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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 17, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Jazz33%8974
12Nets67%9487
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
40.1
36.8
10
39%
11
3
2
2
2
4
0
11
5-9
56%
1-7
5-10
14%
49%
1-2
50%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.5
36.1
37.4
13
39%
6
3
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-6
67%
3-13
6-12
23%
49%
1-1
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 22.7
26.6
21.1
12
55%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-10
3-8
60%
42%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.4
18.3
25.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
4
0
0
0-2
0%
0-5
4-8
0%
45%
0-0
-
Greg Ostertag
C · 7'2" 280 · 30.8
17.7
29.8
9
78%
6
1
0
0
3
3
3
3
1-4
25%
4-4
3-6
100%
45%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.0
32.0
17.3
5
51%
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Raul Lopez
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
26.8
20.5
15
76%
2
4
0
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
40%
1-2
50%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.2
17.7
26.3
4
29%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
42%
0-2
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 20.1
14.4
7.5
4
52%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 21.0
10.3
6.7
2
26%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
37%
0-0
-
Ben Handlogten
C · 6'10" 240 · 30.1
9.3
0
1-2
43%
Curtis Borchardt
C · 7'0" 242 · 23.3
5.2
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.0
42.9
33.6
22
72%
11
1
0
1
1
1
0
11
8-12
67%
7-10
6-13
70%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.0
39.1
13.0
10
39%
2
5
1
0
4
2
1
1
2-4
50%
4-11
1-3
36%
45%
0-0
-
Kerry Kittles
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.5
36.0
31.6
12
61%
2
3
3
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.7
34.1
33.0
19
75%
8
8
3
2
0
5
4
4
4-6
67%
6-9
4-8
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 23.5
20.8
32.3
6
36%
2
1
1
1
1
4
0
2
0-1
0%
3-8
5-10
38%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney Rogers
F · 6'7" 270 · 32.5
24.6
17.1
9
52%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
4-6
67%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.0
23.2
13.8
5
37%
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.7
9.8
16.1
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 32.2
4.2
23.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
49%
0-0
-
Tamar Slay
G · 6'8" 220 · 23.7
1.8
10.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Pack
G · 6'2" 190 · 34.9
1.8
10.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Damone Brown
F · 6'8" 202 · 24.5
1.7
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.