17' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)73
88.0%
68
12.0%
Q4 - 2:36PHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
84.5%
68
15.5%
Q4 - 2:37DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot71
81.6%
68
18.4%
Q4 - 2:42DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
73.0%
68
27.0%
Q4 - 2:45PHIMISS Coleman 17' Jump Shot71
77.2%
68
22.8%
Q4 - 3:11DETWallace 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Okur 3 AST)71
81.3%
68
18.7%
Q4 - 3:17DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
85.8%
66
14.2%
Q4 - 3:19PHIWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)71
87.9%
66
12.1%
Q4 - 3:40DETOkur 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
86.2%
66
13.8%
Q4 - 3:49DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)71
64
Q4 - 3:49DETSUB: Prince FOR Sura71
64
Q4 - 3:49DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)71
64
Q4 - 3:57PHISalmons Dunk (12 PTS) (McKie 5 AST)71
90.2%
64
9.8%
Q4 - 4:01DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)69
86.7%
64
13.3%
Q4 - 4:19PHIDalembert Dunk (6 PTS) (Coleman 3 AST)69
81.3%
64
18.7%
Q4 - 4:43DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Okur 2 AST)67
75.5%
64
24.5%
Q4 - 4:52DETSura REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
86.7%
61
13.3%
Q4 - 4:54PHIMISS Coleman 16' Jump Shot67
88.2%
61
11.8%
Q4 - 5:14DETSura Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)67
87.0%
61
13.0%
Q4 - 5:14DETSura Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)67
87.9%
60
12.1%
Q4 - 5:14PHISUB: Snow FOR Buckner67
59
Q4 - 5:14PHIMcKie P.FOUL (P2.PN)67
59
Q4 - 5:26PHISalmons Driving Layup (10 PTS)67
90.3%
59
9.7%
Q4 - 5:3565
59
Q4 - 5:35PHI76ers Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)65
59
Q4 - 5:44DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Sura 2 AST)65
87.2%
59
12.8%
Q4 - 5:50DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
93.0%
56
7.0%
Q4 - 5:52PHIMISS Coleman 22' Jump Shot65
93.6%
56
6.4%
Q4 - 6:14PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
92.7%
56
7.3%
Q4 - 6:17DETMISS Okur 5' Hook Shot65
92.0%
56
8.0%
Q4 - 6:37PHIColeman Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
90.4%
56
9.6%
Q4 - 6:37PHISUB: Buckner FOR Korver64
56
Q4 - 6:37PHIColeman Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)64
89.8%
56
10.2%
Q4 - 6:37DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.T3)63
56
Q4 - 6:57DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)63
87.6%
56
12.4%
Q4 - 6:57DETSUB: Okur FOR Williamson63
55
Q4 - 6:57DETSUB: Sura FOR Prince63
55
Q4 - 6:57PHISUB: Korver FOR Snow63
55
Q4 - 6:57DETPISTONS Rebound63
55
Q4 - 6:57DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 263
89.0%
55
11.0%
Q4 - 6:57PHIColeman S.FOUL (P1.T4)63
55
Q4 - 7:13PHIDalembert Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Snow 7 AST)63
84.6%
55
15.4%
Q4 - 7:17PHISUB: Dalembert FOR Thomas61
55
Q4 - 7:17PHISUB: Salmons FOR Buckner61
55
Q4 - 7:17DETWilliamson L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)61
55
Q4 - 7:17PHI76ers Rebound61
80.9%
55
19.1%
Q4 - 7:18DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
79.5%
55
20.5%
Q4 - 7:46PHIColeman 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McKie 4 AST)61
76.0%
55
24.0%
Q4 - 8:18DETWallace Alley Oop Dunk (3 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)59
68.1%
55
31.9%
Q4 - 8:30PHIBuckner L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)59
53
Q4 - 8:32DETPISTONS Rebound59
73.7%
53
26.3%
Q4 - 8:34DETMISS Wallace Tip Shot59
77.0%
53
23.0%
Q4 - 8:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
73.8%
53
26.2%
Q4 - 8:35DETMISS Williamson 5' Hook Shot59
77.0%
53
23.0%
Q4 - 8:50PHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)59
73.8%
53
26.2%
Q4 - 8:50DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Atkins58
53
Q4 - 8:50PHISUB: Coleman FOR McCaskill58
53
Q4 - 8:50PHI76ers Rebound58
53
Q4 - 8:50PHIMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 258
72.5%
53
27.5%
Q4 - 8:50DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)58
53
Q4 - 9:12DETBillups Driving Layup (23 PTS)58
71.2%
53
28.8%
Q4 - 9:29PHISnow 10' Jump Shot (15 PTS)58
76.2%
51
23.8%
Q4 - 9:38PHISUB: McKie FOR Salmons56
51
Q4 - 9:38DETSUB: Wallace FOR Okur56
51
Q4 - 9:38PHI76ers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)56
51
Q4 - 9:46DETBillups Layup (21 PTS) (Atkins 1 AST)56
71.3%
51
28.7%
Q4 - 9:49DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
76.2%
49
23.8%
Q4 - 9:51PHIOkur BLOCK (2 BLK)56
77.5%
49
22.5%
Q4 - 10:12DETPrince 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)56
77.9%
49
22.1%
Q4 - 10:33PHIThomas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)56
81.7%
47
18.3%
Q4 - 10:40PHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)56
84.8%
47
15.2%
Q4 - 10:42DETMISS Okur Layup56
83.9%
47
16.1%
Q4 - 10:58PHISnow 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Salmons 3 AST)56
81.8%
47
18.2%
Q4 - 11:16PHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
75.8%
47
24.2%
Q4 - 11:18DETMISS Prince 16' Jump Shot54
74.7%
47
25.3%
Q4 - 11:27PHIThomas P.FOUL (P1.T2)54
47
Q4 - 11:41PHISalmons P.FOUL (P3.T1)54
47
Q4 - 11:41DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
72.0%
47
28.0%
Q4 - 11:42PHIMISS Salmons Layup54
73.3%
47
26.7%
Q4 - 12:0054
47
Q3 - 0:00.0PHI54
76.0%
47
24.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
76.0%
47
24.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Billups Layup54
72.8%
47
27.2%
Q3 - 0:08.0PHISUB: Korver FOR Dalembert54
47
Q3 - 0:08.0PHIMcCaskill P.FOUL (P3.T4)54
47
Q3 - 0:23.0PHISnow Driving Layup (11 PTS)54
70.4%
47
29.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)52
65.5%
47
34.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
61.3%
47
38.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0PHIMISS Snow Free Throw 2 of 252
61.9%
47
38.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETSUB: Billups FOR Hamilton52
47
Q3 - 0:39.0PHISUB: Salmons FOR Korver52
47
Q3 - 0:39.0PHISnow Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
65.3%
47
34.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETHamilton P.FOUL (P4.PN)51
47
Q3 - 0:43.0PHIMcCaskill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
60.7%
47
39.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETMISS Williamson Layup51
59.4%
47
40.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0DETPISTONS Rebound51
56.4%
47
43.6%
Q3 - 0:59.0PHIMISS Korver 17' Jump Shot51
57.7%
47
42.3%
Q3 - 1:04PHISUB: Snow FOR Salmons51
47
Q3 - 1:16DETOkur 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)51
59.5%
47
40.5%
Q3 - 1:32PHIMcCaskill Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)51
64.5%
45
35.5%
Q3 - 1:32PHISUB: Dalembert FOR Thomas50
45
Q3 - 1:32DETSUB: Williamson FOR Wallace50
45
Q3 - 1:32PHI76ers Rebound50
45
Q3 - 1:32PHIMISS McCaskill Free Throw 1 of 250
63.0%
45
37.0%
Q3 - 1:32DETAtkins P.FOUL (P2.PN)50
45
Q3 - 1:47PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)50
64.2%
45
35.8%
Q3 - 1:49PHIMISS Salmons 18' Jump Shot50
61.3%
45
38.7%
Q3 - 1:53PHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
64.2%
45
35.8%
Q3 - 1:55DETMISS Hamilton 16' Jump Shot50
62.9%
45
37.1%
Q3 - 2:18PHISalmons 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
58.0%
45
42.0%
Q3 - 2:37DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)48
53.4%
45
46.6%
Q3 - 2:37DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)48
54.0%
44
46.0%
Q3 - 2:37PHIMcCaskill S.FOUL (P2.T3)48
43
Q3 - 2:48DETAtkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
58.1%
43
41.9%
Q3 - 2:50PHIMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot48
59.5%
43
40.5%
Q3 - 3:02DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Billups48
43
Q3 - 3:02PHI76ers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)48
43
Q3 - 3:09DETAtkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Okur 1 AST)48
61.0%
43
39.0%
Q3 - 3:20DETSUB: Atkins FOR Hamilton48
40
Q3 - 3:20PHISUB: Korver FOR Coleman48
40
Q3 - 3:20PHISUB: Salmons FOR McKie48
40
Q3 - 3:20PHISUB: Buckner FOR Snow48
40
Q3 - 3:20PHISnow P.FOUL (P2.T2)48
40
Q3 - 3:28PHIMcKie Driving Layup (17 PTS)48
69.0%
40
31.0%
Q3 - 3:35PHIMcCaskill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
65.3%
40
34.7%
Q3 - 3:37DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
63.9%
40
36.1%
Q3 - 3:56PHISnow 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)46
60.8%
40
39.2%
Q3 - 4:23DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)44
56.0%
40
44.0%
Q3 - 4:38PHIColeman 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McKie 3 AST)44
59.6%
38
40.4%
Q3 - 4:58DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)42
56.0%
38
44.0%
Q3 - 5:12PHIMcKie 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Snow 6 AST)42
62.0%
35
38.0%
Q3 - 5:21PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
54.4%
35
45.6%
Q3 - 5:23DETMISS Wallace Dunk39
53.0%
35
47.0%
Q3 - 5:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
49.7%
35
50.3%
Q3 - 5:26DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot39
53.0%
35
47.0%
Q3 - 5:31DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
49.7%
35
50.3%
Q3 - 5:33PHIMISS McKie Layup39
51.2%
35
48.8%
Q3 - 5:36PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)39
54.5%
35
45.5%
Q3 - 5:39DETMISS Hamilton 8' Running Jump Shot39
53.0%
35
47.0%
Q3 - 5:52PHISUB: McCaskill FOR Dalembert39
35
Q3 - 5:52PHIDalembert P.FOUL (P3.T1)39
35
Q3 - 6:11PHIMcKie Driving Layup (12 PTS)39
48.8%
35
51.2%
Q3 - 6:16PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)37
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q3 - 6:18PHIMISS Snow 13' Jump Shot37
42.1%
35
57.9%
Q3 - 6:32DETBillups P.FOUL (P2.T4)37
35
Q3 - 6:40PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
45.1%
35
54.9%
Q3 - 6:42DETMISS Wallace 14' Jump Shot37
43.8%
35
56.2%
Q3 - 7:01PHIHamilton STEAL (1 STL)37
40.0%
35
60.0%
Q3 - 7:10DETHamilton P.FOUL (P3.T3)37
35
Q3 - 7:12DETOkur Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)37
44.0%
35
56.0%
Q3 - 7:29DETPISTONS Rebound37
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q3 - 7:30DETMISS Hamilton Layup37
42.8%
35
57.2%
Q3 - 7:34DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)37
35
Q3 - 7:38DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q3 - 7:39PHIWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)37
41.3%
35
58.7%
Q3 - 7:52DETPrince Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)37
44.1%
35
55.9%
Q3 - 7:58DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
40.1%
35
59.9%
Q3 - 8:00PHIMISS Thomas 5' Jump Shot37
41.3%
35
58.7%
Q3 - 8:07DETSUB: Okur FOR Campbell37
35
Q3 - 8:07PHI76ers Rebound37
43.5%
35
56.5%
Q3 - 8:08PHIPrince BLOCK (4 BLK)37
40.8%
35
59.2%
Q3 - 8:12PHISnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
43.5%
35
56.5%
Q3 - 8:13DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot37
42.3%
35
57.7%
Q3 - 8:25PHI76ers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)37
39.6%
35
60.4%
Q3 - 8:49PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
43.5%
35
56.5%
Q3 - 8:51DETMISS Campbell 17' Jump Shot37
42.3%
35
57.7%
Q3 - 9:14PHIDalembert Layup (2 PTS) (Snow 5 AST)37
39.3%
35
60.7%
Q3 - 9:24PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)35
35.9%
35
64.1%
Q3 - 9:27DETMISS Billups 19' Jump Shot35
34.9%
35
65.1%
Q3 - 9:32DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
32.5%
35
67.5%
Q3 - 9:34PHIMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot35
33.6%
35
66.4%
Q3 - 9:56DETBillups Driving Layup (16 PTS)35
36.0%
35
64.0%
Q3 - 9:59PHIBillups STEAL (1 STL)35
39.3%
33
60.7%
Q3 - 10:08PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)35
42.3%
33
57.7%
Q3 - 10:10DETMISS Prince 12' Jump Shot35
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q3 - 10:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
38.8%
33
61.2%
Q3 - 10:25PHIMISS Thomas 8' Hook Shot35
39.8%
33
60.2%
Q3 - 10:44DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)35
42.3%
33
57.7%
Q3 - 10:53PHIMcKie Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)35
38.8%
33
61.2%
Q3 - 10:53DETPrince S.FOUL (P1.T2)34
33
Q3 - 10:53PHIMcKie Layup (9 PTS) (Snow 4 AST)34
35.5%
33
64.5%
Q3 - 10:56PHISnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
32.3%
33
67.7%
Q3 - 10:58DETMISS Wallace Layup32
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q3 - 11:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
29.0%
33
71.0%
Q3 - 11:13PHIMISS Dalembert Layup32
30.0%
33
70.0%
Q3 - 11:15PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
32.2%
33
67.8%
Q3 - 11:16PHIMISS Thomas Layup32
30.0%
33
70.0%
Q3 - 11:30DETCampbell P.FOUL (P1.T1)32
33
Q3 - 11:37DETBillups 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)32
32.2%
33
67.8%
Q3 - 12:0032
31
Q2 - 0:00.0PHI32
35.1%
31
64.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHI76ers Rebound32
38.5%
31
61.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0PHIMISS Snow 21' Jump Shot32
36.1%
31
63.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0PHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
37.7%
31
62.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETMISS Billups Layup32
37.0%
31
63.0%
Q2 - 0:22.0PHISalmons 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
35.4%
31
64.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
31.7%
31
68.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETPISTONS Rebound30
30
Q2 - 0:46.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 230
33.0%
30
67.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0PHISalmons S.FOUL (P2.PN)30
30
Q2 - 0:46.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
32.3%
30
67.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0DETMISS Williamson Layup30
33.9%
30
66.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0DETWilliamson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
32.3%
30
67.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0DETMISS Williamson 16' Jump Shot30
33.9%
30
66.1%
Q2 - 1:05PHIWallace STEAL (1 STL)30
32.2%
30
67.8%
Q2 - 1:24DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)30
34.4%
30
65.6%
Q2 - 1:24PHISUB: Thomas FOR Dalembert30
29
Q2 - 1:24PHISUB: Snow FOR Buckner30
29
Q2 - 1:24DETSUB: Atkins FOR Hamilton30
29
Q2 - 1:24DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)30
34.7%
29
65.3%
Q2 - 1:24PHISalmons S.FOUL (P1.PN)30
28
Q2 - 1:28DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
38.2%
28
61.8%
Q2 - 1:29PHIMISS McKie Layup30
38.9%
28
61.1%
Q2 - 1:40PHIBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
40.5%
28
59.5%
Q2 - 1:42DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot30
39.8%
28
60.2%
Q2 - 1:59PHIMcKie Layup (7 PTS) (Salmons 2 AST)30
38.3%
28
61.7%
Q2 - 2:02PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
34.3%
28
65.7%
Q2 - 2:04DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot28
33.4%
28
66.6%
Q2 - 2:25PHISalmons Driving Layup (4 PTS)28
31.5%
28
68.5%
Q2 - 2:43PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
28.8%
28
71.2%
Q2 - 2:45DETMISS Williamson 18' Jump Shot26
28.0%
28
72.0%
Q2 - 2:51PHISUB: Buckner FOR Snow26
28
Q2 - 2:51DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)26
28
Q2 - 3:13PHIColeman Dunk (4 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)26
25.9%
28
74.1%
Q2 - 3:33DETWilliamson Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)24
24.0%
28
76.0%
Q2 - 3:37DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
25.9%
26
74.1%
Q2 - 3:38PHIMISS Snow Layup24
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q2 - 4:03DETPrince Dunk (4 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)24
28.5%
26
71.5%
Q2 - 4:26PHISnow 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Coleman 2 AST)24
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q2 - 4:43PHISUB: Salmons FOR Korver22
24
Q2 - 4:43DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P3.T9)22
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q2 - 4:43DETHamilton OFF.Foul (P2)22
24
Q2 - 4:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
25.9%
24
74.1%
Q2 - 4:57DETMISS Billups Reverse Layup22
27.7%
24
72.3%
Q2 - 5:11PHISUB: Dalembert FOR Thomas22
24
Q2 - 5:11PHI76ers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)22
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q2 - 5:11PHI76ers Rebound22
28.4%
24
71.6%
Q2 - 5:12PHIPrince BLOCK (3 BLK)22
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q2 - 5:35PHIKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
28.4%
24
71.6%
Q2 - 5:37DETMISS Prince 5' Hook Shot22
27.7%
24
72.3%
Q2 - 5:56PHIThomas Tip Shot (7 PTS)22
26.1%
24
73.9%
Q2 - 5:58PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)20
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q2 - 6:00PHIMISS Coleman Layup20
22.4%
24
77.6%
Q2 - 6:03PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)20
24.2%
24
75.8%
Q2 - 6:05PHIMISS McKie 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
22.5%
24
77.5%
Q2 - 6:29PHISnow S.FOUL (P1.T4)20
24
Q2 - 6:29DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)20
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q2 - 6:29DETPISTONS Rebound20
23
Q2 - 6:29DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 220
24.4%
23
75.6%
Q2 - 6:29PHISUB: Coleman FOR McCaskill20
23
Q2 - 6:29PHISUB: McKie FOR Buckner20
23
Q2 - 6:29DETSUB: Wallace FOR Okur20
23
Q2 - 6:34PHIPrince STEAL (1 STL)20
23.8%
23
76.2%
Q2 - 6:40DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)20
26.3%
23
73.7%
Q2 - 6:56PHIWilliamson STEAL (1 STL)20
23.8%
23
76.2%
Q2 - 7:04PHI76ers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)20
23
Q2 - 7:16DETWilliamson L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)20
23
Q2 - 7:16PHI76ers Rebound20
26.0%
23
74.0%
Q2 - 7:17DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
25.3%
23
74.7%
Q2 - 7:27PHIKorver P.FOUL (P1.T3)20
23
Q2 - 7:39DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Atkins20
23
Q2 - 7:39DETPISTONS Rebound20
23.8%
23
76.2%
Q2 - 7:40PHIMISS Buckner 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
24.5%
23
75.5%
Q2 - 8:03DETBillups Driving Layup (10 PTS)20
26.0%
23
74.0%
Q2 - 8:10DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
28.2%
21
71.8%
Q2 - 8:13PHIMISS Snow 16' Jump Shot20
28.8%
21
71.2%
Q2 - 8:37PHISnow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
30.4%
21
69.6%
Q2 - 8:39DETMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot20
29.7%
21
70.3%
Q2 - 8:4520
21
Q2 - 8:45PHIMcCaskill P.FOUL (P1.T2)20
21
Q2 - 9:01PHIBuckner Layup (2 PTS) (Snow 3 AST)20
27.9%
21
72.1%
Q2 - 9:16DETPrince 10' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)18
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q2 - 9:22PHISUB: McCaskill FOR Dalembert18
19
Q2 - 9:22DETSUB: Prince FOR Fowlkes18
19
Q2 - 9:22DETSUB: Billups FOR Sura18
19
Q2 - 9:22PHISUB: Korver FOR Salmons18
19
Q2 - 9:22PHISUB: Snow FOR McKie18
19
Q2 - 9:22PHIDalembert P.FOUL (P2.T1)18
19
Q2 - 9:35PHIMcKie Layup (5 PTS)18
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q2 - 9:41PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
25.8%
19
74.2%
Q2 - 9:43DETMISS Atkins 3PT Jump Shot16
25.2%
19
74.8%
Q2 - 10:05PHIAtkins STEAL (1 STL)16
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q2 - 10:08PHIMcKie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q2 - 10:10DETMISS Williamson 12' Jump Shot16
25.3%
19
74.7%
Q2 - 10:28DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q2 - 10:29PHIMISS Salmons 19' Jump Shot16
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q2 - 10:50PHISUB: Dalembert FOR McCaskill16
19
Q2 - 10:50DETSUB: Williamson FOR Wallace16
19
Q2 - 10:50DETOkur Foul Turnover (P1.T7)16
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q2 - 10:50DETOkur OFF.Foul (P2)16
19
Q2 - 10:58DETFowlkes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
23.9%
19
76.1%
Q2 - 11:00PHIOkur BLOCK (1 BLK)16
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q2 - 11:05PHIBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
26.1%
19
73.9%
Q2 - 11:07DETMISS Okur 16' Jump Shot16
25.5%
19
74.5%
Q2 - 11:16DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q2 - 11:19PHISura BLOCK (1 BLK)16
24.7%
19
75.3%
Q2 - 11:29DETAtkins P.FOUL (P1.T1)16
19
Q2 - 11:36DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)16
26.1%
19
73.9%
Q2 - 11:41DETPISTONS Rebound16
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q2 - 11:42DETMISS Wallace Layup16
25.5%
19
74.5%
Q2 - 12:0016
19
Q1 - 0:00.0PHI16
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound16
24.1%
19
75.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Atkins 60' 3PT Jump Shot16
25.2%
19
74.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0PHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)16
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0PHISUB: McCaskill FOR Coleman15
19
Q1 - 0:02.0DETOkur S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
19
Q1 - 0:02.0PHIThomas Layup (4 PTS) (McKie 2 AST)15
22.5%
19
77.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0DETFowlkes 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sura 1 AST)13
20.5%
19
79.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0DETFowlkes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0DETMISS Sura 11' Running Jump Shot13
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETSUB: Fowlkes FOR Prince13
16
Q1 - 0:52.0DETSUB: Atkins FOR Hamilton13
16
Q1 - 0:52.0DETSUB: Sura FOR Billups13
16
Q1 - 0:52.0PHISUB: Buckner FOR Snow13
16
Q1 - 0:52.0PHIMcKie P.FOUL (P1.T2)13
16
Q1 - 0:58.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 1:00DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot13
25.3%
16
74.7%
Q1 - 1:27PHIColeman Layup (2 PTS) (McKie 1 AST)13
24.5%
16
75.5%
Q1 - 1:35DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)11
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 1:52DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
21.1%
16
78.9%
Q1 - 1:54PHIPrince BLOCK (2 BLK)11
21.4%
16
78.6%
Q1 - 1:59PHISalmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 2:01DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot11
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 2:15DETOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 2:17PHIMISS Snow 16' Jump Shot11
21.6%
16
78.4%
Q1 - 2:37PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)11
22.5%
16
77.5%
Q1 - 2:40DETMISS Hamilton 8' Running Jump Shot11
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 2:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
21.2%
16
78.8%
Q1 - 2:46PHIMISS Snow 20' Jump Shot11
21.6%
16
78.4%
Q1 - 3:02DETHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T2)11
16
Q1 - 3:06PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
22.6%
16
77.4%
Q1 - 3:09DETMISS Okur 13' Jump Shot11
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 3:32PHISUB: Thomas FOR McCaskill11
16
Q1 - 3:32DETSUB: Okur FOR Campbell11
16
Q1 - 3:32DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
16
Q1 - 3:38PHIMcKie 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Snow 2 AST)11
21.1%
16
78.9%
Q1 - 3:56DETHamilton Layup (6 PTS) (Campbell 1 AST)8
18.2%
16
81.8%
Q1 - 4:11PHISnow 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
20.5%
14
79.5%
Q1 - 4:28PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 4:31PHIWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)6
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 4:34PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 4:36PHIMISS Salmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
18.6%
14
81.4%
Q1 - 4:45DETHamilton Driving Layup (4 PTS)6
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 4:47DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 4:51DETMISS Hamilton 14' Jump Shot6
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 5:13PHISalmons Layup (2 PTS) (Snow 1 AST)6
21.1%
12
78.9%
Q1 - 5:18DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)4
20.1%
12
79.9%
Q1 - 5:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 5:27PHIHamilton BLOCK (1 BLK)4
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 5:48PHISUB: Salmons FOR Dalembert4
12
Q1 - 5:48PHISUB: McCaskill FOR Thomas4
12
Q1 - 5:48DETCampbell Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)4
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 6:05PHIDalembert Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)4
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 6:06PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
20.4%
12
79.6%
Q1 - 6:07PHICampbell BLOCK (2 BLK)4
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 6:07PHIDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
20.4%
12
79.6%
Q1 - 6:08PHIWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)4
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 6:19PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 6:20PHIMISS Coleman 17' Jump Shot4
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 6:46DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)4
20.9%
12
79.1%
Q1 - 6:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
23.2%
9
76.8%
Q1 - 6:58PHICampbell BLOCK (1 BLK)4
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 7:05PHI76ers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)4
9
Q1 - 7:05DETBillups P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
9
Q1 - 7:14PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
24.5%
9
75.5%
Q1 - 7:16DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot4
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 7:28DETCampbell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.4%
9
76.6%
Q1 - 7:30PHIMISS Dalembert 11' Jump Shot4
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 7:35PHI76ers Rebound4
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 7:35DETJump Ball Prince vs. Thomas: Tip to Dalembert4
9
Q1 - 7:35PHIPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)4
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 7:36PHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 7:38PHIMISS Coleman 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 8:07DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)4
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 8:23PHISnow Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
26.3%
7
73.7%
Q1 - 8:43DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)4
27.6%
7
72.4%
Q1 - 9:01PHISnow Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 9:18DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)2
29.2%
4
70.8%
Q1 - 9:33DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.6%
4
71.4%
Q1 - 9:35PHIMISS Thomas Layup2
28.8%
4
71.2%
Q1 - 9:51DETCampbell Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
29.6%
4
70.4%
Q1 - 9:57DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.6%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 10:00PHIMISS Thomas 9' Hook Shot2
30.8%
2
69.2%
Q1 - 10:10PHIColeman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.3%
2
68.7%
Q1 - 10:12DETMISS Hamilton Layup2
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 10:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
30.7%
2
69.3%
Q1 - 10:24PHIMISS Coleman 16' Jump Shot2
31.0%
2
69.0%
Q1 - 10:42DETHamilton 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:51PHIDalembert P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:05PHISnow Palming Turnover (P1.T1)2
32.0%
0
68.0%
Q1 - 11:21DETCampbell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
32.4%
0
67.6%
Q1 - 11:41PHIThomas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Coleman 1 AST)2
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. Dalembert: Tip to0
32.4%
0
67.6%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventPHIDET
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.85 42.4%
DET
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
PHI
19
38
50%
DET
11
26
42%
Midrange
PHI
13
35
37%
DET
10
35
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
PHI
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
DET
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
PHI
8
12
67%
DET
13
16
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
PHI logo 76ers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. McKie2162%10.5 / 17
E. Snow1750%8.5 / 17
J. Salmons1255%6.0 / 11
D. Coleman1137%5.5 / 15
K. Thomas833%4.0 / 12
S. Dalembert643%3.0 / 7
G. Buckner250%1.0 / 2
A. McCaskill125%0.5 / 2
K. Korver0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2966%14.5 / 22
R. Hamilton1544%7.5 / 17
T. Prince840%4.0 / 10
B. Wallace638%3.0 / 8
M. Okur638%3.0 / 8
C. Atkins350%1.5 / 3
T. Fowlkes3150%1.5 / 1
E. Campbell250%1.0 / 2
C. Williamson214%1.0 / 7
B. Sura2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

PHI
77
+15
-11
92
DET
70
+14
-13
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

PHI
0.85 42.4%
DET
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.7
99.1
PHI 88.6
DET 91.6 +2.9
Pace
90.3
90.5
PHI 86.1 +1.3
DET 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.9
PHI 16.7 −0.3
DET 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
46.1%
PHI 43.8% +1.8%
DET 42.0%
TO %
16.2%
15.8%
PHI 13.2% −1.4%
DET 14.6%
ORB %
28.4%
30.2%
PHI 26.8% +4.3%
DET 22.5%
FTrt
32.1
32.8
PHI 15.0
DET 21.3 +6.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
62.0%
PHI 52.9%
DET 64.3% +11.4%
STL %
8.8%
8.9%
PHI 10.2% +1.8%
DET 8.4%
BLK %
7.1%
11.0%
PHI 9.8%
DET 19.2% +9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.6%
48.5%
PHI 42.4%
DET 44.7% +2.3%
Rim FG%
54.2%
54.7%
PHI 50.0% +7.7%
DET 42.3%
Mid FG%
37.4%
37.6%
PHI 37.1% +8.5%
DET 28.6%
3P %
34.2%
34.4%
PHI 28.6%
DET 50.0% +21.4%
FT %
75.3%
75.3%
PHI 66.7%
DET 81.3% +14.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.5%
37.4%
PHI 47.5% +12.8%
DET 34.7%
Mid Att. %
48.6%
47.3%
PHI 43.8% −2.9%
DET 46.7%
3P Att. %
15.8%
15.3%
PHI 8.8%
DET 18.7% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPHIDET
Possessions8883
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points7876
Rebounds4239
Assists1818
Steals97
Blocks614
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)30 (2)
Field Goals34-8028-75
At-the-Rim FG19-3811-26
Midrange FG13-3510-35
2-Point FG32-7321-61
3-Point FG2-77-14
Free Throws8-1213-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 209 · 31
39.4
21
62%
2
5
2
2
1
3
0
2
1-1
100%
7-13
54%
2-3
67%
G · 6'3" 205 · 31
39.0
17
50%
3
7
3
0
4
2
0
3
1-2
50%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 245 · 26
35.2
8
33%
9
0
0
0
1
1
4
5
2-3
67%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 270 · 36
33.9
11
37%
6
3
0
1
1
1
3
3
3-4
75%
4-13
31%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 255 · 24
26.3
6
43%
10
0
2
1
1
3
4
6
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 210 · 24
25.7
12
55%
7
3
1
0
2
4
0
7
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 27
17.3
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
15.4
1
25%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 212 · 23
7.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 165 · 29
F · 6'10" 253 · 29
G · 6'3" 205 · 22
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
78
42%
42
18
9
6
11
0
11
31
8-12
67%
32-73
44%
2-7
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.