Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 9, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Knicks | 18% | 94 | 90 |
 | 2 | Lakers | 82% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Timberwolves | 73% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Pistons | 68% | 93 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Heat | 57% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | SuperSonics | 26% | 90 | 88 | |
| 4 | Nets | 74% | 98 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Raptors | 52% | 95 | 100 |
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Monday, December 8, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Bulls | 26% | 90 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 51% | 101 | 98 |
 | 26 | Magic | 49% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Bucks | 30% | 96 | 85 |
| 7 | Hornets | 70% | 102 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Celtics | 43% | 93 | 102 |
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Sunday, December 7, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 17% | 94 | 92 |
| 2 | Lakers | 83% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pacers | 28% | 93 | 88 |
| 1 | Kings | 72% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 37% | 95 | 116 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 63% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 95 | 79 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | SuperSonics | 42% | 92 | 98 | |
| 23 | Raptors | 58% | 95 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 64% | 99 | 96 |
| 28 | Clippers | 36% | 94 | 94 |
Saturday, December 6, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 56% | 97 | 97 | |
| 27 | Bulls | 44% | 95 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 27% | 90 | 88 |
| 5 | Nets | 73% | 97 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 66% | 95 | 86 |
| 25 | Heat | 34% | 89 | 70 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 39% | 96 | 85 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 61% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 23% | 93 | 114 |
| 15 | Bucks | 77% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 17% | 100 | 97 |
 | 7 | Mavericks | 83% | 112 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 51% | 91 | 80 |
| 11 | Rockets | 49% | 90 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 43% | 95 | 92 |
| 22 | Warriors | 57% | 97 | 104 |
Friday, December 5, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Rockets | 35% | 90 | 83 |
| 7 | Hornets | 65% | 95 | 74 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 38% | 90 | 87 |
| 24 | Raptors | 62% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Suns | 37% | 92 | 110 |
| 17 | Celtics | 63% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 32% | 92 | 86 |
| 8 | Nets | 68% | 98 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 49% | 92 | 93 |
| 26 | Heat | 51% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 71% | 99 | 105 |
| 27 | Magic | 29% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 25% | 92 | 77 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 75% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 36% | 98 | 91 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 64% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 27% | 95 | 67 |
| 18 | Jazz | 73% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 39% | 93 | 81 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 97 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 24% | 94 | 112 |
| 1 | Kings | 76% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pacers | 54% | 92 | 101 |
| 21 | SuperSonics | 46% | 90 | 94 | |
Thursday, December 4, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 45% | 106 | 114 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 55% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 26% | 91 | 82 |
| 10 | 76ers | 74% | 99 | 83 |
Wednesday, December 3, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 31% | 88 | 101 |
| 12 | Rockets | 69% | 94 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 41% | 96 | 90 |
| 3 | Spurs | 59% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 49% | 94 | 92 |
| 22 | Suns | 51% | 95 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 52% | 91 | 95 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 90 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 45% | 94 | 87 |
| 21 | SuperSonics | 55% | 95 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 37% | 98 | 80 |
| 29 | Clippers | 63% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 39% | 97 | 117 |
| 20 | Warriors | 61% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 22% | 92 | 91 |
| 8 | Hornets | 78% | 102 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 19% | 86 | 73 |
| 4 | Pistons | 81% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 32% | 91 | 96 |
| 5 | Nets | 68% | 97 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 57% | 90 | 95 |
| 24 | Raptors | 43% | 88 | 105 |
Tuesday, December 2, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 27% | 93 | 103 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 73% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 20% | 96 | 72 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 80% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 43% | 98 | 106 |
| 23 | Hawks | 57% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 64% | 99 | 100 | |
| 25 | Magic | 36% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Raptors | 26% | 83 | 95 |
| 10 | 76ers | 74% | 92 | 88 |
Monday, December 1, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 51% | 91 | 89 |
| 23 | Suns | 49% | 90 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 41% | 95 | 96 |
| 15 | Celtics | 59% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | 56% | 94 | 79 |
| 17 | Knicks | 44% | 92 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 59% | 102 | 87 |
| 27 | Bulls | 41% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 52% | 92 | 84 | |
| 21 | Jazz | 48% | 91 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 76% | 102 | 83 |
| 30 | Clippers | 24% | 93 | 91 |
Sunday, November 30, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pacers | 42% | 94 | 77 |
| 6 | Lakers | 58% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 31% | 94 | 92 | |
| 1 | Kings | 69% | 100 | 105 |
Saturday, November 29, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pistons | 62% | 96 | 80 |
| 26 | Wizards | 38% | 92 | 69 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 55% | 95 | 74 | |
| 20 | Knicks | 45% | 93 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 28% | 89 | 86 |
| 12 | 76ers | 72% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Raptors | 43% | 88 | 66 |
| 25 | Heat | 57% | 90 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 58% | 99 | 122 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 42% | 97 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 37% | 94 | 94 |
| 13 | Bucks | 63% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Rockets | 49% | 92 | 88 |
| 21 | SuperSonics | 51% | 93 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 51% | 103 | 98 |
| 30 | Clippers | 49% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 54% | 94 | 89 |
| 17 | Warriors | 46% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 34% | 97 | 88 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 66% | 102 | 92 |
Friday, November 28, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 17% | 87 | 88 |
| 4 | Pistons | 83% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 43% | 95 | 96 |
| 16 | Celtics | 57% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 41% | 93 | 83 |
| 23 | Hawks | 59% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 47% | 90 | 87 |
| 27 | Magic | 53% | 91 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 36% | 85 | 77 |
| 3 | Pacers | 64% | 89 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 45% | 95 | 102 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 55% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SuperSonics | 41% | 96 | 81 | |
| 18 | Jazz | 59% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 41% | 95 | 92 |
| 19 | Suns | 59% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 30% | 94 | 74 |
| 1 | Kings | 70% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 47% | 91 | 93 | |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 92 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 48% | 97 | 87 |
| 9 | Lakers | 52% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 54% | 104 | 103 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 46% | 102 | 113 |
Thursday, November 27, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 21% | 85 | 70 |
| 3 | Pacers | 79% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 69% | 99 | 102 | |
| 30 | Clippers | 31% | 92 | 96 |
Wednesday, November 26, 2003
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pistons | 52% | 92 | 86 |
| 11 | 76ers | 48% | 91 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 15% | 93 | 99 |
| 8 | Lakers | 85% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 60% | 103 | 90 |
| 21 | Suns | 40% | 100 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 52% | 93 | 76 |
| 17 | Jazz | 48% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 11% | 87 | 98 |
| 3 | Spurs | 89% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 34% | 90 | 97 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 66% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 22% | 90 | 72 |
| 7 | Hornets | 78% | 100 | 82 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 39% | 88 | 99 |
| 23 | Hawks | 61% | 91 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 58% | 94 | 94 |
| 29 | Magic | 42% | 91 | 92 |