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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 17, 2003
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Raptors17%8470
2Spurs83%9673
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.6
42.3
37.5
19
73%
14
1
1
1
1
0
1
13
0-0
-
5-7
4-9
71%
44%
3-6
50%
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 30.9
39.1
36.4
14
56%
4
2
0
1
0
7
0
4
8-8
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
39%
0-2
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.9
39.0
31.5
16
37%
4
5
1
1
0
2
3
1
2-4
50%
7-20
6-14
35%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 19.7
36.0
35.9
6
23%
12
1
0
1
0
2
5
7
0-2
0%
3-12
4-10
25%
42%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 29.4
33.0
32.7
10
63%
4
7
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
41%
0-1
0%
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 24.9
17.7
16.8
5
73%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
42%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
16.4
23.5
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Milt Palacio
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.9
12.0
3.6
0
0%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Michael Curry
F-G · 6'5" 210 · 35.3
4.6
14.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.3
9.2
0
0-1
32%
Lamond Murray
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.7
4.0
0
0-1
38%
Jerome Moiso
F · 6'10" 260 · 25.5
2.4
0
0-1
42%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 27.6
42.3
34.0
30
53%
13
5
0
1
4
3
4
9
6-14
43%
12-21
8-14
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 32.5
39.8
30.2
0
0%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-4
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 21.6
37.5
36.0
16
59%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
1-2
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.5
30.5
32.1
4
22%
10
0
0
1
3
3
2
8
0-0
-
2-9
5-10
22%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 26.4
26.4
33.4
4
24%
4
3
2
2
0
1
2
2
1-3
33%
0-2
3-7
0%
44%
1-5
20%
Ron Mercer
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
22.7
7.9
8
57%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
42%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 33.3
12.9
17.3
3
31%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.6
10.4
11.4
6
104%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 29.1
10.3
5.7
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 24.7
7.0
20.4
0
0%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
Kevin Willis
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 41.3
5.8
0
1-2
45%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 25.0
4.4
0
1-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.