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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 17, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks55%105103
19Celtics45%103105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
41.4
32.2
30
48%
13
1
2
1
1
1
5
8
5-8
63%
8-21
5-11
38%
48%
3-7
43%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 29.9
38.0
36.7
14
60%
1
9
1
1
0
6
0
1
5-6
83%
0-3
4-10
0%
46%
3-6
50%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.3
36.2
40.2
7
22%
7
8
0
1
2
2
1
6
1-4
25%
3-8
6-13
38%
45%
0-6
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 27.7
30.8
9.6
10
49%
16
2
1
0
0
2
8
8
4-5
80%
3-8
1-2
38%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
27.6
32.3
9
37%
6
1
1
1
1
2
3
3
1-3
33%
4-7
4-10
57%
43%
0-4
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
28.0
31.4
21
61%
9
0
2
1
0
2
4
5
7-7
100%
7-13
6-12
54%
48%
0-1
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.9
18.8
4.8
10
64%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
1-1
100%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 29.9
8.3
19.5
0
0%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
7.4
12.1
2
41%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Best
G · 5'11" 182 · 31.4
3.4
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 30.8
17.2
1
2-5
46%
Shawn Bradley
C · 7'6" 275 · 31.7
3.5
0
0-1
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 26.2
43.8
37.5
25
56%
11
7
2
2
2
5
2
9
7-8
88%
3-12
7-15
25%
45%
4-7
57%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 28.5
38.7
35.0
15
44%
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
3-6
55%
44%
1-6
17%
Walter McCarty
F · 6'10" 245 · 29.9
34.6
15.1
18
76%
5
5
1
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
49%
5-8
63%
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 23.9
32.2
29.9
21
82%
3
0
2
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
43%
3-5
60%
Vin Baker
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.1
31.7
25.4
10
68%
8
3
0
1
2
2
2
6
2-3
67%
4-6
4-9
67%
49%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.2
23.6
18.6
8
42%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
42%
1-1
100%
Jumaine Jones
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.8
10.8
9.6
2
33%
4
2
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 28.0
10.7
23.9
4
67%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.4
8.2
7.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 22.1
5.8
12.0
2
20%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
40%
0-0
-
Michael Stewart
C · 6'10" 230 · 28.6
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 19.1
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.